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Saturday at 2:00 PM			DAYTON (12-8) AT SAINT LOUIS (15-5)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
553: DAYTON 554: SAINT LOUIS	130.0 -7.0	72.3 / 64.6 67.1 / 57.9	12-8 15-5	11-9 9-9	3-1 2-4	46.2 44.6	70.2 71.0	39.0 35.3	42.3 42.4	73.5 67.1	34.0 36.2

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
DAYTON
SAINT LOUIS	-5

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

DAYTON - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	11-9	45-36	226-221	3-1	32-31	145-133	12-8	54-35	324-183
in all lined games	11-9	45-36	226-221	3-1	32-31	145-133	12-8	47-34	278-181
when the total is 120 to 129.5	0-1	9-4	37-38	0-1	5-7	32-43	0-1	7-6	46-31
as an underdog	3-3	21-15	76-79	0-1	16-15	64-46	1-5	13-23	48-111
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points	1-0	6-1	10-13	0-0	5-1	12-4	1-0	4-3	6-17
in road games	3-2	16-14	84-88	0-1	13-12	57-45	1-4	10-20	73-104
in road lined games	3-2	16-14	84-88	0-1	13-12	57-45	1-4	10-20	72-104
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5	0-1	5-1	17-17	0-1	2-3	15-18	0-1	2-4	12-23
against conference opponents	3-3	24-20	134-134	1-1	17-22	89-85	2-4	22-22	160-119
in February games	0-0	8-7	54-51	0-0	6-9	28-38	0-0	8-7	58-52
on Saturday games	5-4	24-9	94-70	2-0	16-10	61-39	8-1	26-9	132-58
after a conference game	3-2	22-21	135-129	1-1	18-21	93-85	2-3	20-23	158-120
off a loss against a conference rival	2-1	10-11	55-53	1-0	10-8	37-36	1-2	10-11	69-44
when playing against a team with a winning record	5-6	28-25	135-140	2-1	24-19	106-87	5-6	28-27	155-140
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	1-2	13-13	75-80	1-1	11-13	67-59	0-3	9-17	71-91
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	0-3	1-7	26-34	1-1	3-4	24-28	0-3	1-7	29-37
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	3-5	14-14	62-66	1-1	12-10	44-46	3-5	14-16	79-63

SAINT LOUIS - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	9-9	36-38	93-95	2-4	27-33	82-89	15-5	53-32	130-87
in all lined games	9-9	36-38	93-95	2-4	27-33	82-89	13-5	44-32	105-86
when the total is 120 to 129.5	3-2	19-21	43-49	2-3	19-20	48-42	3-2	21-20	47-46
as a favorite	9-6	28-23	47-45	1-3	18-21	39-40	13-2	40-13	75-20
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points	1-0	2-4	6-7	0-0	2-2	4-7	1-0	4-2	11-2
in all home games	6-6	18-18	49-41	1-2	8-17	35-42	12-2	36-10	92-24
in home lined games	6-6	18-18	49-41	1-2	8-17	35-42	10-2	27-10	69-23
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5	2-0	6-7	17-18	1-1	3-10	18-16	2-0	10-4	25-11
against conference opponents	3-3	18-21	57-53	1-2	17-20	54-53	4-2	23-18	60-52
in February games	0-0	7-7	29-16	0-0	6-8	22-22	0-0	11-5	33-14
on Saturday games	2-4	11-19	31-39	0-1	7-17	29-35	4-2	18-14	49-31
when playing with one or less days rest	0-2	3-6	9-15	1-1	7-2	14-10	0-2	2-7	12-15
after a conference game	3-2	19-18	58-47	1-1	16-18	50-51	3-2	24-16	64-48
off a win against a conference rival	2-1	10-9	32-24	1-1	9-11	25-31	2-1	14-8	30-29
after allowing 60 points or less	5-5	21-16	45-39	2-2	15-17	38-38	8-3	28-16	59-40
when playing against a team with a winning record	4-5	21-24	61-62	2-4	22-19	59-57	6-3	22-25	63-70
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	1-0	13-8	42-28	1-0	12-9	37-32	1-0	13-9	35-36

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

DAYTON - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	12-8	-7.2	11-9	3-1	72.3	33.5	46.2%	35.0	64.6	28.6	42.3%	30.3
Road Games	3-5	0	5-3	1-1	69.0	31.1	45.3%	33.5	69.0	29.5	43.8%	30.0
Last 5 Games	2-3	-3.1	3-2	1-1	74.4	33.8	47.8%	34.4	64.8	29.6	45.7%	28.4
Conference Games	2-4	-4.1	3-3	1-1	72.3	33.5	47.1%	35.2	66.3	30.7	44.9%	28.2

DAYTON Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	72.3	33.5	25-55	46.2%	7-17	39.0%	15-21	70.2%	35	10	15	19	6	15	3
vs opponents surrendering	66.2	30.7	23-55	42.6%	6-18	33.7%	14-20	69.1%	34	9	12	18	7	14	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	69.0	31.1	24-53	45.3%	6-17	38.3%	15-20	74.8%	33	9	13	21	7	17	3
Stats Against (All Games)	64.6	28.6	22-52	42.3%	6-17	34.0%	14-20	73.5%	30	8	14	19	6	16	4
vs opponents averaging	68.2	31.8	24-56	43.5%	6-19	33.9%	13-20	67.8%	35	10	13	18	7	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	69.0	29.5	24-54	43.8%	5-16	31.8%	16-21	75.9%	30	8	13	18	8	13	5

SAINT LOUIS - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	15-5	-2.6	9-9	2-4	67.1	33.0	44.6%	31.8	57.8	26.4	42.4%	31.4
Home Games	12-2	-2.5	6-6	1-2	68.4	34.2	46.4%	31.0	56.0	25.1	41.4%	31.1
Last 5 Games	3-2	+2	3-2	1-1	69.8	31.6	42.1%	33.4	65.0	27.2	45.2%	34.6
Conference Games	4-2	+3	3-3	1-2	69.8	32.2	42.4%	34.2	64.5	28.0	44.3%	34.7

SAINT LOUIS Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	67.1	33.0	23-51	44.6%	6-18	35.3%	15-22	71.0%	32	7	13	16	7	11	3
vs opponents surrendering	65.7	30.7	23-54	42.3%	6-18	34.5%	14-20	69.1%	33	9	13	18	7	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	68.4	34.2	23-50	46.4%	6-17	37.8%	16-22	72.1%	31	7	13	15	7	11	3
Stats Against (All Games)	57.8	26.4	21-50	42.4%	5-13	36.2%	11-16	67.1%	31	7	12	20	6	15	3
vs opponents averaging	67.4	31.7	24-55	43.1%	6-18	33.9%	14-20	69.5%	35	10	13	18	7	14	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	56.0	25.1	21-50	41.4%	5-13	34.6%	10-14	70.7%	31	7	11	20	6	16	2

Average power rating of opponents played: DAYTON 72.2, SAINT LOUIS 72.7

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

SAINT LOUIS is 13-8 against the spread versus DAYTON since 1997

DAYTON is 12-9 straight up against SAINT LOUIS since 1997

8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

DAYTON is 3-1 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons

SAINT LOUIS is 2-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons

3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at SAINT LOUIS since 1997

DAYTON is 6-4 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS since 1997

SAINT LOUIS is 5-5 straight up against DAYTON since 1997

4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons.

DAYTON is 2-0 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons

SAINT LOUIS is 1-1 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
2/4/2012	DAYTON	50	135.5	ATS	25	14-57	24.6%	4-24	16.7%	18-23	78.3%	42	12	11
	SAINT LOUIS	58	-12	SU Under	31	18-45	40.0%	4-17	23.5%	18-31	58.1%	40	6	12
1/4/2012	SAINT LOUIS	72	-3.5	Over	36	24-62	38.7%	5-19	26.3%	19-26	73.1%	32	9	15
	DAYTON	79	120	SU ATS	28	24-55	43.6%	7-14	50.0%	24-28	85.7%	42	12	20
3/2/2011	SAINT LOUIS	69	123.5	SU ATS	35	26-49	53.1%	10-18	55.6%	7-9	77.8%	33	6	20
	DAYTON	51	-6	Under	19	17-51	33.3%	1-7	14.3%	16-24	66.7%	30	7	16

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SAINT LOUIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (193-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAINT LOUIS games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (179-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAINT LOUIS games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-27)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (120-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DAYTON games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAINT LOUIS games 46.4% of the time since 1997. (98-113)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAINT LOUIS games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-28)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

DAYTON

No significant injuries.

SAINT LOUIS

[G] 12/21/2012 - Keith Carter has left team ( Personal )

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