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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
ILLINOIS (15-6) AT MICHIGAN ST (17-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: ILLINOIS
512: MICHIGAN ST
133.5
-8.5
72.1 / 66.0
69.2 / 58.6
15-6
17-4
7-11
8-10
7-9
8-9
42.8
46.3
71.7
71.4
33.1
34.6
42.1
38.5
67.7
63.4
34.3
31.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ILLINOIS  
MICHIGAN ST-11 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-1134-46237-2347-940-37171-19815-651-36362-170
in all lined games7-1134-46237-2347-940-37171-19812-646-36315-169
when the total is 130 to 139.51-615-1962-742-515-2063-734-320-1582-57
as an underdog3-411-1463-694-319-858-513-48-1937-98
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-10-28-60-11-15-70-10-23-11
in road games3-311-1477-751-415-1154-744-210-1781-81
in road lined games3-311-1477-751-415-1154-744-210-1780-80
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-04-117-120-03-213-160-03-214-15
against conference opponents2-517-26143-1391-623-22102-1252-517-28176-117
in January games2-58-1356-661-68-1341-512-59-1269-58
after a conference game2-416-25141-1391-522-2199-1283-417-27176-116
off a loss against a conference rival2-211-1461-500-411-1541-452-212-1464-49
after scoring 60 points or less1-15-1047-520-28-940-461-19-959-50
when playing against a team with a winning record7-827-32188-1786-832-28139-15512-534-29231-154
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-410-19107-1021-415-1676-1021-49-22117-99
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-46-1565-691-414-857-661-46-1673-66
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-1015-25102-1135-825-1593-968-620-21127-97

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1041-42256-2308-936-46180-21917-464-28394-146
in all lined games8-1041-42256-2308-936-46180-21914-456-28348-146
when the total is 130 to 139.54-318-1795-803-414-2290-884-320-16126-55
as a favorite5-828-35195-1765-727-36139-15912-147-17305-74
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-06-234-80-02-619-190-07-140-2
in all home games4-520-17114-974-419-1880-8312-041-4229-24
in home lined games4-520-17114-974-419-1880-839-034-4191-24
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.51-06-224-140-14-421-181-07-136-4
against conference opponents5-327-22151-1325-322-28103-1336-233-17203-86
in January games5-210-1260-614-311-1144-506-114-889-35
after a conference game5-226-22153-1284-322-27105-1336-132-17205-83
off a loss against a conference rival1-06-940-411-011-533-391-010-659-26
when playing against a team with a winning record6-733-34194-1827-632-35150-17410-344-25254-136
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-119-20122-1022-319-2197-1084-124-16151-79
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-6+0.57-117-972.134.442.8%35.466.030.642.1%34.9
Road Games7-3+5.65-55-475.637.143.8%33.869.133.341.7%38.5
Last 5 Games1-4-7.51-41-460.626.438.2%32.670.233.447.4%33.4
Conference Games2-5-7.72-51-662.628.939.3%34.067.731.944.0%34.6
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.134.425-5942.8%8-2533.1%14-1971.7%351111188125
vs opponents surrendering65.530.123-5542.1%6-1833.4%13-1967.3%34912177133
Team Stats (Road Games)75.637.126-5843.8%9-2535.1%16-2175.8%34910208114
Stats Against (All Games)66.030.623-5542.1%7-1934.3%13-1967.7%351012176152
vs opponents averaging69.632.625-5744.0%7-1934.7%13-1968.5%361014177133
Stats Against (Road Games)69.133.324-5841.7%6-1932.8%14-2166.5%381212185142

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-4+2.68-108-969.233.146.3%38.358.628.538.5%31.0
Home Games12-0+34-54-473.134.148.5%40.754.325.233.9%30.3
Last 5 Games4-1+2.83-23-265.031.244.2%34.061.231.041.6%30.4
Conference Games6-2+3.85-35-366.731.743.9%35.262.731.543.6%32.6
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.233.125-5446.3%5-1434.6%14-2071.4%381014169144
vs opponents surrendering65.429.223-5641.2%6-1832.3%14-1970.0%35912187143
Team Stats (Home Games)73.134.126-5348.5%5-1531.7%17-2373.6%411015169154
Stats Against (All Games)58.628.521-5438.5%5-1831.2%12-1963.4%31811178144
vs opponents averaging67.831.524-5742.6%6-1833.2%13-2067.8%361013187134
Stats Against (Home Games)54.325.219-5533.9%5-1928.3%12-1962.1%30811199152
Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 73.1,  MICHIGAN ST 74.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
ILLINOIS is 17-10 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 16-12 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997
17 of 25 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 2-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN ST since 1997
ILLINOIS is 7-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 9-3 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/31/2012MICHIGAN ST41-1.5 Under2014-5824.1%3-1421.4%10-1283.3%491816
 ILLINOIS42129.5SU ATS2215-4632.6%3-1717.6%9-1752.9%32812
2/19/2011ILLINOIS57135.5 2622-5937.3%5-1926.3%8-1080.0%30910
 MICHIGAN ST61-4SU Under2521-5042.0%3-1520.0%16-2369.6%381111
1/18/2011MICHIGAN ST62135 Under3724-6437.5%7-2626.9%7-977.8%35179
 ILLINOIS71-4SU ATS4125-4753.2%8-1747.1%13-1968.4%29710
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (201-184)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (183-212)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-38)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (153-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (191-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 53.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-35)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
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