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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| KENTUCKY | -6 |  | | TENNESSEE | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-13 | 42-49 | 258-242 | 8-9 | 34-51 | 194-215 | 17-7 | 84-18 | 421-131 | | in all lined games | 8-13 | 42-49 | 258-242 | 8-9 | 34-51 | 194-215 | 14-7 | 75-18 | 381-130 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-5 | 17-24 | 97-79 | 5-4 | 13-28 | 87-90 | 5-4 | 34-9 | 136-44 | | as a favorite | 6-10 | 37-46 | 211-200 | 5-7 | 31-46 | 157-169 | 13-3 | 71-14 | 347-74 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-3 | 17-11 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 20-10 | | in road games | 3-5 | 12-16 | 90-75 | 3-5 | 9-18 | 62-77 | 4-4 | 16-12 | 101-66 | | in road lined games | 3-5 | 12-16 | 90-75 | 3-5 | 9-18 | 62-77 | 4-4 | 16-12 | 101-66 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 19-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 17-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 21-10 | | against conference opponents | 3-8 | 20-28 | 145-137 | 3-5 | 17-28 | 104-120 | 8-3 | 39-10 | 217-71 | | in February games | 1-3 | 6-11 | 57-60 | 1-2 | 10-7 | 45-45 | 3-1 | 13-5 | 87-34 | | on Saturday games | 4-5 | 15-22 | 103-97 | 2-4 | 19-16 | 81-83 | 7-3 | 32-9 | 155-57 | | after a conference game | 3-7 | 20-27 | 147-133 | 3-4 | 16-28 | 108-120 | 7-3 | 39-9 | 217-70 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-2 | 2-6 | 34-33 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 28-26 | 2-0 | 8-1 | 52-18 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-3 | 3-4 | 25-21 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 19-19 | 2-2 | 5-2 | 38-14 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-10 | 33-39 | 209-201 | 6-6 | 27-41 | 160-186 | 8-7 | 57-18 | 305-123 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-4 | 22-22 | 133-120 | 2-3 | 16-27 | 104-112 | 4-2 | 37-9 | 188-71 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-3 | 9-9 | 40-42 | 2-2 | 6-13 | 37-38 | 2-2 | 16-4 | 63-23 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-7 | 15-19 | 69-75 | 5-4 | 12-21 | 65-64 | 5-5 | 29-9 | 113-43 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 9-0 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-2 | 6-3 | 13-10 | 3-2 | 4-5 | 11-9 | 5-0 | 12-0 | 33-1 |
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| in all games | 10-10 | 43-41 | 234-218 | 5-9 | 32-42 | 144-168 | 13-10 | 51-40 | 327-181 | | in all lined games | 10-10 | 43-41 | 234-218 | 5-9 | 32-42 | 144-168 | 11-10 | 46-40 | 279-180 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-3 | 11-15 | 28-38 | 2-3 | 13-14 | 37-30 | 2-3 | 13-15 | 27-41 | | as an underdog | 6-2 | 21-13 | 94-63 | 2-3 | 8-23 | 46-71 | 2-6 | 12-22 | 60-97 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 3-2 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2-13 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 15-4 | | in all home games | 3-6 | 21-21 | 115-91 | 1-4 | 16-18 | 60-69 | 9-3 | 34-15 | 207-48 | | in home lined games | 3-6 | 21-21 | 115-91 | 1-4 | 16-18 | 60-69 | 7-3 | 29-15 | 161-48 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6-5 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 3-8 | | against conference opponents | 6-5 | 25-21 | 148-125 | 2-5 | 16-26 | 88-103 | 5-6 | 24-22 | 160-116 | | in February games | 2-2 | 12-8 | 66-54 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 38-46 | 2-2 | 12-8 | 72-49 | | on Saturday games | 2-3 | 14-11 | 80-75 | 1-3 | 7-16 | 47-55 | 3-2 | 13-12 | 93-67 | | after a conference game | 6-4 | 25-20 | 144-124 | 2-5 | 16-26 | 82-115 | 5-5 | 24-21 | 158-117 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 4-2 | 9-8 | 53-34 | 3-1 | 7-8 | 28-39 | 3-3 | 9-8 | 59-28 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-2 | 12-11 | 81-75 | 0-3 | 8-14 | 55-62 | 2-2 | 11-12 | 90-68 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-5 | 11-14 | 51-55 | 1-5 | 8-15 | 36-37 | 4-5 | 12-15 | 73-42 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-6 | 9-14 | 28-25 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 17-19 | 4-4 | 12-11 | 35-22 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-7 | 29-33 | 182-172 | 4-7 | 22-36 | 117-139 | 5-9 | 29-35 | 212-161 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-2 | 18-20 | 106-110 | 0-4 | 12-26 | 72-101 | 2-2 | 18-20 | 118-101 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-3 | 10-12 | 44-43 | 1-2 | 5-14 | 30-37 | 4-2 | 9-13 | 43-44 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-6 | 15-17 | 73-66 | 2-4 | 8-18 | 46-51 | 6-6 | 13-19 | 69-71 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 17-7 | -2 | 8-13 | 8-9 | 75.0 | 36.4 | 48.6% | 38.9 | 62.7 | 29.3 | 38.2% | 33.5 | | Road Games | 5-5 | -0.6 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 66.8 | 32.3 | 46.0% | 36.9 | 66.9 | 31.1 | 39.3% | 36.9 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1.2 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 72.0 | 34.8 | 48.7% | 37.6 | 65.6 | 30.4 | 37.9% | 33.0 | | Conference Games | 8-3 | +2.4 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 70.1 | 34.5 | 47.8% | 37.7 | 65.1 | 29.4 | 39.1% | 32.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.0 | 36.4 | 27-55 | 48.6% | 6-16 | 36.1% | 15-24 | 64.6% | 39 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 7 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65 | 30.1 | 23-55 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 66.8 | 32.3 | 24-53 | 46.0% | 6-15 | 37.6% | 13-21 | 61.0% | 37 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 7 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.7 | 29.3 | 23-60 | 38.2% | 5-16 | 31.0% | 12-17 | 69.5% | 33 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.3 | 31.4 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 67.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.9 | 31.1 | 25-64 | 39.3% | 4-16 | 28.3% | 12-17 | 72.1% | 37 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
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| All Games | 13-10 | -2.8 | 10-10 | 5-9 | 63.7 | 29.3 | 42.9% | 36.3 | 61.6 | 27.0 | 41.4% | 31.2 | | Home Games | 9-3 | +0.5 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 68.1 | 30.2 | 44.9% | 35.4 | 62.5 | 26.7 | 41.8% | 31.1 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -1 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 60.8 | 30.0 | 43.6% | 33.4 | 61.0 | 30.0 | 43.6% | 28.8 | | Conference Games | 5-6 | -3.2 | 6-5 | 2-5 | 62.7 | 29.1 | 43.5% | 34.9 | 64.7 | 28.9 | 43.0% | 30.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 63.7 | 29.3 | 22-51 | 42.9% | 4-16 | 28.6% | 15-22 | 67.6% | 36 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.2 | 29.6 | 23-55 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 32.6% | 13-19 | 68.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 68.1 | 30.2 | 23-52 | 44.9% | 5-16 | 30.3% | 17-24 | 70.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.6 | 27.0 | 22-53 | 41.4% | 4-14 | 30.9% | 14-19 | 71.6% | 31 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 62.5 | 26.7 | 22-53 | 41.8% | 5-15 | 33.1% | 13-18 | 74.3% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: KENTUCKY 75.1, TENNESSEE 78 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| KENTUCKY is 18-15 against the spread versus TENNESSEE since 1997 | | KENTUCKY is 25-8 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1997 | | 17 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| KENTUCKY is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons | | KENTUCKY is 5-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TENNESSEE is 8-7 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1997 | | KENTUCKY is 9-6 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/15/2013 | TENNESSEE | 65 | 135 | ATS | 31 | 25-54 | 46.3% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 11-17 | 64.7% | 30 | 5 | 13 | | | KENTUCKY | 75 | -13 | SU Over | 34 | 25-51 | 49.0% | 6-15 | 40.0% | 19-31 | 61.3% | 34 | 8 | 13 | 1/31/2012 | TENNESSEE | 44 | 132 | Under | 25 | 16-57 | 28.1% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 5-7 | 71.4% | 29 | 12 | 11 | | | KENTUCKY | 69 | -15.5 | SU ATS | 38 | 22-41 | 53.7% | 1-10 | 10.0% | 24-27 | 88.9% | 34 | 6 | 11 | 1/14/2012 | KENTUCKY | 65 | -10 | SU Under | 28 | 21-49 | 42.9% | 2-5 | 40.0% | 21-29 | 72.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | | | TENNESSEE | 62 | 134.5 | ATS | 34 | 21-52 | 40.4% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 14-20 | 70.0% | 32 | 6 | 15 | 3/6/2011 | KENTUCKY | 64 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 22 | 19-53 | 35.8% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 19-27 | 70.4% | 38 | 12 | 10 | | | TENNESSEE | 58 | 140 | Under | 29 | 18-47 | 38.3% | 2-9 | 22.2% | 20-26 | 76.9% | 31 | 8 | 10 | 2/8/2011 | TENNESSEE | 61 | 137.5 | Under | 28 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 9-16 | 56.2% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 28 | 8 | 14 | | | KENTUCKY | 73 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 22-49 | 44.9% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 22-27 | 81.5% | 38 | 13 | 16 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (209-198) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-41) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (167-186) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 35.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-41) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (173-182) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (128-127) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-31) | |
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| [F] 02/15/2013 - Nerlens Noel out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 01/18/2013 - Twany Beckham out indefinitely ( Back ) | |
| [F] 11/17/2012 - Jeronne Maymon out for season ( Knee ) |
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