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Page last updated on Wed Jun 19 20:18:56 EDT 2013

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Saturday at 12:00 PM			VIRGINIA (18-6) AT N CAROLINA (16-8)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
511: VIRGINIA 512: N CAROLINA	OFF -5.0	64.3 / 52.3 77.9 / 69.5	18-6 16-8	14-7 12-9	4-3 10-10	46.1 44.2	71.4 64.4	40.2 36.3	37.4 41.1	67.2 69.9	28.7 35.3

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
VIRGINIA
N CAROLINA	-2

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	14-7	45-28	189-210	4-3	20-37	135-148	18-6	56-31	263-219
in all lined games	14-7	45-28	189-210	4-3	20-37	135-148	16-6	45-30	193-214
as an underdog	2-1	19-10	96-108	0-1	7-18	70-91	2-1	11-18	53-155
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points	0-0	2-1	11-23	0-0	0-2	8-18	0-0	1-2	7-28
in road games	3-4	17-9	69-92	1-1	9-12	49-67	3-4	14-14	55-119
in road lined games	3-4	17-9	69-92	1-1	9-12	49-67	3-4	13-14	46-119
against conference opponents	7-4	26-18	121-142	3-2	17-22	94-103	8-3	24-21	108-162
in February games	3-1	12-5	48-62	3-0	5-12	30-54	3-1	9-9	46-70
on Saturday games	4-2	16-6	55-55	1-0	6-11	33-41	5-2	13-11	57-65
after a conference game	6-4	24-18	116-136	3-1	17-19	92-96	7-3	24-21	118-151
off a win against a conference rival	4-3	11-10	50-48	2-1	8-10	34-42	5-2	11-12	52-55
after allowing 60 points or less	10-6	28-19	54-49	2-2	10-25	32-44	13-5	40-18	81-47
when playing against a team with a winning record	9-4	33-21	154-164	2-3	16-29	112-124	11-3	32-24	153-186
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	4-2	17-13	87-102	2-1	14-14	74-80	5-1	15-16	73-121
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	0-1	4-4	45-46	0-1	2-6	35-38	1-0	2-6	25-68
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	1-1	8-6	65-70	0-2	3-11	50-58	2-0	5-9	46-94

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	12-9	48-43	266-240	10-10	43-47	221-199	16-8	77-22	406-147
in all lined games	12-9	48-43	266-240	10-10	43-47	221-199	13-8	70-22	370-144
as a favorite	10-5	42-35	217-180	8-6	39-37	175-147	12-3	67-11	336-67
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points	1-1	2-3	11-8	0-2	2-3	9-8	1-1	3-2	12-7
in all home games	7-3	24-16	117-103	5-4	20-19	104-75	11-1	43-3	208-44
in home lined games	7-3	24-16	117-103	5-4	20-19	104-75	9-1	37-3	180-42
against conference opponents	6-5	26-22	135-141	5-5	22-26	123-112	6-5	38-11	187-97
in February games	2-2	13-7	59-56	2-1	8-11	51-43	2-2	16-4	76-41
on Saturday games	5-4	13-16	76-78	5-3	16-13	60-65	8-2	25-6	117-49
after a conference game	6-4	27-20	135-138	5-4	23-24	122-112	6-4	38-10	192-91
revenging a road loss vs opponent	0-0	6-6	32-32	0-0	7-5	40-19	0-0	8-4	38-27
off a loss against a conference rival	3-1	8-2	55-37	1-3	4-6	41-37	2-2	8-2	62-32
when playing against a team with a winning record	7-9	35-32	219-192	8-7	29-37	179-173	8-8	49-20	296-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	4-3	26-17	132-117	3-3	20-22	117-103	4-3	35-9	171-84
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	2-1	10-10	47-40	2-1	11-10	36-38	2-1	16-5	59-29
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	3-7	17-21	93-75	5-5	19-20	69-75	5-6	26-14	122-53

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	18-6	+7.7	14-7	4-3	64.3	30.1	46.1%	32.7	52.3	23.2	37.4%	30.0
Road Games	3-5	+0.2	3-5	2-1	61.2	27.7	42.6%	31.5	60.9	25.7	44.8%	29.5
Last 5 Games	4-1	+1.6	3-2	3-1	69.8	34.0	46.7%	32.0	57.2	24.2	39.5%	33.0
Conference Games	8-3	+2.6	7-4	3-2	63.7	29.7	46.0%	30.7	54.3	24.1	40.0%	30.0

VIRGINIA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	64.3	30.1	23-51	46.1%	6-16	40.2%	11-15	71.4%	33	8	15	16	6	11	4
vs opponents surrendering	66.3	30.9	24-56	42.0%	6-18	33.6%	13-19	68.5%	35	10	12	18	7	13	4
Team Stats (Road Games)	61.2	27.7	22-51	42.6%	7-18	41.1%	10-15	70.1%	31	9	13	18	4	12	3
Stats Against (All Games)	52.3	23.2	18-49	37.4%	5-17	28.7%	11-16	67.2%	30	8	8	15	5	13	3
vs opponents averaging	66.5	30.7	24-56	42.7%	5-16	32.3%	14-20	67.8%	36	10	12	17	6	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	60.9	25.7	21-47	44.8%	6-16	36.6%	13-20	65.2%	29	6	11	15	5	11	4

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	16-8	-6.5	12-9	10-10	77.9	37.2	44.2%	41.5	69.5	30.2	41.1%	37.0
Home Games	11-1	+1.2	7-3	5-4	80.3	39.1	45.1%	43.6	65.2	25.9	39.1%	37.1
Last 5 Games	3-2	-1	3-2	3-1	74.0	36.2	42.6%	37.8	70.4	33.0	45.1%	34.0
Conference Games	6-5	-1.4	6-5	5-5	71.1	34.5	42.2%	37.6	69.0	31.5	44.4%	35.3

N CAROLINA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	77.9	37.2	29-67	44.2%	7-19	36.3%	12-18	64.4%	41	13	18	15	8	13	4
vs opponents surrendering	66.9	31.5	24-57	41.8%	6-19	32.8%	13-18	68.1%	35	10	12	18	7	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	80.3	39.1	30-67	45.1%	7-18	36.7%	13-21	62.8%	44	14	20	14	8	14	4
Stats Against (All Games)	69.5	30.2	25-62	41.1%	7-21	35.3%	12-16	69.9%	37	10	13	17	7	16	4
vs opponents averaging	69.9	32.3	25-56	44.1%	6-18	34.9%	14-20	69.1%	36	10	13	17	7	14	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	65.2	25.9	24-63	39.1%	6-21	30.4%	10-15	64.3%	37	10	11	19	8	17	4

Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 74.4, N CAROLINA 74.6

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

VIRGINIA is 15-12 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997

N CAROLINA is 18-10 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997

14 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA is 3-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997

N CAROLINA is 7-6 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997

N CAROLINA is 10-3 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997

6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
1/6/2013	N CAROLINA	52	133	Under	25	19-51	37.3%	5-17	29.4%	9-17	52.9%	35	5	12
	VIRGINIA	61	-3	SU ATS	24	22-49	44.9%	8-14	57.1%	9-18	50.0%	32	5	11
2/25/2012	N CAROLINA	54	-3.5	SU Under	26	17-51	33.3%	2-14	14.3%	18-23	78.3%	48	9	11
	VIRGINIA	51	129	ATS	30	21-60	35.0%	6-23	26.1%	3-6	50.0%	29	5	4
2/11/2012	VIRGINIA	52	133	Under	32	20-55	36.4%	3-16	18.7%	9-13	69.2%	32	7	12
	N CAROLINA	70	-10	SU ATS	35	24-68	35.3%	1-10	10.0%	21-27	77.8%	52	19	8

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51% of the time since 1997. (173-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 52.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (204-219)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-40)
No Edge.

No total has been posted for this game.

Key Player Injuries

VIRGINIA

[F] 02/16/2013 - Darion Atkins probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Leg )

[C] 02/09/2013 - Mike Tobey out indefinitely ( Mononucleosis )

[G] 11/08/2012 - Malcolm Brogdon out for season ( Foot )

N CAROLINA

[F] 02/16/2013 - Joel James doubtful Saturday vs. Virginia ( Concussion )

Now you can download and print schedules for each sport so you can plan ahead and track your results.

UPDATED:

BASEBALL	3/31/2013 - 6/2/2013
	6/3/2013 - 8/7/2013
BASKETBALL	2/26/2013 - 4/17/2013
HOCKEY	2/26/2013 - 4/27/2013

PROPS FUTURES
RK	Team
1	Boston Bruins
2	Chicago Blackhawks
3	San Francisco Giants
4	Los Angeles Dodgers
5	Detroit Tigers
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06/19/2013
MLB	Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies	4:05 PM PST
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MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees (Game 2)	4:05 PM PST
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NHL	Chicago Blackhawks vs Boston Bruins (Game 4)	5:05 PM PST
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MLB	Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels	7:05 PM PST

06/20/2013
MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds	09:35 AM PST
MLB	Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins	10:10 AM PST
MLB	Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers	11:05 AM PST
MLB	Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros	11:10 AM PST
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MLB	Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers	4:05 PM PST
MLB	Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees	4:05 PM PST
MLB	New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves	4:10 PM PST
MLB	Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals	5:15 PM PST
NBA	San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat (FINAL)	6:00 PM PST
MLB	Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels	7:05 PM PST
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