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Page last updated on Wed Mar 04 13:33:14 EST 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
VIRGINIA (18-6) AT N CAROLINA (16-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: VIRGINIA
512: N CAROLINA
OFF
-5.0
64.3 / 52.3
77.9 / 69.5
18-6
16-8
14-7
12-9
4-3
10-10
46.1
44.2
71.4
64.4
40.2
36.3
37.4
41.1
67.2
69.9
28.7
35.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VIRGINIA  
N CAROLINA-2 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-745-28189-2104-320-37135-14818-656-31263-219
in all lined games14-745-28189-2104-320-37135-14816-645-30193-214
as an underdog2-119-1096-1080-17-1870-912-111-1853-155
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-111-230-00-28-180-01-27-28
in road games3-417-969-921-19-1249-673-414-1455-119
in road lined games3-417-969-921-19-1249-673-413-1446-119
against conference opponents7-426-18121-1423-217-2294-1038-324-21108-162
in February games3-112-548-623-05-1230-543-19-946-70
on Saturday games4-216-655-551-06-1133-415-213-1157-65
after a conference game6-424-18116-1363-117-1992-967-324-21118-151
off a win against a conference rival4-311-1050-482-18-1034-425-211-1252-55
after allowing 60 points or less10-628-1954-492-210-2532-4413-540-1881-47
when playing against a team with a winning record9-433-21154-1642-316-29112-12411-332-24153-186
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-217-1387-1022-114-1474-805-115-1673-121
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-14-445-460-12-635-381-02-625-68
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-18-665-700-23-1150-582-05-946-94

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-948-43266-24010-1043-47221-19916-877-22406-147
in all lined games12-948-43266-24010-1043-47221-19913-870-22370-144
as a favorite10-542-35217-1808-639-37175-14712-367-11336-67
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-12-311-80-22-39-81-13-212-7
in all home games7-324-16117-1035-420-19104-7511-143-3208-44
in home lined games7-324-16117-1035-420-19104-759-137-3180-42
against conference opponents6-526-22135-1415-522-26123-1126-538-11187-97
in February games2-213-759-562-18-1151-432-216-476-41
on Saturday games5-413-1676-785-316-1360-658-225-6117-49
after a conference game6-427-20135-1385-423-24122-1126-438-10192-91
revenging a road loss vs opponent0-06-632-320-07-540-190-08-438-27
off a loss against a conference rival3-18-255-371-34-641-372-28-262-32
when playing against a team with a winning record7-935-32219-1928-729-37179-1738-849-20296-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-326-17132-1173-320-22117-1034-335-9171-84
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-110-1047-402-111-1036-382-116-559-29
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-717-2193-755-519-2069-755-626-14122-53
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-6+7.714-74-364.330.146.1%32.752.323.237.4%30.0
Road Games3-5+0.23-52-161.227.742.6%31.560.925.744.8%29.5
Last 5 Games4-1+1.63-23-169.834.046.7%32.057.224.239.5%33.0
Conference Games8-3+2.67-43-263.729.746.0%30.754.324.140.0%30.0
VIRGINIA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.330.123-5146.1%6-1640.2%11-1571.4%33815166114
vs opponents surrendering66.330.924-5642.0%6-1833.6%13-1968.5%351012187134
Team Stats (Road Games)61.227.722-5142.6%7-1841.1%10-1570.1%31913184123
Stats Against (All Games)52.323.218-4937.4%5-1728.7%11-1667.2%3088155133
vs opponents averaging66.530.724-5642.7%5-1632.3%14-2067.8%361012176144
Stats Against (Road Games)60.925.721-4744.8%6-1636.6%13-2065.2%29611155114

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games16-8-6.512-910-1077.937.244.2%41.569.530.241.1%37.0
Home Games11-1+1.27-35-480.339.145.1%43.665.225.939.1%37.1
Last 5 Games3-2-13-23-174.036.242.6%37.870.433.045.1%34.0
Conference Games6-5-1.46-55-571.134.542.2%37.669.031.544.4%35.3
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.937.229-6744.2%7-1936.3%12-1864.4%411318158134
vs opponents surrendering66.931.524-5741.8%6-1932.8%13-1868.1%351012187143
Team Stats (Home Games)80.339.130-6745.1%7-1836.7%13-2162.8%441420148144
Stats Against (All Games)69.530.225-6241.1%7-2135.3%12-1669.9%371013177164
vs opponents averaging69.932.325-5644.1%6-1834.9%14-2069.1%361013177144
Stats Against (Home Games)65.225.924-6339.1%6-2130.4%10-1564.3%371011198174
Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 74.4,  N CAROLINA 74.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
VIRGINIA is 15-12 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 18-10 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997
14 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 3-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 7-6 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 10-3 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/6/2013N CAROLINA52133 Under2519-5137.3%5-1729.4%9-1752.9%35512
 VIRGINIA61-3SU ATS2422-4944.9%8-1457.1%9-1850.0%32511
2/25/2012N CAROLINA54-3.5SU Under2617-5133.3%2-1414.3%18-2378.3%48911
 VIRGINIA51129 ATS3021-6035.0%6-2326.1%3-650.0%2954
2/11/2012VIRGINIA52133 Under3220-5536.4%3-1618.7%9-1369.2%32712
 N CAROLINA70-10SU ATS3524-6835.3%1-1010.0%21-2777.8%52198
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51% of the time since 1997. (173-166)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 52.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (204-219)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-40)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
VIRGINIA
[F] 02/16/2013 - Darion Atkins probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Leg )
[C] 02/09/2013 - Mike Tobey out indefinitely ( Mononucleosis )
[G] 11/08/2012 - Malcolm Brogdon out for season ( Foot )
N CAROLINA
[F] 02/16/2013 - Joel James doubtful Saturday vs. Virginia ( Concussion )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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