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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 14-8 | 45-29 | 189-211 | 4-3 | 20-37 | 135-148 | 18-7 | 56-32 | 263-220 | | in all lined games | 14-8 | 45-29 | 189-211 | 4-3 | 20-37 | 135-148 | 16-7 | 45-31 | 193-215 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 2-2 | 12-8 | 14-8 | 3-1 | 8-13 | 9-14 | 2-2 | 15-6 | 17-6 | | as an underdog | 2-2 | 19-11 | 96-109 | 0-1 | 7-18 | 70-91 | 2-2 | 11-19 | 53-156 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 3-0 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7-23 | | in road games | 3-5 | 17-10 | 69-93 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 49-67 | 3-5 | 14-15 | 55-120 | | in road lined games | 3-5 | 17-10 | 69-93 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 49-67 | 3-5 | 13-15 | 46-120 | | in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less | 1-1 | 4-2 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 5-3 | | against conference opponents | 7-5 | 26-19 | 121-143 | 3-2 | 17-22 | 94-103 | 8-4 | 24-22 | 108-163 | | in February games | 3-2 | 12-6 | 48-63 | 3-0 | 5-12 | 30-54 | 3-2 | 9-10 | 46-71 | | on Tuesday nights | 2-2 | 6-4 | 24-31 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 13-22 | 3-1 | 13-2 | 44-25 | | after a conference game | 6-5 | 24-19 | 116-137 | 3-1 | 17-19 | 92-96 | 7-4 | 24-22 | 118-152 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-1 | 12-8 | 64-88 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 58-54 | 2-1 | 11-9 | 60-96 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-0 | 1-1 | 39-57 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 33-31 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 50-56 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 3-0 | 6-0 | 50-55 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 31-34 | 3-0 | 6-1 | 71-58 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-5 | 33-22 | 154-165 | 2-3 | 16-29 | 112-124 | 11-4 | 32-25 | 153-187 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-3 | 17-14 | 87-103 | 2-1 | 14-14 | 74-80 | 5-2 | 15-17 | 73-122 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 7-5 | 32-28 | 2-0 | 6-6 | 22-24 | 2-1 | 7-6 | 26-37 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-2 | 18-7 | 54-57 | 2-1 | 7-15 | 35-43 | 5-2 | 18-8 | 56-63 |
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| in all games | 15-4 | 45-32 | 222-181 | 4-10 | 38-37 | 143-140 | 21-3 | 62-31 | 299-199 | | in all lined games | 15-4 | 45-32 | 222-181 | 4-10 | 38-37 | 143-140 | 19-2 | 53-30 | 223-192 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | | as a favorite | 11-3 | 29-21 | 105-101 | 2-7 | 22-22 | 60-68 | 15-1 | 43-9 | 151-58 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 3-0 | 4-1 | 14-14 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 9-5 | 3-0 | 5-0 | 22-6 | | in all home games | 9-0 | 23-15 | 92-87 | 2-3 | 21-12 | 63-55 | 11-0 | 38-8 | 184-68 | | in home lined games | 9-0 | 23-15 | 92-87 | 2-3 | 21-12 | 63-55 | 9-0 | 30-8 | 117-65 | | in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | against conference opponents | 8-2 | 24-19 | 145-123 | 4-4 | 21-23 | 98-92 | 12-0 | 29-19 | 138-140 | | in February games | 3-1 | 10-9 | 63-45 | 3-1 | 11-10 | 42-39 | 5-0 | 15-7 | 60-53 | | on Tuesday nights | 2-1 | 7-5 | 32-34 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 16-19 | 2-2 | 8-6 | 46-35 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 0-2 | 5-7 | 24-29 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 21-25 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 34-34 | | after a conference game | 7-2 | 24-18 | 142-117 | 4-4 | 22-22 | 95-95 | 11-0 | 32-16 | 143-134 | | off a win against a conference rival | 7-2 | 13-11 | 71-55 | 4-4 | 13-12 | 47-42 | 11-0 | 18-10 | 71-66 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 10-2 | 15-12 | 62-51 | 2-6 | 11-14 | 35-41 | 12-1 | 21-11 | 97-54 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-2 | 6-8 | 34-23 | 1-1 | 8-6 | 25-14 | 4-1 | 11-7 | 44-25 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 14-4 | 33-25 | 173-146 | 4-10 | 31-27 | 126-113 | 18-2 | 36-28 | 174-176 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-2 | 14-17 | 98-98 | 4-2 | 22-12 | 90-71 | 8-0 | 19-17 | 91-115 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 9-8 | 27-18 | 1-2 | 10-8 | 31-14 | 3-0 | 10-8 | 23-26 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-2 | 15-12 | 56-42 | 1-5 | 13-14 | 45-35 | 7-1 | 15-14 | 57-55 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 18-7 | +6.7 | 14-8 | 4-3 | 65.0 | 30.5 | 46.6% | 32.3 | 54.0 | 23.9 | 37.9% | 30.1 | | Road Games | 3-6 | -0.8 | 3-6 | 2-1 | 63.4 | 29.1 | 44.5% | 30.7 | 64.4 | 27.3 | 45.4% | 29.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.4 | 3-2 | 3-0 | 74.4 | 37.2 | 50.4% | 30.2 | 64.8 | 26.0 | 41.9% | 32.0 | | Conference Games | 8-4 | +1.5 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 65.2 | 30.6 | 47.0% | 30.2 | 57.5 | 25.4 | 41.0% | 30.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.0 | 30.5 | 24-51 | 46.6% | 7-16 | 41.1% | 11-15 | 71.1% | 32 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.5 | 30.9 | 24-56 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.4 | 29.1 | 23-51 | 44.5% | 8-19 | 43.1% | 10-14 | 69.5% | 31 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 54.0 | 23.9 | 19-50 | 37.9% | 5-18 | 29.8% | 11-16 | 67.6% | 30 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 31.1 | 24-56 | 42.8% | 5-17 | 32.7% | 14-20 | 67.9% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.4 | 27.3 | 22-48 | 45.4% | 7-18 | 38.4% | 14-21 | 66.5% | 30 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
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| All Games | 21-3 | +13.2 | 15-4 | 4-10 | 69.5 | 30.5 | 46.0% | 36.4 | 58.7 | 26.9 | 37.8% | 34.0 | | Home Games | 11-0 | +8.2 | 9-0 | 2-3 | 75.5 | 32.8 | 48.9% | 39.8 | 57.3 | 26.2 | 36.0% | 34.0 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 71.4 | 33.4 | 49.6% | 34.6 | 60.0 | 27.2 | 40.9% | 30.6 | | Conference Games | 12-0 | +11.8 | 8-2 | 4-4 | 69.6 | 31.9 | 46.6% | 37.2 | 57.3 | 26.0 | 37.9% | 33.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.5 | 30.5 | 25-55 | 46.0% | 7-19 | 35.5% | 12-19 | 66.1% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.1 | 31 | 24-57 | 42.0% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 12-18 | 68.6% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 75.5 | 32.8 | 27-55 | 48.9% | 8-19 | 42.4% | 14-21 | 67.0% | 40 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.7 | 26.9 | 21-57 | 37.8% | 6-20 | 30.1% | 10-15 | 65.4% | 34 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 71.3 | 33.6 | 25-57 | 44.9% | 6-18 | 34.8% | 14-21 | 69.2% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 57.3 | 26.2 | 22-60 | 36.0% | 6-21 | 29.1% | 8-14 | 58.2% | 34 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 75, MIAMI 75.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MIAMI is 7-5 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997 | | MIAMI is 7-5 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | MIAMI is 2-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997 | | MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997 | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | | MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/7/2012 | MIAMI | 51 | 122.5 | ATS | 17 | 18-51 | 35.3% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 37 | 12 | 12 | | | VIRGINIA | 52 | -6.5 | SU Under | 26 | 21-55 | 38.2% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 6-10 | 60.0% | 33 | 10 | 7 | 3/10/2011 | MIAMI | 69 | -3 | SU ATS | 31 | 25-64 | 39.1% | 10-29 | 34.5% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 45 | 9 | 13 | | N | VIRGINIA | 62 | 121 | Over | 25 | 24-60 | 40.0% | 6-15 | 40.0% | 8-16 | 50.0% | 40 | 7 | 12 | 2/5/2011 | VIRGINIA | 68 | 128.5 | ATS | 23 | 24-51 | 47.1% | 11-19 | 57.9% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 29 | 1 | 11 | | | MIAMI | 70 | -9 | SU Over | 20 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 9-23 | 39.1% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 41 | 8 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (174-166) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 45.4% of the time since 1997. (149-179) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 43.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-39) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 51% of the time since 1997. (129-124) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (122-124) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 45.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-37) | |
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| [F] 02/18/2013 - Darion Atkins injured last game, probable Tuesday vs. Miami Florida ( Shin ) | | [C] 02/09/2013 - Mike Tobey out indefinitely ( Mononucleosis ) | | [G] 11/08/2012 - Malcolm Brogdon out for season ( Foot ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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