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Matchup Reports

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NORTHWESTERN (12-9) AT MICHIGAN (19-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
725: NORTHWESTERN
726: MICHIGAN
130.0
-18.0
64.2 / 61.5
78.5 / 59.2
12-9
19-1
10-8
12-6
7-6
10-9
41.6
51.0
65.7
70.7
35.9
40.8
41.3
40.4
63.2
64.2
33.4
31.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
MICHIGAN-21 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-838-35198-2027-640-29134-12012-951-37220-256
in all lined games10-838-35198-2027-640-29134-1209-937-37151-252
when the total is 130 to 139.55-321-1842-293-522-1741-304-420-1935-36
as an underdog7-320-18134-1395-520-1879-835-511-2760-215
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-10-232-300-11-115-150-10-21-61
as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points0-10-29-80-11-14-30-10-20-17
in road games3-214-1583-852-318-1256-513-212-1938-134
in road lined games3-214-1583-852-318-1256-513-211-1935-134
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.52-14-210-61-22-47-92-13-35-11
against conference opponents4-423-23136-1402-623-2494-883-519-2884-195
in January games4-412-1256-662-69-1539-363-59-1642-90
on Wednesday games1-07-660-620-16-739-311-05-959-78
after a conference game4-323-21130-1321-621-2487-843-422-2499-179
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-25-437-422-15-429-211-23-616-64
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more1-04-320-221-04-310-101-03-411-32
off a loss against a conference rival3-114-1291-851-312-1557-543-116-1170-114
after scoring 60 points or less5-28-989-873-310-750-505-212-795-111
when playing against a team with a winning record8-630-31138-1397-532-2794-937-829-3693-200
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-117-1782-740-413-2152-592-212-2240-121
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-28-1154-540-46-1339-461-33-1618-91
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-615-1883-853-515-1664-612-810-2448-126
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-04-016-150-10-45-100-10-45-27
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game3-16-430-333-15-519-162-24-819-50

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-651-28223-21610-942-36151-16719-164-25280-222
in all lined games12-651-28223-21610-942-36151-16718-155-25228-218
when the total is 130 to 139.55-417-1268-615-515-1554-769-119-1164-68
as a favorite11-527-17110-1009-825-1870-7417-040-5161-54
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points5-47-622-214-66-811-1910-014-045-0
as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points1-01-17-70-11-13-61-02-015-0
in all home games6-424-13113-975-619-1773-8012-041-6193-71
in home lined games6-424-13113-975-619-1773-8011-032-6145-69
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.53-15-526-162-25-515-274-010-029-13
against conference opponents4-230-16147-1323-424-2395-1146-130-17130-153
in January games4-213-1173-553-411-1439-546-114-1166-65
on Wednesday games1-18-346-441-14-725-292-07-454-45
after a conference game3-228-17144-1282-420-2688-1195-129-18134-148
off a win against a conference rival2-215-1363-631-411-1839-574-116-1358-71
after allowing 60 points or less6-319-1172-645-415-1454-598-124-995-61
when playing against a team with a winning record11-543-23175-1509-834-31122-12716-144-24166-179
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-223-13103-881-416-2171-894-121-1681-116
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-213-566-521-38-1146-553-110-946-73
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-225-10109-855-517-1874-799-122-1596-109
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-9-1.410-87-664.229.141.6%32.561.526.341.3%36.8
Road Games5-2+9.65-23-362.726.740.3%31.958.721.739.4%36.9
Last 5 Games2-3+3.43-20-556.222.837.5%29.260.625.642.1%39.4
Conference Games3-5+3.44-42-658.523.939.1%28.065.026.743.7%40.2
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.229.122-5241.6%8-2235.9%13-2065.7%33715166113
vs opponents surrendering64.830.223-5641.6%6-1833.0%12-1867.8%34912187143
Team Stats (Road Games)62.726.720-5040.3%7-2134.5%15-2172.5%32712187122
Stats Against (All Games)61.526.322-5341.3%6-1733.4%12-1963.2%371012196134
vs opponents averaging68.632.124-5643.4%6-1933.8%14-2068.5%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)58.721.720-5239.4%5-1728.8%13-2160.7%371210206144

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-1+7.212-610-978.537.651.0%37.059.227.940.4%29.2
Home Games12-0+16-45-681.139.550.8%38.856.326.639.1%29.2
Last 5 Games4-1+1.22-21-468.030.047.0%34.458.228.840.1%31.6
Conference Games6-1+2.24-23-475.635.350.6%36.360.629.940.8%29.9
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.537.629-5751.0%8-2040.8%12-1770.7%37916126103
vs opponents surrendering66.130.224-5542.7%6-1934.3%12-1867.7%351013176143
Team Stats (Home Games)81.139.531-6050.8%9-2241.9%11-1571.5%3910179583
Stats Against (All Games)59.227.923-5640.4%6-2131.2%7-1164.2%29812155123
vs opponents averaging67.631.824-5642.9%6-1833.0%13-2067.9%351013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)56.326.622-5739.1%6-2129.9%5-960.4%29811144123
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 72.8,  MICHIGAN 73.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN is 17-10 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 18-9 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 6-6 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 8-4 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/3/2013MICHIGAN94-9.5SU ATS5134-5759.6%13-2259.1%13-1968.4%41812
 NORTHWESTERN66128.5 Over3024-5940.7%10-2835.7%8-1747.1%25812
2/21/2012MICHIGAN67126.5SU ATS2421-5637.5%14-3836.8%11-1861.1%3597
 NORTHWESTERN55-2.5 Under3121-5141.2%3-1618.7%10-1471.4%391114
1/11/2012NORTHWESTERN64132.5 ATS3424-4850.0%6-1346.2%10-1566.7%32316
 MICHIGAN66-7SU Under2722-6633.3%7-3023.3%15-1693.7%36147
2/9/2011NORTHWESTERN66135.5 Over1926-5646.4%11-2544.0%3-742.9%25711
 MICHIGAN75-2SU ATS3427-5251.9%6-1540.0%15-2171.4%38913
1/18/2011MICHIGAN60132.5 Over3123-5839.7%6-2128.6%8-1553.3%38117
 NORTHWESTERN74-7SU ATS4427-5648.2%10-2441.7%10-1471.4%3575
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.8% of the time since 1997. (171-147)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-24)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (168-172)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-33)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (109-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.5% of the time since 1997. (122-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-33)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
MICHIGAN
[F] 01/29/2013 - Jordan Morgan is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs. Northwestern ( Ankle )
[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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