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Matchup Reports

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NORTHWESTERN (9-6) AT PENN ST (8-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
519: NORTHWESTERN
520: PENN ST
122.5
-2.0
66.5 / 62.3
63.4 / 66.1
9-6
8-6
6-6
4-5
6-1
3-4
42.5
40.6
66.5
68.7
37.8
29.3
41.7
41.3
62.7
71.0
36.3
35.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
PENN ST-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-634-33194-2006-139-24133-1159-648-34217-253
in all lined games6-634-33194-2006-139-24133-1156-634-34148-249
when the total is 120 to 129.51-23-647-553-09-156-460-34-638-66
as an underdog3-216-17130-1384-119-1478-792-38-2557-213
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-04-36-100-04-37-70-04-36-10
in road games1-112-1481-841-117-1055-491-110-1836-133
in road lined games1-112-1481-841-117-1055-491-19-1833-133
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-01-119-240-03-024-200-02-111-33
against conference opponents0-219-21132-1381-122-1993-830-216-2581-192
in January games0-28-1052-641-18-1038-310-26-1339-87
after a conference game0-119-19126-1300-120-1986-790-119-2196-176
off a loss against a conference rival0-111-1288-850-111-1356-520-113-1167-114
after scoring 60 points or less2-15-886-862-09-449-472-19-692-110
when playing against a team with a winning record4-526-30134-1386-131-2393-894-626-3490-198
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-13-220-210-01-217-122-19-244-17

PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-530-32203-1983-430-32119-1308-639-41220-261
in all lined games4-530-32203-1983-430-32119-1304-628-39157-255
when the total is 120 to 129.52-314-1642-453-219-1344-451-412-2035-54
as a favorite3-113-769-501-17-931-334-117-489-33
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-14-319-161-03-415-110-14-321-15
in all home games3-217-1294-851-213-1452-587-230-14157-96
in home lined games3-217-1294-851-213-1452-583-219-1295-92
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-17-724-211-110-624-231-17-923-24
against conference opponents1-122-19132-1390-220-2383-940-216-2784-193
in January games1-110-857-580-27-1235-380-26-1336-84
after a conference game0-120-18128-1350-121-2081-941-117-2691-185
off a loss against a conference rival0-110-1384-920-113-1255-620-18-1756-126
after scoring 60 points or less0-49-1455-653-114-1244-413-412-1851-90
when playing against a team with a winning record2-323-25138-1501-324-2697-944-423-33107-207
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-09-750-610-012-646-400-04-1429-87
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-115-1387-950-317-1367-603-211-2165-133
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-6-5.86-66-166.530.942.5%33.662.327.141.7%35.9
Road Games3-1+63-12-163.024.040.1%33.059.722.240.3%37.0
Last 5 Games2-3-22-32-164.428.042.8%26.868.632.045.9%38.8
Conference Games0-2-10-21-158.522.039.6%22.581.534.054.3%44.0
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.530.923-5442.5%8-2237.8%12-1966.5%34817166114
vs opponents surrendering66.331.124-5742.5%6-1833.0%12-1868.4%34913177143
Team Stats (Road Games)63.024.021-5240.1%7-2034.1%14-1976.3%33813187131
Stats Against (All Games)62.327.122-5341.7%6-1736.3%12-1862.7%361013186134
vs opponents averaging68.832.125-5643.6%7-1933.8%13-1968.5%361014177144
Stats Against (Road Games)59.722.221-5140.3%5-1633.8%13-2257.3%371211196145

PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-6-0.24-53-463.429.140.6%37.266.127.741.3%31.6
Home Games7-2+1.83-21-267.731.041.5%38.663.826.439.0%30.8
Last 5 Games3-2+23-10-367.632.042.8%40.265.828.837.6%32.2
Conference Games0-201-10-251.022.538.4%36.567.036.544.4%32.5
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.429.122-5440.6%5-1829.3%14-2168.7%371010225133
vs opponents surrendering65.930.824-5741.5%6-1832.7%13-1869.6%341012186133
Team Stats (Home Games)67.731.022-5441.5%6-1931.4%17-2470.0%391011225134
Stats Against (All Games)66.127.721-5041.3%8-2135.7%17-2471.0%32611206123
vs opponents averaging70.633.425-5644.4%7-2034.2%14-2169.0%361014176134
Stats Against (Home Games)63.826.419-5039.0%7-2332.8%17-2473.0%31511226143
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 71.9,  PENN ST 71.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
PENN ST is 19-9 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
PENN ST is 17-12 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PENN ST since 1997
PENN ST is 8-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
PENN ST is 10-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at PENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/25/2012NORTHWESTERN67-1SU3422-5044.0%15-2951.7%8-1266.7%22410
 PENN ST66127.5 Over2829-5750.9%3-1421.4%5-955.6%371212
1/1/2012PENN ST56130 Under2618-5334.0%6-1931.6%14-2360.9%361515
 NORTHWESTERN68-8SU ATS2322-4055.0%9-2142.9%15-2560.0%27312
2/24/2011PENN ST66132SU ATS2626-4656.5%4-1428.6%10-1283.3%31612
 NORTHWESTERN52-4 Under2320-5238.5%6-2425.0%6-966.7%23611
2/13/2011NORTHWESTERN41131.5 Under1518-5234.6%2-219.5%3-560.0%2149
 PENN ST65-2SU ATS2421-4348.8%5-1435.7%18-2378.3%3339
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PENN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (167-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (163-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 43.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-30)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (107-110)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 55% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 46.9% of the time since 1997. (100-113)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-29)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
PENN ST
[G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles )
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