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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
ALABAMA (12-6) AT TENNESSEE (9-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
553: ALABAMA
554: TENNESSEE
122.0
-3.0
65.0 / 58.9
65.1 / 62.3
12-6
9-8
6-8
8-6
3-7
5-5
44.6
42.8
70.1
66.1
35.4
29.5
40.7
40.6
69.6
72.1
32.1
29.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ALABAMA  
TENNESSEE-2 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ALABAMA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-837-37205-2133-733-36144-14812-658-30306-199
in all lined games6-837-37205-2133-733-36144-1489-547-29238-191
when the total is 120 to 129.51-317-2024-271-319-1926-262-221-1729-24
as an underdog2-29-1387-861-312-962-631-35-1853-129
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-01-311-180-03-112-110-01-310-21
in road games2-311-1463-821-214-1051-512-310-1647-111
in road lined games2-311-1463-821-214-1051-512-310-1642-109
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-13-103-150-17-711-70-14-104-15
against conference opponents2-322-18137-1242-221-1889-934-127-14137-135
in January games3-312-857-602-211-732-445-115-666-58
on Saturday games2-312-1677-891-313-1559-583-316-15107-82
after a conference game2-221-17135-1221-219-1991-934-027-14138-133
off a win against a conference rival2-115-1071-590-212-1342-493-018-869-66
after allowing 60 points or less4-323-2260-731-423-1848-476-333-1892-62
after scoring 60 points or less2-37-1441-380-28-1029-284-212-1251-40
when playing against a team with a winning record4-729-27165-1592-726-27114-1136-536-25182-171
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-118-13113-900-216-1580-742-018-14101-112
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-15-639-330-25-528-292-05-633-42
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-510-1669-721-511-1250-514-511-1674-78

TENNESSEE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-641-37232-2145-532-38144-1649-847-38323-179
in all lined games8-641-37232-2145-532-38144-1647-842-38275-178
when the total is 120 to 129.52-211-713-92-29-910-131-310-814-9
as a favorite3-521-24135-1483-324-1598-896-331-16212-78
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-21-210-61-01-15-50-21-210-6
in all home games3-321-18115-881-216-1660-677-232-14205-47
in home lined games3-321-18115-881-216-1660-675-227-14159-47
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.50-26-37-41-15-46-51-17-29-2
against conference opponents4-123-17146-1212-116-2288-991-420-20156-114
in January games4-214-974-523-15-1640-451-510-1472-58
on Saturday games2-114-980-731-17-1447-532-112-1192-66
when playing with one or less days rest1-15-621-361-15-521-151-15-744-28
after a conference game4-023-16142-1202-116-2282-1111-320-19154-115
revenging a road loss vs opponent4-19-753-333-07-728-382-38-858-28
off a loss against a conference rival3-012-761-462-08-1027-511-211-863-47
after scoring 60 points or less2-29-1028-212-08-817-162-210-933-20
when playing against a team with a winning record6-528-31181-1704-422-33117-1363-827-34210-160
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-017-18105-1080-112-2372-980-116-19116-100
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-09-943-401-05-1230-351-16-1240-43
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-314-1472-632-28-1646-493-510-1866-70
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ALABAMA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-6-1.46-83-765.029.444.6%32.158.928.440.7%33.0
Road Games4-3+14-31-465.631.147.3%32.362.430.442.3%29.4
Last 5 Games4-1+3.62-32-264.025.844.2%29.859.229.845.4%32.2
Conference Games4-1+3.62-32-264.025.844.2%29.859.229.845.4%32.2
ALABAMA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.029.423-5244.6%6-1635.4%12-1870.1%32912179135
vs opponents surrendering65.630.124-5642.1%6-1833.9%12-1867.8%34913187144
Team Stats (Road Games)65.631.124-5147.3%6-1540.2%11-1769.0%32811208153
Stats Against (All Games)58.928.421-5240.7%5-1632.1%11-1669.6%33910165154
vs opponents averaging68.832.724-5643.1%6-1833.7%14-2069.2%371113177144
Stats Against (Road Games)62.430.422-5142.3%5-1631.9%14-1972.4%29812177144

TENNESSEE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-8-2.88-65-565.129.642.8%37.162.326.340.6%32.5
Home Games7-2+1.43-31-271.432.345.3%36.663.626.440.4%32.9
Last 5 Games1-4-3.24-12-166.430.243.7%36.070.828.641.8%33.6
Conference Games1-4-3.24-12-166.430.243.7%36.070.828.641.8%33.6
TENNESSEE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.129.623-5342.8%5-1729.5%15-2266.1%37911194134
vs opponents surrendering64.129.523-5541.3%6-1832.4%13-1967.9%34912187153
Team Stats (Home Games)71.432.324-5445.3%6-1831.1%17-2470.0%371013185115
Stats Against (All Games)62.326.322-5340.6%4-1429.6%15-2172.1%32811206114
vs opponents averaging69.432.425-5644.5%6-1833.1%14-2068.8%351013178144
Stats Against (Home Games)63.626.422-5540.4%4-1528.6%15-1975.4%33910216124
Average power rating of opponents played: ALABAMA 75.6,  TENNESSEE 77.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
ALABAMA is 12-7 against the spread versus TENNESSEE since 1997
ALABAMA is 12-7 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1997
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 3-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TENNESSEE since 1997
ALABAMA is 5-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE since 1997
ALABAMA is 4-3 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1997
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/12/2013TENNESSEE65120.5 ATS2826-5547.3%5-1533.3%8-1650.0%401416
 ALABAMA68-6.5SU Over2423-5442.6%6-1442.9%16-1984.2%2567
2/18/2012TENNESSEE50121 Under2515-4434.1%4-2020.0%16-2466.7%311217
 ALABAMA62-4SU ATS2917-4637.0%5-1827.8%23-3076.7%371114
2/5/2011ALABAMA65129.5SU ATS3824-5642.9%3-1421.4%14-1973.7%33615
 TENNESSEE60-5 Under2722-6334.9%4-2020.0%12-2060.0%481718
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TENNESSEE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (165-161)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 56.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 47.7% of the time since 1997. (166-182)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 37.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-37)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (131-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 64.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-23)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (127-124)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-28)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ALABAMA
[G] 01/23/2013 - Trevor Lacey left last game, probable Saturday vs. Tennessee ( Calf )
[C] 01/07/2013 - Carl Engstrom out for season ( Knee )
TENNESSEE
[F] 11/17/2012 - Jeronne Maymon out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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