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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 9:00 PM
MICHIGAN (21-3) AT MICHIGAN ST (20-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
531: MICHIGAN
532: MICHIGAN ST
131.0
+2.0
77.0 / 60.4
69.7 / 59.2
21-3
20-4
13-9
10-11
13-10
10-10
49.8
46.8
70.2
71.4
40.7
35.7
41.3
39.0
65.6
64.0
32.0
31.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN  
MICHIGAN ST0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-952-31224-21913-1045-37154-16821-366-27282-224
in all lined games13-952-31224-21913-1045-37154-16820-357-27230-220
when the total is 130 to 139.55-517-1368-626-516-1555-7610-120-1165-68
as a favorite12-728-19111-10211-927-1972-7519-142-6163-55
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-12-29-101-02-26-60-12-211-9
in road games3-416-1274-905-216-1255-614-314-1454-116
in road lined games3-416-1274-905-216-1255-614-314-1452-115
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-02-111-150-01-211-140-00-34-22
against conference opponents5-531-19148-1356-527-2498-1158-332-19132-155
in February games0-312-651-593-010-838-451-211-749-64
on Tuesday nights3-27-626-272-38-518-265-011-434-30
after a conference game4-529-20145-1315-523-2791-1207-331-20136-150
off a loss against a conference rival1-113-580-652-010-849-622-013-571-76
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-01-030-260-00-115-210-01-029-35
when playing against a team with a winning record12-844-26176-15312-937-32125-12818-346-26168-181
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-524-16104-914-519-2274-906-323-1883-118
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-514-867-554-411-1249-565-312-1148-75
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-526-13110-888-620-1977-8011-324-1798-111

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1143-43258-23110-1038-47182-22020-467-28397-146
in all lined games10-1143-43258-23110-1038-47182-22017-459-28351-146
when the total is 130 to 139.55-419-1896-814-515-2391-896-322-16128-55
as an underdog3-213-760-513-29-1040-592-39-1142-69
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-00-03-30-00-02-30-00-02-4
in all home games5-621-18115-985-520-1981-8414-043-4231-24
in home lined games5-621-18115-985-520-1981-8411-036-4193-24
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.52-17-325-151-25-522-193-09-138-4
against conference opponents7-429-23153-1337-424-29105-1349-236-17206-86
in February games2-011-561-471-16-1141-562-012-578-34
on Tuesday nights2-27-1031-442-27-1029-424-09-849-32
after a conference game7-328-23155-1296-424-28107-1349-135-17208-83
off a win against a conference rival6-222-13115-864-412-2373-957-124-11147-57
when playing against a team with a winning record8-835-35196-1839-734-36152-17513-347-25257-136
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-221-21124-1034-421-2299-1097-127-16154-79
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games6-116-1378-713-413-1658-776-117-12100-52
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-523-20110-1156-619-2485-10910-227-16145-86
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-03-224-201-02-319-180-12-323-21
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game2-19-758-492-17-844-482-110-763-46
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-3+613-913-1077.036.749.8%36.360.428.141.3%30.0
Road Games7-3+46-47-373.234.048.8%34.265.430.443.5%31.0
Last 5 Games3-2-0.22-33-270.632.446.0%33.265.228.644.2%34.4
Conference Games8-3+15-56-573.534.048.2%35.062.729.542.7%31.4
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.036.729-5849.8%8-2040.7%11-1570.2%3691512693
vs opponents surrendering65.43023-5542.5%6-1834.3%12-1868.2%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)73.234.027-5648.8%7-1836.6%11-1670.1%34813167113
Stats Against (All Games)60.428.123-5641.3%7-2032.0%8-1265.6%30812155123
vs opponents averaging67.93224-5643.2%6-1833.7%13-2068.4%351013177124
Stats Against (Road Games)65.430.424-5443.5%7-2034.7%11-1669.6%31913167133

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-4+5.610-1110-1069.732.146.8%37.459.228.239.0%30.8
Home Games14-0+55-65-572.732.448.8%39.255.525.735.0%30.4
Last 5 Games4-1+3.84-13-267.628.246.8%31.862.430.441.9%31.0
Conference Games9-2+6.87-47-468.530.045.5%34.062.930.243.4%31.8
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.732.125-5346.8%5-1435.7%15-2071.4%37914179144
vs opponents surrendering65.429.423-5641.2%6-1832.4%14-2070.0%35912187143
Team Stats (Home Games)72.732.425-5148.8%5-1534.0%17-2472.5%39915159144
Stats Against (All Games)59.228.221-5339.0%5-1731.3%12-1964.0%31811188134
vs opponents averaging68.131.724-5742.7%6-1833.3%14-2068.3%361013187134
Stats Against (Home Games)55.525.719-5535.0%5-1929.1%11-1863.0%30910208142
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 75.3,  MICHIGAN ST 74.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 13-13 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 19-7 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
14 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 7-6 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 12-1 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/5/2012MICHIGAN54124.5 Under2219-4839.6%7-2231.8%9-1275.0%16310
 MICHIGAN ST64-7SU ATS3024-4652.2%2-1020.0%14-2070.0%401215
1/17/2012MICHIGAN ST59-1 Under2924-5048.0%7-1546.7%4-580.0%31914
 MICHIGAN60130.5SU ATS3623-4551.1%6-2128.6%8-1361.5%1818
3/5/2011MICHIGAN ST63126.5 Over2520-6132.8%8-2236.4%15-2075.0%461510
 MICHIGAN70-1SU ATS3321-5042.0%5-1926.3%23-3174.2%3046
1/27/2011MICHIGAN61127SU ATS3323-4650.0%10-2147.6%5-1241.7%29513
 MICHIGAN ST57-11 Under2721-4843.7%5-1926.3%10-1662.5%29612
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (170-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (184-213)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-39)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time since 1997. (124-153)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55% of the time since 1997. (194-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (44-35)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN
[F] 02/11/2013 - Jordan Morgan "?" Tuesday vs. Michigan State ( Ankle )
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 02/11/2013 - Travis Trice doubtful Tuesday vs. Michigan ( Concussion )
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
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