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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 11-8 | 45-35 | 226-220 | 3-0 | 32-30 | 145-132 | 12-7 | 54-34 | 324-182 | | in all lined games | 11-8 | 45-35 | 226-220 | 3-0 | 32-30 | 145-132 | 12-7 | 47-33 | 278-180 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 37-37 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 32-42 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 46-30 | | as an underdog | 3-2 | 21-14 | 76-78 | 0-0 | 16-14 | 64-45 | 1-4 | 13-22 | 48-110 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7-14 | | in road games | 3-1 | 16-13 | 84-87 | 0-0 | 13-11 | 57-44 | 1-3 | 10-19 | 73-103 | | in road lined games | 3-1 | 16-13 | 84-87 | 0-0 | 13-11 | 57-44 | 1-3 | 10-19 | 72-103 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 17-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12-22 | | against conference opponents | 3-2 | 24-19 | 134-133 | 1-0 | 17-21 | 89-84 | 2-3 | 22-21 | 160-118 | | in January games | 3-3 | 11-10 | 60-60 | 1-0 | 11-5 | 42-28 | 3-3 | 11-10 | 78-45 | | on Wednesday games | 3-3 | 11-13 | 64-59 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 37-36 | 2-4 | 13-13 | 89-46 | | after a conference game | 3-1 | 22-20 | 135-128 | 1-0 | 18-20 | 93-84 | 2-2 | 20-22 | 158-119 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 12-9 | 76-75 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 53-48 | 1-0 | 10-11 | 84-75 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-2 | 12-12 | 81-68 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 51-49 | 2-2 | 17-10 | 113-64 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-5 | 28-24 | 135-139 | 2-0 | 24-18 | 106-86 | 5-5 | 28-26 | 155-139 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 13-12 | 75-79 | 1-0 | 11-12 | 67-58 | 0-2 | 9-16 | 71-90 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 1-6 | 26-33 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 24-27 | 0-2 | 1-6 | 29-36 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-4 | 14-13 | 62-65 | 1-0 | 12-9 | 44-45 | 3-4 | 14-15 | 79-62 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 2-2 | 19-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13-14 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 28-10 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-2 | 7-5 | 40-34 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 23-28 | 3-1 | 12-2 | 70-19 |
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| in all games | 9-8 | 36-42 | 249-214 | 5-6 | 36-36 | 164-154 | 11-8 | 58-29 | 371-147 | | in all lined games | 9-8 | 36-42 | 249-214 | 5-6 | 36-36 | 164-154 | 9-8 | 53-29 | 334-145 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-3 | 9-11 | 27-32 | 4-2 | 14-5 | 34-25 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 35-25 | | as a favorite | 2-5 | 19-31 | 193-164 | 4-0 | 27-21 | 124-112 | 3-4 | 39-15 | 293-76 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5-4 | | in all home games | 4-3 | 14-19 | 109-90 | 2-1 | 16-13 | 74-54 | 7-2 | 34-6 | 214-26 | | in home lined games | 4-3 | 14-19 | 109-90 | 2-1 | 16-13 | 74-54 | 5-2 | 29-6 | 181-25 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 9-14 | 2-0 | 8-1 | 15-9 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 16-8 | | against conference opponents | 5-2 | 21-19 | 151-119 | 1-3 | 20-19 | 97-92 | 5-2 | 32-11 | 208-74 | | in January games | 4-3 | 12-9 | 72-55 | 1-2 | 11-8 | 50-34 | 4-3 | 16-7 | 94-37 | | on Wednesday games | 1-3 | 9-10 | 51-40 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 33-29 | 1-3 | 11-8 | 72-26 | | after a conference game | 3-2 | 19-19 | 148-117 | 1-2 | 20-18 | 99-92 | 4-2 | 30-12 | 206-75 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 1-6 | 38-28 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 26-22 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 57-15 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-5 | 12-13 | 86-76 | 3-3 | 12-10 | 55-52 | 3-6 | 13-13 | 115-56 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-3 | 6-9 | 30-31 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 20-20 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 43-22 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-5 | 23-28 | 158-125 | 0-4 | 21-26 | 112-108 | 4-5 | 35-21 | 198-108 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 14-14 | 94-64 | 0-1 | 16-11 | 79-61 | 1-2 | 19-11 | 112-58 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 12-7 | -6.2 | 11-8 | 3-0 | 72.9 | 33.8 | 46.1% | 35.9 | 64.5 | 28.5 | 41.8% | 30.1 | | Road Games | 3-4 | +1 | 5-2 | 1-0 | 70.1 | 31.7 | 44.9% | 35.7 | 69.4 | 29.3 | 42.6% | 29.1 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -3.1 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 74.6 | 34.8 | 46.9% | 38.6 | 66.4 | 30.6 | 43.3% | 26.6 | | Conference Games | 2-3 | -3.1 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 74.6 | 34.8 | 46.9% | 38.6 | 66.4 | 30.6 | 43.3% | 26.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.9 | 33.8 | 25-55 | 46.1% | 7-17 | 38.5% | 15-22 | 70.0% | 36 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.4 | 30.9 | 23-55 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 70.1 | 31.7 | 24-53 | 44.9% | 6-17 | 36.8% | 16-22 | 74.5% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 7 | 18 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.5 | 28.5 | 22-52 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 15-20 | 74.2% | 30 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 31.9 | 24-56 | 43.3% | 6-19 | 33.8% | 14-20 | 68.0% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.4 | 29.3 | 23-55 | 42.6% | 5-17 | 31.4% | 17-22 | 77.7% | 29 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
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| All Games | 11-8 | -9.6 | 9-8 | 5-6 | 63.9 | 31.1 | 46.0% | 34.7 | 60.7 | 26.9 | 40.5% | 30.5 | | Home Games | 7-2 | -6.5 | 4-3 | 2-1 | 68.8 | 36.0 | 51.7% | 33.8 | 58.8 | 26.0 | 38.2% | 28.7 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1.2 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 62.6 | 30.8 | 45.0% | 36.8 | 61.0 | 26.4 | 42.7% | 29.4 | | Conference Games | 5-2 | +4.2 | 5-2 | 1-3 | 61.7 | 31.3 | 45.1% | 36.4 | 57.7 | 26.7 | 40.4% | 29.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 63.9 | 31.1 | 24-52 | 46.0% | 5-14 | 33.6% | 12-18 | 65.0% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.3 | 30.2 | 23-55 | 42.5% | 6-17 | 33.2% | 13-19 | 69.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 68.8 | 36.0 | 25-49 | 51.7% | 6-15 | 39.8% | 12-20 | 62.5% | 34 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 60.7 | 26.9 | 22-54 | 40.5% | 6-20 | 31.1% | 11-17 | 66.7% | 31 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 34.5% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.8 | 26.0 | 21-55 | 38.2% | 6-20 | 30.4% | 10-15 | 69.4% | 29 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: DAYTON 71.7, XAVIER 74.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| DAYTON is 20-16 against the spread versus XAVIER since 1997 | | XAVIER is 26-11 straight up against DAYTON since 1997 | | 17 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| DAYTON is 5-1 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons | | XAVIER is 4-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| XAVIER is 8-7 against the spread versus DAYTON since 1997 | | XAVIER is 15-0 straight up against DAYTON since 1997 | | 9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| DAYTON is 2-0 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons | | XAVIER is 2-0 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/9/2012 | DAYTON | 69 | 142.5 | ATS | 38 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 8-26 | 30.8% | 19-22 | 86.4% | 33 | 6 | 8 | | N | XAVIER | 70 | -2.5 | SU Under | 28 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 18-29 | 62.1% | 32 | 7 | 8 | 2/18/2012 | DAYTON | 83 | 143 | ATS | 37 | 26-65 | 40.0% | 10-31 | 32.3% | 21-26 | 80.8% | 40 | 14 | 17 | | | XAVIER | 86 | -7.5 | SU Over | 32 | 28-58 | 48.3% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 26-37 | 70.3% | 38 | 9 | 15 | 1/21/2012 | XAVIER | 72 | -3 | Over | 33 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 12-24 | 50.0% | 28 | 6 | 9 | | | DAYTON | 87 | 137.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 27-54 | 50.0% | 11-28 | 39.3% | 22-28 | 78.6% | 40 | 9 | 11 | 3/11/2011 | DAYTON | 68 | 133 | SU ATS | 36 | 26-50 | 52.0% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 32 | 10 | 14 | | N | XAVIER | 67 | -8 | Over | 27 | 25-55 | 45.5% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 24 | 7 | 10 | 2/27/2011 | XAVIER | 66 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 23-50 | 46.0% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 34 | 7 | 14 | | | DAYTON | 62 | 137 | Under | 25 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 8-19 | 42.1% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 31 | 9 | 16 | 1/15/2011 | DAYTON | 76 | 126.5 | ATS | 32 | 27-53 | 50.9% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 14-20 | 70.0% | 30 | 11 | 11 | | | XAVIER | 81 | -6.5 | SU Over | 31 | 26-49 | 53.1% | 4-15 | 26.7% | 25-29 | 86.2% | 25 | 5 | 5 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (193-159) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in XAVIER games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (188-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in XAVIER games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-27) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (120-122) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-24) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in XAVIER games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (131-143) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in XAVIER games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-33) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [G] 11/02/2012 - Myles Davis out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Jalen Reynolds out for season ( Eligibility ) |
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