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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:00 PM
TROY (9-12) AT W KENTUCKY (11-11) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
529: TROY
530: W KENTUCKY
OFF
-10.0
62.7 / 66.4
65.6 / 64.9
9-12
11-11
11-6
10-11
1-0
1-4
39.5
41.9
69.2
65.4
31.4
29.3
43.9
42.0
63.5
66.6
36.3
31.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TROY  
W KENTUCKY-10 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-635-2883-851-027-1980-689-1227-5191-113
in all lined games11-635-2883-851-027-1980-688-922-4371-101
as an underdog10-531-2360-521-022-1750-437-818-3838-76
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-12-37-70-02-28-50-11-45-9
in road games4-319-1340-461-013-1039-342-78-3026-71
in road lined games4-319-1340-461-013-1039-342-57-2524-63
against conference opponents7-322-2059-610-020-1458-544-615-2957-66
in January games5-214-729-260-08-723-254-39-1329-29
after a conference game7-222-1860-570-017-1450-585-516-2757-66
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-18-417-100-05-59-160-34-1011-18
off a win against a conference rival2-17-725-270-05-620-292-16-829-26

W KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1141-44227-2251-433-33132-12811-1143-46311-189
in all lined games10-1141-44227-2251-433-33132-12810-1139-46277-184
as a favorite7-522-20147-1400-015-1387-869-328-14230-64
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-02-123-130-02-111-80-03-035-2
in all home games6-316-1894-950-013-1254-518-223-15171-49
in home lined games6-316-1894-950-013-1254-517-219-15143-49
against conference opponents4-727-23136-1400-124-1684-795-626-24191-93
in January games1-69-1353-800-19-736-381-67-1585-54
after a conference game2-824-25129-1370-122-1779-814-626-24189-94
off a loss against a conference rival1-410-1241-390-111-724-201-410-1251-34
after scoring 60 points or less3-311-1031-291-210-811-123-310-1237-27
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-06-827-300-07-617-201-04-1029-31
after 3 or more consecutive losses2-07-616-180-06-59-72-07-720-20
when playing against a team with a losing record6-121-1790-760-015-1548-467-124-16142-46
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games1-112-757-420-09-832-311-113-782-21
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-07-123-150-03-512-90-07-133-6
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game0-111-440-260-06-823-151-012-457-15
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-12+4.111-61-062.729.839.5%34.166.431.043.9%37.8
Road Games3-8+0.35-41-060.929.438.3%34.268.232.444.0%38.3
Last 5 Games3-2+2.64-10-064.628.642.5%36.265.430.042.5%33.0
Conference Games4-6-1.47-30-063.030.840.8%34.466.131.643.7%36.0
TROY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.729.823-5839.5%7-2231.4%10-1469.2%341012156112
vs opponents surrendering67.63224-5642.8%6-1933.5%13-1968.6%361013177154
Team Stats (Road Games)60.929.422-5838.3%7-2330.2%9-1372.5%341011165102
Stats Against (All Games)66.431.024-5443.9%7-1936.2%12-1963.5%381013155123
vs opponents averaging65.730.323-5542.2%6-1832.9%13-2067.3%35912187153
Stats Against (Road Games)68.232.424-5544.0%8-2038.1%12-2059.9%381016135103

W KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-11-3.510-111-465.629.641.9%37.664.930.442.0%33.5
Home Games8-2+0.46-30-070.832.544.3%38.659.527.638.9%32.1
Last 5 Games1-4-7.61-40-159.625.236.8%34.662.027.242.1%35.8
Conference Games5-6-5.84-70-164.729.641.5%35.564.729.744.0%32.2
W KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.629.623-5541.9%6-2029.3%14-2165.4%381211196163
vs opponents surrendering67.331.524-5543.0%6-1832.5%14-2167.9%361012187163
Team Stats (Home Games)70.832.524-5344.3%6-2030.8%17-2568.6%391111177144
Stats Against (All Games)64.930.423-5542.0%5-1731.9%13-2066.6%33910197144
vs opponents averaging67.931.724-5642.7%6-1833.4%14-2067.9%351012188143
Stats Against (Home Games)59.527.621-5438.9%6-1830.8%11-1766.5%3288205144
Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 67.3,  W KENTUCKY 69.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TROY is 11-4 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 8-7 straight up against TROY since 1997
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 4-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 3-2 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at W KENTUCKY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 4-2 against the spread versus TROY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 5-1 straight up against TROY since 1997
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
12/1/2012W KENTUCKY75-5SU3529-6246.8%5-1631.2%12-1770.6%431913
 TROY71  ATS4327-5251.9%7-1741.2%10-1758.8%23611
2/11/2012W KENTUCKY77146 Over3926-6440.6%9-2634.6%16-2759.3%391213
 TROY830SU ATS3027-6045.0%7-1838.9%22-3073.3%421213
1/7/2012TROY67142.5SU ATS3027-6144.3%6-2030.0%7-887.5%341215
 W KENTUCKY65-4.5 Under3623-5442.6%7-2528.0%12-1770.6%33915
1/22/2011TROY58153.5 Under3021-6532.3%8-3423.5%8-1457.1%35913
 W KENTUCKY77-10SU ATS4129-6445.3%5-1729.4%14-2166.7%511415
1/13/2011W KENTUCKY68-4 Over3225-6538.5%6-2920.7%12-1866.7%361215
 TROY82149.5SU ATS2627-6939.1%10-2441.7%18-2378.3%542015
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TROY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (81-71)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 64.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (182-171)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 64.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-23)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
TROY
[G] 01/25/2013 - R.J. Scott out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee )
W KENTUCKY
[F] 01/30/2013 - Eddie Alcantara "?" Thursday vs. Troy ( Hamstring )
[G] 12/21/2012 - Jamal Crook expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Foot )
[F] 12/05/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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