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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-5 | 38-31 | 213-216 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 7-10 | 30-55 | 229-251 | | in all lined games | 8-5 | 38-31 | 213-216 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 6-8 | 22-50 | 196-241 | | as an underdog | 4-4 | 28-24 | 108-135 | 0-0 | 22-20 | 71-83 | 1-8 | 9-46 | 47-201 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 1-2 | 17-16 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14-20 | | in road games | 5-3 | 18-15 | 96-111 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 2-8 | 8-32 | 61-163 | | in road lined games | 5-3 | 18-15 | 96-111 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 2-7 | 5-29 | 54-156 | | against conference opponents | 3-3 | 22-19 | 143-143 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 3-3 | 13-29 | 147-146 | | in January games | 3-3 | 10-10 | 59-72 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 31-33 | 3-3 | 7-15 | 63-70 | | on Wednesday games | 4-2 | 16-8 | 62-51 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 24-29 | 3-4 | 11-14 | 65-57 | | after a conference game | 2-3 | 22-18 | 141-139 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 79-72 | 2-3 | 13-29 | 145-147 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-2 | 6-6 | 78-64 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 37-32 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 83-64 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-0 | 14-13 | 87-74 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 44-50 | 4-2 | 17-18 | 124-64 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 9-8 | 58-41 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 32-33 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 72-31 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 8-6 | 24-24 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18-22 | 1-1 | 9-7 | 26-24 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-0 | 13-11 | 37-41 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 27-34 | 4-1 | 16-14 | 46-42 |
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| in all games | 7-8 | 31-35 | 197-216 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 8-10 | 42-38 | 237-231 | | in all lined games | 7-8 | 31-35 | 197-216 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 5-10 | 31-38 | 195-228 | | as a favorite | 1-3 | 16-19 | 92-104 | 0-0 | 12-19 | 33-51 | 2-2 | 24-14 | 137-67 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-2 | 0-5 | 15-21 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 18-20 | | in all home games | 1-6 | 10-16 | 82-101 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 40-53 | 5-5 | 26-13 | 149-77 | | in home lined games | 1-6 | 10-16 | 82-101 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 40-53 | 2-5 | 15-13 | 112-76 | | against conference opponents | 3-3 | 16-23 | 140-141 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 74-72 | 2-4 | 19-22 | 145-143 | | in January games | 3-3 | 9-10 | 66-61 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 27-36 | 3-4 | 14-10 | 76-59 | | on Wednesday games | 2-2 | 11-7 | 51-55 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 28-28 | 3-3 | 12-10 | 50-67 | | after a conference game | 2-3 | 17-22 | 138-137 | 0-0 | 18-15 | 75-69 | 2-4 | 18-23 | 147-140 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 7-10 | 69-69 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 36-29 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 75-69 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-0 | 2-1 | 37-39 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 46-41 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-2 | 20-14 | 89-87 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 43-54 | 4-3 | 31-13 | 125-76 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 10-10 | 58-53 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 30-31 | 1-1 | 12-8 | 69-43 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-10 | +2.5 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 67.9 | 30.0 | 42.5% | 33.5 | 69.6 | 30.8 | 42.6% | 35.8 | | Road Games | 3-8 | +0.5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 67.4 | 29.9 | 43.6% | 31.9 | 72.5 | 32.7 | 44.1% | 36.3 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 66.0 | 26.0 | 42.6% | 32.8 | 72.0 | 30.8 | 46.6% | 35.6 | | Conference Games | 3-3 | +2.5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 66.7 | 26.3 | 42.8% | 33.5 | 69.7 | 29.8 | 44.3% | 36.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.9 | 30.0 | 24-55 | 42.5% | 5-16 | 31.8% | 16-20 | 78.6% | 34 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.3 | 30.3 | 23-53 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-19 | 69.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 67.4 | 29.9 | 24-56 | 43.6% | 5-16 | 33.3% | 13-18 | 74.2% | 32 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.6 | 30.8 | 24-57 | 42.6% | 8-22 | 34.3% | 14-19 | 71.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67 | 31 | 23-55 | 43.0% | 7-19 | 34.3% | 13-19 | 70.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 72.5 | 32.7 | 25-56 | 44.1% | 7-22 | 34.2% | 16-22 | 71.2% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
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| All Games | 8-10 | -3.1 | 7-8 | 1-0 | 63.2 | 29.3 | 42.0% | 35.8 | 66.2 | 30.7 | 43.4% | 32.1 | | Home Games | 5-5 | -6.5 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 63.3 | 29.3 | 40.4% | 37.5 | 62.2 | 29.2 | 41.2% | 33.1 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -1.3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 62.6 | 30.0 | 41.9% | 37.6 | 66.2 | 32.4 | 43.4% | 30.4 | | Conference Games | 2-4 | +0.2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 62.2 | 30.5 | 44.1% | 36.2 | 64.8 | 31.7 | 44.5% | 28.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 63.2 | 29.3 | 22-52 | 42.0% | 5-17 | 31.9% | 14-22 | 64.1% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.2 | 31.6 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 69.0% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 63.3 | 29.3 | 21-52 | 40.4% | 5-17 | 31.2% | 15-24 | 63.8% | 37 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.2 | 30.7 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 33.0% | 14-19 | 73.7% | 32 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.4 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 35.2% | 14-19 | 70.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 62.2 | 29.2 | 21-51 | 41.2% | 7-19 | 36.9% | 13-17 | 72.4% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 69.2, BALL ST 69.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BALL ST is 18-11 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | BALL ST is 18-12 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| BALL ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | BALL ST is 3-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| BALL ST is 11-4 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | BALL ST is 12-3 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | BALL ST is 1-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/15/2012 | TOLEDO | 63 | 130.5 | SU ATS | 22 | 19-36 | 52.8% | 12-17 | 70.6% | 13-24 | 54.2% | 30 | 3 | 15 | | | BALL ST | 55 | -9 | Under | 21 | 20-65 | 30.8% | 9-30 | 30.0% | 6-13 | 46.2% | 46 | 24 | 13 | 1/10/2012 | BALL ST | 70 | -4.5 | SU Over | 33 | 23-46 | 50.0% | 10-19 | 52.6% | 14-22 | 63.6% | 31 | 5 | 17 | | | TOLEDO | 68 | 136 | ATS | 31 | 25-56 | 44.6% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 12-15 | 80.0% | 31 | 9 | 14 | 2/15/2011 | TOLEDO | 62 | 124 | Over | 32 | 22-42 | 52.4% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 13-22 | 59.1% | 24 | 8 | 24 | | | BALL ST | 83 | -14 | SU ATS | 40 | 26-57 | 45.6% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 24-32 | 75.0% | 38 | 22 | 16 | 1/22/2011 | BALL ST | 70 | -9 | SU ATS | 26 | 19-46 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 26-31 | 83.9% | 26 | 7 | 16 | | | TOLEDO | 60 | 122 | Over | 27 | 20-49 | 40.8% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 13-21 | 61.9% | 35 | 13 | 21 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (170-173) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 48.3% of the time since 1997. (161-172) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 41.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-31) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) | |
| [C] 01/11/2013 - Mading Thok out indefinitely ( Finger ) |
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