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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-6 | 42-38 | 217-221 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 15-7 | 50-40 | 259-226 | | in all lined games | 12-6 | 42-38 | 217-221 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 11-7 | 43-39 | 232-215 | | as a favorite | 7-1 | 22-18 | 122-112 | 0-0 | 21-11 | 67-67 | 8-0 | 32-10 | 176-66 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-0 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 10-6 | | in road games | 5-5 | 18-19 | 96-108 | 1-2 | 19-9 | 62-43 | 5-6 | 14-25 | 78-140 | | in road lined games | 5-5 | 18-19 | 96-108 | 1-2 | 19-9 | 62-43 | 4-6 | 13-24 | 73-134 | | against conference opponents | 7-2 | 27-20 | 147-145 | 0-0 | 24-13 | 86-67 | 7-2 | 27-20 | 162-134 | | in February games | 2-0 | 10-9 | 48-68 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 37-26 | 2-0 | 10-9 | 58-59 | | on Saturday games | 7-2 | 17-13 | 85-78 | 1-0 | 16-6 | 43-37 | 6-4 | 19-14 | 97-87 | | after a conference game | 7-2 | 27-19 | 134-150 | 0-0 | 23-12 | 85-66 | 7-2 | 27-20 | 159-136 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-1 | 15-11 | 79-79 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 50-36 | 6-0 | 15-11 | 86-75 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 3-0 | 8-5 | 51-40 | 1-0 | 8-3 | 24-15 | 2-1 | 9-6 | 57-42 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 6-0 | 18-15 | 94-83 | 0-0 | 17-10 | 50-53 | 7-0 | 26-10 | 138-62 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 3-0 | 12-9 | 59-53 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 33-33 | 3-0 | 16-5 | 79-34 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 11-8 | 30-25 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 25-19 | 2-0 | 15-4 | 42-15 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 14-10 | 49-34 | 0-0 | 15-6 | 35-29 | 4-0 | 23-4 | 68-24 |
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| in all games | 7-11 | 31-38 | 197-219 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 8-13 | 42-41 | 237-234 | | in all lined games | 7-11 | 31-38 | 197-219 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 5-13 | 31-41 | 195-231 | | as an underdog | 6-6 | 14-17 | 101-109 | 1-0 | 14-6 | 70-61 | 3-9 | 6-25 | 54-158 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-9 | | in all home games | 1-8 | 10-18 | 82-103 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 40-53 | 5-7 | 26-15 | 149-79 | | in home lined games | 1-8 | 10-18 | 82-103 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 40-53 | 2-7 | 15-15 | 112-78 | | against conference opponents | 3-6 | 16-26 | 140-144 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 74-72 | 2-7 | 19-25 | 145-146 | | in February games | 0-2 | 8-11 | 61-60 | 0-0 | 10-6 | 31-31 | 0-2 | 6-13 | 56-66 | | on Saturday games | 4-3 | 13-14 | 76-87 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 33-43 | 3-4 | 17-14 | 95-88 | | after a conference game | 2-6 | 17-25 | 138-140 | 0-0 | 18-15 | 75-69 | 2-7 | 18-26 | 147-143 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-4 | 8-14 | 62-68 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 36-38 | 1-5 | 7-15 | 64-69 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-6 | 10-16 | 59-73 | 1-0 | 8-11 | 44-50 | 1-7 | 11-19 | 70-81 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-1 | 3-4 | 22-24 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 18-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 18-31 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 2-1 | 4-6 | 24-34 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 27-17 | 2-2 | 4-7 | 21-41 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-5 | 7-16 | 91-108 | 1-0 | 9-8 | 55-49 | 0-7 | 4-19 | 73-135 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 4-9 | 48-49 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 29-29 | 0-1 | 2-11 | 32-66 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 2-4 | 20-24 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15-14 | 0-2 | 0-6 | 11-33 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-2 | 4-5 | 39-49 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 26-24 | 1-4 | 1-8 | 26-66 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 15-7 | +11.5 | 12-6 | 1-2 | 67.6 | 31.8 | 43.1% | 38.2 | 62.9 | 29.5 | 39.6% | 31.0 | | Road Games | 7-6 | +7.5 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 64.0 | 30.9 | 41.1% | 38.0 | 64.7 | 30.8 | 40.4% | 32.2 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 72.8 | 30.4 | 48.5% | 34.8 | 64.4 | 30.8 | 38.5% | 31.0 | | Conference Games | 7-2 | +6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 68.4 | 29.0 | 44.9% | 36.7 | 59.8 | 27.4 | 36.8% | 31.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.6 | 31.8 | 22-52 | 43.1% | 5-16 | 32.8% | 17-25 | 70.8% | 38 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.1 | 31.4 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 7-19 | 34.3% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.0 | 30.9 | 21-51 | 41.1% | 5-17 | 31.2% | 16-23 | 70.9% | 38 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.9 | 29.5 | 22-55 | 39.6% | 7-20 | 33.5% | 13-18 | 68.9% | 31 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.9 | 30.9 | 24-55 | 42.9% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 70.0% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.7 | 30.8 | 22-55 | 40.4% | 7-20 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 32 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
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| All Games | 8-13 | -6.3 | 7-11 | 1-0 | 62.7 | 28.9 | 41.7% | 35.8 | 67.4 | 31.5 | 44.5% | 31.9 | | Home Games | 5-7 | -8.7 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 62.7 | 28.7 | 39.8% | 38.1 | 64.7 | 30.1 | 42.5% | 32.8 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -2.5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 64.8 | 28.8 | 43.6% | 35.6 | 70.4 | 33.6 | 48.7% | 28.0 | | Conference Games | 2-7 | -3 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 61.3 | 29.1 | 42.6% | 36.1 | 68.1 | 33.3 | 46.8% | 29.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 62.7 | 28.9 | 22-52 | 41.7% | 5-17 | 31.9% | 14-22 | 63.3% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.8 | 31.3 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 33.9% | 14-20 | 69.4% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 62.7 | 28.7 | 21-53 | 39.8% | 5-18 | 30.3% | 16-25 | 63.4% | 38 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.4 | 31.5 | 24-54 | 44.5% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 14-19 | 73.5% | 32 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.5 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 34.9% | 13-19 | 71.0% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.7 | 30.1 | 22-53 | 42.5% | 7-19 | 37.1% | 13-17 | 73.7% | 33 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W MICHIGAN 69.5, BALL ST 70 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| W MICHIGAN is 16-15 against the spread versus BALL ST since 1997 | | W MICHIGAN is 18-13 straight up against BALL ST since 1997 | | 10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| W MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | | W MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | | 5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| BALL ST is 8-7 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | BALL ST is 9-6 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | BALL ST is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/5/2012 | BALL ST | 63 | 128 | Over | 30 | 20-54 | 37.0% | 7-23 | 30.4% | 16-17 | 94.1% | 26 | 8 | 12 | | | W MICHIGAN | 69 | -3 | SU ATS | 33 | 22-45 | 48.9% | 4-11 | 36.4% | 21-30 | 70.0% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 2/22/2012 | BALL ST | 61 | 129.5 | Over | 35 | 19-53 | 35.8% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 30 | 9 | 10 | | | W MICHIGAN | 78 | -3.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 26-47 | 55.3% | 13-21 | 61.9% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 29 | 7 | 10 | 1/7/2012 | W MICHIGAN | 69 | 132 | Over | 29 | 25-62 | 40.3% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 14-22 | 63.6% | 41 | 16 | 14 | | | BALL ST | 78 | -6 | SU ATS | 36 | 25-55 | 45.5% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 23-29 | 79.3% | 35 | 10 | 9 | 3/2/2011 | BALL ST | 70 | 136 | Over | 34 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 5-18 | 27.8% | 19-26 | 73.1% | 27 | 12 | 9 | | | W MICHIGAN | 87 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 33-54 | 61.1% | 9-16 | 56.2% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 30 | 11 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (167-176) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 36.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-43) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (161-174) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-33) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 02/05/2013 - Charles Harris out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| [F] 02/08/2013 - Tyler Koch injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Western Michigan ( Hip ) | | [C] 02/08/2013 - Zach Fields missed last game, "?" Saturday vs. Western Michigan ( Ankle ) | | [C] 01/11/2013 - Mading Thok out indefinitely ( Finger ) |
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