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Matchup Reports

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NORTHWESTERN (6-2) AT BAYLOR (5-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
737: NORTHWESTERN
738: BAYLOR
132.5
-11.0
67.1 / 55.9
77.0 / 64.9
6-2
5-2
3-2
2-3
2-0
2-2
42.7
48.5
69.0
69.6
36.9
33.8
38.1
40.7
58.7
56.7
32.3
37.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
BAYLOR-14 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games3-231-29191-1962-035-23129-1146-245-30214-249
in all lined games3-231-29191-1962-035-23129-1143-231-30145-245
when the total is 130 to 139.51-117-1638-272-021-1240-251-117-1632-33
as an underdog1-014-15128-1361-016-1375-781-07-2256-210
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-00-312-150-03-08-50-00-34-23
in road games0-011-1380-830-016-954-480-09-1735-132
in road lined games0-011-1380-830-016-954-480-08-1732-132
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-02-18-50-01-26-70-01-23-10
against Big 12 conference opponents1-01-14-40-00-11-21-01-14-4
in December games0-11-730-320-06-118-140-18-663-30
on Tuesday nights1-14-413-141-06-113-112-16-320-16
after a non-conference game3-212-1165-662-015-543-366-226-10118-73
in non-conference games3-212-1059-602-014-537-326-229-7133-59
after allowing 60 points or less2-08-680-721-08-548-434-014-598-92
after scoring 60 points or less1-14-885-861-08-448-471-18-691-110
when playing against a team with a winning record2-224-27132-1352-027-2289-883-225-3089-194
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-04-328-321-03-417-151-03-618-48

BAYLOR - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games2-322-35177-1772-229-29116-945-253-23243-221
in all lined games2-322-35177-1772-229-29116-943-236-23151-209
when the total is 130 to 139.50-09-1233-370-012-1037-330-012-1029-43
as a favorite1-314-2562-752-119-2149-452-229-1298-41
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-01-18-40-00-25-30-02-011-1
in all home games0-17-1575-740-09-1242-372-131-8165-82
in home lined games0-17-1575-740-09-1242-370-114-879-74
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-02-25-40-02-24-50-03-15-4
in December games1-06-525-200-14-77-131-011-367-24
on Tuesday nights0-03-320-230-03-317-80-09-134-29
after a non-conference game2-310-1356-472-211-1131-305-231-7142-54
in non-conference games2-39-1149-432-210-1029-285-232-6149-48
after allowing 60 points or less1-110-1438-392-014-1129-202-024-872-44
when playing against a team with a winning record2-220-29145-1372-226-25103-813-136-18126-180
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-112-1458-620-014-1148-310-119-1147-82
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games6-2-6.33-22-067.132.242.7%37.455.922.638.1%35.1
Road Games2-0+2.22-01-063.523.535.8%37.550.020.034.9%38.5
Last 5 Games3-2-6.32-22-059.426.838.2%34.055.423.038.5%36.0
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.132.223-5442.7%8-2236.9%12-1869.0%37818156114
vs opponents surrendering68.732.925-5842.9%6-1933.3%12-1966.7%371014187144
Team Stats (Road Games)63.523.519-5335.8%7-2134.9%18-2087.8%37711158121
Stats Against (All Games)55.922.621-5438.1%5-1732.3%9-1658.7%35911186133
vs opponents averaging65.629.423-5642.1%6-1933.2%12-1964.1%35913176144
Stats Against (Road Games)50.020.018-5334.9%5-1634.4%7-1646.9%38119205174

BAYLOR - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games5-2+1.82-32-277.038.148.5%39.164.934.940.7%33.7
Home Games2-100-10-078.739.051.6%40.762.331.739.4%32.3
Last 5 Games3-2+1.82-32-272.435.244.6%37.266.036.042.7%35.2
BAYLOR Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.038.129-5948.5%6-1933.8%13-1969.6%391014169134
vs opponents surrendering6931.825-5942.5%7-2132.0%12-1769.0%351012197134
Team Stats (Home Games)78.739.032-6151.6%4-1824.5%11-1764.7%411218178135
Stats Against (All Games)64.934.925-6140.7%7-1937.1%8-1556.7%341211177143
vs opponents averaging70.433.325-5545.1%6-1737.5%14-2167.2%351013176144
Stats Against (Home Games)62.331.723-5839.4%7-1740.4%9-1560.9%321110167152
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 66.1,  BAYLOR 72.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BAYLOR since 1997
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games played at BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
12/4/2011BAYLOR69141SU ATS3829-4860.4%4-1822.2%7-1258.3%37515
 NORTHWESTERN41-2.5 Under2114-5824.1%4-2615.4%9-1464.3%341212
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BAYLOR in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.9% of the time since 1997. (165-141)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 59.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (141-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-22)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (105-109)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 52% of the time since 1997. (92-85)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 59.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-19)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[G/F] 11/26/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin out indefinitely ( Mononucleosis )
[F] 11/23/2012 - Nikola Cerina expected to miss 2-4 weeks ( Ankle )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
BAYLOR
No significant injuries.
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