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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| WAKE FOREST | | | | N CAROLINA | -16 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-6 | 35-36 | 200-231 | 2-2 | 30-28 | 180-151 | 10-11 | 31-53 | 292-205 | | in all lined games | 12-6 | 35-36 | 200-231 | 2-2 | 30-28 | 180-151 | 8-11 | 24-51 | 239-202 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 1-0 | 12-17 | 60-70 | 0-1 | 18-12 | 67-64 | 0-1 | 7-24 | 65-69 | | as an underdog | 10-5 | 27-27 | 86-102 | 1-2 | 22-23 | 87-70 | 5-10 | 11-46 | 51-141 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3-17 | | in road games | 4-3 | 13-13 | 80-91 | 0-2 | 11-11 | 69-64 | 1-6 | 4-24 | 67-112 | | in road lined games | 4-3 | 13-13 | 80-91 | 0-2 | 11-11 | 69-64 | 1-6 | 3-24 | 62-111 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 14-13 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 8-19 | | against conference opponents | 6-3 | 19-22 | 124-142 | 0-2 | 17-19 | 110-98 | 3-6 | 8-35 | 123-148 | | in February games | 0-1 | 7-8 | 52-56 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 45-40 | 0-1 | 2-14 | 54-60 | | on Tuesday nights | 2-2 | 7-4 | 32-31 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 27-18 | 2-2 | 4-9 | 40-33 | | after a conference game | 5-3 | 18-21 | 117-138 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 108-95 | 4-5 | 9-33 | 130-140 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-1 | 15-16 | 66-71 | 0-0 | 14-13 | 56-50 | 2-3 | 6-26 | 67-76 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 3-1 | 10-11 | 50-55 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 43-47 | 2-2 | 9-15 | 63-52 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-0 | 12-7 | 29-29 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 19-20 | 2-1 | 8-14 | 34-35 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-0 | 6-9 | 20-20 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 17-20 | 0-0 | 4-14 | 19-26 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-5 | 23-24 | 155-190 | 2-2 | 20-20 | 151-122 | 6-10 | 12-41 | 179-182 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-3 | 11-16 | 91-120 | 0-1 | 12-11 | 97-76 | 1-5 | 2-26 | 90-125 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 2-0 | 6-3 | 41-48 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 41-30 | 1-1 | 1-8 | 33-57 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 4-0 | 8-3 | 63-74 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 61-49 | 2-2 | 3-10 | 62-79 |
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| in all games | 10-8 | 46-42 | 264-239 | 8-9 | 41-46 | 219-198 | 15-6 | 76-20 | 405-145 | | in all lined games | 10-8 | 46-42 | 264-239 | 8-9 | 41-46 | 219-198 | 12-6 | 69-20 | 369-142 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 6-4 | 23-20 | 81-75 | 5-5 | 21-22 | 85-74 | 7-3 | 32-11 | 108-52 | | as a favorite | 9-5 | 41-35 | 216-180 | 7-6 | 38-37 | 174-147 | 11-3 | 66-11 | 335-67 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 5-0 | 15-11 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 8-12 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 23-3 | | in all home games | 6-3 | 23-16 | 116-103 | 4-4 | 19-19 | 103-75 | 10-1 | 42-3 | 207-44 | | in home lined games | 6-3 | 23-16 | 116-103 | 4-4 | 19-19 | 103-75 | 8-1 | 36-3 | 179-42 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 3-1 | 8-5 | 25-19 | 2-2 | 9-4 | 27-16 | 4-0 | 12-1 | 34-10 | | against conference opponents | 4-4 | 24-21 | 133-140 | 3-4 | 20-25 | 121-111 | 5-3 | 37-9 | 186-95 | | in February games | 0-1 | 11-6 | 57-55 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 49-42 | 1-0 | 15-2 | 75-39 | | on Tuesday nights | 1-2 | 9-5 | 33-26 | 2-1 | 7-7 | 27-20 | 1-2 | 12-3 | 49-17 | | after a conference game | 4-3 | 25-19 | 133-137 | 3-3 | 21-23 | 120-111 | 5-2 | 37-8 | 191-89 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-2 | 18-17 | 78-99 | 2-1 | 17-18 | 79-74 | 3-1 | 29-7 | 128-57 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-2 | 12-10 | 63-41 | 3-2 | 11-11 | 38-43 | 4-1 | 21-3 | 92-21 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-0 | 3-7 | 22-29 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 26-10 | 2-0 | 12-1 | 60-8 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 1-3 | 11-16 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 12-5 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 22-6 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 10-11 | +0.5 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 67.8 | 31.6 | 43.1% | 32.9 | 70.4 | 34.9 | 45.6% | 35.2 | | Road Games | 2-8 | -5 | 6-4 | 1-2 | 65.0 | 29.6 | 39.1% | 34.6 | 74.8 | 38.2 | 48.3% | 33.8 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -0.2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 68.6 | 33.2 | 40.5% | 33.8 | 78.6 | 42.4 | 52.9% | 37.8 | | Conference Games | 3-6 | +1.5 | 6-3 | 0-2 | 64.3 | 31.6 | 39.8% | 34.3 | 73.0 | 38.0 | 48.4% | 36.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.8 | 31.6 | 23-54 | 43.1% | 5-15 | 35.5% | 16-24 | 67.1% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.2 | 29.9 | 23-56 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.0 | 29.6 | 22-56 | 39.1% | 5-14 | 37.9% | 16-24 | 66.5% | 35 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.4 | 34.9 | 26-56 | 45.6% | 6-17 | 35.0% | 13-19 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.5 | 32.3 | 25-56 | 44.5% | 6-18 | 34.9% | 14-20 | 69.6% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 74.8 | 38.2 | 27-56 | 48.3% | 8-19 | 42.5% | 12-18 | 70.5% | 34 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 5 |
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| All Games | 15-6 | -4.5 | 10-8 | 8-9 | 78.7 | 37.4 | 44.5% | 42.4 | 68.9 | 29.8 | 40.3% | 37.1 | | Home Games | 10-1 | +1.2 | 6-3 | 4-4 | 79.7 | 38.4 | 44.6% | 44.1 | 65.5 | 25.8 | 38.8% | 37.5 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2 | 3-2 | 3-1 | 75.6 | 36.4 | 42.2% | 40.0 | 67.2 | 32.4 | 41.5% | 38.6 | | Conference Games | 5-3 | +0.6 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 70.7 | 34.0 | 42.1% | 38.6 | 67.1 | 30.9 | 43.2% | 34.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.7 | 37.4 | 30-67 | 44.5% | 7-20 | 36.2% | 12-19 | 65.1% | 42 | 13 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.1 | 31.5 | 24-58 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 32.8% | 13-18 | 68.1% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 79.7 | 38.4 | 30-67 | 44.6% | 7-19 | 35.0% | 13-21 | 63.6% | 44 | 14 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.9 | 29.8 | 25-62 | 40.3% | 7-21 | 34.9% | 11-17 | 68.6% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 70 | 32.4 | 25-56 | 44.0% | 6-19 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.5 | 25.8 | 25-63 | 38.8% | 7-21 | 31.9% | 10-15 | 63.7% | 37 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: WAKE FOREST 74.6, N CAROLINA 74.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| WAKE FOREST is 14-10 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 15-10 straight up against WAKE FOREST since 1997 | | 11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| WAKE FOREST is 7-4 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 7-5 straight up against WAKE FOREST since 1997 | | 5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/31/2012 | N CAROLINA | 68 | -16.5 | SU Under | 36 | 22-71 | 31.0% | 4-19 | 21.1% | 20-26 | 76.9% | 55 | 21 | 6 | | | WAKE FOREST | 53 | 152 | ATS | 24 | 16-54 | 29.6% | 2-18 | 11.1% | 19-26 | 73.1% | 40 | 7 | 11 | 2/15/2011 | WAKE FOREST | 64 | 155 | ATS | 28 | 23-61 | 37.7% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 10-10 | 100.0% | 35 | 8 | 13 | | | N CAROLINA | 78 | -23 | SU Under | 41 | 26-71 | 36.6% | 5-27 | 18.5% | 21-28 | 75.0% | 50 | 19 | 8 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WAKE FOREST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (185-154) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WAKE FOREST games 63.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-19) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (201-219) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-40) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in WAKE FOREST games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (145-142) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WAKE FOREST games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-25) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.4% of the time since 1997. (170-189) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-42) | |
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| [F] 10/26/2012 - Daniel Green out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 02/05/2013 - Desmond Hubert is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Wake Forest ( Illness ) | | [F] 02/05/2013 - James Michael McAdoo is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Wake Forest ( Back ) | | [G] 02/04/2013 - P.J. Hairston is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs. Wake Forest ( Concussion ) |
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