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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
XAVIER (14-9) AT DAYTON (13-11) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
513: XAVIER
514: DAYTON
131.0
-4.0
65.4 / 61.7
70.9 / 65.6
14-9
13-11
12-9
12-12
6-7
5-1
46.8
45.8
65.3
70.4
34.3
38.5
40.8
43.0
69.0
72.1
32.1
34.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
XAVIER  
DAYTON-4 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
XAVIER - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-939-43252-2156-737-37165-15514-961-30374-148
in all lined games12-939-43252-2156-737-37165-15512-956-30337-146
when the total is 130 to 139.54-216-1580-632-414-2178-705-126-9104-45
as an underdog8-318-1054-451-69-1437-396-514-1438-65
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points2-27-414-110-24-56-100-44-77-18
in road games4-315-1492-820-412-1553-602-515-1699-83
in road lined games4-315-1492-820-412-1553-602-515-1698-83
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.52-04-214-140-22-515-142-06-116-13
against conference opponents8-324-20154-1202-421-2098-938-335-12211-75
in February games2-19-959-461-09-734-402-113-685-30
on Saturday games6-213-1383-721-316-963-445-422-8126-52
after a conference game6-322-20151-1182-321-19100-937-333-13209-76
off a win against a conference rival4-219-14110-902-116-1374-695-224-10149-61
when playing against a team with a winning record6-525-28160-1250-521-27112-1095-636-22199-109
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-216-1496-640-216-1279-622-320-12113-59

DAYTON - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1246-39227-2245-134-31147-13313-1155-38325-186
in all lined games12-1246-39227-2245-134-31147-13313-1148-37279-184
when the total is 130 to 139.51-218-1866-593-018-1869-591-221-1578-50
as a favorite9-725-22148-1373-016-1677-8412-435-12228-65
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points2-24-518-172-04-39-162-24-526-10
in all home games7-724-19116-1073-016-1563-7110-438-13221-55
in home lined games7-724-19116-1073-016-1563-7110-431-12176-53
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-07-627-180-05-823-240-010-339-8
against conference opponents4-625-23135-1373-119-2291-853-723-25161-122
in February games1-39-1055-542-08-930-381-39-1059-55
on Saturday games5-624-1194-724-018-1063-398-326-11132-60
after a conference game4-523-24136-1323-120-2195-853-621-26159-123
revenging a road loss vs opponent3-29-946-512-18-739-343-28-1052-48
off a loss against a conference rival3-311-1356-552-011-838-362-411-1370-46
when playing against a team with a winning record6-829-27136-1424-126-19108-876-829-29156-142
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-414-1576-823-113-1369-591-510-1972-93
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-41-826-352-14-425-280-41-829-38
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-614-1562-672-113-1045-463-614-1779-64
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
XAVIER - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-9-8.612-96-765.431.646.8%34.861.727.440.8%29.8
Road Games5-7-3.17-53-561.727.842.7%35.463.628.242.2%31.9
Last 5 Games3-203-21-267.632.446.7%36.864.830.040.8%28.0
Conference Games8-3+5.28-32-465.532.346.9%36.060.827.941.0%28.6
XAVIER Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.431.624-5146.8%5-1334.3%13-2065.3%35912175132
vs opponents surrendering66.43123-5542.9%6-1733.8%14-2070.2%34913187134
Team Stats (Road Games)61.727.823-5342.7%4-1327.7%13-1966.8%351010185131
Stats Against (All Games)61.727.422-5340.8%7-2032.1%12-1769.0%30912185124
vs opponents averaging67.531.324-5543.1%6-1934.6%14-2069.1%34913186134
Stats Against (Road Games)63.628.222-5242.2%7-2131.6%13-1967.2%32911175124

DAYTON - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-11-10.612-125-170.932.645.8%35.165.629.443.0%30.5
Home Games10-4-7.97-73-073.234.346.6%36.361.928.541.4%30.9
Last 5 Games1-4-4.41-42-163.228.044.9%32.069.633.047.7%32.4
Conference Games3-7-7.54-63-168.931.445.9%35.368.031.845.6%29.5
DAYTON Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.932.625-5545.8%6-1738.5%14-2170.4%351014196153
vs opponents surrendering65.730.623-5542.4%6-1833.6%13-1969.2%34912187143
Team Stats (Home Games)73.234.326-5546.6%7-1738.9%15-2266.9%361115185132
Stats Against (All Games)65.629.423-5343.0%6-1834.4%14-1972.1%31814196154
vs opponents averaging6831.824-5543.3%6-1934.1%14-2068.8%351013187134
Stats Against (Home Games)61.928.521-5241.4%6-1834.3%13-1869.6%31814204163
Average power rating of opponents played: XAVIER 73.7,  DAYTON 73
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
DAYTON is 20-17 against the spread versus XAVIER since 1997
XAVIER is 27-11 straight up against DAYTON since 1997
17 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 5-2 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 5-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DAYTON since 1997
DAYTON is 10-5 against the spread versus XAVIER since 1997
DAYTON is 10-6 straight up against XAVIER since 1997
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at DAYTON over the last 3 seasons.
DAYTON is 1-1 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 1-1 straight up against XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/30/2013DAYTON61129.5 Under2724-5048.0%8-1650.0%5-683.3%18911
 XAVIER66-2SU ATS3128-5352.8%3-837.5%7-1353.8%361413
3/9/2012DAYTON69142.5 ATS3821-5438.9%8-2630.8%19-2286.4%3368
NXAVIER70-2.5SU Under2824-5048.0%4-1330.8%18-2962.1%3278
2/18/2012DAYTON83143 ATS3726-6540.0%10-3132.3%21-2680.8%401417
 XAVIER86-7.5SU Over3228-5848.3%4-1233.3%26-3770.3%38915
1/21/2012XAVIER72-3 Over3326-5646.4%8-1457.1%12-2450.0%2869
 DAYTON87137.5SU ATS4627-5450.0%11-2839.3%22-2878.6%40911
3/11/2011DAYTON68133SU ATS3626-5052.0%8-1361.5%8-1457.1%321014
NXAVIER67-8 Over2725-5545.5%8-2334.8%9-1464.3%24710
2/27/2011XAVIER66-2.5SU ATS3723-5046.0%3-1520.0%17-2277.3%34714
 DAYTON62137 Under2523-5641.1%8-1942.1%8-1172.7%31916
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in XAVIER games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (190-178)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in XAVIER games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (195-160)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-30)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in XAVIER games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (131-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in XAVIER games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (122-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-25)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
XAVIER
[G] 11/02/2012 - Myles Davis out for season ( Eligibility )
[F] 11/02/2012 - Jalen Reynolds out for season ( Eligibility )
DAYTON
[G] 02/13/2013 - Khari Price "?" Saturday vs. Xavier ( Thigh )
[F] 02/09/2013 - Alex Gavrilovic out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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