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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST | | | | FLORIDA | -33 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 6-11 | 30-44 | 222-201 | 3-2 | 34-27 | 144-137 | 7-14 | 45-40 | 316-195 | | in all lined games | 6-11 | 30-44 | 222-201 | 3-2 | 34-27 | 144-137 | 4-13 | 38-38 | 251-186 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 12-16 | 2-1 | 5-3 | 13-17 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 15-15 | | as an underdog | 4-9 | 17-18 | 92-80 | 3-2 | 14-14 | 52-63 | 1-12 | 10-26 | 55-123 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-2 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 2-14 | | as a road underdog of 24.5 to 30 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | in road games | 3-3 | 9-14 | 82-71 | 1-0 | 13-6 | 48-48 | 1-5 | 8-16 | 70-95 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 9-14 | 82-71 | 1-0 | 13-6 | 48-48 | 1-5 | 8-16 | 65-94 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4-5 | | against conference opponents | 2-7 | 16-25 | 143-126 | 1-0 | 19-16 | 88-84 | 2-7 | 19-24 | 144-134 | | in February games | 1-1 | 7-10 | 59-53 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 39-28 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 59-57 | | on Saturday games | 4-2 | 14-15 | 105-80 | 2-0 | 13-13 | 52-62 | 2-5 | 16-16 | 139-76 | | after a conference game | 2-6 | 16-24 | 136-129 | 1-0 | 19-15 | 91-84 | 1-7 | 19-23 | 144-133 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 1-0 | 4-4 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 17-13 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 22-24 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-9 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-5 | 8-12 | 65-60 | 1-0 | 9-8 | 34-38 | 0-6 | 9-13 | 69-60 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-4 | 5-8 | 35-40 | 2-1 | 5-8 | 25-21 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 46-36 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-3 | 3-5 | 15-11 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 13-15 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-9 | 20-27 | 174-150 | 3-1 | 21-18 | 110-109 | 1-11 | 21-30 | 191-164 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-5 | 13-15 | 111-99 | 1-0 | 13-11 | 77-69 | 0-6 | 11-18 | 102-114 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-4 | 4-11 | 38-34 | 1-0 | 8-4 | 28-20 | 0-4 | 3-12 | 35-39 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-7 | 9-22 | 65-63 | 3-2 | 16-10 | 47-43 | 1-9 | 8-24 | 71-70 |
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| in all games | 12-6 | 45-37 | 246-200 | 6-6 | 45-31 | 174-167 | 18-3 | 73-22 | 391-144 | | in all lined games | 12-6 | 45-37 | 246-200 | 6-6 | 45-31 | 174-167 | 15-3 | 62-21 | 308-143 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 4-1 | 9-5 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 11-2 | 13-5 | 4-1 | 12-2 | 16-3 | | as a favorite | 12-6 | 34-33 | 193-160 | 6-6 | 36-24 | 135-130 | 15-3 | 54-13 | 273-82 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 3-2 | 6-9 | 47-38 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 25-26 | 5-0 | 15-0 | 80-5 | | as a home favorite of 24.5 to 30 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 9-0 | | in all home games | 5-2 | 16-17 | 104-83 | 2-2 | 16-13 | 62-70 | 10-0 | 38-5 | 228-35 | | in home lined games | 5-2 | 16-17 | 104-83 | 2-2 | 16-13 | 62-70 | 7-0 | 29-4 | 154-34 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | | against conference opponents | 7-2 | 24-21 | 148-130 | 3-3 | 25-18 | 109-102 | 8-1 | 34-12 | 184-98 | | in February games | 0-2 | 6-11 | 59-56 | 2-0 | 12-6 | 44-42 | 1-1 | 12-6 | 73-44 | | on Saturday games | 3-4 | 16-14 | 84-77 | 3-3 | 20-10 | 68-55 | 5-2 | 20-11 | 117-55 | | after a conference game | 6-2 | 25-19 | 148-128 | 3-3 | 25-18 | 108-108 | 7-1 | 34-11 | 183-98 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 5-6 | 48-47 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 34-36 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 60-37 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-0 | 1-1 | 26-25 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 42-20 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-0 | 5-4 | 27-20 | 2-0 | 6-1 | 19-7 | 5-0 | 12-1 | 90-8 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 2-0 | 2-3 | 18-15 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 13-7 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 27-7 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-0 | 5-3 | 6-5 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 2-0 | 7-1 | 11-1 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-0 | 7-4 | 11-8 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 6-4 | 5-0 | 14-1 | 40-1 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-14 | -3.7 | 6-11 | 3-2 | 61.6 | 28.4 | 40.9% | 34.5 | 67.5 | 31.7 | 42.7% | 36.4 | | Road Games | 2-9 | -3.7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 62.4 | 25.6 | 39.2% | 35.7 | 75.9 | 38.3 | 45.0% | 37.8 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -2 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 61.8 | 28.8 | 41.1% | 31.0 | 79.0 | 33.6 | 48.3% | 36.6 | | Conference Games | 2-7 | -0.5 | 2-7 | 1-0 | 59.7 | 28.6 | 40.5% | 30.7 | 73.0 | 32.9 | 46.1% | 37.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.6 | 28.4 | 22-53 | 40.9% | 4-16 | 28.3% | 14-21 | 66.6% | 35 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30.2 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 14-20 | 67.9% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.4 | 25.6 | 21-54 | 39.2% | 5-17 | 28.3% | 15-22 | 68.3% | 36 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.5 | 31.7 | 25-59 | 42.7% | 7-21 | 33.9% | 10-15 | 66.9% | 36 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-20 | 67.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 75.9 | 38.3 | 28-61 | 45.0% | 8-21 | 37.6% | 13-18 | 69.2% | 38 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
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| All Games | 18-3 | -6.8 | 12-6 | 6-6 | 73.8 | 34.5 | 49.2% | 36.1 | 52.4 | 23.2 | 36.7% | 28.0 | | Home Games | 10-0 | +3 | 5-2 | 2-2 | 77.2 | 38.2 | 50.2% | 37.8 | 48.5 | 20.3 | 34.7% | 27.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -6 | 3-2 | 3-0 | 73.6 | 32.8 | 49.3% | 36.0 | 54.8 | 25.2 | 38.7% | 27.8 | | Conference Games | 8-1 | -3 | 7-2 | 3-3 | 74.4 | 32.9 | 50.3% | 35.8 | 52.1 | 22.4 | 36.6% | 28.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.8 | 34.5 | 27-55 | 49.2% | 9-22 | 39.0% | 11-16 | 69.9% | 36 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64 | 29.5 | 23-54 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 13-19 | 67.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 77.2 | 38.2 | 28-56 | 50.2% | 9-23 | 39.3% | 12-16 | 72.7% | 38 | 10 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 52.4 | 23.2 | 18-50 | 36.7% | 5-16 | 31.0% | 11-15 | 69.5% | 28 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.5% | 6-18 | 33.6% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 48.5 | 20.3 | 17-50 | 34.7% | 5-17 | 27.7% | 9-13 | 69.9% | 27 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MISSISSIPPI ST 71.4, FLORIDA 75.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-8 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997 | | FLORIDA is 11-8 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | 8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA is 2-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| FLORIDA is 4-4 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | FLORIDA is 6-2 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/26/2013 | FLORIDA | 82 | -20.5 | SU ATS | 41 | 31-56 | 55.4% | 14-31 | 45.2% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 44 | 10 | 14 | | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 47 | 127 | Over | 19 | 17-52 | 32.7% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 10-15 | 66.7% | 20 | 5 | 10 | 1/28/2012 | MISSISSIPPI ST | 57 | 143.5 | Under | 27 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 34 | 6 | 14 | | | FLORIDA | 69 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 27-56 | 48.2% | 11-24 | 45.8% | 4-7 | 57.1% | 26 | 5 | 5 | 1/29/2011 | FLORIDA | 64 | -6 | Under | 38 | 25-63 | 39.7% | 5-21 | 23.8% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 43 | 16 | 8 | | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 71 | 137.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 19-23 | 82.6% | 37 | 9 | 8 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (169-170) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (184-174) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-35) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (127-124) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.3% of the time since 1997. (130-170) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-32) | |
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| [C] 12/14/2012 - Wendell Lewis out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 02/08/2013 - Casey Prather probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Ankle ) | | [F] 02/07/2013 - Will Yeguete expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Knee ) |
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