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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-7 | 38-36 | 217-217 | 7-6 | 39-31 | 174-160 | 16-4 | 55-33 | 300-212 | | in all lined games | 10-7 | 38-36 | 217-217 | 7-6 | 39-31 | 174-160 | 14-4 | 45-33 | 236-212 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6-13 | | as an underdog | 2-1 | 15-20 | 107-105 | 2-1 | 20-14 | 95-78 | 1-2 | 7-28 | 61-154 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 3-1 | 12-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11-11 | | in road games | 1-3 | 11-12 | 76-80 | 2-1 | 11-11 | 63-52 | 1-3 | 7-16 | 51-108 | | in road lined games | 1-3 | 11-12 | 76-80 | 2-1 | 11-11 | 63-52 | 1-3 | 7-16 | 51-108 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2-5 | | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 17-23 | 138-134 | 3-2 | 22-18 | 114-99 | 5-2 | 21-22 | 124-156 | | in January games | 4-3 | 9-13 | 55-65 | 3-2 | 11-10 | 54-38 | 5-2 | 14-10 | 64-66 | | on Tuesday nights | 1-2 | 2-6 | 19-30 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 13-21 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 35-26 | | after a conference game | 4-2 | 17-21 | 139-128 | 2-2 | 20-18 | 111-100 | 4-2 | 20-22 | 132-147 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-1 | 12-8 | 62-58 | 1-1 | 9-8 | 52-42 | 2-2 | 10-10 | 47-76 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-1 | 8-4 | 34-39 | 2-0 | 7-6 | 32-29 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 42-40 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 6-5 | 14-9 | 53-58 | 6-4 | 10-10 | 46-38 | 9-3 | 20-6 | 74-57 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-6 | 28-28 | 176-171 | 7-5 | 30-23 | 144-132 | 12-4 | 30-31 | 174-193 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-2 | 14-16 | 111-108 | 2-2 | 15-15 | 97-92 | 3-2 | 11-21 | 92-131 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 9-10 | 33-25 | 1-2 | 10-8 | 28-23 | 2-1 | 7-12 | 25-34 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-4 | 14-19 | 54-55 | 4-4 | 19-13 | 52-42 | 6-3 | 14-21 | 53-65 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 8-5 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 29-6 |
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| in all games | 11-5 | 42-26 | 186-208 | 1-2 | 17-36 | 132-147 | 14-5 | 52-30 | 259-218 | | in all lined games | 11-5 | 42-26 | 186-208 | 1-2 | 17-36 | 132-147 | 12-5 | 41-29 | 189-213 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 20-15 | 0-0 | 6-15 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 11-10 | 18-18 | | as a favorite | 10-3 | 24-15 | 87-94 | 1-1 | 10-18 | 59-53 | 11-3 | 31-10 | 133-52 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 2-2 | 19-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 22-8 | | in all home games | 9-1 | 23-11 | 99-91 | 0-1 | 6-18 | 66-62 | 12-1 | 36-10 | 188-69 | | in home lined games | 9-1 | 23-11 | 99-91 | 0-1 | 6-18 | 66-62 | 10-1 | 26-9 | 128-65 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 8-7 | | against conference opponents | 4-2 | 23-16 | 118-140 | 0-1 | 14-21 | 91-102 | 4-2 | 20-20 | 104-161 | | in January games | 4-2 | 13-8 | 63-60 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 44-35 | 4-2 | 13-9 | 62-66 | | on Tuesday nights | 1-1 | 5-3 | 23-30 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 12-21 | 1-1 | 11-2 | 42-25 | | after a conference game | 3-2 | 21-16 | 113-134 | 0-0 | 14-18 | 89-95 | 3-2 | 20-20 | 114-150 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-1 | 9-8 | 48-46 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 32-41 | 2-1 | 8-11 | 49-54 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 9-4 | 27-17 | 53-47 | 1-1 | 9-24 | 31-43 | 11-4 | 38-17 | 79-46 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-2 | 31-19 | 152-162 | 0-2 | 14-28 | 110-123 | 8-2 | 29-23 | 150-185 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-0 | 15-11 | 85-100 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 72-79 | 2-0 | 12-15 | 70-120 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 4-3 | 45-45 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 35-37 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 24-68 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-0 | 8-5 | 65-69 | 0-1 | 3-10 | 50-57 | 1-0 | 4-9 | 45-94 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 16-4 | -1.1 | 10-7 | 7-6 | 79.7 | 38.0 | 50.9% | 37.1 | 70.2 | 32.1 | 40.9% | 35.0 | | Road Games | 4-4 | -7.1 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 71.9 | 33.9 | 46.6% | 37.0 | 70.1 | 31.9 | 41.1% | 36.6 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -1.6 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 75.0 | 36.6 | 45.1% | 39.4 | 71.6 | 29.6 | 43.3% | 37.0 | | Conference Games | 5-2 | +0.4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 76.6 | 35.6 | 46.2% | 38.9 | 71.6 | 30.6 | 42.0% | 36.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 79.7 | 38.0 | 29-57 | 50.9% | 5-13 | 40.0% | 16-24 | 67.6% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.8 | 30.4 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 71.9 | 33.9 | 27-58 | 46.6% | 5-13 | 36.9% | 13-21 | 60.5% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.2 | 32.1 | 26-64 | 40.9% | 6-20 | 29.6% | 12-17 | 72.5% | 35 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.8 | 32.6 | 25-57 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.1 | 31.9 | 24-59 | 41.1% | 6-20 | 31.5% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 37 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
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| All Games | 14-5 | +6.1 | 11-5 | 1-2 | 62.8 | 29.1 | 45.9% | 32.8 | 51.1 | 22.9 | 36.8% | 29.2 | | Home Games | 12-1 | +5.5 | 9-1 | 0-1 | 64.9 | 30.9 | 48.1% | 33.6 | 47.5 | 22.1 | 33.8% | 29.2 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 58.2 | 26.6 | 45.3% | 29.2 | 51.8 | 23.8 | 41.4% | 26.0 | | Conference Games | 4-2 | +0.9 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 58.7 | 26.2 | 45.3% | 29.7 | 51.8 | 24.0 | 40.6% | 27.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 62.8 | 29.1 | 23-51 | 45.9% | 6-15 | 39.1% | 11-15 | 70.6% | 33 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.8 | 31.3 | 24-56 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-20 | 68.8% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 64.9 | 30.9 | 24-51 | 48.1% | 5-13 | 39.8% | 11-16 | 70.9% | 34 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 51.1 | 22.9 | 18-48 | 36.8% | 5-17 | 29.2% | 11-15 | 68.0% | 29 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.2 | 30.5 | 24-56 | 42.2% | 5-17 | 31.9% | 14-20 | 67.6% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 47.5 | 22.1 | 17-50 | 33.8% | 4-17 | 24.7% | 10-14 | 69.8% | 29 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 75.7, VIRGINIA 73.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| NC STATE is 16-12 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997 | | NC STATE is 16-13 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997 | | 11 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| VIRGINIA is 2-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | VIRGINIA is 2-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| VIRGINIA is 6-6 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997 | | VIRGINIA is 9-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997 | | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/9/2012 | NC STATE | 67 | 120.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 27-50 | 54.0% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 28 | 6 | 11 | | N | VIRGINIA | 64 | -3.5 | Over | 33 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 2-12 | 16.7% | 16-20 | 80.0% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 1/28/2012 | VIRGINIA | 61 | 123 | SU ATS | 38 | 19-43 | 44.2% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 25 | 4 | 11 | | | NC STATE | 60 | -1.5 | Under | 31 | 23-57 | 40.4% | 2-15 | 13.3% | 12-21 | 57.1% | 42 | 16 | 11 | 3/1/2011 | NC STATE | 58 | 124 | Over | 28 | 20-49 | 40.8% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 34 | 9 | 15 | | | VIRGINIA | 69 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 32 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 10-21 | 47.6% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 32 | 8 | 9 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (170-175) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (173-162) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-25) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (139-146) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (126-123) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-27) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 01/15/2013 - Darion Atkins out indefinitely ( Stress Fracture ) | | [G] 11/08/2012 - Malcolm Brogdon out for season ( Foot ) |
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