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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST | | | | ARKANSAS | -12 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 5-7 | 29-40 | 221-197 | 2-2 | 33-27 | 143-137 | 7-9 | 45-35 | 316-190 | | in all lined games | 5-7 | 29-40 | 221-197 | 2-2 | 33-27 | 143-137 | 4-8 | 38-33 | 251-181 | | as an underdog | 3-5 | 16-14 | 91-76 | 2-2 | 13-14 | 51-63 | 1-7 | 10-21 | 55-118 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2-12 | | as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-5 | | in road games | 3-1 | 9-12 | 82-69 | 1-0 | 13-6 | 48-48 | 1-3 | 8-14 | 70-93 | | in road lined games | 3-1 | 9-12 | 82-69 | 1-0 | 13-6 | 48-48 | 1-3 | 8-14 | 65-92 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 15-21 | 142-122 | 0-0 | 18-16 | 87-84 | 2-2 | 19-19 | 144-129 | | in January games | 1-3 | 6-10 | 58-52 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 29-35 | 3-2 | 10-8 | 61-56 | | on Wednesday games | 0-3 | 3-11 | 57-48 | 0-1 | 8-4 | 36-22 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 65-52 | | after a conference game | 1-2 | 15-20 | 135-125 | 0-0 | 18-15 | 90-84 | 1-2 | 19-18 | 144-128 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 7-8 | 64-56 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 33-38 | 0-1 | 9-8 | 69-55 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 4-2 | 10-8 | 36-37 | 2-0 | 9-5 | 27-22 | 5-4 | 12-10 | 47-37 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-5 | 19-23 | 173-146 | 2-1 | 20-18 | 109-109 | 1-6 | 21-25 | 191-159 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 12-11 | 110-95 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 76-69 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 102-109 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 2-1 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15-23 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 22-45 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-1 | 5-4 | 61-48 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 30-34 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 56-64 |
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| in all games | 3-6 | 21-36 | 174-213 | 2-3 | 24-27 | 127-125 | 11-6 | 47-33 | 280-211 | | in all lined games | 3-6 | 21-36 | 174-213 | 2-3 | 24-27 | 127-125 | 3-6 | 24-33 | 193-204 | | as a favorite | 1-3 | 9-16 | 94-104 | 1-1 | 12-10 | 64-64 | 3-1 | 17-8 | 142-61 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 34-0 | | as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-0 | | in all home games | 1-3 | 14-13 | 94-85 | 2-1 | 16-10 | 56-60 | 11-1 | 43-7 | 210-61 | | in home lined games | 1-3 | 14-13 | 94-85 | 2-1 | 16-10 | 56-60 | 3-1 | 20-7 | 125-58 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 14-24 | 118-148 | 0-2 | 18-18 | 91-83 | 2-2 | 15-23 | 121-151 | | in January games | 1-3 | 9-11 | 57-61 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 33-37 | 3-2 | 13-9 | 62-62 | | on Wednesday games | 0-2 | 5-11 | 50-57 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 27-35 | 1-1 | 13-9 | 68-60 | | after a conference game | 1-2 | 13-21 | 117-142 | 0-1 | 17-15 | 91-80 | 3-1 | 17-21 | 124-147 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 10-10 | 65-74 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 46-41 | 1-0 | 10-10 | 63-79 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-0 | 3-4 | 21-27 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13-16 | 6-0 | 22-0 | 80-15 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 19-10 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 6-7 | 40-37 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 32-47 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-4 | 11-14 | 66-67 | 2-3 | 7-14 | 37-45 | 2-5 | 12-16 | 73-80 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 3-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 8-2 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 4-2 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 6-6 | 4-0 | 14-0 | 36-2 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-9 | -1.7 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 61.6 | 28.3 | 40.8% | 35.6 | 63.9 | 31.1 | 40.9% | 36.4 | | Road Games | 2-7 | -3.7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 60.1 | 25.1 | 38.5% | 35.4 | 71.8 | 37.4 | 43.8% | 38.6 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1.5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 65.0 | 31.2 | 43.6% | 32.2 | 61.6 | 28.8 | 41.4% | 36.2 | | Conference Games | 2-2 | +1.5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 57.0 | 28.2 | 39.7% | 30.2 | 65.5 | 32.0 | 43.2% | 38.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.6 | 28.3 | 21-53 | 40.8% | 4-15 | 27.7% | 14-21 | 66.9% | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.5 | 30.6 | 24-56 | 42.1% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 14-20 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.1 | 25.1 | 21-53 | 38.5% | 4-16 | 26.8% | 15-22 | 66.8% | 35 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.9 | 31.1 | 24-59 | 40.9% | 7-20 | 35.1% | 9-14 | 62.3% | 36 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.6 | 30.9 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-20 | 67.3% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.8 | 37.4 | 27-61 | 43.8% | 8-21 | 38.2% | 10-15 | 65.5% | 39 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
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| All Games | 11-6 | -4 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 78.6 | 38.6 | 45.7% | 36.8 | 68.9 | 31.1 | 41.8% | 37.8 | | Home Games | 11-1 | +2 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 84.7 | 41.1 | 47.4% | 38.7 | 65.5 | 29.3 | 40.7% | 35.2 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 69.0 | 29.6 | 45.4% | 33.6 | 61.8 | 23.8 | 39.0% | 38.2 | | Conference Games | 2-2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 64.7 | 26.2 | 42.4% | 34.2 | 64.5 | 25.2 | 39.1% | 41.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.6 | 38.6 | 29-64 | 45.7% | 6-19 | 31.3% | 15-21 | 68.1% | 37 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30.9 | 23-56 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 31.9% | 13-19 | 67.5% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 84.7 | 41.1 | 31-65 | 47.4% | 6-20 | 31.2% | 17-24 | 70.7% | 39 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.9 | 31.1 | 24-57 | 41.8% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 15-23 | 64.7% | 38 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.5 | 32.5 | 25-58 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 33.2% | 13-20 | 66.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.5 | 29.3 | 23-56 | 40.7% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-21 | 63.1% | 35 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MISSISSIPPI ST 69.6, ARKANSAS 70.6 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARKANSAS is 16-15 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | ARKANSAS is 16-16 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | 11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 3-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons | | MISSISSIPPI ST is 3-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARKANSAS is 10-5 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | ARKANSAS is 11-4 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | 6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/3/2012 | ARKANSAS | 59 | 145.5 | Under | 23 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 5-7 | 71.4% | 27 | 8 | 10 | | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 79 | -9.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 29-56 | 51.8% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 36 | 10 | 6 | 1/7/2012 | MISSISSIPPI ST | 88 | 145 | Over | 37 | 27-52 | 51.9% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 25-31 | 80.6% | 32 | 8 | 18 | | | ARKANSAS | 98 | 0 | SU ATS | 43 | 35-62 | 56.5% | 6-15 | 40.0% | 22-28 | 78.6% | 28 | 7 | 9 | 3/2/2011 | MISSISSIPPI ST | 88 | 141 | SU ATS | 35 | 29-59 | 49.2% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 21-26 | 80.8% | 33 | 12 | 8 | | | ARKANSAS | 78 | -6.5 | Over | 39 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 15-20 | 75.0% | 30 | 9 | 12 | 2/9/2011 | ARKANSAS | 56 | 138.5 | Under | 28 | 20-60 | 33.3% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 28 | 9 | 13 | | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 67 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 33 | 22-47 | 46.8% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 16-18 | 88.9% | 41 | 7 | 21 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50% of the time since 1997. (167-167) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 57.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-26) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (153-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 55.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-21) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [C] 12/14/2012 - Wendell Lewis out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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