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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 4-2 | 21-31 | 30-34 | 0-0 | 12-27 | 18-31 | 5-3 | 30-41 | 156-287 | | in all lined games | 4-2 | 21-31 | 30-34 | 0-0 | 12-27 | 18-31 | 4-2 | 18-35 | 23-42 | | as a favorite | 3-2 | 6-10 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 3-10 | 4-1 | 11-5 | 14-6 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-2 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | | in road games | 2-2 | 9-18 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 9-26 | 38-173 | | in road lined games | 2-2 | 9-18 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 6-22 | 8-25 | | in December games | 1-0 | 5-4 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 2-6 | 1-0 | 7-7 | 38-65 | | on Wednesday games | 0-1 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 19-13 | | after a conference game | 1-0 | 14-21 | 22-23 | 0-0 | 10-19 | 15-23 | 1-0 | 17-24 | 92-166 | | in non-conference games | 3-1 | 6-5 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 15-15 | 74-110 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 8-3 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 1-0 | 8-6 | 10-10 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-1 | 5-15 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 5-15 | 2-2 | 13-16 | 93-124 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9-37 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 4-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 4-5 | 23-29 |
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| in all games | 2-2 | 20-28 | 136-162 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 3-6 | 24-43 | 192-253 | | in all lined games | 2-2 | 20-28 | 136-162 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 1-3 | 14-36 | 108-199 | | as an underdog | 2-2 | 16-15 | 93-107 | 0-0 | 8-17 | 57-74 | 1-3 | 7-25 | 41-163 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-9 | | in all home games | 0-1 | 4-17 | 48-76 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 41-39 | 1-3 | 13-19 | 128-79 | | in home lined games | 0-1 | 4-17 | 48-76 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 41-39 | 0-1 | 5-16 | 64-65 | | in December games | 0-0 | 3-5 | 26-35 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 18-17 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 43-62 | | on Wednesday games | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 19-11 | | after a non-conference game | 2-1 | 10-7 | 42-53 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 23-25 | 3-5 | 15-17 | 77-91 | | in non-conference games | 2-2 | 9-6 | 35-51 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 18-26 | 3-6 | 15-18 | 72-96 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-1 | 12-11 | 45-52 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 31-47 | 2-2 | 11-16 | 42-76 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-1 | 7-9 | 57-65 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 33-38 | 1-2 | 6-15 | 43-123 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-0 | 6-6 | 28-24 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 16-20 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 16-53 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21-26 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 16-20 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 28-32 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-3 | +2.1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 58.7 | 28.6 | 44.4% | 30.5 | 53.5 | 24.5 | 39.4% | 30.0 | | Road Games | 4-3 | +2.1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 57.0 | 27.9 | 43.9% | 30.1 | 55.6 | 25.9 | 40.4% | 30.4 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 56.4 | 27.0 | 43.9% | 29.6 | 53.8 | 23.8 | 39.8% | 30.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 58.7 | 28.6 | 21-47 | 44.4% | 5-12 | 40.9% | 12-18 | 66.2% | 30 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.4 | 31.1 | 23-52 | 43.0% | 6-15 | 36.0% | 15-22 | 66.7% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 57.0 | 27.9 | 21-47 | 43.9% | 5-12 | 39.0% | 11-16 | 67.5% | 30 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 53.5 | 24.5 | 19-48 | 39.4% | 6-15 | 36.3% | 10-14 | 72.2% | 30 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 59.4 | 27.5 | 21-52 | 40.4% | 6-17 | 33.8% | 12-17 | 68.8% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 55.6 | 25.9 | 20-48 | 40.4% | 6-15 | 37.0% | 11-15 | 72.1% | 30 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
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| All Games | 3-6 | -1.2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 58.2 | 26.1 | 41.7% | 30.0 | 61.3 | 29.6 | 43.9% | 32.7 | | Home Games | 1-3 | -1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 59.0 | 24.7 | 43.4% | 29.5 | 58.2 | 27.5 | 43.3% | 32.5 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +1.8 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 62.4 | 28.0 | 42.8% | 31.4 | 62.0 | 28.8 | 43.4% | 31.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 58.2 | 26.1 | 21-51 | 41.7% | 6-18 | 35.2% | 9-15 | 58.7% | 30 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 63.6 | 28.8 | 22-54 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 31.9% | 13-20 | 66.8% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 59.0 | 24.7 | 21-49 | 43.4% | 5-15 | 32.8% | 11-20 | 55.0% | 29 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.3 | 29.6 | 21-47 | 43.9% | 6-19 | 31.2% | 14-19 | 72.7% | 33 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.6 | 30.4 | 24-55 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 32.0% | 12-19 | 66.1% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.2 | 27.5 | 20-47 | 43.3% | 5-17 | 30.0% | 12-18 | 68.5% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W ILLINOIS 65.4, E ILLINOIS 60.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| W ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS since 1997 | | E ILLINOIS is 10-5 straight up against W ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| W ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | E ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| E ILLINOIS is 7-0 straight up against W ILLINOIS since 1997 |
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| E ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons |
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12/10/2011 | E ILLINOIS | 48 | 127.5 | Under | 25 | 16-42 | 38.1% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 29 | 5 | 15 | | | W ILLINOIS | 64 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 23 | 23-50 | 46.0% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 11-13 | 84.6% | 27 | 2 | 5 | 12/11/2010 | W ILLINOIS | 58 | | | 29 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 11-24 | 45.8% | 29 | 9 | 7 | | | E ILLINOIS | 61 | | SU | 34 | 21-47 | 44.7% | 0-5 | 0.0% | 19-26 | 73.1% | 38 | 9 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W ILLINOIS games 42.9% of the time since 1997. (18-24) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W ILLINOIS games 44.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-21) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (113-112) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-18) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 11/02/2012 - Billy Molinari out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 12/04/2012 - Dennis Green "?" Wednesday vs. Western Illinois ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jonathan Miller out indefinitely ( Eligibility ) |
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