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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
SMU (11-9) AT UCF (13-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
577: SMU
578: UCF
OFF
-8.0
64.0 / 61.0
72.1 / 64.9
11-9
13-5
9-9
6-6
0-1
0-2
44.1
49.2
76.3
64.7
36.1
37.2
39.4
41.4
69.6
64.2
33.4
31.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
SMU  
UCF-8 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
SMU - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-935-39174-1910-124-3090-10811-944-43234-239
in all lined games9-935-39174-1910-124-3090-10810-934-42156-220
as an underdog2-417-2096-960-012-1853-691-58-2935-160
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-15-319-170-03-48-110-12-64-32
in road games3-418-1296-720-08-1440-473-411-2067-124
in road lined games3-418-1296-720-08-1440-473-410-2051-120
against conference opponents2-319-19123-1260-112-2263-791-413-26104-162
in January games2-410-1261-560-17-1026-341-58-1559-72
on Saturday games4-312-1576-670-011-940-324-314-1784-92
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-02-213-150-03-110-50-04-116-22
after a conference game3-220-18115-1220-012-2062-712-315-24112-153
off a loss against a conference rival1-213-1168-670-08-1340-481-210-1464-83
after scoring 60 points or less2-513-2150-520-115-1343-392-516-2057-69
when playing against a team with a winning record4-621-25112-1350-115-2058-734-719-3094-187
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-116-1364-820-09-1736-491-212-1847-111

UCF - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-632-3487-800-223-3173-7713-556-28126-83
in all lined games6-632-3487-800-223-3173-777-538-2886-82
as a favorite3-419-2046-410-110-2135-435-228-1164-24
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points1-14-310-60-10-56-91-16-115-2
in all home games3-416-1641-330-28-1733-3510-341-889-22
in home lined games3-416-1641-330-28-1733-354-324-853-22
against conference opponents2-218-2156-510-018-1751-523-120-1954-54
in January games2-38-1226-230-110-627-184-211-1129-26
on Saturday games3-114-1134-300-010-1132-275-121-1249-32
after a conference game1-216-2152-510-019-1551-492-119-2055-53
off a win against a conference rival0-29-1027-260-010-730-201-19-1026-27
when playing against a team with a winning record4-422-2752-550-220-2253-454-525-2649-67
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-010-1831-350-017-1039-261-010-1824-42
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-06-716-130-08-519-100-06-712-17
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-313-1129-170-29-1225-182-415-1229-25
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-13-15-40-01-23-61-04-011-0
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-25-28-60-01-34-74-011-025-1
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
SMU - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-9-3.29-90-164.031.744.1%33.361.027.539.4%30.7
Road Games5-6-2.74-70-061.530.643.5%33.063.928.142.2%30.5
Last 5 Games1-4-4.52-30-159.427.042.6%30.463.229.241.5%32.4
Conference Games1-4-4.52-30-159.427.042.6%30.463.229.241.5%32.4
SMU Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.031.722-4944.1%4-1136.1%17-2276.3%33911177154
vs opponents surrendering64.630.323-5541.9%6-1832.8%13-1967.7%34913187133
Team Stats (Road Games)61.530.622-5043.5%4-1133.6%14-2071.6%33910187173
Stats Against (All Games)61.027.520-5139.4%7-2233.4%13-1969.6%311012197154
vs opponents averaging6429.622-5342.0%6-1732.8%14-2068.1%35912176143
Stats Against (Road Games)63.928.121-5042.2%6-1835.3%15-2268.6%30913188144

UCF - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-5-0.46-60-272.134.349.2%36.664.928.141.4%32.1
Home Games10-3-3.53-40-270.734.648.5%36.861.526.640.6%31.6
Last 5 Games4-1+12-20-081.037.249.7%39.669.429.442.2%32.2
Conference Games3-1+12-20-076.532.747.7%40.769.529.740.5%34.7
UCF Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.134.326-5349.2%7-1837.2%13-2164.7%371015137154
vs opponents surrendering6731.124-5543.5%6-1834.8%13-1966.6%361013177154
Team Stats (Home Games)70.734.625-5248.5%7-1936.0%14-2164.7%37915137145
Stats Against (All Games)64.928.125-6141.4%7-2131.1%8-1364.2%321013188122
vs opponents averaging66.530.524-5742.3%6-1932.8%12-1867.8%341013178143
Stats Against (Home Games)61.526.624-6040.6%6-2029.7%7-1258.6%321013188121
Average power rating of opponents played: SMU 68,  UCF 70.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
UCF is 4-4 against the spread versus SMU since 1997
UCF is 5-3 straight up against SMU since 1997
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at UCF since 1997
UCF is 2-1 against the spread versus SMU since 1997
UCF is 3-0 straight up against SMU since 1997
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at UCF over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/4/2012UCF59-3.5SU ATS2817-4537.8%8-2532.0%17-2277.3%341311
 SMU52117 Under2918-4440.9%6-2227.3%10-1471.4%2469
3/2/2011SMU48124.5 ATS2319-4245.2%6-1637.5%4-757.1%26919
 UCF51-7SU Under1616-4238.1%8-1844.4%11-11100.0%22615
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (131-141)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (83-78)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 55.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-23)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
SMU
[C] 11/16/2012 - Blaise Mbargorba out for season ( Shoulder )
UCF
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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