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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| E ILLINOIS | | | | TENNESSEE ST | -16 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 2-6 | 20-32 | 136-166 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 3-10 | 24-47 | 192-257 | | in all lined games | 2-6 | 20-32 | 136-166 | 0-0 | 16-27 | 86-100 | 1-7 | 14-40 | 108-203 | | as an underdog | 2-6 | 16-19 | 93-111 | 0-0 | 8-17 | 57-74 | 1-7 | 7-29 | 41-167 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 2-0 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7-21 | | in road games | 1-3 | 15-13 | 84-80 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 43-57 | 0-5 | 9-26 | 59-166 | | in road lined games | 1-3 | 15-13 | 84-80 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 43-57 | 0-4 | 8-22 | 40-128 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 11-22 | 101-111 | 0-0 | 12-22 | 68-74 | 0-0 | 9-25 | 120-157 | | in December games | 0-4 | 3-9 | 26-39 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 18-17 | 0-5 | 5-13 | 43-66 | | on Saturday games | 0-2 | 5-13 | 51-73 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 37-42 | 2-3 | 9-19 | 78-109 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 18-21 | | after a non-conference game | 2-5 | 10-11 | 42-57 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 23-25 | 3-9 | 15-21 | 77-95 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-5 | 12-15 | 45-56 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 31-47 | 2-6 | 11-20 | 42-80 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 3-8 | 13-30 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17-15 | 0-1 | 2-10 | 11-36 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-3 | 5-12 | 36-35 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 19-30 | 1-3 | 5-14 | 31-53 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-1 | 8-12 | 58-76 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 42-49 | 1-3 | 13-15 | 108-92 |
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| in all games | 4-5 | 32-29 | 164-157 | 0-0 | 27-24 | 106-103 | 6-7 | 41-35 | 178-280 | | in all lined games | 4-5 | 32-29 | 164-157 | 0-0 | 27-24 | 106-103 | 2-7 | 30-33 | 120-207 | | as a favorite | 1-1 | 12-12 | 44-51 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 39-35 | 1-1 | 21-3 | 71-25 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 11-1 | | in all home games | 1-0 | 10-11 | 50-69 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 37-45 | 4-0 | 26-4 | 112-78 | | in home lined games | 1-0 | 10-11 | 50-69 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 37-45 | 1-0 | 18-3 | 68-52 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 18-18 | 108-115 | 0-0 | 20-17 | 77-76 | 0-0 | 22-15 | 123-162 | | in December games | 1-2 | 7-4 | 37-27 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 23-16 | 4-2 | 14-7 | 34-76 | | on Saturday games | 0-1 | 9-11 | 61-55 | 0-0 | 11-8 | 43-35 | 1-1 | 15-7 | 67-87 | | when playing with 7 or more days rest | 0-0 | 2-1 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 9-19 | | after a non-conference game | 4-5 | 15-11 | 62-49 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 34-29 | 6-7 | 19-19 | 58-113 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-1 | 14-13 | 60-61 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 44-43 | 3-3 | 22-11 | 92-90 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-1 | 7-8 | 32-31 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 24-24 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 21-51 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 9-5 | 25-26 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 29-16 | 1-1 | 12-4 | 41-26 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 3-10 | -3.2 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 56.1 | 25.3 | 41.5% | 28.2 | 63.2 | 29.4 | 47.2% | 30.9 | | Road Games | 2-5 | -0.2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 55.6 | 26.0 | 41.3% | 28.0 | 66.4 | 32.3 | 47.5% | 30.4 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -2 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 51.4 | 23.6 | 39.4% | 25.6 | 67.2 | 29.8 | 52.4% | 28.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 56.1 | 25.3 | 21-50 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 9-14 | 59.6% | 28 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.4 | 30.1 | 23-54 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 68.1% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 55.6 | 26.0 | 21-50 | 41.3% | 7-19 | 36.6% | 7-12 | 61.4% | 28 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.2 | 29.4 | 21-45 | 47.2% | 7-18 | 37.0% | 14-20 | 70.6% | 31 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.9 | 31.1 | 24-55 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 13-20 | 67.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.4 | 32.3 | 22-46 | 47.5% | 8-19 | 39.7% | 15-20 | 76.4% | 30 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 5 |
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| All Games | 6-7 | -4.3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 65.8 | 29.1 | 40.1% | 36.8 | 66.7 | 30.7 | 42.0% | 35.6 | | Home Games | 4-0 | +1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 78.5 | 33.0 | 51.0% | 36.7 | 55.5 | 25.0 | 34.7% | 34.7 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 61.6 | 26.6 | 39.5% | 32.6 | 62.8 | 29.2 | 40.5% | 40.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.8 | 29.1 | 23-57 | 40.1% | 6-19 | 28.8% | 14-21 | 70.0% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70 | 32.2 | 25-55 | 44.7% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-20 | 70.6% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 78.5 | 33.0 | 26-52 | 51.0% | 7-17 | 38.6% | 19-25 | 75.8% | 37 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.7 | 30.7 | 23-56 | 42.0% | 5-18 | 30.2% | 15-22 | 67.5% | 36 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.2 | 31.2 | 24-58 | 40.8% | 5-18 | 30.2% | 13-20 | 68.5% | 35 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 55.5 | 25.0 | 21-61 | 34.7% | 4-19 | 22.4% | 9-15 | 59.3% | 35 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: E ILLINOIS 64.8, TENNESSEE ST 70.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TENNESSEE ST is 14-9 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS since 1997 | | TENNESSEE ST is 15-15 straight up against E ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TENNESSEE ST is 2-1 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | TENNESSEE ST is 2-1 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| E ILLINOIS is 6-5 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST since 1997 | | TENNESSEE ST is 9-5 straight up against E ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| E ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons | | TENNESSEE ST is 1-0 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/19/2012 | TENNESSEE ST | 55 | 137.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 22-49 | 44.9% | 2-12 | 16.7% | 9-12 | 75.0% | 35 | 8 | 12 | | | E ILLINOIS | 46 | -1.5 | Under | 23 | 20-55 | 36.4% | 3-21 | 14.3% | 3-3 | 100.0% | 30 | 7 | 10 | 2/26/2011 | E ILLINOIS | 62 | 127.5 | ATS | 35 | 25-62 | 40.3% | 6-23 | 26.1% | 6-11 | 54.5% | 39 | 9 | 13 | | | TENNESSEE ST | 66 | -7.5 | SU Over | 32 | 17-53 | 32.1% | 9-25 | 36.0% | 23-31 | 74.2% | 39 | 9 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (113-114) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E ILLINOIS games 51.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-20) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE ST games 46.7% of the time since 1997. (127-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE ST games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-25) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 11/02/2012 - Jonathan Miller out indefinitely ( Eligibility ) | |
| [F] 12/28/2012 - Robert Covington missed last game, "?" Saturday vs. Eastern Illinois ( Knee ) |
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