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Matchup Reports

DENVER (4-3) AT CINCINNATI (3-4)
Sunday,  Nov 4 2012  at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
415: DENVER
416: CINCINNATI
47.0
+3.5
29.1 / 21.7
23.7 / 26.7
4-3
3-4
4-3-0
2-4-1
4-3-0
4-3-0
112.6
96.6
294.0
257.4
406.6
354.0
106.0
125.6
213.4
231.6
319.4
357.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DENVER-4 
CINCINNATI  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DENVER - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-28-1158-533-111-869-502-210-1065-56
in all games4-318-22161-1694-324-16192-1444-317-24195-148
in all lined games4-318-22161-1694-324-16192-1444-317-24195-148
as a favorite3-05-798-1121-27-5126-873-07-6147-71
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-01-116-150-01-118-160-01-120-14
in road games1-29-1077-832-111-891-761-27-1276-93
in road lined games1-29-1077-832-111-891-761-27-1276-93
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points1-02-115-181-02-121-131-01-214-21
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points3-19-1279-733-115-597-573-17-1494-63
against conference opponents3-215-16124-1254-118-12141-1113-213-18149-110
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-212-17109-1272-121-9146-971-211-19140-108
against AFC North division opponents1-02-221-211-04-027-161-03-130-14
in games played on turf0-21-525-321-15-134-230-21-527-32
in November games0-05-240-370-03-443-350-05-252-27
after 2 or more consecutive wins0-03-146-550-02-353-500-04-162-43
when playing against a team with a losing record2-06-841-680-26-857-582-06-865-50
in weeks 5 through 92-14-741-442-18-351-342-14-749-39

CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-310-1056-562-311-861-522-39-1157-59
in all games2-417-20147-1754-324-15165-1593-416-24124-205
in all lined games2-417-20147-1754-324-15165-1593-416-24124-205
as an underdog2-212-12105-1242-214-10118-1112-28-1763-169
as a home underdog of 3 points or less0-13-418-230-13-422-190-13-418-23
in home games0-27-1170-921-212-787-751-28-1175-89
in home lined games0-27-1170-921-212-787-751-28-1175-89
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-10-18-160-10-110-140-10-110-14
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-35-853-611-35-849-671-32-1142-74
against conference opponents1-412-17106-1423-319-11128-1182-411-2087-165
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-01-19-100-02-011-80-01-15-13
against AFC West division opponents0-02-022-170-02-018-200-01-114-25
off a division game1-16-661-712-19-575-612-16-848-89
after a bye week0-01-110-110-02-012-90-01-16-14
in games played on turf0-29-1384-991-215-994-891-210-1477-109
in November games0-02-545-370-05-244-360-02-635-47
off a loss against a division rival0-12-532-481-16-344-401-13-622-63
after 2 or more consecutive losses0-14-853-670-16-760-610-14-935-88
when playing against a team with a winning record0-06-1058-670-011-568-590-03-1433-94
in weeks 5 through 90-34-737-481-27-346-390-34-727-61
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DENVER - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-3+14-34-329.18.4406.6(6.3)2.021.715.0319.4(4.9)1.6
Road Games1-2-11-22-125.74.7368.0(6.1)3.327.320.3342.3(4.7)2.3
Last 3 Games2-1+12-12-130.08.0432.7(6.9)2.323.016.0334.7(4.7)2.7
Turf Games0-1-10-11-021.07.0402.0(6.3)3.031.017.0444.0(5.2)1.0
DENVER - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.18.423.329:0728-113(4)25-3768.2%294(8)65-407(6.3)(14)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.410.219.829:4726-108(4.2)22-3562.3%240(6.9)60-348(5.7)(15.5)
Offense Road Games25.74.721.325:5923-82(3.6)26-3771.2%286(7.7)60-368(6.1)(14.3)
Defense (All Games)21.715.021.130:5329-106(3.7)22-3659.8%213(5.9)65-319(4.9)(14.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.514.722.232:3427-107(3.9)24-3863.8%266(7)65-372(5.7)(14.1)
Defense Road Games27.320.326.734:0136-136(3.7)24-3666.7%206(5.7)72-342(4.7)(12.5)
DENVER - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.61.42.0-0.413-644.3%1-060.0%2-41(18)3-23(7.9)7-55
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.91.82.113-538.9%1-054.7%3-74(23.8)20-2(9.4)6-54
Stats For (Road Games)1.32.03.3-1.011-439.4%1-166.7%3-59(17.6)2-8(4.6)8-66
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.61.6 15-641.2%1-144.4%2-32(20.3)2-9(4.9)7-53
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.70.41.1 14-643.8%1-048.5%2-54(23.8)17-2(7.8)6-50
Stats Against (Road Games)1.31.02.3 15-748.9%1-00.0%3-65(21.8)2-7(3.5)8-65

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-4-1.32-44-323.714.6354.0(5.9)2.126.710.3357.1(5.9)1.3
Home Games1-2-1.60-21-221.312.3286.0(5.1)1.722.710.3383.0(6.1)1.7
Last 3 Games0-3-3.70-31-218.011.3307.0(5.2)2.725.09.3346.0(5.4)1.7
Turf Games1-2-1.60-21-221.312.3286.0(5.1)1.722.710.3383.0(6.1)1.7
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.714.618.929:4225-97(3.9)22-3564.3%257(7.4)60-354(5.9)(14.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.311.521.831:2928-115(4.1)23-3860.7%258(6.7)67-374(5.6)(16)
Offense Home Games21.312.316.728:5122-80(3.7)21-3462.7%206(6.1)56-286(5.1)(13.4)
Defense (All Games)26.710.321.130:1828-126(4.5)22-3367.0%232(7)61-357(5.9)(13.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.410.418.429:5925-106(4.2)21-3559.4%225(6.5)60-332(5.5)(15.5)
Defense Home Games22.710.319.331:0929-122(4.2)23-3469.3%261(7.8)63-383(6.1)(16.9)
CINCINNATI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.40.72.1-0.913-428.4%1-175.0%3-70(23.5)3-36(13.4)5-49
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.71.71.814-538.7%1-171.3%3-63(23.2)24-3(9.5)7-58
Stats For (Home Games)1.30.31.70.013-428.2%1-1100.0%4-95(26)2-40(20)4-40
Stats Against (All Games)0.40.91.3 13-538.7%0-033.3%3-91(27.7)2-16(9.4)5-49
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.70.51.3 13-535.5%1-049.9%3-79(26.8)23-2(10.5)7-62
Stats Against (Home Games)0.31.31.7 15-747.7%0-00.0%4-106(28.8)2-11(4.9)6-54
Average power rating of opponents played: DENVER 24,  CINCINNATI 18.7
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DENVER - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012PITTSBURGH31-19W-3W45O27-9419-26-240126-7522-40-2091
9/17/2012@ ATLANTA21-27L3L49.5U27-11824-37-218428-6724-36-2080
9/23/2012HOUSTON25-31L1.5L43O21-5926-52-316134-15217-30-2842
9/30/2012OAKLAND37-6W-6.5W47U38-16530-39-338116-5619-34-1810
10/7/2012@ NEW ENGLAND21-31L6L50.5O20-7031-44-332354-25123-31-1931
10/15/2012@ SAN DIEGO35-24W0W48O22-5724-30-309327-9025-41-2186
10/28/2012NEW ORLEANS34-14W-6W54.5U41-22522-30-305117-5122-42-2011
11/4/2012@ CINCINNATI            
11/11/2012@ CAROLINA            
11/18/2012SAN DIEGO            
11/25/2012@ KANSAS CITY            
12/2/2012TAMPA BAY            

CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/10/2012@ BALTIMORE13-44L7L43O28-12922-37-193223-12223-32-3080
9/16/2012CLEVELAND34-27W-7T39.5O25-8024-31-295123-13026-37-3091
9/23/2012@ WASHINGTON38-31W3W49.5O28-9320-28-385234-21321-34-1681
9/30/2012@ JACKSONVILLE27-10W1.5W45.5U34-13820-31-244218-6923-34-1432
10/7/2012MIAMI13-17L-3L45U19-8026-43-218335-6817-26-2112
10/14/2012@ CLEVELAND24-34L-1L41.5O20-7631-46-362434-11017-29-2181
10/21/2012PITTSBURGH17-24L1L47U21-8014-28-105129-16727-38-2642
11/4/2012DENVER            
11/11/2012NY GIANTS            
11/18/2012@ KANSAS CITY            
11/25/2012OAKLAND            
12/2/2012@ SAN DIEGO            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
CINCINNATI is 6-4 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992
DENVER is 8-2 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 3-3 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992
DENVER is 4-2 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/18/2011CINCINNATI2240.5 ATS31829:4520-7227-41310007-69
 DENVER24-3SU Over101930:1536-13115-25187207-55
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 52.3% of the time since 1992. (134-122)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 61.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1992. (124-113)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-12)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 52.3% of the time since 1992. (147-134)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (129-139)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DENVER
[LB] 10/05/2012 - D.J. Williams expected to miss first 9 regular season games ( Suspension )
[DT] 09/10/2012 - Ty Warren IR ( Tricep )
[S] 09/30/2012 - Quinton Carter IR ( Knee )
[C] 10/01/2012 - J.D. Walton IR ( Ankle )
[CB] 10/28/2012 - Tracy Porter "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Head )
[NT] 10/28/2012 - Sealver Siliga "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Personal )
[QB] 10/28/2012 - Peyton Manning probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Thumb )
[LB] 10/29/2012 - Joe Mays out for season ( Leg )
CINCINNATI
[CB] 09/05/2012 - Shaun Prater IR ( Knee )
[CB] 09/05/2012 - Taveon Rogers IR ( Shoulder )
[G] 09/05/2012 - Travelle Wharton IR ( Knee )
[CB] 09/05/2012 - Brandon Ghee IR ( Wrist )
[S] 09/05/2012 - Robert Sands IR ( Undisclosed )
[C] 09/05/2012 - Kyle Cook out indefinitely ( Foot )
[LB] 09/14/2012 - Thomas Howard IR ( ACL )
[CB] 10/28/2012 - Jason Allen "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Quad )
[RB] 10/08/2012 - Bernard Scott IR ( Knee )
[RB] 10/28/2012 - Brian Leonard "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Ribs )
[WR] 10/28/2012 - Armon Binns "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Ankle )
[WR] 10/23/2012 - Marvin Jones out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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