|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 12-9 | 39-43 | 252-215 | 6-7 | 37-37 | 165-155 | 14-9 | 61-30 | 374-148 | | in all lined games | 12-9 | 39-43 | 252-215 | 6-7 | 37-37 | 165-155 | 12-9 | 56-30 | 337-146 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-2 | 16-15 | 80-63 | 2-4 | 14-21 | 78-70 | 5-1 | 26-9 | 104-45 | | as an underdog | 8-3 | 18-10 | 54-45 | 1-6 | 9-14 | 37-39 | 6-5 | 14-14 | 38-65 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 2-2 | 7-4 | 14-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 7-18 | | in road games | 4-3 | 15-14 | 92-82 | 0-4 | 12-15 | 53-60 | 2-5 | 15-16 | 99-83 | | in road lined games | 4-3 | 15-14 | 92-82 | 0-4 | 12-15 | 53-60 | 2-5 | 15-16 | 98-83 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 2-0 | 4-2 | 14-14 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 15-14 | 2-0 | 6-1 | 16-13 | | against conference opponents | 8-3 | 24-20 | 154-120 | 2-4 | 21-20 | 98-93 | 8-3 | 35-12 | 211-75 | | in February games | 2-1 | 9-9 | 59-46 | 1-0 | 9-7 | 34-40 | 2-1 | 13-6 | 85-30 | | on Saturday games | 6-2 | 13-13 | 83-72 | 1-3 | 16-9 | 63-44 | 5-4 | 22-8 | 126-52 | | after a conference game | 6-3 | 22-20 | 151-118 | 2-3 | 21-19 | 100-93 | 7-3 | 33-13 | 209-76 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-2 | 19-14 | 110-90 | 2-1 | 16-13 | 74-69 | 5-2 | 24-10 | 149-61 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-5 | 25-28 | 160-125 | 0-5 | 21-27 | 112-109 | 5-6 | 36-22 | 199-109 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-2 | 16-14 | 96-64 | 0-2 | 16-12 | 79-62 | 2-3 | 20-12 | 113-59 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 12-12 | 46-39 | 227-224 | 5-1 | 34-31 | 147-133 | 13-11 | 55-38 | 325-186 | | in all lined games | 12-12 | 46-39 | 227-224 | 5-1 | 34-31 | 147-133 | 13-11 | 48-37 | 279-184 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-2 | 18-18 | 66-59 | 3-0 | 18-18 | 69-59 | 1-2 | 21-15 | 78-50 | | as a favorite | 9-7 | 25-22 | 148-137 | 3-0 | 16-16 | 77-84 | 12-4 | 35-12 | 228-65 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 2-2 | 4-5 | 18-17 | 2-0 | 4-3 | 9-16 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 26-10 | | in all home games | 7-7 | 24-19 | 116-107 | 3-0 | 16-15 | 63-71 | 10-4 | 38-13 | 221-55 | | in home lined games | 7-7 | 24-19 | 116-107 | 3-0 | 16-15 | 63-71 | 10-4 | 31-12 | 176-53 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 27-18 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 23-24 | 0-0 | 10-3 | 39-8 | | against conference opponents | 4-6 | 25-23 | 135-137 | 3-1 | 19-22 | 91-85 | 3-7 | 23-25 | 161-122 | | in February games | 1-3 | 9-10 | 55-54 | 2-0 | 8-9 | 30-38 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 59-55 | | on Saturday games | 5-6 | 24-11 | 94-72 | 4-0 | 18-10 | 63-39 | 8-3 | 26-11 | 132-60 | | after a conference game | 4-5 | 23-24 | 136-132 | 3-1 | 20-21 | 95-85 | 3-6 | 21-26 | 159-123 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-2 | 9-9 | 46-51 | 2-1 | 8-7 | 39-34 | 3-2 | 8-10 | 52-48 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-3 | 11-13 | 56-55 | 2-0 | 11-8 | 38-36 | 2-4 | 11-13 | 70-46 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-8 | 29-27 | 136-142 | 4-1 | 26-19 | 108-87 | 6-8 | 29-29 | 156-142 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-4 | 14-15 | 76-82 | 3-1 | 13-13 | 69-59 | 1-5 | 10-19 | 72-93 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-4 | 1-8 | 26-35 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 25-28 | 0-4 | 1-8 | 29-38 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-6 | 14-15 | 62-67 | 2-1 | 13-10 | 45-46 | 3-6 | 14-17 | 79-64 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 14-9 | -8.6 | 12-9 | 6-7 | 65.4 | 31.6 | 46.8% | 34.8 | 61.7 | 27.4 | 40.8% | 29.8 | | Road Games | 5-7 | -3.1 | 7-5 | 3-5 | 61.7 | 27.8 | 42.7% | 35.4 | 63.6 | 28.2 | 42.2% | 31.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 67.6 | 32.4 | 46.7% | 36.8 | 64.8 | 30.0 | 40.8% | 28.0 | | Conference Games | 8-3 | +5.2 | 8-3 | 2-4 | 65.5 | 32.3 | 46.9% | 36.0 | 60.8 | 27.9 | 41.0% | 28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.4 | 31.6 | 24-51 | 46.8% | 5-13 | 34.3% | 13-20 | 65.3% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.4 | 31 | 23-55 | 42.9% | 6-17 | 33.8% | 14-20 | 70.2% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 61.7 | 27.8 | 23-53 | 42.7% | 4-13 | 27.7% | 13-19 | 66.8% | 35 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.7 | 27.4 | 22-53 | 40.8% | 7-20 | 32.1% | 12-17 | 69.0% | 30 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 34.6% | 14-20 | 69.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 63.6 | 28.2 | 22-52 | 42.2% | 7-21 | 31.6% | 13-19 | 67.2% | 32 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 13-11 | -10.6 | 12-12 | 5-1 | 70.9 | 32.6 | 45.8% | 35.1 | 65.6 | 29.4 | 43.0% | 30.5 | | Home Games | 10-4 | -7.9 | 7-7 | 3-0 | 73.2 | 34.3 | 46.6% | 36.3 | 61.9 | 28.5 | 41.4% | 30.9 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -4.4 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 63.2 | 28.0 | 44.9% | 32.0 | 69.6 | 33.0 | 47.7% | 32.4 | | Conference Games | 3-7 | -7.5 | 4-6 | 3-1 | 68.9 | 31.4 | 45.9% | 35.3 | 68.0 | 31.8 | 45.6% | 29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.9 | 32.6 | 25-55 | 45.8% | 6-17 | 38.5% | 14-21 | 70.4% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.7 | 30.6 | 23-55 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 73.2 | 34.3 | 26-55 | 46.6% | 7-17 | 38.9% | 15-22 | 66.9% | 36 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.6 | 29.4 | 23-53 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-19 | 72.1% | 31 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 6-19 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 68.8% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 61.9 | 28.5 | 21-52 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 13-18 | 69.6% | 31 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: XAVIER 73.7, DAYTON 73 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| DAYTON is 20-17 against the spread versus XAVIER since 1997 | | XAVIER is 27-11 straight up against DAYTON since 1997 | | 17 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| DAYTON is 5-2 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons | | XAVIER is 5-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| DAYTON is 10-5 against the spread versus XAVIER since 1997 | | DAYTON is 10-6 straight up against XAVIER since 1997 | | 8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| DAYTON is 1-1 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons | | DAYTON is 1-1 straight up against XAVIER over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/30/2013 | DAYTON | 61 | 129.5 | Under | 27 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 8-16 | 50.0% | 5-6 | 83.3% | 18 | 9 | 11 | | | XAVIER | 66 | -2 | SU ATS | 31 | 28-53 | 52.8% | 3-8 | 37.5% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 36 | 14 | 13 | 3/9/2012 | DAYTON | 69 | 142.5 | ATS | 38 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 8-26 | 30.8% | 19-22 | 86.4% | 33 | 6 | 8 | | N | XAVIER | 70 | -2.5 | SU Under | 28 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 18-29 | 62.1% | 32 | 7 | 8 | 2/18/2012 | DAYTON | 83 | 143 | ATS | 37 | 26-65 | 40.0% | 10-31 | 32.3% | 21-26 | 80.8% | 40 | 14 | 17 | | | XAVIER | 86 | -7.5 | SU Over | 32 | 28-58 | 48.3% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 26-37 | 70.3% | 38 | 9 | 15 | 1/21/2012 | XAVIER | 72 | -3 | Over | 33 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 12-24 | 50.0% | 28 | 6 | 9 | | | DAYTON | 87 | 137.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 27-54 | 50.0% | 11-28 | 39.3% | 22-28 | 78.6% | 40 | 9 | 11 | 3/11/2011 | DAYTON | 68 | 133 | SU ATS | 36 | 26-50 | 52.0% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 32 | 10 | 14 | | N | XAVIER | 67 | -8 | Over | 27 | 25-55 | 45.5% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 24 | 7 | 10 | 2/27/2011 | XAVIER | 66 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 23-50 | 46.0% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 34 | 7 | 14 | | | DAYTON | 62 | 137 | Under | 25 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 8-19 | 42.1% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 31 | 9 | 16 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in XAVIER games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (190-178) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in XAVIER games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (195-160) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-30) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in XAVIER games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (131-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in XAVIER games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (122-123) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-25) | |
|
|
|
|
| [G] 11/02/2012 - Myles Davis out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Jalen Reynolds out for season ( Eligibility ) | |
| [G] 02/13/2013 - Khari Price "?" Saturday vs. Xavier ( Thigh ) | | [F] 02/09/2013 - Alex Gavrilovic out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
|
|