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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 5-6 | 29-36 | 219-211 | 2-5 | 29-31 | 170-167 | 15-4 | 51-33 | 350-170 | in all lined games | 5-6 | 29-36 | 219-211 | 2-5 | 29-31 | 170-167 | 8-4 | 34-33 | 271-168 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-2 | 14-10 | 37-26 | 2-3 | 14-9 | 33-28 | 3-2 | 17-7 | 42-21 | as an underdog | 2-2 | 13-18 | 67-68 | 2-2 | 17-14 | 61-61 | 1-3 | 6-25 | 45-92 | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 2-11 | in road games | 1-2 | 9-13 | 68-75 | 1-2 | 8-14 | 57-59 | 1-2 | 6-16 | 71-78 | in road lined games | 1-2 | 9-13 | 68-75 | 1-2 | 8-14 | 57-59 | 1-2 | 6-16 | 68-78 | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10-5 | against conference opponents | 1-5 | 18-23 | 141-130 | 0-4 | 20-20 | 115-104 | 3-3 | 18-24 | 160-115 | in January games | 1-6 | 9-12 | 56-52 | 0-4 | 4-15 | 40-44 | 4-3 | 13-10 | 79-46 | on Saturday games | 1-1 | 4-10 | 54-57 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 53-29 | 4-1 | 8-9 | 84-46 | after a conference game | 1-5 | 16-22 | 137-124 | 1-4 | 19-19 | 111-102 | 2-4 | 20-21 | 171-103 | off a win against a conference rival | 0-2 | 5-11 | 80-70 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 63-55 | 0-2 | 5-12 | 97-62 | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-3 | 5-11 | 45-44 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 31-37 | 7-1 | 12-9 | 87-33 | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-2 | 4-2 | 23-17 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 14-21 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 32-13 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-5 | 16-28 | 168-167 | 1-5 | 21-21 | 137-140 | 7-3 | 20-29 | 215-148 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-3 | 7-21 | 117-103 | 0-3 | 14-14 | 104-94 | 2-1 | 9-19 | 129-95 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 5-8 | 39-27 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 28-29 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 40-28 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 10-12 | 64-58 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 44-56 | 3-1 | 10-13 | 78-56 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 1-10 | 51-48 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 46-44 | 1-1 | 1-10 | 48-53 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-2 | 4-12 | 68-75 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 57-62 | 2-1 | 3-13 | 73-76 |
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in all games | 10-8 | 43-45 | 271-243 | 8-8 | 45-40 | 223-225 | 16-2 | 75-14 | 470-85 | in all lined games | 10-8 | 43-45 | 271-243 | 8-8 | 45-40 | 223-225 | 16-2 | 74-14 | 442-85 | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-2 | 15-11 | 38-43 | 3-3 | 13-13 | 49-34 | 5-1 | 23-3 | 70-14 | as a favorite | 9-8 | 41-42 | 257-232 | 7-8 | 41-39 | 211-214 | 15-2 | 72-11 | 432-69 | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-7 | 13-14 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 18-9 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 22-6 | in all home games | 4-6 | 17-25 | 120-99 | 3-6 | 20-21 | 94-94 | 10-0 | 40-3 | 232-16 | in home lined games | 4-6 | 17-25 | 120-99 | 3-6 | 20-21 | 94-94 | 10-0 | 39-3 | 210-16 | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 15-2 | against conference opponents | 2-3 | 19-23 | 150-132 | 3-2 | 19-23 | 126-124 | 3-2 | 33-9 | 232-55 | in January games | 3-3 | 9-15 | 76-52 | 3-3 | 13-10 | 58-53 | 4-2 | 18-6 | 117-17 | on Saturday games | 3-3 | 10-14 | 76-67 | 4-1 | 14-9 | 74-50 | 5-1 | 18-6 | 133-22 | after a conference game | 2-2 | 20-21 | 145-131 | 3-1 | 21-20 | 126-120 | 2-2 | 31-10 | 232-54 | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 4-4 | 26-28 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 25-24 | 1-0 | 7-1 | 40-14 | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-0 | 5-2 | 46-27 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 35-30 | 1-0 | 7-0 | 67-14 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-7 | 29-35 | 217-202 | 8-6 | 34-28 | 197-176 | 13-2 | 51-13 | 355-81 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 14-20 | 123-135 | 3-0 | 18-16 | 131-106 | 1-2 | 23-11 | 202-66 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 8-11 | 37-35 | 2-0 | 8-11 | 34-35 | 1-1 | 14-5 | 63-13 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-5 | 19-18 | 81-67 | 6-4 | 16-20 | 71-66 | 10-1 | 31-6 | 131-24 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 15-4 | 0 | 5-6 | 2-5 | 71.8 | 34.3 | 46.8% | 43.0 | 59.6 | 28.2 | 35.1% | 32.6 | Road Games | 2-3 | -0.3 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 62.8 | 26.4 | 39.8% | 47.8 | 61.4 | 33.2 | 35.4% | 34.8 | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.7 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 55.2 | 24.2 | 36.9% | 43.4 | 58.0 | 26.6 | 34.8% | 39.4 | Conference Games | 3-3 | -1.7 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 61.7 | 29.0 | 39.4% | 43.0 | 60.2 | 28.3 | 35.2% | 39.2 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 71.8 | 34.3 | 26-56 | 46.8% | 5-16 | 32.9% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 43 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 68.2 | 31.5 | 24-57 | 42.9% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 13-19 | 68.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.8 | 26.4 | 23-58 | 39.8% | 3-14 | 20.0% | 14-22 | 64.2% | 48 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.6 | 28.2 | 22-62 | 35.1% | 6-20 | 29.6% | 10-15 | 69.2% | 33 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 4 | vs opponents averaging | 68.5 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 61.4 | 33.2 | 22-62 | 35.4% | 5-18 | 28.3% | 13-20 | 63.6% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
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All Games | 16-2 | +4.4 | 10-8 | 8-8 | 77.8 | 34.8 | 46.1% | 36.6 | 63.1 | 29.3 | 39.5% | 36.6 | Home Games | 10-0 | +1 | 4-6 | 3-6 | 79.8 | 35.6 | 48.0% | 38.2 | 57.7 | 26.3 | 36.6% | 35.8 | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -2.6 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 72.0 | 30.2 | 41.2% | 38.6 | 66.6 | 30.2 | 43.3% | 40.0 | Conference Games | 3-2 | -2.6 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 72.0 | 30.2 | 41.2% | 38.6 | 66.6 | 30.2 | 43.3% | 40.0 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 77.8 | 34.8 | 27-59 | 46.1% | 8-19 | 40.5% | 16-22 | 71.0% | 37 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 63.9 | 29.5 | 23-55 | 40.9% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 13-19 | 68.8% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 79.8 | 35.6 | 29-60 | 48.0% | 9-20 | 42.8% | 13-21 | 63.2% | 38 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.1 | 29.3 | 23-59 | 39.5% | 5-16 | 31.0% | 11-16 | 69.7% | 37 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 71.4 | 33.9 | 25-57 | 44.7% | 6-19 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 69.2% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 5 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 57.7 | 26.3 | 21-58 | 36.6% | 5-17 | 29.8% | 10-15 | 69.5% | 36 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 2 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: MARYLAND 71.9, DUKE 76.7 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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DUKE is 20-15 against the spread versus MARYLAND since 1997 | DUKE is 26-10 straight up against MARYLAND since 1997 | 19 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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DUKE is 4-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | DUKE is 5-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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DUKE is 8-6 against the spread versus MARYLAND since 1997 | DUKE is 11-4 straight up against MARYLAND since 1997 | 8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | DUKE is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/11/2012 | MARYLAND | 55 | 152.5 | Under | 29 | 19-51 | 37.3% | 1-14 | 7.1% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 33 | 7 | 13 | | DUKE | 73 | -15 | SU ATS | 32 | 25-65 | 38.5% | 9-24 | 37.5% | 14-25 | 56.0% | 48 | 21 | 9 | 1/25/2012 | DUKE | 74 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 27-55 | 49.1% | 3-16 | 18.7% | 17-18 | 94.4% | 36 | 8 | 9 | | MARYLAND | 61 | 149.5 | Under | 34 | 23-57 | 40.4% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 31 | 12 | 8 | 3/11/2011 | MARYLAND | 71 | 146.5 | Over | 33 | 26-58 | 44.8% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 15-28 | 53.6% | 33 | 13 | 13 | N | DUKE | 87 | -9 | SU ATS | 42 | 31-63 | 49.2% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 22-27 | 81.5% | 41 | 14 | 12 | 2/2/2011 | DUKE | 80 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 30-57 | 52.6% | 10-23 | 43.5% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 34 | 10 | 8 | | MARYLAND | 62 | 148 | Under | 33 | 20-50 | 40.0% | 2-9 | 22.2% | 20-27 | 74.1% | 31 | 9 | 11 | 1/9/2011 | MARYLAND | 64 | 153.5 | ATS | 31 | 26-66 | 39.4% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 9-17 | 52.9% | 41 | 15 | 16 | | DUKE | 71 | -14.5 | SU Under | 32 | 25-62 | 40.3% | 6-21 | 28.6% | 15-23 | 65.2% | 44 | 11 | 17 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MARYLAND games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (176-182) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MARYLAND games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.4% of the time since 1997. (203-216) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-36) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in MARYLAND games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (159-138) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MARYLAND games 52.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-25) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 47.6% of the time since 1997. (192-211) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 44% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-42) | |
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No significant injuries. | |
[F] 01/11/2013 - Ryan Kelly out indefinitely ( Foot ) |
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