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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| CINCINNATI | | | | LOUISVILLE | -14 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-15 | 43-42 | 215-246 | 4-12 | 28-47 | 154-179 | 20-9 | 72-29 | 360-168 | | in all lined games | 10-15 | 43-42 | 215-246 | 4-12 | 28-47 | 154-179 | 16-9 | 57-28 | 304-167 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-4 | 14-18 | 31-46 | 3-3 | 15-17 | 42-36 | 3-3 | 19-13 | 41-38 | | as an underdog | 2-1 | 14-12 | 66-63 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 57-63 | 1-2 | 11-15 | 43-88 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-14 | | in road games | 4-4 | 20-12 | 83-82 | 2-3 | 13-16 | 59-70 | 4-4 | 19-13 | 85-87 | | in road lined games | 4-4 | 20-12 | 83-82 | 2-3 | 13-16 | 59-70 | 4-4 | 19-13 | 82-87 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-2 | 8-5 | 11-16 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 16-11 | 2-2 | 7-6 | 10-18 | | against conference opponents | 5-11 | 27-31 | 130-160 | 3-7 | 19-33 | 99-118 | 8-8 | 34-24 | 181-115 | | in March games | 0-1 | 9-5 | 33-47 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 35-36 | 1-0 | 10-4 | 45-37 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-1 | 5-6 | 37-47 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 24-33 | 4-2 | 13-6 | 77-30 | | after a conference game | 4-11 | 28-28 | 129-157 | 2-7 | 18-31 | 106-119 | 7-8 | 35-22 | 178-117 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-5 | 18-15 | 81-95 | 1-4 | 12-19 | 57-71 | 3-4 | 19-14 | 116-64 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-8 | 23-21 | 86-100 | 1-7 | 11-28 | 53-75 | 12-5 | 41-16 | 157-62 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 4-3 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 24-26 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 38-26 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 10-13 | 34-31 | 169-182 | 4-12 | 17-40 | 118-149 | 15-8 | 40-26 | 223-146 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-8 | 21-22 | 91-122 | 2-5 | 13-25 | 83-97 | 6-5 | 23-20 | 113-105 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-4 | 9-12 | 33-58 | 1-4 | 9-12 | 39-42 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 43-50 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-8 | 18-20 | 76-89 | 3-9 | 15-21 | 66-72 | 9-6 | 26-16 | 105-73 |
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| in all games | 15-14 | 56-39 | 254-238 | 7-11 | 35-51 | 159-201 | 24-5 | 79-25 | 361-173 | | in all lined games | 15-14 | 56-39 | 254-238 | 7-11 | 35-51 | 159-201 | 24-5 | 73-25 | 327-172 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-4 | 11-7 | 27-18 | 1-5 | 5-13 | 16-27 | 4-2 | 15-3 | 36-9 | | as a favorite | 14-14 | 43-33 | 188-180 | 7-10 | 25-41 | 123-150 | 23-5 | 64-14 | 285-88 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-1 | 5-2 | 18-14 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 12-7 | 2-0 | 6-1 | 28-4 | | in all home games | 5-9 | 24-23 | 119-122 | 2-3 | 16-23 | 79-90 | 13-1 | 48-7 | 225-53 | | in home lined games | 5-9 | 24-23 | 119-122 | 2-3 | 16-23 | 79-90 | 13-1 | 42-7 | 194-52 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9-12 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 19-2 | | against conference opponents | 8-8 | 34-25 | 158-137 | 2-9 | 21-33 | 96-121 | 12-4 | 40-19 | 190-108 | | in March games | 1-0 | 13-3 | 47-39 | 0-1 | 4-13 | 34-43 | 1-0 | 12-5 | 58-30 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-2 | 13-4 | 51-56 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 34-36 | 3-1 | 13-5 | 77-39 | | after a conference game | 8-7 | 34-24 | 155-137 | 2-9 | 20-34 | 99-126 | 11-4 | 38-20 | 188-109 | | off a win against a conference rival | 8-3 | 27-12 | 101-85 | 2-6 | 16-20 | 69-81 | 9-2 | 25-14 | 121-68 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 10-7 | 32-16 | 96-79 | 6-5 | 25-18 | 74-75 | 15-2 | 44-9 | 124-60 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-2 | 11-8 | 42-31 | 1-1 | 6-12 | 27-29 | 3-0 | 18-2 | 54-24 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 10-11 | 37-33 | 182-192 | 7-9 | 25-42 | 130-159 | 16-5 | 48-25 | 226-158 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-6 | 26-21 | 118-108 | 2-6 | 16-30 | 87-104 | 6-4 | 28-20 | 129-102 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 5-4 | 16-10 | 52-50 | 2-7 | 6-21 | 34-53 | 6-3 | 15-12 | 52-52 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 9-8 | 24-18 | 86-96 | 6-9 | 12-29 | 58-81 | 13-4 | 26-17 | 100-87 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 20-9 | +1.7 | 10-15 | 4-12 | 68.4 | 31.4 | 40.4% | 40.6 | 59.1 | 26.2 | 38.4% | 33.9 | | Road Games | 8-4 | +4.2 | 8-4 | 3-6 | 64.7 | 28.6 | 39.3% | 38.9 | 60.9 | 28.8 | 41.0% | 34.3 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1.8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 58.2 | 26.0 | 34.9% | 36.0 | 60.6 | 31.0 | 41.2% | 36.0 | | Conference Games | 8-8 | -0.8 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 60.7 | 26.7 | 37.1% | 36.2 | 60.4 | 27.7 | 41.6% | 32.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.4 | 31.4 | 24-59 | 40.4% | 7-22 | 31.7% | 14-22 | 64.3% | 41 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 6 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.9 | 29.9 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 13-19 | 68.8% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.7 | 28.6 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 6-20 | 29.0% | 15-22 | 70.1% | 39 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.1 | 26.2 | 21-55 | 38.4% | 5-17 | 30.0% | 12-18 | 65.1% | 34 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.5% | 6-17 | 33.3% | 14-21 | 69.0% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 60.9 | 28.8 | 22-53 | 41.0% | 5-17 | 28.9% | 12-19 | 64.6% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
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| All Games | 24-5 | -3.1 | 15-14 | 7-11 | 73.8 | 33.7 | 44.3% | 38.2 | 58.3 | 26.2 | 39.0% | 33.6 | | Home Games | 13-1 | +1.3 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 75.9 | 37.1 | 45.8% | 39.1 | 56.4 | 24.9 | 39.2% | 32.4 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +2 | 3-2 | 0-4 | 69.4 | 32.2 | 42.1% | 38.8 | 54.2 | 23.4 | 35.5% | 35.0 | | Conference Games | 12-4 | -7.9 | 8-8 | 2-9 | 70.2 | 32.3 | 43.1% | 37.9 | 59.2 | 27.2 | 38.3% | 34.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.8 | 33.7 | 26-59 | 44.3% | 6-18 | 32.2% | 16-23 | 70.6% | 38 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 29.7 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 13-19 | 69.3% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 75.9 | 37.1 | 27-60 | 45.8% | 7-20 | 33.0% | 15-21 | 68.7% | 39 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.3 | 26.2 | 21-53 | 39.0% | 5-17 | 31.3% | 12-18 | 65.0% | 34 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 19 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.9 | 24-55 | 44.2% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 69.1% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 56.4 | 24.9 | 20-52 | 39.2% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 10-16 | 61.5% | 32 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 75.3, LOUISVILLE 77.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| CINCINNATI is 16-12 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997 | | CINCINNATI is 17-11 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997 | | 15 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| CINCINNATI is 2-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | | CINCINNATI is 2-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| CINCINNATI is 8-3 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997 | | LOUISVILLE is 6-5 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1997 | | 5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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3/10/2012 | LOUISVILLE | 50 | -3 | SU ATS | 24 | 17-48 | 35.4% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 11-12 | 91.7% | 37 | 6 | 14 | | N | CINCINNATI | 44 | 124 | Under | 14 | 20-51 | 39.2% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 1-7 | 14.3% | 28 | 6 | 11 | 2/23/2012 | LOUISVILLE | 56 | 133 | Under | 30 | 19-55 | 34.5% | 1-14 | 7.1% | 17-23 | 73.9% | 42 | 13 | 14 | | | CINCINNATI | 60 | -2 | SU ATS | 32 | 19-58 | 32.8% | 11-27 | 40.7% | 11-19 | 57.9% | 36 | 15 | 11 | 2/16/2011 | LOUISVILLE | 54 | 131 | Under | 24 | 23-49 | 46.9% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 4-7 | 57.1% | 28 | 6 | 14 | | | CINCINNATI | 63 | -2 | SU ATS | 36 | 21-47 | 44.7% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 16-24 | 66.7% | 29 | 4 | 11 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (178-189) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 62.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-26) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (209-199) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-37) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (153-135) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 40.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-39) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 44.7% of the time since 1997. (138-171) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-41) | |
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| [F] 03/03/2013 - Justin Jackson doubtful Monday vs. Louisville ( Foot ) | | [G] 01/11/2013 - Jeremiah Davis III out indefinitely ( Wrist ) | |
| [F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Personal ) | | [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) |
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