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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 3-4 | 37-31 | 218-216 | 1-0 | 30-30 | 143-132 | 5-2 | 47-29 | 317-177 | | in all lined games | 3-4 | 37-31 | 218-216 | 1-0 | 30-30 | 143-132 | 5-2 | 40-28 | 271-175 | | as an underdog | 0-1 | 18-13 | 73-77 | 0-0 | 16-14 | 64-45 | 0-1 | 12-19 | 47-107 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 2-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2-14 | | in road games | 0-0 | 13-12 | 81-86 | 0-0 | 13-11 | 57-44 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 72-100 | | in road lined games | 0-0 | 13-12 | 81-86 | 0-0 | 13-11 | 57-44 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 71-100 | | against SEC opponents | 1-0 | 4-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 7-2 | | in December games | 0-1 | 8-4 | 38-43 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 19-23 | 1-0 | 12-4 | 83-29 | | on Wednesday games | 0-1 | 8-11 | 61-57 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 37-36 | 0-1 | 11-10 | 87-43 | | after a non-conference game | 3-4 | 18-12 | 86-88 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 51-48 | 5-2 | 29-9 | 161-59 | | in non-conference games | 3-4 | 16-14 | 87-85 | 1-0 | 14-9 | 55-48 | 5-2 | 27-11 | 159-62 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-1 | 10-11 | 79-67 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 51-49 | 0-1 | 15-9 | 111-63 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-0 | 5-6 | 43-49 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 37-25 | 1-0 | 6-6 | 62-40 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-0 | 2-0 | 25-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 16-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 29-20 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 24-20 | 131-135 | 0-0 | 22-18 | 104-86 | 1-1 | 24-22 | 151-135 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-2 | 12-11 | 60-63 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 43-45 | 2-1 | 13-12 | 78-59 |
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| in all games | 3-1 | 34-30 | 202-206 | 1-3 | 31-32 | 142-144 | 6-1 | 52-25 | 300-194 | | in all lined games | 3-1 | 34-30 | 202-206 | 1-3 | 31-32 | 142-144 | 3-1 | 41-25 | 232-187 | | as a favorite | 2-1 | 26-19 | 112-117 | 1-2 | 20-25 | 80-79 | 3-0 | 37-9 | 176-55 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 4-2 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 6-0 | 23-1 | | in all home games | 0-1 | 16-11 | 98-88 | 1-0 | 12-13 | 64-58 | 4-0 | 35-3 | 207-46 | | in home lined games | 0-1 | 16-11 | 98-88 | 1-0 | 12-13 | 64-58 | 1-0 | 24-3 | 146-42 | | in December games | 1-0 | 4-7 | 27-43 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 26-17 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 77-28 | | on Wednesday games | 0-0 | 6-4 | 54-42 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 25-27 | 0-0 | 10-2 | 67-43 | | after a non-conference game | 3-1 | 15-15 | 68-86 | 1-3 | 13-15 | 52-53 | 6-1 | 29-11 | 165-61 | | in non-conference games | 3-1 | 14-15 | 67-85 | 1-3 | 12-16 | 55-53 | 6-1 | 29-12 | 167-60 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-0 | 21-19 | 58-70 | 0-2 | 22-16 | 47-45 | 3-1 | 30-16 | 89-60 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-0 | 5-11 | 39-35 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 29-26 | 1-0 | 9-10 | 48-38 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-0 | 28-20 | 164-152 | 0-3 | 24-23 | 112-109 | 2-1 | 32-21 | 178-167 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 8-11 | 67-67 | 0-1 | 10-8 | 49-47 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 70-74 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-2 | -6.5 | 3-4 | 1-0 | 68.3 | 31.0 | 46.2% | 32.1 | 60.7 | 22.0 | 43.1% | 29.9 | | Road Games | 2-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 72.3 | 33.0 | 46.3% | 33.3 | 67.0 | 24.7 | 45.2% | 29.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -6.5 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 69.4 | 31.2 | 48.2% | 30.4 | 59.4 | 20.8 | 43.6% | 28.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.3 | 31.0 | 24-52 | 46.2% | 6-15 | 37.9% | 14-21 | 67.3% | 32 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.8 | 29.5 | 23-54 | 42.2% | 7-19 | 35.5% | 14-20 | 68.9% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 72.3 | 33.0 | 25-55 | 46.3% | 6-16 | 35.4% | 16-21 | 75.0% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 60.7 | 22.0 | 21-49 | 43.1% | 6-17 | 37.3% | 12-18 | 68.5% | 30 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 5 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.7 | 29.1 | 23-54 | 42.1% | 6-17 | 35.1% | 14-21 | 66.7% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 67.0 | 24.7 | 23-52 | 45.2% | 7-18 | 37.0% | 14-21 | 66.1% | 29 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 6 |
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| All Games | 6-1 | +2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 68.6 | 32.3 | 46.2% | 34.1 | 54.9 | 28.4 | 38.5% | 33.6 | | Home Games | 4-0 | +1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 71.0 | 33.7 | 45.3% | 35.2 | 52.2 | 27.0 | 37.9% | 34.5 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 66.0 | 32.6 | 45.9% | 34.8 | 53.6 | 29.0 | 37.7% | 33.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.6 | 32.3 | 26-56 | 46.2% | 7-18 | 37.5% | 10-16 | 64.3% | 34 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.3 | 32.6 | 25-60 | 41.8% | 7-19 | 35.7% | 13-19 | 66.6% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 71.0 | 33.7 | 26-58 | 45.3% | 7-20 | 34.6% | 11-17 | 66.7% | 35 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 7 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 54.9 | 28.4 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 4-15 | 28.0% | 10-15 | 70.6% | 34 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.3 | 34.5 | 24-58 | 42.2% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 15-21 | 68.6% | 39 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 52.2 | 27.0 | 20-53 | 37.9% | 5-17 | 28.6% | 7-10 | 65.9% | 34 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: DAYTON 69.7, ALABAMA 73.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| DAYTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1997 | | DAYTON is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| DAYTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | DAYTON is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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12/7/2011 | ALABAMA | 62 | -5.5 | Over | 27 | 27-54 | 50.0% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 24 | 8 | 11 | | | DAYTON | 74 | 126.5 | SU ATS | 38 | 28-46 | 60.9% | 10-19 | 52.6% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 26 | 5 | 14 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.7% of the time since 1997. (187-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 52.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-25) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (161-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 59.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-20) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F/C] 10/26/2012 - Matt Kavanaugh out for season ( Suspension ) | |
| [G] 12/04/2012 - Andrew Steele "?" Wednesday vs. Dayton ( Groin ) | | [C] 12/04/2012 - Carl Engstrom "?" Wednesday vs. Dayton ( Knee ) |
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