|
|
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
---|
|
|
|
All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
---|
|
|
|
|
|
in all games | 7-8 | 35-35 | 194-216 | 1-5 | 34-29 | 121-128 | 11-9 | 43-44 | 208-274 | in all lined games | 7-8 | 35-35 | 194-216 | 1-5 | 34-29 | 121-128 | 7-9 | 32-41 | 151-265 | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 2-1 | 11-13 | 24-24 | 1-2 | 13-12 | 26-23 | 1-2 | 9-16 | 21-29 | as an underdog | 5-2 | 18-18 | 130-142 | 1-4 | 17-18 | 79-93 | 1-6 | 9-28 | 63-213 | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 1-5 | 19-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 10-26 | in road games | 2-1 | 8-14 | 84-87 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 50-51 | 1-2 | 6-20 | 41-143 | in road lined games | 2-1 | 8-14 | 84-87 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 50-51 | 1-2 | 4-19 | 33-141 | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 0-7 | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 21-27 | 131-159 | 1-2 | 25-20 | 85-93 | 1-6 | 16-33 | 85-208 | in January games | 4-3 | 10-12 | 57-72 | 1-2 | 11-7 | 35-33 | 1-6 | 7-15 | 40-92 | after a conference game | 5-2 | 22-24 | 128-152 | 1-1 | 24-18 | 84-89 | 2-5 | 18-30 | 96-196 | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-1 | 14-15 | 85-106 | 1-1 | 15-12 | 60-61 | 1-4 | 10-20 | 54-141 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-4 | 23-22 | 128-148 | 1-3 | 24-19 | 86-92 | 1-7 | 16-31 | 81-205 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-1 | 14-15 | 76-93 | 1-1 | 13-15 | 61-61 | 1-3 | 9-21 | 43-129 |
|
|
|
|
in all games | 6-11 | 39-41 | 232-222 | 5-6 | 41-31 | 174-140 | 11-8 | 53-33 | 295-200 | in all lined games | 6-11 | 39-41 | 232-222 | 5-6 | 41-31 | 174-140 | 9-8 | 48-33 | 266-200 | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-4 | 13-10 | 57-50 | 1-3 | 14-10 | 57-52 | 1-3 | 15-9 | 58-54 | as a favorite | 5-6 | 25-24 | 139-119 | 2-4 | 18-24 | 84-81 | 8-3 | 38-11 | 206-61 | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 4-3 | 26-18 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 40-7 | in all home games | 1-6 | 18-21 | 111-113 | 1-2 | 18-16 | 83-65 | 5-4 | 34-11 | 194-67 | in home lined games | 1-6 | 18-21 | 111-113 | 1-2 | 18-16 | 83-65 | 3-4 | 29-11 | 165-67 | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 11-8 | against conference opponents | 3-4 | 24-21 | 152-139 | 2-4 | 26-18 | 124-87 | 3-4 | 27-19 | 159-140 | in January games | 3-4 | 13-10 | 69-61 | 2-4 | 12-9 | 44-36 | 3-4 | 13-10 | 71-60 | after a conference game | 3-3 | 24-20 | 150-140 | 2-3 | 27-16 | 125-89 | 3-3 | 27-18 | 161-137 | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-0 | 13-5 | 69-61 | 1-1 | 12-4 | 53-40 | 3-0 | 11-7 | 74-62 | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-1 | 7-5 | 51-34 | 1-0 | 8-4 | 31-26 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 48-41 | after playing 3 consecutive road games | 0-0 | 2-0 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 10-6 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-8 | 28-30 | 165-156 | 4-5 | 34-22 | 136-103 | 3-8 | 28-32 | 160-171 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 14-15 | 84-90 | 1-2 | 19-11 | 93-56 | 1-2 | 15-15 | 79-100 |
|
|
|
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
---|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 11-9 | -3.3 | 7-8 | 1-5 | 74.2 | 37.7 | 45.5% | 38.0 | 69.5 | 31.4 | 42.6% | 36.7 | Road Games | 3-4 | 0 | 4-3 | 0-3 | 71.9 | 34.7 | 45.9% | 35.3 | 71.9 | 33.7 | 46.8% | 32.3 | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -3.1 | 4-1 | 1-1 | 68.8 | 32.8 | 43.4% | 33.4 | 72.0 | 35.4 | 46.4% | 36.8 | Conference Games | 1-6 | -6.2 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 67.4 | 32.6 | 42.2% | 33.3 | 73.0 | 34.4 | 46.4% | 39.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 74.2 | 37.7 | 27-59 | 45.5% | 6-16 | 36.3% | 15-23 | 65.4% | 38 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 5 | vs opponents surrendering | 66.2 | 31.2 | 24-56 | 42.1% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 71.9 | 34.7 | 26-56 | 45.9% | 4-12 | 35.7% | 16-24 | 67.6% | 35 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.5 | 31.4 | 26-61 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 31.8% | 12-18 | 66.2% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.6 | 24-56 | 43.4% | 6-17 | 33.9% | 13-20 | 68.5% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.9 | 33.7 | 28-60 | 46.8% | 5-16 | 30.3% | 11-15 | 70.4% | 32 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 11-8 | -8.2 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 68.5 | 31.7 | 44.2% | 38.3 | 65.7 | 31.6 | 40.0% | 34.7 | Home Games | 5-4 | -10.2 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 69.4 | 33.6 | 45.1% | 40.0 | 63.6 | 31.4 | 37.3% | 36.7 | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.5 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 61.2 | 25.6 | 40.2% | 32.8 | 64.6 | 30.8 | 40.7% | 38.4 | Conference Games | 3-4 | -2.5 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 63.3 | 26.9 | 41.0% | 34.9 | 66.6 | 31.6 | 41.4% | 37.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 68.5 | 31.7 | 25-57 | 44.2% | 4-12 | 31.2% | 14-20 | 70.6% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 64.4 | 30.1 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 69.4 | 33.6 | 26-58 | 45.1% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 66.3% | 40 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 6 | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.7 | 31.6 | 24-60 | 40.0% | 6-18 | 32.6% | 12-17 | 69.3% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 68.5 | 32.4 | 25-55 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 35.5% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.6 | 31.4 | 24-63 | 37.3% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 10-14 | 68.5% | 37 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
|
|
Average power rating of opponents played: OREGON ST 70.4, CALIFORNIA 73.4 |
|
|
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
---|
|
|
CALIFORNIA is 18-14 against the spread versus OREGON ST since 1997 | CALIFORNIA is 25-7 straight up against OREGON ST since 1997 | 11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
CALIFORNIA is 3-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons | CALIFORNIA is 3-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
OREGON ST is 9-6 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA since 1997 | CALIFORNIA is 12-3 straight up against OREGON ST since 1997 | 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons | CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/18/2012 | OREGON ST | 63 | 152 | Under | 34 | 25-65 | 38.5% | 3-13 | 23.1% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 35 | 14 | 9 | | CALIFORNIA | 77 | -9 | SU ATS | 32 | 28-56 | 50.0% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 17-23 | 73.9% | 38 | 12 | 11 | 1/5/2012 | CALIFORNIA | 85 | 145 | Over | 38 | 31-54 | 57.4% | 6-14 | 42.9% | 17-23 | 73.9% | 24 | 6 | 13 | | OREGON ST | 92 | -2 | SU ATS | 38 | 31-49 | 63.3% | 11-18 | 61.1% | 19-25 | 76.0% | 23 | 2 | 15 | 2/26/2011 | CALIFORNIA | 87 | -1 | SU ATS | 38 | 29-46 | 63.0% | 8-16 | 50.0% | 21-31 | 67.7% | 27 | 4 | 16 | | OREGON ST | 76 | 146 | Over | 44 | 28-60 | 46.7% | 9-23 | 39.1% | 11-19 | 57.9% | 28 | 9 | 14 | 1/27/2011 | OREGON ST | 57 | 145.5 | Under | 26 | 19-59 | 32.2% | 3-18 | 16.7% | 16-26 | 61.5% | 36 | 15 | 17 | | CALIFORNIA | 85 | -9 | SU ATS | 36 | 31-61 | 50.8% | 5-12 | 41.7% | 18-27 | 66.7% | 42 | 16 | 13 |
|
|
|
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
---|
|
|
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON ST games 41.6% of the time since 1997. (136-191) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON ST games 45.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-32) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 46% of the time since 1997. (166-195) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-31) | |
|
The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON ST games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (109-107) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-29) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 49% of the time since 1997. (129-134) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 48.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-33) | |
|
|
|
|
[F] 11/29/2012 - Daniel Gomis out for season ( Leg ) | [C] 11/24/2012 - Angus Brandt out for season ( Knee ) | |
[G] 01/18/2013 - Ricky Kreklow out indefinitely ( Foot ) | [F] 01/03/2013 - Christian Behrens out for season ( Knee ) |
|
|