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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
PENN ST (14-15) AT NORTHWESTERN (12-17) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: PENN ST
512: NORTHWESTERN
124.5
+1.0
72.8 / 72.2
60.0 / 63.3
14-15
12-17
14-12
10-18
13-11
6-18
43.6
39.7
74.6
70.6
31.8
30.2
41.5
41.2
72.2
65.6
35.6
31.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
PENN ST  
NORTHWESTERN-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1236-40226-21813-1139-35142-14714-1536-56236-291
in all lined games14-1236-40226-21813-1139-35142-14712-1426-54171-284
when the total is 120 to 129.50-010-1645-520-015-1249-490-07-2136-63
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-00-07-60-00-02-10-00-06-7
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-01-05-20-00-02-01-01-05-2
in road games5-413-1692-925-314-1357-553-65-2441-143
in road lined games5-413-1692-925-314-1357-553-65-2441-143
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-03-615-220-03-516-200-02-79-28
against conference opponents6-1022-30147-1577-927-26100-1095-1111-4391-219
in March games1-03-440-310-14-331-260-11-630-42
after a conference game6-921-28143-1527-827-2398-1086-1013-4099-210
off a loss against a conference rival3-715-2495-1063-720-1967-743-78-3261-146
when playing against a team with a losing record1-16-551-331-14-515-272-110-587-36
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-02-225-190-01-27-190-02-223-22
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-115-1361-702-218-1058-472-26-2333-103
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-321-18100-1065-323-1682-683-512-3070-152
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-03-317-190-04-111-160-02-416-21
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game0-04-334-230-04-213-220-04-446-27

NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1837-47212-2276-1835-39145-14212-1744-50233-283
in all lined games10-1837-47212-2276-1835-39145-14211-1735-50163-279
when the total is 120 to 129.54-612-1656-661-815-1263-574-610-1944-80
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-11-312-200-11-35-120-10-410-22
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-11-615-140-12-59-120-11-617-12
in all home games5-1018-2596-1101-1113-2363-688-828-24168-110
in home lined games5-1018-2596-1101-1113-2363-687-819-24101-106
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.52-46-929-290-56-828-282-44-1126-32
against conference opponents6-1024-29146-1573-1220-31102-1045-1117-3790-216
in March games1-03-522-310-15-322-240-12-616-39
after a conference game7-925-27141-1483-1319-3295-1016-1019-34106-199
off a loss against a conference rival4-618-1699-973-713-2165-653-714-2174-130
after allowing 60 points or less4-1011-1786-864-810-1454-545-915-17104-106
after scoring 60 points or less6-1018-2099-1024-1014-2158-645-1116-24101-130
after 3 or more consecutive losses3-36-738-412-46-622-232-43-1027-57
when playing against a team with a losing record2-23-537-331-03-031-164-111-391-24
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-00-222-190-02-019-130-01-231-16
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-15+2.814-1213-1172.834.843.6%34.972.233.041.5%35.4
Road Games5-7+68-47-470.233.641.7%33.573.834.741.6%38.3
Last 5 Games2-3+13-22-366.828.641.3%33.072.233.044.1%32.4
Conference Games5-11+1.96-107-965.931.640.1%32.971.334.141.4%36.4
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.834.825-5743.6%6-2031.8%17-2274.6%35912214105
vs opponents surrendering67.831.524-5642.4%6-1933.0%15-2170.3%34912196134
Team Stats (Road Games)70.233.624-5841.7%7-2132.9%15-2075.6%33811225105
Stats Against (All Games)72.233.023-5541.5%7-2035.6%19-2672.2%35912195115
vs opponents averaging71.633.825-5644.0%6-1934.8%16-2270.7%36913186124
Stats Against (Road Games)73.834.723-5641.6%7-1935.2%21-2972.3%381013195105

NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-17+0.510-186-1860.027.339.7%33.163.329.141.2%36.7
Home Games8-8-75-101-1157.925.637.9%35.657.927.038.6%37.9
Last 5 Games0-5-31-42-356.228.639.0%28.266.031.846.1%35.2
Conference Games5-11+6.56-103-1254.624.638.1%30.363.528.241.9%37.1
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)60.027.320-5139.7%7-2230.2%13-1870.6%33611184114
vs opponents surrendering68.431.724-5642.7%6-1933.0%15-2170.5%34912196124
Team Stats (Home Games)57.925.620-5337.9%6-2027.2%12-1869.1%36712185105
Stats Against (All Games)63.329.122-5441.2%5-1631.5%14-2165.6%37912186104
vs opponents averaging72.534.525-5644.8%6-1834.8%16-2371.4%36913196124
Stats Against (Home Games)57.927.021-5438.6%4-1526.6%12-2060.3%38911186115
Average power rating of opponents played: PENN ST 78.5,  NORTHWESTERN 78.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
PENN ST is 20-10 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
PENN ST is 18-13 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
12 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NORTHWESTERN since 1997
PENN ST is 10-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 7-7 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/7/2013PENN ST66122SU ATS3422-4548.9%7-1741.2%15-2560.0%38816
 NORTHWESTERN59-5 Over3017-4934.7%8-2334.8%17-1989.5%23415
1/10/2013NORTHWESTERN70121SU ATS3322-4845.8%9-2240.9%17-2665.4%3367
 PENN ST54-2 Over1818-5731.6%3-1520.0%15-1883.3%371211
2/25/2012NORTHWESTERN67-1SU3422-5044.0%15-2951.7%8-1266.7%22410
 PENN ST66127.5 Over2829-5750.9%3-1421.4%5-955.6%371212
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (181-186)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 45.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (184-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-32)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 46.9% of the time since 1997. (115-130)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (122-133)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 47.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-37)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PENN ST
No significant injuries.
NORTHWESTERN
[G] 02/28/2014 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Foot )
[C] 01/08/2014 - Chier Ajou has transfered ( Personal )
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