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Matchup Reports

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WISCONSIN (18-8) AT NORTHWESTERN (13-13) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
773: WISCONSIN
774: NORTHWESTERN
115.0
+8.0
67.0 / 56.2
62.6 / 62.3
18-8
13-13
9-14
12-11
9-11
9-8
42.6
41.1
61.8
66.5
34.3
34.7
39.8
41.7
69.4
64.1
29.9
33.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
WISCONSIN-11 
NORTHWESTERN  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-1445-41255-2229-1142-39151-18718-869-27360-163
in all lined games9-1445-41255-2229-1142-39151-18716-860-27327-161
when the total is 119.5 or less1-314-1633-341-414-1732-362-320-1147-21
as a favorite7-1134-32183-1556-828-32105-13914-453-13278-64
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-12-38-70-11-45-71-05-013-2
in road games2-513-1689-853-517-1351-643-515-1584-96
in road lined games2-513-1689-853-517-1351-643-515-1583-95
in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less0-25-79-110-36-711-101-28-514-7
against conference opponents5-723-28149-1365-829-2392-1199-435-17186-107
in February games3-19-1059-484-114-640-374-115-572-41
on Wednesday games0-46-760-492-25-833-312-210-481-32
after a conference game5-623-27144-1385-730-2195-1178-434-17185-107
off a win against a conference rival3-413-2091-903-519-1561-845-321-13120-65
after allowing 60 points or less7-1036-21150-1327-829-2597-10613-547-16211-89
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-511-1655-714-516-1248-635-415-1368-62
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-917-23102-1076-820-2171-957-723-18127-89
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-00-317-190-01-211-120-03-029-7
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-23-531-311-12-518-224-010-059-8

NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1140-38200-2059-842-31136-12213-1352-41221-260
in all lined games12-1140-38200-2059-842-31136-12210-1338-41152-256
when the total is 119.5 or less0-10-227-360-11-129-330-10-220-43
as an underdog8-621-21135-1426-721-2080-855-911-3160-219
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points1-02-08-140-11-17-61-01-15-17
in all home games6-718-1990-985-416-1761-558-833-17160-99
in home lined games6-718-1990-985-416-1761-555-820-1794-95
in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less0-00-012-150-00-012-140-00-012-15
against conference opponents6-725-26138-1434-825-2696-904-920-3285-199
in February games2-29-1067-502-112-739-331-39-1146-76
on Wednesday games1-17-760-630-26-839-321-15-1059-79
after a conference game6-625-24132-1353-823-2689-864-823-28100-183
off a loss against a conference rival5-316-1493-873-514-1759-564-417-1471-117
after scoring 60 points or less7-410-1191-895-512-952-526-513-1096-114
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-02-133-340-03-017-170-03-025-47
when playing against a team with a winning record10-932-34140-1429-734-2996-958-1230-4094-204
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-419-2084-772-615-2354-613-613-2641-125
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games4-310-1256-552-58-1441-472-54-1819-93
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-717-1985-865-617-1766-623-1011-2649-128
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-8-1.19-149-1167.031.942.6%37.256.225.239.8%32.6
Road Games4-6+0.42-74-561.027.038.9%33.664.231.044.2%35.8
Last 5 Games4-1+33-14-167.431.040.2%41.261.425.238.2%37.6
Conference Games9-4+5.85-75-860.728.439.9%36.756.224.839.4%34.7
WISCONSIN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.031.924-5742.6%8-2234.3%10-1761.8%37111314694
vs opponents surrendering64.229.623-5541.5%6-1933.4%12-1869.0%33912176133
Team Stats (Road Games)61.027.021-5538.9%7-2331.3%11-1959.8%341011174103
Stats Against (All Games)56.225.221-5339.8%4-1329.9%10-1469.4%3378185123
vs opponents averaging69.232.725-5544.8%6-1834.7%14-1970.7%35913177134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.231.023-5244.2%4-1230.3%14-1974.3%3689185113

NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-13-2.412-119-862.628.741.1%31.862.327.241.7%37.1
Home Games8-8-116-75-464.130.141.8%32.762.628.741.6%37.5
Last 5 Games1-4-12-32-255.626.839.2%28.866.030.643.5%38.2
Conference Games4-9+2.46-74-857.425.039.2%28.365.428.243.6%39.5
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.628.721-5241.1%8-2234.7%12-1966.5%32715166113
vs opponents surrendering6530.123-5641.6%6-1833.1%13-1868.7%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)64.130.122-5241.8%8-2235.7%12-1963.2%33717155104
Stats Against (All Games)62.327.222-5441.7%5-1633.4%12-1964.1%371013186124
vs opponents averaging68.731.924-5643.4%6-1933.8%14-2069.0%361013176134
Stats Against (Home Games)62.628.723-5541.6%6-1735.3%11-1764.0%371014186123
Average power rating of opponents played: WISCONSIN 76.6,  NORTHWESTERN 74.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
WISCONSIN is 15-11 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
WISCONSIN is 21-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NORTHWESTERN since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 6-6 against the spread versus WISCONSIN since 1997
WISCONSIN is 7-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/18/2012NORTHWESTERN57118 Over3219-4542.2%5-1435.7%14-1973.7%24410
 WISCONSIN77-10SU ATS3427-5450.0%12-2352.2%11-1478.6%3299
2/27/2011NORTHWESTERN63126.5 Over3022-4746.8%11-2152.4%8-1172.7%1936
 WISCONSIN78-11SU ATS4327-4757.4%8-1942.1%16-2080.0%2746
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (196-193)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 53.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.4% of the time since 1997. (172-150)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 55% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-27)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 48% of the time since 1997. (141-153)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (112-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
WISCONSIN
[G] 02/19/2013 - Ben Brust probable Wednesday vs. Northwestern ( Knee )
[F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None )
[G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee )
NORTHWESTERN
[F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee )
[C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee )
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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