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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 15-6 | 34-44 | 236-224 | 7-8 | 39-32 | 168-155 | 15-9 | 49-40 | 323-192 | | in all lined games | 15-6 | 34-44 | 236-224 | 7-8 | 39-32 | 168-155 | 12-9 | 40-40 | 275-191 | | as an underdog | 9-4 | 14-20 | 94-86 | 3-6 | 18-12 | 58-58 | 6-7 | 8-27 | 57-126 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 1-0 | 2-2 | 11-11 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 4-18 | | in road games | 7-1 | 13-16 | 87-82 | 2-3 | 16-11 | 63-52 | 5-4 | 14-18 | 82-97 | | in road lined games | 7-1 | 13-16 | 87-82 | 2-3 | 16-11 | 63-52 | 4-4 | 12-18 | 76-96 | | against conference opponents | 8-3 | 21-27 | 142-146 | 3-3 | 26-18 | 111-91 | 6-5 | 21-29 | 156-137 | | in February games | 2-1 | 3-14 | 62-58 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 41-47 | 2-1 | 7-11 | 66-57 | | on Tuesday nights | 3-1 | 5-6 | 28-32 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 13-18 | 3-1 | 9-3 | 50-20 | | after a conference game | 7-3 | 19-27 | 140-144 | 2-3 | 23-19 | 107-97 | 6-5 | 21-28 | 156-136 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-0 | 10-9 | 81-71 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 60-54 | 3-2 | 10-10 | 83-72 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-2 | 8-13 | 68-52 | 3-2 | 11-7 | 48-41 | 5-3 | 14-9 | 85-49 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-5 | 22-35 | 180-165 | 4-5 | 28-23 | 132-123 | 7-8 | 23-37 | 196-168 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-2 | 11-20 | 111-104 | 1-2 | 13-15 | 84-87 | 2-4 | 8-24 | 105-114 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 5-2 | 13-15 | 46-46 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 40-43 | 3-4 | 10-19 | 44-51 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 8-5 | 21-21 | 81-79 | 1-7 | 18-18 | 70-58 | 7-7 | 20-25 | 89-80 |
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| in all games | 9-11 | 42-38 | 214-242 | 3-10 | 27-45 | 153-177 | 18-6 | 70-26 | 358-165 | | in all lined games | 9-11 | 42-38 | 214-242 | 3-10 | 27-45 | 153-177 | 14-6 | 55-25 | 302-164 | | as a favorite | 7-11 | 27-27 | 146-175 | 2-9 | 16-31 | 94-112 | 13-5 | 43-11 | 257-72 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-2 | 3-5 | 15-20 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 12-14 | 2-0 | 7-1 | 29-6 | | in all home games | 1-9 | 12-24 | 92-126 | 1-5 | 9-23 | 68-79 | 10-4 | 41-11 | 222-52 | | in home lined games | 1-9 | 12-24 | 92-126 | 1-5 | 9-23 | 68-79 | 6-4 | 26-10 | 172-51 | | against conference opponents | 4-7 | 26-27 | 129-156 | 2-5 | 18-31 | 98-116 | 6-5 | 32-21 | 179-112 | | in February games | 1-2 | 9-9 | 50-64 | 0-2 | 5-12 | 43-44 | 1-2 | 11-7 | 66-49 | | on Tuesday nights | 0-1 | 2-5 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11-13 | 3-0 | 9-0 | 33-12 | | after a conference game | 3-7 | 27-24 | 128-153 | 1-5 | 17-29 | 105-117 | 5-5 | 33-19 | 176-114 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-3 | 9-10 | 47-58 | 0-2 | 5-11 | 47-47 | 2-2 | 13-6 | 58-50 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-4 | 16-11 | 45-47 | 1-2 | 7-15 | 41-37 | 5-2 | 20-8 | 62-38 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-9 | 33-27 | 168-178 | 3-10 | 16-38 | 117-147 | 13-5 | 38-23 | 221-143 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-4 | 20-18 | 90-118 | 1-3 | 12-23 | 82-95 | 4-2 | 21-17 | 111-102 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 15-9 | +4 | 15-6 | 7-8 | 69.5 | 33.0 | 41.7% | 37.7 | 65.1 | 28.2 | 39.2% | 33.6 | | Road Games | 6-5 | +1.2 | 8-2 | 3-4 | 70.3 | 33.6 | 42.8% | 36.1 | 66.0 | 28.2 | 39.7% | 33.8 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.7 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 69.8 | 33.0 | 44.7% | 38.8 | 60.4 | 28.0 | 36.9% | 32.2 | | Conference Games | 6-5 | +5.9 | 8-3 | 3-3 | 68.3 | 32.3 | 42.2% | 38.1 | 64.0 | 27.4 | 38.2% | 34.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.5 | 33.0 | 22-52 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 34.5% | 19-27 | 71.9% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.8 | 30.2 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 31.9% | 13-18 | 69.6% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 70.3 | 33.6 | 22-51 | 42.8% | 6-17 | 37.0% | 20-27 | 73.9% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.1 | 28.2 | 21-54 | 39.2% | 7-20 | 35.2% | 16-23 | 67.2% | 34 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 14-20 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.0 | 28.2 | 22-54 | 39.7% | 7-20 | 33.8% | 16-24 | 67.6% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 3 |
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| All Games | 18-6 | +3.6 | 9-11 | 3-10 | 70.5 | 32.5 | 41.6% | 41.5 | 58.7 | 25.2 | 37.8% | 33.5 | | Home Games | 10-4 | -2.7 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 73.0 | 34.8 | 42.7% | 42.9 | 58.1 | 23.3 | 36.0% | 33.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 56.8 | 25.0 | 34.9% | 36.6 | 57.2 | 26.4 | 41.9% | 30.0 | | Conference Games | 6-5 | +1 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 61.8 | 27.0 | 38.2% | 36.3 | 60.3 | 26.2 | 41.8% | 31.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.5 | 32.5 | 25-59 | 41.6% | 7-22 | 32.3% | 14-22 | 65.5% | 41 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 6 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65 | 30.3 | 23-55 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 32.5% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 73.0 | 34.8 | 26-62 | 42.7% | 8-22 | 33.9% | 13-21 | 60.9% | 43 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 7 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.7 | 25.2 | 21-56 | 37.8% | 5-17 | 30.3% | 11-18 | 63.1% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.9 | 31.6 | 24-56 | 43.5% | 6-17 | 33.0% | 14-21 | 68.2% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.1 | 23.3 | 21-57 | 36.0% | 6-17 | 33.1% | 11-17 | 64.6% | 33 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: VILLANOVA 75.8, CINCINNATI 74 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| VILLANOVA is 5-3 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1997 | | VILLANOVA is 5-3 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| VILLANOVA is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | | CINCINNATI is 2-1 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus VILLANOVA since 1997 | | CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against VILLANOVA since 1997 | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| VILLANOVA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons | | CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/3/2012 | CINCINNATI | 72 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 30 | 10 | 6 | | | VILLANOVA | 68 | 138.5 | Over | 32 | 24-52 | 46.2% | 8-22 | 36.4% | 12-14 | 85.7% | 31 | 8 | 10 | 1/14/2012 | VILLANOVA | 78 | 135.5 | ATS | 45 | 25-57 | 43.9% | 12-30 | 40.0% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 46 | 8 | 17 | | | CINCINNATI | 82 | -9 | SU Over | 40 | 27-66 | 40.9% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 19-27 | 70.4% | 30 | 8 | 3 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VILLANOVA games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (194-175) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VILLANOVA games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (176-187) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 63.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-24) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [G] 01/11/2013 - Jeremiah Davis III out indefinitely ( Wrist ) |
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