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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| WISCONSIN | -11 | | | NORTHWESTERN | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-14 | 45-41 | 255-222 | 9-11 | 42-39 | 151-187 | 18-8 | 69-27 | 360-163 | | in all lined games | 9-14 | 45-41 | 255-222 | 9-11 | 42-39 | 151-187 | 16-8 | 60-27 | 327-161 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 1-3 | 14-16 | 33-34 | 1-4 | 14-17 | 32-36 | 2-3 | 20-11 | 47-21 | | as a favorite | 7-11 | 34-32 | 183-155 | 6-8 | 28-32 | 105-139 | 14-4 | 53-13 | 278-64 | | as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 13-2 | | in road games | 2-5 | 13-16 | 89-85 | 3-5 | 17-13 | 51-64 | 3-5 | 15-15 | 84-96 | | in road lined games | 2-5 | 13-16 | 89-85 | 3-5 | 17-13 | 51-64 | 3-5 | 15-15 | 83-95 | | in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-2 | 5-7 | 9-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 11-10 | 1-2 | 8-5 | 14-7 | | against conference opponents | 5-7 | 23-28 | 149-136 | 5-8 | 29-23 | 92-119 | 9-4 | 35-17 | 186-107 | | in February games | 3-1 | 9-10 | 59-48 | 4-1 | 14-6 | 40-37 | 4-1 | 15-5 | 72-41 | | on Wednesday games | 0-4 | 6-7 | 60-49 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 33-31 | 2-2 | 10-4 | 81-32 | | after a conference game | 5-6 | 23-27 | 144-138 | 5-7 | 30-21 | 95-117 | 8-4 | 34-17 | 185-107 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 13-20 | 91-90 | 3-5 | 19-15 | 61-84 | 5-3 | 21-13 | 120-65 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 7-10 | 36-21 | 150-132 | 7-8 | 29-25 | 97-106 | 13-5 | 47-16 | 211-89 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-5 | 11-16 | 55-71 | 4-5 | 16-12 | 48-63 | 5-4 | 15-13 | 68-62 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-9 | 17-23 | 102-107 | 6-8 | 20-21 | 71-95 | 7-7 | 23-18 | 127-89 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 0-3 | 17-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 29-7 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-2 | 3-5 | 31-31 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 18-22 | 4-0 | 10-0 | 59-8 |
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| in all games | 12-11 | 40-38 | 200-205 | 9-8 | 42-31 | 136-122 | 13-13 | 52-41 | 221-260 | | in all lined games | 12-11 | 40-38 | 200-205 | 9-8 | 42-31 | 136-122 | 10-13 | 38-41 | 152-256 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-1 | 0-2 | 27-36 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 29-33 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 20-43 | | as an underdog | 8-6 | 21-21 | 135-142 | 6-7 | 21-20 | 80-85 | 5-9 | 11-31 | 60-219 | | as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 1-0 | 2-0 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 5-17 | | in all home games | 6-7 | 18-19 | 90-98 | 5-4 | 16-17 | 61-55 | 8-8 | 33-17 | 160-99 | | in home lined games | 6-7 | 18-19 | 90-98 | 5-4 | 16-17 | 61-55 | 5-8 | 20-17 | 94-95 | | in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12-15 | | against conference opponents | 6-7 | 25-26 | 138-143 | 4-8 | 25-26 | 96-90 | 4-9 | 20-32 | 85-199 | | in February games | 2-2 | 9-10 | 67-50 | 2-1 | 12-7 | 39-33 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 46-76 | | on Wednesday games | 1-1 | 7-7 | 60-63 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 39-32 | 1-1 | 5-10 | 59-79 | | after a conference game | 6-6 | 25-24 | 132-135 | 3-8 | 23-26 | 89-86 | 4-8 | 23-28 | 100-183 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 5-3 | 16-14 | 93-87 | 3-5 | 14-17 | 59-56 | 4-4 | 17-14 | 71-117 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 7-4 | 10-11 | 91-89 | 5-5 | 12-9 | 52-52 | 6-5 | 13-10 | 96-114 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-0 | 2-1 | 33-34 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 17-17 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 25-47 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 10-9 | 32-34 | 140-142 | 9-7 | 34-29 | 96-95 | 8-12 | 30-40 | 94-204 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 5-4 | 19-20 | 84-77 | 2-6 | 15-23 | 54-61 | 3-6 | 13-26 | 41-125 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-3 | 10-12 | 56-55 | 2-5 | 8-14 | 41-47 | 2-5 | 4-18 | 19-93 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-7 | 17-19 | 85-86 | 5-6 | 17-17 | 66-62 | 3-10 | 11-26 | 49-128 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 18-8 | -1.1 | 9-14 | 9-11 | 67.0 | 31.9 | 42.6% | 37.2 | 56.2 | 25.2 | 39.8% | 32.6 | | Road Games | 4-6 | +0.4 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 61.0 | 27.0 | 38.9% | 33.6 | 64.2 | 31.0 | 44.2% | 35.8 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 3-1 | 4-1 | 67.4 | 31.0 | 40.2% | 41.2 | 61.4 | 25.2 | 38.2% | 37.6 | | Conference Games | 9-4 | +5.8 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 60.7 | 28.4 | 39.9% | 36.7 | 56.2 | 24.8 | 39.4% | 34.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.0 | 31.9 | 24-57 | 42.6% | 8-22 | 34.3% | 10-17 | 61.8% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.2 | 29.6 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 12-18 | 69.0% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 61.0 | 27.0 | 21-55 | 38.9% | 7-23 | 31.3% | 11-19 | 59.8% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 56.2 | 25.2 | 21-53 | 39.8% | 4-13 | 29.9% | 10-14 | 69.4% | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.2 | 32.7 | 25-55 | 44.8% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 14-19 | 70.7% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.2 | 31.0 | 23-52 | 44.2% | 4-12 | 30.3% | 14-19 | 74.3% | 36 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
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| All Games | 13-13 | -2.4 | 12-11 | 9-8 | 62.6 | 28.7 | 41.1% | 31.8 | 62.3 | 27.2 | 41.7% | 37.1 | | Home Games | 8-8 | -11 | 6-7 | 5-4 | 64.1 | 30.1 | 41.8% | 32.7 | 62.6 | 28.7 | 41.6% | 37.5 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -1 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 55.6 | 26.8 | 39.2% | 28.8 | 66.0 | 30.6 | 43.5% | 38.2 | | Conference Games | 4-9 | +2.4 | 6-7 | 4-8 | 57.4 | 25.0 | 39.2% | 28.3 | 65.4 | 28.2 | 43.6% | 39.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 62.6 | 28.7 | 21-52 | 41.1% | 8-22 | 34.7% | 12-19 | 66.5% | 32 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65 | 30.1 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-18 | 68.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 64.1 | 30.1 | 22-52 | 41.8% | 8-22 | 35.7% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 33 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.3 | 27.2 | 22-54 | 41.7% | 5-16 | 33.4% | 12-19 | 64.1% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.7 | 31.9 | 24-56 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 33.8% | 14-20 | 69.0% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 62.6 | 28.7 | 23-55 | 41.6% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 11-17 | 64.0% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 76.6, NORTHWESTERN 74.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| WISCONSIN is 15-11 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 21-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| WISCONSIN is 3-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 3-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| NORTHWESTERN is 6-6 against the spread versus WISCONSIN since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 7-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/18/2012 | NORTHWESTERN | 57 | 118 | Over | 32 | 19-45 | 42.2% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 14-19 | 73.7% | 24 | 4 | 10 | | | WISCONSIN | 77 | -10 | SU ATS | 34 | 27-54 | 50.0% | 12-23 | 52.2% | 11-14 | 78.6% | 32 | 9 | 9 | 2/27/2011 | NORTHWESTERN | 63 | 126.5 | Over | 30 | 22-47 | 46.8% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 19 | 3 | 6 | | | WISCONSIN | 78 | -11 | SU ATS | 43 | 27-47 | 57.4% | 8-19 | 42.1% | 16-20 | 80.0% | 27 | 4 | 6 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (196-193) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 53.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.4% of the time since 1997. (172-150) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 55% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-27) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48% of the time since 1997. (141-153) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-37) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (112-115) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-32) | |
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| [G] 02/19/2013 - Ben Brust probable Wednesday vs. Northwestern ( Knee ) | | [F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None ) | | [G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee ) | | [C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee ) | | [G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist ) | | [G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics ) |
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