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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
KENTUCKY (8-3) AT LOUISVILLE (11-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
551: KENTUCKY
552: LOUISVILLE
137.5
-8.0
78.5 / 61.1
78.1 / 55.5
8-3
11-1
3-5
7-5
3-4
4-2
49.0
45.5
64.7
69.8
35.6
33.1
37.7
39.0
67.5
66.8
32.4
28.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
KENTUCKY  
LOUISVILLE-7 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games3-537-41253-2343-429-46189-2108-375-14412-127
in all lined games3-537-41253-2343-429-46189-2105-366-14372-126
when the total is 130 to 139.52-315-2295-773-211-2685-883-232-7134-42
as an underdog0-23-241-371-11-434-390-23-229-50
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-04-40-00-06-20-00-02-6
in road games0-19-1287-710-16-1459-730-112-997-63
in road lined games0-19-1287-710-16-1459-730-112-997-63
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.50-12-418-100-11-59-190-14-219-9
against Big East conference opponents0-13-518-130-11-712-190-16-321-12
in December games3-17-952-431-36-1040-434-117-386-24
on Saturday games2-113-18101-930-317-1579-823-128-7151-55
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-14-740-260-24-826-342-113-360-14
after a non-conference game3-520-21108-1083-416-2284-948-343-8201-60
in non-conference games3-520-21111-1053-415-2388-958-344-7203-59
after allowing 60 points or less2-116-1580-790-28-1964-714-031-4139-40
after scoring 80 points or more2-212-1472-910-311-1459-664-126-5136-45
when playing against a team with a winning record1-429-33205-1951-322-38155-1832-351-14299-119
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-112-1366-690-17-1860-610-124-5108-39
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-28-876-770-14-1153-762-112-5104-59

LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-548-30246-2294-232-42156-19211-166-21348-169
in all lined games7-548-30246-2294-232-42156-19211-160-21314-168
when the total is 130 to 139.53-122-1474-644-020-1872-703-123-1586-56
as a favorite7-536-24181-1714-222-33120-14211-152-10273-84
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-01-510-200-03-413-110-05-223-8
in all home games3-322-17117-1160-014-2077-876-041-6218-52
in home lined games3-322-17117-1160-014-2077-876-035-6187-51
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.50-04-316-160-03-517-170-06-226-8
against SEC opponents1-03-216-181-02-49-191-03-320-15
in December games4-29-847-552-18-828-436-019-499-29
on Saturday games3-218-1086-923-015-1360-734-125-8127-67
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-13-122-241-03-217-192-05-130-19
after a non-conference game7-522-1399-994-214-1759-7511-139-5170-64
in non-conference games7-522-1396-1004-213-1862-8011-138-6170-65
after allowing 60 points or less5-227-1191-743-122-1471-717-036-7116-58
when playing against a team with a winning record4-331-25176-1844-222-35127-1526-138-21216-154
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-218-1280-903-29-2255-744-117-1491-84
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-35-862-672-15-938-623-18-776-57
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-3-3.53-53-478.538.949.0%38.861.130.137.7%34.5
Road Games1-2-10-32-163.335.044.2%31.769.335.041.2%39.3
Last 5 Games4-1-2.53-11-377.437.044.5%44.654.024.234.2%35.2
KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.538.929-5949.0%6-1635.6%15-2364.7%391116168128
vs opponents surrendering68.73224-5842.3%6-1833.3%14-2068.4%341013187133
Team Stats (Road Games)63.335.023-5144.2%5-1237.8%13-2163.5%32912175126
Stats Against (All Games)61.130.122-5837.7%5-1732.4%12-1767.5%35911195153
vs opponents averaging71.433.225-5645.3%6-1834.7%14-2167.5%361015187144
Stats Against (Road Games)69.335.025-6141.2%6-1736.5%13-1870.9%391315185104

LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-1+3.87-54-278.135.445.5%38.855.524.739.0%32.3
Home Games6-0+13-30-081.038.047.1%41.852.022.835.9%32.2
Last 5 Games5-0+24-12-184.639.649.0%37.654.625.637.2%33.8
LOUISVILLE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.135.428-6145.5%7-2133.1%15-2269.8%3914151712133
vs opponents surrendering66.831.224-5642.6%6-1934.1%13-1969.2%34912187153
Team Stats (Home Games)81.038.029-6347.1%9-2632.9%13-2163.0%4215191712134
Stats Against (All Games)55.524.719-5039.0%5-1828.0%12-1766.8%3299196213
vs opponents averaging6932.124-5544.4%7-1934.5%14-2068.5%351013187154
Stats Against (Home Games)52.022.818-5035.9%5-1828.4%11-1766.3%3298196212
Average power rating of opponents played: KENTUCKY 72.8,  LOUISVILLE 73.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
KENTUCKY is 8-7 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997
KENTUCKY is 10-6 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997
12 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at LOUISVILLE since 1997
KENTUCKY is 4-3 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997
KENTUCKY is 4-3 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/31/2012LOUISVILLE61135.5 2824-6934.8%4-1136.4%9-1369.2%401612
NKENTUCKY69-8SU Under3528-4957.1%2-728.6%11-2055.0%33514
12/31/2011LOUISVILLE62138.5 ATS3320-6232.3%4-1822.2%18-2766.7%31814
 KENTUCKY69-10SU Under3617-5729.8%3-1618.7%32-4374.4%571421
12/31/2010KENTUCKY78144SU ATS3529-5750.9%6-1637.5%14-1687.5%361313
 LOUISVILLE63-3 Under2425-5446.3%8-2040.0%5-1145.5%25713
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring KENTUCKY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (203-192)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (203-194)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-32)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 49% of the time since 1997. (170-177)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.5% of the time since 1997. (135-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
KENTUCKY
[G] 12/29/2012 - Jon Hood is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Louisville ( Illness )
LOUISVILLE
[F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Undisclosed )
[C] 12/28/2012 - Gorgui Dieng is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Kentucky ( Wrist )
[C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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