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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT (13-5) AT PROVIDENCE (10-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
509: CONNECTICUT
510: PROVIDENCE
136.0
+1.0
70.7 / 64.1
68.4 / 64.2
13-5
10-10
6-7
8-7
4-5
3-2
45.9
42.2
73.0
68.0
32.4
32.7
40.9
41.7
69.1
70.0
31.7
28.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CONNECTICUT-1 
PROVIDENCE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CONNECTICUT - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-741-35229-2324-533-40174-19213-565-28402-136
in all lined games6-741-35229-2324-533-40174-1929-551-28334-136
when the total is 130 to 139.52-519-2274-793-421-2181-744-323-2096-61
as a favorite3-425-26178-1882-121-27136-1417-039-14295-76
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-01-311-150-02-311-100-03-213-14
in road games2-18-1472-832-011-1156-681-29-1489-69
in road lined games2-18-1472-832-011-1156-681-29-1489-69
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.50-00-412-170-03-214-160-02-316-14
against conference opponents4-226-23145-1442-124-23112-1193-328-23196-98
in January games4-212-968-662-17-1145-513-311-1088-48
after a conference game4-127-21145-1431-125-21113-1253-228-22200-93
off a win against a conference rival1-116-10101-910-116-1076-781-115-12138-57
after allowing 60 points or less0-48-1465-842-212-1164-533-319-12137-48

PROVIDENCE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-732-37194-2253-233-24142-11710-1040-44244-236
in all lined games8-732-37194-2253-233-24142-1176-1026-44195-231
when the total is 130 to 139.50-07-1030-410-011-637-340-07-1030-41
as an underdog5-222-21102-1061-121-1778-631-78-3652-159
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-00-36-170-01-29-40-00-36-17
in all home games5-218-1589-1162-017-973-508-333-14170-89
in home lined games5-218-1589-1162-017-973-504-319-14123-85
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.50-02-310-140-04-115-90-04-115-9
against conference opponents5-320-26126-1491-021-1892-832-610-36104-174
in January games5-310-1359-721-010-643-272-65-1854-78
after a conference game4-319-25124-1451-020-1790-813-513-33109-168
off a loss against a conference rival3-212-2170-910-015-1361-522-38-2556-107
after allowing 80 points or more1-17-1350-570-09-945-360-25-1557-64
when playing against a team with a winning record7-323-24144-1691-123-16112-894-714-36132-203
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-112-1576-981-013-1168-582-27-2053-123
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CONNECTICUT - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-5+6.86-74-570.732.845.9%32.264.128.240.9%35.8
Road Games4-4+3.83-44-369.929.744.1%30.170.031.142.8%37.0
Last 5 Games3-2+34-11-169.833.245.6%35.066.429.644.4%32.8
Conference Games3-3+24-22-170.832.245.4%34.369.029.744.2%34.2
CONNECTICUT Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.732.825-5545.9%6-1832.4%14-2073.0%32813168124
vs opponents surrendering64.730.223-5541.7%6-1832.3%13-1868.1%33912187143
Team Stats (Road Games)69.929.724-5544.1%6-1831.7%15-2075.8%30711187104
Stats Against (All Games)64.128.223-5740.9%5-1631.7%12-1869.1%361111176143
vs opponents averaging68.63224-5544.1%5-1633.7%15-2169.4%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)70.031.124-5742.8%5-1535.2%16-2370.5%371212175133

PROVIDENCE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-10-12.48-73-268.431.342.2%37.464.228.841.7%34.2
Home Games8-3-1.35-22-069.832.142.5%39.059.526.638.5%33.5
Last 5 Games2-3-0.23-21-067.228.039.7%35.868.833.048.2%32.4
Conference Games2-6-4.55-31-067.129.240.4%35.572.433.647.2%33.9
PROVIDENCE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.431.324-5642.2%6-1832.7%15-2268.0%371214167143
vs opponents surrendering64.729.923-5541.2%6-1933.0%13-1967.8%34912187144
Team Stats (Home Games)69.832.124-5742.5%5-1830.1%16-2368.2%391315158144
Stats Against (All Games)64.228.823-5641.7%5-1828.1%12-1870.0%341012207143
vs opponents averaging683224-5543.2%6-1833.1%14-2069.0%361013187144
Stats Against (Home Games)59.526.622-5638.5%4-1822.2%12-1773.6%331011206163
Average power rating of opponents played: CONNECTICUT 75.2,  PROVIDENCE 73.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
PROVIDENCE is 12-9 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997
CONNECTICUT is 13-8 straight up against PROVIDENCE since 1997
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PROVIDENCE since 1997
PROVIDENCE is 5-5 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997
CONNECTICUT is 6-4 straight up against PROVIDENCE since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/28/2012CONNECTICUT70-5 Over3227-5846.6%4-1625.0%12-1866.7%37107
 PROVIDENCE72137.5SU ATS3024-6338.1%10-2147.6%14-1973.7%41147
2/13/2011PROVIDENCE57150.5 Under3020-6033.3%3-2015.0%14-2263.6%351211
 CONNECTICUT75-10SU ATS3329-6246.8%7-1643.7%10-1471.4%421211
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CONNECTICUT in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 45.2% of the time since 1997. (170-206)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 42.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PROVIDENCE games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (170-169)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PROVIDENCE games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-29)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (157-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PROVIDENCE games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (126-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PROVIDENCE games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-25)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CONNECTICUT
[G] 01/31/2013 - Ryan Boatright probable Thursday vs. Providence ( Knee )
[G] 01/31/2013 - Shabazz Napier probable Thursday vs. Providence ( Shoulder )
PROVIDENCE
[G] 11/02/2012 - Ricky Ledo out for season ( Eligibility )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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