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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 3-5 | 37-41 | 253-234 | 3-4 | 29-46 | 189-210 | 8-3 | 75-14 | 412-127 | in all lined games | 3-5 | 37-41 | 253-234 | 3-4 | 29-46 | 189-210 | 5-3 | 66-14 | 372-126 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 2-3 | 15-22 | 95-77 | 3-2 | 11-26 | 85-88 | 3-2 | 32-7 | 134-42 | as an underdog | 0-2 | 3-2 | 41-37 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 34-39 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 29-50 | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-6 | in road games | 0-1 | 9-12 | 87-71 | 0-1 | 6-14 | 59-73 | 0-1 | 12-9 | 97-63 | in road lined games | 0-1 | 9-12 | 87-71 | 0-1 | 6-14 | 59-73 | 0-1 | 12-9 | 97-63 | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 19-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 17-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 21-10 | against Big East conference opponents | 0-1 | 3-5 | 18-13 | 0-1 | 1-7 | 12-19 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 21-12 | in December games | 3-1 | 7-9 | 52-43 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 40-43 | 4-1 | 17-3 | 86-24 | on Saturday games | 2-1 | 13-18 | 101-93 | 0-3 | 17-15 | 79-82 | 3-1 | 28-7 | 151-55 | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 1-1 | 4-7 | 40-26 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 26-34 | 2-1 | 13-3 | 60-14 | after a non-conference game | 3-5 | 20-21 | 108-108 | 3-4 | 16-22 | 84-94 | 8-3 | 43-8 | 201-60 | in non-conference games | 3-5 | 20-21 | 111-105 | 3-4 | 15-23 | 88-95 | 8-3 | 44-7 | 203-59 | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-1 | 16-15 | 80-79 | 0-2 | 8-19 | 64-71 | 4-0 | 31-4 | 139-40 | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-2 | 12-14 | 72-91 | 0-3 | 11-14 | 59-66 | 4-1 | 26-5 | 136-45 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-4 | 29-33 | 205-195 | 1-3 | 22-38 | 155-183 | 2-3 | 51-14 | 299-119 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-1 | 12-13 | 66-69 | 0-1 | 7-18 | 60-61 | 0-1 | 24-5 | 108-39 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-2 | 8-8 | 76-77 | 0-1 | 4-11 | 53-76 | 2-1 | 12-5 | 104-59 |
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in all games | 7-5 | 48-30 | 246-229 | 4-2 | 32-42 | 156-192 | 11-1 | 66-21 | 348-169 | in all lined games | 7-5 | 48-30 | 246-229 | 4-2 | 32-42 | 156-192 | 11-1 | 60-21 | 314-168 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-1 | 22-14 | 74-64 | 4-0 | 20-18 | 72-70 | 3-1 | 23-15 | 86-56 | as a favorite | 7-5 | 36-24 | 181-171 | 4-2 | 22-33 | 120-142 | 11-1 | 52-10 | 273-84 | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 23-8 | in all home games | 3-3 | 22-17 | 117-116 | 0-0 | 14-20 | 77-87 | 6-0 | 41-6 | 218-52 | in home lined games | 3-3 | 22-17 | 117-116 | 0-0 | 14-20 | 77-87 | 6-0 | 35-6 | 187-51 | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 14-3 | against SEC opponents | 1-0 | 3-2 | 16-18 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 9-19 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 20-15 | in December games | 4-2 | 9-8 | 47-55 | 2-1 | 8-8 | 28-43 | 6-0 | 19-4 | 99-29 | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 18-10 | 86-92 | 3-0 | 15-13 | 60-73 | 4-1 | 25-8 | 127-67 | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 1-1 | 3-1 | 22-24 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 17-19 | 2-0 | 5-1 | 30-19 | after a non-conference game | 7-5 | 22-13 | 99-99 | 4-2 | 14-17 | 59-75 | 11-1 | 39-5 | 170-64 | in non-conference games | 7-5 | 22-13 | 96-100 | 4-2 | 13-18 | 62-80 | 11-1 | 38-6 | 170-65 | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-2 | 27-11 | 91-74 | 3-1 | 22-14 | 71-71 | 7-0 | 36-7 | 116-58 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-3 | 31-25 | 176-184 | 4-2 | 22-35 | 127-152 | 6-1 | 38-21 | 216-154 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-2 | 18-12 | 80-90 | 3-2 | 9-22 | 55-74 | 4-1 | 17-14 | 91-84 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-3 | 5-8 | 62-67 | 2-1 | 5-9 | 38-62 | 3-1 | 8-7 | 76-57 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 8-3 | -3.5 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 78.5 | 38.9 | 49.0% | 38.8 | 61.1 | 30.1 | 37.7% | 34.5 | Road Games | 1-2 | -1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 63.3 | 35.0 | 44.2% | 31.7 | 69.3 | 35.0 | 41.2% | 39.3 | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -2.5 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 77.4 | 37.0 | 44.5% | 44.6 | 54.0 | 24.2 | 34.2% | 35.2 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 78.5 | 38.9 | 29-59 | 49.0% | 6-16 | 35.6% | 15-23 | 64.7% | 39 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 8 | vs opponents surrendering | 68.3 | 31.9 | 24-58 | 42.1% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-20 | 68.5% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.3 | 35.0 | 23-51 | 44.2% | 5-12 | 37.8% | 13-21 | 63.5% | 32 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 6 | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.1 | 30.1 | 22-58 | 37.7% | 5-17 | 32.4% | 12-17 | 67.5% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 71.4 | 33.3 | 25-56 | 45.3% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 14-21 | 67.3% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.3 | 35.0 | 25-61 | 41.2% | 6-17 | 36.5% | 13-18 | 70.9% | 39 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
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All Games | 11-1 | +3.8 | 7-5 | 4-2 | 78.1 | 35.4 | 45.5% | 38.8 | 55.5 | 24.7 | 39.0% | 32.3 | Home Games | 6-0 | +1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 81.0 | 38.0 | 47.1% | 41.8 | 52.0 | 22.8 | 35.9% | 32.2 | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +2 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 84.6 | 39.6 | 49.0% | 37.6 | 54.6 | 25.6 | 37.2% | 33.8 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 78.1 | 35.4 | 28-61 | 45.5% | 7-21 | 33.1% | 15-22 | 69.8% | 39 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 3 | vs opponents surrendering | 66.6 | 31.1 | 24-55 | 42.5% | 6-19 | 34.2% | 13-19 | 69.1% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 81.0 | 38.0 | 29-63 | 47.1% | 9-26 | 32.9% | 13-21 | 63.0% | 42 | 15 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 55.5 | 24.7 | 19-50 | 39.0% | 5-18 | 28.0% | 12-17 | 66.8% | 32 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32 | 24-55 | 44.4% | 7-19 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 52.0 | 22.8 | 18-50 | 35.9% | 5-18 | 28.4% | 11-17 | 66.3% | 32 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 2 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: KENTUCKY 72.8, LOUISVILLE 73.8 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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KENTUCKY is 8-7 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997 | KENTUCKY is 10-6 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997 | 12 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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KENTUCKY is 4-3 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997 | KENTUCKY is 4-3 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997 | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/31/2012 | LOUISVILLE | 61 | 135.5 | | 28 | 24-69 | 34.8% | 4-11 | 36.4% | 9-13 | 69.2% | 40 | 16 | 12 | N | KENTUCKY | 69 | -8 | SU Under | 35 | 28-49 | 57.1% | 2-7 | 28.6% | 11-20 | 55.0% | 33 | 5 | 14 | 12/31/2011 | LOUISVILLE | 62 | 138.5 | ATS | 33 | 20-62 | 32.3% | 4-18 | 22.2% | 18-27 | 66.7% | 31 | 8 | 14 | | KENTUCKY | 69 | -10 | SU Under | 36 | 17-57 | 29.8% | 3-16 | 18.7% | 32-43 | 74.4% | 57 | 14 | 21 | 12/31/2010 | KENTUCKY | 78 | 144 | SU ATS | 35 | 29-57 | 50.9% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 14-16 | 87.5% | 36 | 13 | 13 | | LOUISVILLE | 63 | -3 | Under | 24 | 25-54 | 46.3% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 5-11 | 45.5% | 25 | 7 | 13 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (203-192) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-35) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (203-194) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-32) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 49% of the time since 1997. (170-177) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.5% of the time since 1997. (135-162) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-32) | |
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[G] 12/28/2012 - Jon Hood "?" Saturday vs. Louisville ( Respiratory ) | |
[C] 12/28/2012 - Gorgui Dieng is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Kentucky ( Wrist ) | [F] 12/07/2012 - Angel Nunez out indefinitely ( Concussion ) | [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) |
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