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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
DUKE (18-2) AT FLORIDA ST (12-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
551: DUKE
552: FLORIDA ST
143.5
+6.5
78.0 / 63.5
69.2 / 67.0
18-2
12-8
11-9
8-10
9-8
6-3
46.7
44.1
70.2
72.0
40.1
36.2
40.0
41.6
69.8
68.3
30.7
33.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DUKE-6 
FLORIDA ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-944-46272-2449-846-40224-22518-277-14472-85
in all lined games11-944-46272-2449-846-40224-22518-276-14444-85
when the total is 140 to 149.53-520-1989-743-520-1979-858-031-8135-32
as a favorite10-942-43258-2338-842-39212-21417-274-11434-69
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-03-118-130-01-313-150-03-124-7
in road games0-313-1182-702-013-970-651-216-8112-45
in road lined games0-313-1182-702-013-970-651-216-8109-45
in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.50-02-314-80-03-212-110-03-218-5
against conference opponents3-420-24151-1334-220-23127-1245-235-9234-55
in February games0-011-664-580-06-1155-520-015-298-27
on Saturday games4-311-1477-675-115-975-506-119-6134-22
after a conference game3-321-22146-1324-122-20127-1204-233-10234-54
off a win against a conference rival1-316-18119-1042-117-16101-962-225-9193-40
when playing against a team with a winning record9-830-36218-2039-635-28198-17615-253-13357-81
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-315-21124-1364-019-16132-1063-225-11204-66

FLORIDA ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1042-36210-2046-334-35122-15512-860-29276-221
in all lined games8-1042-36210-2046-334-35122-15511-752-28208-215
when the total is 140 to 149.52-06-140-352-06-133-432-06-137-41
as an underdog5-318-12118-1032-213-1362-755-316-1467-158
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-11-27-80-11-25-50-11-24-11
in all home games2-716-1690-952-213-1651-726-533-10175-77
in home lined games2-716-1690-952-213-1651-725-425-9118-72
in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.51-01-015-41-01-09-111-01-014-6
against conference opponents2-524-17138-1260-220-1878-1014-330-13120-152
in February games0-05-953-550-08-724-460-010-546-66
on Saturday games4-213-957-522-111-932-354-217-669-57
after a conference game1-524-16132-1230-217-2070-1003-331-11127-144
off a win against a conference rival1-217-1158-570-213-1438-511-220-951-68
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-22-321-220-11-39-201-14-123-21
when playing against a team with a winning record6-734-28167-1614-327-3099-1278-543-23163-190
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-520-16102-950-214-2059-842-325-1285-118
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-47-821-330-12-1016-232-210-527-29
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-614-1954-693-212-1740-486-520-1666-68
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-16-452-370-16-428-330-15-525-66
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-19-786-670-17-841-581-18-861-103
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-2+5.411-99-878.035.546.7%36.163.530.140.0%36.5
Road Games7-2+3.46-35-275.334.644.5%34.069.933.843.5%36.6
Last 5 Games3-2-1.62-34-074.233.643.0%35.873.037.247.0%39.6
Conference Games5-2-1.63-44-274.133.444.1%36.666.732.343.7%38.9
DUKE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.035.528-5946.7%7-1940.1%15-2270.2%36915177114
vs opponents surrendering6429.823-5640.8%6-1832.9%13-1868.7%34912186143
Team Stats (Road Games)75.334.625-5744.5%6-1735.1%19-2379.5%34813197115
Stats Against (All Games)63.530.123-5940.0%5-1630.7%12-1769.8%36119195153
vs opponents averaging71.133.825-5744.8%6-1834.6%14-2069.3%361014177134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.933.826-6043.5%5-1432.3%13-1971.3%371112195134

FLORIDA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-8-6.88-106-369.131.744.1%32.367.032.441.6%35.3
Home Games6-5-10.62-72-270.130.843.4%30.866.631.243.0%33.7
Last 5 Games2-3-1.50-50-257.625.840.6%23.266.433.245.8%37.0
Conference Games4-3+1.92-50-260.627.740.9%26.965.732.443.4%37.7
FLORIDA ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.131.723-5344.1%7-1836.2%16-2272.0%32812187155
vs opponents surrendering62.929.322-5640.0%6-1832.4%12-1867.7%341012177143
Team Stats (Home Games)70.130.823-5343.4%6-1736.8%18-2475.5%31911178155
Stats Against (All Games)67.032.424-5741.6%7-2033.8%13-1968.3%351113207153
vs opponents averaging68.331.925-5544.5%6-1833.9%13-1967.8%371014177144
Stats Against (Home Games)66.631.224-5543.0%6-1933.6%13-1872.0%341014206173
Average power rating of opponents played: DUKE 76.2,  FLORIDA ST 75.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 15-12 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 20-7 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997
14 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at FLORIDA ST since 1997
DUKE is 7-6 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1997
DUKE is 9-4 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/10/2012FLORIDA ST62136SU ATS3324-5742.1%3-1127.3%11-1478.6%341414
NDUKE59-3.5 Under3119-5137.3%5-2025.0%16-1888.9%301016
2/23/2012DUKE74-1.5SU ATS3922-5242.3%13-2846.4%17-2665.4%36611
 FLORIDA ST66138.5 Over3225-6339.7%4-1526.7%12-2254.5%41168
1/21/2012FLORIDA ST76144.5SU ATS2627-5054.0%7-1450.0%15-2075.0%30412
 DUKE73-10 Over3225-6339.7%10-2343.5%13-1776.5%331210
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring FLORIDA ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (205-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 56.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (47-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (170-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (193-211)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 44.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.7% of the time since 1997. (139-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 59.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-25)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DUKE
[F] 01/11/2013 - Ryan Kelly out indefinitely ( Foot )
FLORIDA ST
[F] 01/23/2013 - Terrance Shannon out indefinitely ( Neck )
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