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Saturday at 4:00 PM Back to Games			KENTUCKY (8-3) AT LOUISVILLE (11-1)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
551: KENTUCKY 552: LOUISVILLE	134.0 -8.5	78.5 / 61.1 78.1 / 55.5	8-3 11-1	3-5 7-5	3-4 4-2	49.0 45.5	64.7 69.8	35.6 33.1	37.7 39.0	67.5 66.8	32.4 28.0

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
KENTUCKY
LOUISVILLE	-7

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	3-5	37-41	253-234	3-4	29-46	189-210	8-3	75-14	412-127
in all lined games	3-5	37-41	253-234	3-4	29-46	189-210	5-3	66-14	372-126
when the total is 130 to 139.5	2-3	15-22	95-77	3-2	11-26	85-88	3-2	32-7	134-42
as an underdog	0-2	3-2	41-37	1-1	1-4	34-39	0-2	3-2	29-50
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points	0-0	0-0	4-4	0-0	0-0	6-2	0-0	0-0	2-6
in road games	0-1	9-12	87-71	0-1	6-14	59-73	0-1	12-9	97-63
in road lined games	0-1	9-12	87-71	0-1	6-14	59-73	0-1	12-9	97-63
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5	0-0	2-3	19-10	0-0	1-3	17-12	0-0	3-2	21-10
against Big East conference opponents	0-1	3-5	18-13	0-1	1-7	12-19	0-1	6-3	21-12
in December games	3-1	7-9	52-43	1-3	6-10	40-43	4-1	17-3	86-24
on Saturday games	2-1	13-18	101-93	0-3	17-15	79-82	3-1	28-7	151-55
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest	1-1	4-7	40-26	0-2	4-8	26-34	2-1	13-3	60-14
after a non-conference game	3-5	20-21	108-108	3-4	16-22	84-94	8-3	43-8	201-60
in non-conference games	3-5	20-21	111-105	3-4	15-23	88-95	8-3	44-7	203-59
after allowing 60 points or less	2-1	16-15	80-79	0-2	8-19	64-71	4-0	31-4	139-40
after scoring 80 points or more	2-2	12-14	72-91	0-3	11-14	59-66	4-1	26-5	136-45
when playing against a team with a winning record	1-4	29-33	205-195	1-3	22-38	155-183	2-3	51-14	299-119
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	0-1	12-13	66-69	0-1	7-18	60-61	0-1	24-5	108-39
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	0-2	8-8	76-77	0-1	4-11	53-76	2-1	12-5	104-59

LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	7-5	48-30	246-229	4-2	32-42	156-192	11-1	66-21	348-169
in all lined games	7-5	48-30	246-229	4-2	32-42	156-192	11-1	60-21	314-168
when the total is 130 to 139.5	3-1	22-14	74-64	4-0	20-18	72-70	3-1	23-15	86-56
as a favorite	7-5	36-24	181-171	4-2	22-33	120-142	11-1	52-10	273-84
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points	0-0	1-5	10-20	0-0	3-4	13-11	0-0	5-2	23-8
in all home games	3-3	22-17	117-116	0-0	14-20	77-87	6-0	41-6	218-52
in home lined games	3-3	22-17	117-116	0-0	14-20	77-87	6-0	35-6	187-51
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5	0-0	3-2	10-7	0-0	3-2	8-9	0-0	4-1	14-3
against SEC opponents	1-0	3-2	16-18	1-0	2-4	9-19	1-0	3-3	20-15
in December games	4-2	9-8	47-55	2-1	8-8	28-43	6-0	19-4	99-29
on Saturday games	3-2	18-10	86-92	3-0	15-13	60-73	4-1	25-8	127-67
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest	1-1	3-1	22-24	1-0	3-2	17-19	2-0	5-1	30-19
after a non-conference game	7-5	22-13	99-99	4-2	14-17	59-75	11-1	39-5	170-64
in non-conference games	7-5	22-13	96-100	4-2	13-18	62-80	11-1	38-6	170-65
after allowing 60 points or less	5-2	27-11	91-74	3-1	22-14	71-71	7-0	36-7	116-58
when playing against a team with a winning record	4-3	31-25	176-184	4-2	22-35	127-152	6-1	38-21	216-154
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	3-2	18-12	80-90	3-2	9-22	55-74	4-1	17-14	91-84
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	1-3	5-8	62-67	2-1	5-9	38-62	3-1	8-7	76-57

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	8-3	-3.5	3-5	3-4	78.5	38.9	49.0%	38.8	61.1	30.1	37.7%	34.5
Road Games	1-2	-1	0-3	2-1	63.3	35.0	44.2%	31.7	69.3	35.0	41.2%	39.3
Last 5 Games	4-1	-2.5	3-1	1-3	77.4	37.0	44.5%	44.6	54.0	24.2	34.2%	35.2

KENTUCKY Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.5	38.9	29-59	49.0%	6-16	35.6%	15-23	64.7%	39	11	16	16	8	12	8
vs opponents surrendering	68.3	31.9	24-58	42.1%	6-18	33.0%	13-20	68.5%	34	10	13	18	7	13	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	63.3	35.0	23-51	44.2%	5-12	37.8%	13-21	63.5%	32	9	12	17	5	12	6
Stats Against (All Games)	61.1	30.1	22-58	37.7%	5-17	32.4%	12-17	67.5%	35	9	11	19	5	15	3
vs opponents averaging	71.4	33.3	25-56	45.3%	6-18	34.7%	14-21	67.3%	37	10	15	18	7	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	69.3	35.0	25-61	41.2%	6-17	36.5%	13-18	70.9%	39	13	15	18	5	10	4

LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	11-1	+3.8	7-5	4-2	78.1	35.4	45.5%	38.8	55.5	24.7	39.0%	32.3
Home Games	6-0	+1	3-3	0-0	81.0	38.0	47.1%	41.8	52.0	22.8	35.9%	32.2
Last 5 Games	5-0	+2	4-1	2-1	84.6	39.6	49.0%	37.6	54.6	25.6	37.2%	33.8

LOUISVILLE Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.1	35.4	28-61	45.5%	7-21	33.1%	15-22	69.8%	39	14	15	17	12	13	3
vs opponents surrendering	66.6	31.1	24-55	42.5%	6-19	34.2%	13-19	69.1%	34	9	12	18	7	15	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	81.0	38.0	29-63	47.1%	9-26	32.9%	13-21	63.0%	42	15	19	17	12	13	4
Stats Against (All Games)	55.5	24.7	19-50	39.0%	5-18	28.0%	12-17	66.8%	32	9	9	19	6	21	3
vs opponents averaging	68.9	32	24-55	44.4%	7-19	34.4%	14-20	68.5%	35	10	13	18	7	15	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	52.0	22.8	18-50	35.9%	5-18	28.4%	11-17	66.3%	32	9	8	19	6	21	2

Average power rating of opponents played: KENTUCKY 72.8, LOUISVILLE 73.8

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

KENTUCKY is 8-7 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997

KENTUCKY is 10-6 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997

12 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons

KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons

3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at LOUISVILLE since 1997

KENTUCKY is 4-3 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997

KENTUCKY is 4-3 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997

5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons.

KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons

KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
3/31/2012	LOUISVILLE	61	135.5		28	24-69	34.8%	4-11	36.4%	9-13	69.2%	40	16	12
N	KENTUCKY	69	-8	SU Under	35	28-49	57.1%	2-7	28.6%	11-20	55.0%	33	5	14
12/31/2011	LOUISVILLE	62	138.5	ATS	33	20-62	32.3%	4-18	22.2%	18-27	66.7%	31	8	14
	KENTUCKY	69	-10	SU Under	36	17-57	29.8%	3-16	18.7%	32-43	74.4%	57	14	21
12/31/2010	KENTUCKY	78	144	SU ATS	35	29-57	50.9%	6-16	37.5%	14-16	87.5%	36	13	13
	LOUISVILLE	63	-3	Under	24	25-54	46.3%	8-20	40.0%	5-11	45.5%	25	7	13

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (203-192)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (203-194)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-32)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 49% of the time since 1997. (170-177)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.5% of the time since 1997. (135-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-32)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

KENTUCKY

[G] 12/28/2012 - Jon Hood "?" Saturday vs. Louisville ( Respiratory )

LOUISVILLE

[C] 12/28/2012 - Gorgui Dieng is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Kentucky ( Wrist )

[F] 12/07/2012 - Angel Nunez out indefinitely ( Concussion )

[C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility )

[G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee )

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4	Golden State Warriors
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