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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-8 | 29-36 | 189-196 | 0-0 | 25-23 | 94-115 | 11-8 | 40-36 | 263-204 | | in all lined games | 9-8 | 29-36 | 189-196 | 0-0 | 25-23 | 94-115 | 9-8 | 30-36 | 202-193 | | as an underdog | 4-2 | 15-23 | 91-96 | 0-0 | 17-14 | 45-56 | 2-4 | 11-27 | 52-137 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 4-2 | 17-12 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9-20 | | in road games | 5-3 | 15-17 | 98-87 | 0-0 | 14-9 | 45-51 | 5-3 | 15-18 | 81-121 | | in road lined games | 5-3 | 15-17 | 98-87 | 0-0 | 14-9 | 45-51 | 5-3 | 14-18 | 74-113 | | against conference opponents | 7-4 | 22-24 | 136-133 | 0-0 | 19-16 | 65-84 | 8-3 | 23-23 | 155-122 | | in January games | 4-3 | 10-13 | 63-62 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 28-38 | 5-2 | 11-12 | 76-59 | | after a conference game | 6-5 | 21-24 | 132-124 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 63-80 | 7-4 | 23-23 | 159-117 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 1-1 | 6-8 | 29-29 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 18-17 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 27-33 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 10-12 | 74-72 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 36-50 | 3-4 | 10-12 | 100-55 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-2 | 4-8 | 55-64 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 29-31 | 3-1 | 8-7 | 86-56 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-3 | 8-9 | 49-53 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 24-27 | 3-2 | 11-8 | 59-57 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-2 | 7-14 | 92-111 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 46-58 | 3-2 | 5-16 | 84-132 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 3-4 | 54-51 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 25-34 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 52-55 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 2-4 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 12-12 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 4-10 | 26-34 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10-24 | 1-2 | 3-11 | 26-36 |
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| in all games | 8-9 | 33-36 | 191-188 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 12-8 | 43-43 | 238-234 | | in all lined games | 8-9 | 33-36 | 191-188 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 9-8 | 32-40 | 175-211 | | as a favorite | 5-7 | 17-17 | 87-87 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 7-5 | 26-9 | 123-54 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 1-0 | 4-0 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 8-6 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 22-4 | | in all home games | 6-3 | 17-12 | 82-71 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 9-2 | 32-7 | 154-59 | | in home lined games | 6-3 | 17-12 | 82-71 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 7-2 | 22-7 | 105-51 | | against conference opponents | 6-5 | 23-23 | 132-130 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 6-5 | 25-22 | 133-135 | | in January games | 4-3 | 9-14 | 62-62 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 31-27 | 4-3 | 12-13 | 71-62 | | after a conference game | 6-5 | 22-20 | 121-124 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 6-5 | 23-24 | 131-136 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-2 | 11-10 | 57-63 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 3-2 | 12-12 | 65-66 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-4 | 14-7 | 49-41 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 27-20 | 3-3 | 13-9 | 52-54 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-1 | 16-13 | 99-93 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 55-49 | 4-2 | 11-21 | 68-137 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 6-5 | 50-52 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 34-22 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 38-68 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 11-8 | +3 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 69.8 | 32.5 | 41.4% | 37.9 | 67.7 | 31.9 | 43.0% | 34.6 | | Road Games | 5-5 | +2.9 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 73.5 | 34.3 | 42.2% | 37.6 | 74.0 | 35.5 | 43.7% | 34.9 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 68.6 | 29.6 | 39.2% | 38.8 | 65.2 | 27.6 | 41.1% | 34.8 | | Conference Games | 8-3 | +4.5 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 69.4 | 32.6 | 41.3% | 37.8 | 65.2 | 29.0 | 40.9% | 35.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.8 | 32.5 | 23-56 | 41.4% | 6-19 | 34.2% | 17-24 | 69.7% | 38 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.4 | 32.2 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 15-21 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.5 | 34.3 | 24-56 | 42.2% | 7-19 | 36.5% | 19-26 | 73.0% | 38 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.7 | 31.9 | 24-57 | 43.0% | 6-17 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.8 | 30.3 | 23-55 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 14-20 | 67.6% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 74.0 | 35.5 | 26-60 | 43.7% | 7-19 | 36.0% | 15-20 | 73.4% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
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| All Games | 12-8 | -10.6 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 68.7 | 30.7 | 41.1% | 36.6 | 62.7 | 28.1 | 42.2% | 36.0 | | Home Games | 9-2 | -1.3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 71.2 | 31.5 | 43.2% | 37.3 | 56.5 | 26.1 | 40.3% | 33.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -9.7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 62.6 | 29.8 | 38.5% | 35.2 | 55.6 | 27.6 | 41.4% | 35.6 | | Conference Games | 6-5 | -9.6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 66.4 | 29.4 | 39.7% | 37.3 | 61.4 | 27.8 | 41.6% | 35.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.7 | 30.7 | 24-58 | 41.1% | 6-21 | 30.9% | 15-23 | 65.5% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.8 | 32.9 | 25-56 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 14-21 | 68.0% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 71.2 | 31.5 | 25-58 | 43.2% | 6-21 | 30.0% | 15-23 | 65.3% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.7 | 28.1 | 23-54 | 42.2% | 6-17 | 32.9% | 12-17 | 67.4% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.8 | 30.6 | 24-56 | 42.2% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 13-19 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 56.5 | 26.1 | 21-51 | 40.3% | 5-16 | 29.1% | 10-16 | 63.7% | 33 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: S ALABAMA 68.3, ARKANSAS ST 67.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 11-9 against the spread versus S ALABAMA since 1997 | | ARKANSAS ST is 11-10 straight up against S ALABAMA since 1997 | | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 6-3 against the spread versus S ALABAMA since 1997 | | ARKANSAS ST is 7-2 straight up against S ALABAMA since 1997 | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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12/29/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 63 | | SU ATS | 28 | 21-55 | 38.2% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 18-27 | 66.7% | 45 | 13 | 17 | | | S ALABAMA | 54 | -3 | | 23 | 17-62 | 27.4% | 4-27 | 14.8% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 47 | 18 | 17 | 2/9/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 57 | 123 | Over | 27 | 22-51 | 43.1% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 23 | 6 | 13 | | | S ALABAMA | 74 | -4 | SU ATS | 35 | 28-52 | 53.8% | 3-9 | 33.3% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 34 | 10 | 15 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ALABAMA games 57.1% of the time since 1997. (178-134) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ALABAMA games 63% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-20) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (161-146) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-28) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 01/25/2013 - Freddie Goldstein out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [G] 12/29/2012 - Xavier Roberson out for season ( Suspension ) | |
| [G] 01/31/2013 - Raeford Worsham doubtful Thursday vs. South Alabama ( Concussion ) | | [F] 01/25/2013 - Kendrick Washington out indefinitely ( Eye ) | | [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) |
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