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Page last updated on Sun May 24 13:03:25 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 8:00 PM
TOLEDO (9-0) AT ARKANSAS ST (5-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
523: TOLEDO
524: ARKANSAS ST
157.5
+2.0
89.0 / 75.6
77.2 / 73.2
9-0
5-3
4-1
1-4
2-0
1-1
51.9
44.2
73.1
70.1
37.4
39.0
46.9
44.1
71.1
74.0
38.3
34.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TOLEDO  
ARKANSAS ST0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-134-22223-2212-014-16117-1179-043-30246-254
in all lined games4-134-22223-2212-014-16117-1175-033-25209-244
when the total is 150 to 159.52-02-14-52-02-15-42-02-13-6
as a favorite3-117-9104-762-07-541-324-023-4151-33
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-03-015-70-00-03-30-03-015-7
in road games1-114-10101-1130-02-744-633-015-1768-164
in road lined games1-114-10101-1130-02-744-632-011-1460-157
in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.50-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against Sun Belt conference opponents0-00-04-20-00-02-20-00-05-2
in December games1-06-241-351-03-217-203-07-851-51
on Tuesday nights0-03-027-200-01-118-160-03-224-28
after a non-conference game4-113-1075-782-08-338-458-022-1592-103
in non-conference games4-115-775-742-06-546-379-024-1492-105
when playing against a team with a winning record1-112-10106-1170-04-756-613-010-1779-154
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-00-020-330-00-06-101-01-015-42

ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games1-426-35196-1991-116-14105-985-338-35250-241
in all lined games1-426-35196-1991-116-14105-982-329-33184-218
when the total is 150 to 159.50-00-012-90-00-09-120-00-09-12
as an underdog0-312-1798-991-08-1257-580-36-2446-155
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-00-211-70-00-16-80-00-210-8
in all home games1-115-1285-740-17-643-393-026-7161-59
in home lined games1-115-1285-740-17-643-392-020-7111-51
in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.50-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-01-0
against MAC opponents0-01-24-50-00-21-50-00-33-6
in December games1-17-742-351-13-521-231-110-870-57
on Tuesday nights0-01-26-90-01-26-50-02-29-14
after a non-conference game1-47-1571-651-15-930-434-317-14111-98
in non-conference games1-47-1360-621-13-927-355-317-15110-102
when playing against a team with a winning record0-212-15102-981-05-956-490-210-1971-142
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-11-227-230-10-112-152-13-218-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-0+74-12-089.041.151.9%34.975.637.646.9%31.0
Road Games5-0+63-11-090.440.251.0%32.284.041.053.1%28.8
Last 5 Games5-0+32-12-084.439.849.7%32.873.037.046.2%34.0
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)89.041.130-5851.9%5-1537.4%24-3273.1%35917177103
vs opponents surrendering77.735.326-5746.2%6-1833.4%19-2866.6%381013197134
Team Stats (Road Games)90.440.230-5851.0%4-1333.8%26-3281.5%3291420691
Stats Against (All Games)75.637.627-5846.9%8-2038.3%14-1971.1%31915256143
vs opponents averaging72.433.425-5942.0%7-2032.8%16-2369.9%361112237144
Stats Against (Road Games)84.041.029-5553.1%9-1945.3%17-2470.2%29816255123

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games5-3-11-41-177.237.044.2%36.173.238.144.1%37.0
Home Games3-0+11-10-185.743.045.6%44.059.725.734.4%36.3
Last 5 Games3-201-21-183.438.646.9%38.675.637.044.6%33.6
ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.237.026-5844.2%8-2139.0%18-2570.1%36813177143
vs opponents surrendering73.334.825-5545.2%6-1833.9%17-2568.4%36913216144
Team Stats (Home Games)85.743.028-6145.6%7-2036.1%23-3076.7%441013139145
Stats Against (All Games)73.238.127-6044.1%6-1834.5%14-1974.0%37813227153
vs opponents averaging71.432.824-5643.3%6-1733.4%18-2570.6%34912227133
Stats Against (Home Games)59.725.722-6434.4%6-2227.7%10-1374.4%3698247192
Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 69.8,  ARKANSAS ST 65.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at ARKANSAS ST since 1997
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
Games played at ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TOLEDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (181-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 53.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-23)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (171-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 57.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-22)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 50% of the time since 1997. (98-98)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 53% of the time since 1997. (87-77)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 73.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-6)
Edge=Over
Key Player Injuries
TOLEDO
[G] 11/13/2013 - Angel Aparicio out indefinitely ( Knee )
ARKANSAS ST
No significant injuries.
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