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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-9 | 35-39 | 174-191 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 90-108 | 11-9 | 44-43 | 234-239 | | in all lined games | 9-9 | 35-39 | 174-191 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 90-108 | 10-9 | 34-42 | 156-220 | | as an underdog | 2-4 | 17-20 | 96-96 | 0-0 | 12-18 | 53-69 | 1-5 | 8-29 | 35-160 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 5-3 | 19-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 4-32 | | in road games | 3-4 | 18-12 | 96-72 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 40-47 | 3-4 | 11-20 | 67-124 | | in road lined games | 3-4 | 18-12 | 96-72 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 40-47 | 3-4 | 10-20 | 51-120 | | against conference opponents | 2-3 | 19-19 | 123-126 | 0-1 | 12-22 | 63-79 | 1-4 | 13-26 | 104-162 | | in January games | 2-4 | 10-12 | 61-56 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 26-34 | 1-5 | 8-15 | 59-72 | | on Saturday games | 4-3 | 12-15 | 76-67 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 40-32 | 4-3 | 14-17 | 84-92 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 16-22 | | after a conference game | 3-2 | 20-18 | 115-122 | 0-0 | 12-20 | 62-71 | 2-3 | 15-24 | 112-153 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-2 | 13-11 | 68-67 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 40-48 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 64-83 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-5 | 13-21 | 50-52 | 0-1 | 15-13 | 43-39 | 2-5 | 16-20 | 57-69 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-6 | 21-25 | 112-135 | 0-1 | 15-20 | 58-73 | 4-7 | 19-30 | 94-187 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 16-13 | 64-82 | 0-0 | 9-17 | 36-49 | 1-2 | 12-18 | 47-111 |
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| in all games | 6-6 | 32-34 | 87-80 | 0-2 | 23-31 | 73-77 | 13-5 | 56-28 | 126-83 | | in all lined games | 6-6 | 32-34 | 87-80 | 0-2 | 23-31 | 73-77 | 7-5 | 38-28 | 86-82 | | as a favorite | 3-4 | 19-20 | 46-41 | 0-1 | 10-21 | 35-43 | 5-2 | 28-11 | 64-24 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 1-1 | 4-3 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-5 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 6-1 | 15-2 | | in all home games | 3-4 | 16-16 | 41-33 | 0-2 | 8-17 | 33-35 | 10-3 | 41-8 | 89-22 | | in home lined games | 3-4 | 16-16 | 41-33 | 0-2 | 8-17 | 33-35 | 4-3 | 24-8 | 53-22 | | against conference opponents | 2-2 | 18-21 | 56-51 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 51-52 | 3-1 | 20-19 | 54-54 | | in January games | 2-3 | 8-12 | 26-23 | 0-1 | 10-6 | 27-18 | 4-2 | 11-11 | 29-26 | | on Saturday games | 3-1 | 14-11 | 34-30 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 32-27 | 5-1 | 21-12 | 49-32 | | after a conference game | 1-2 | 16-21 | 52-51 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 51-49 | 2-1 | 19-20 | 55-53 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-2 | 9-10 | 27-26 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 30-20 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 26-27 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-4 | 22-27 | 52-55 | 0-2 | 20-22 | 53-45 | 4-5 | 25-26 | 49-67 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 10-18 | 31-35 | 0-0 | 17-10 | 39-26 | 1-0 | 10-18 | 24-42 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 6-7 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 19-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12-17 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-3 | 13-11 | 29-17 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 25-18 | 2-4 | 15-12 | 29-25 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 3-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 11-0 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-2 | 5-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4-0 | 11-0 | 25-1 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 11-9 | -3.2 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 64.0 | 31.7 | 44.1% | 33.3 | 61.0 | 27.5 | 39.4% | 30.7 | | Road Games | 5-6 | -2.7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 61.5 | 30.6 | 43.5% | 33.0 | 63.9 | 28.1 | 42.2% | 30.5 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -4.5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 59.4 | 27.0 | 42.6% | 30.4 | 63.2 | 29.2 | 41.5% | 32.4 | | Conference Games | 1-4 | -4.5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 59.4 | 27.0 | 42.6% | 30.4 | 63.2 | 29.2 | 41.5% | 32.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.0 | 31.7 | 22-49 | 44.1% | 4-11 | 36.1% | 17-22 | 76.3% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 30.3 | 23-55 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 67.7% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 61.5 | 30.6 | 22-50 | 43.5% | 4-11 | 33.6% | 14-20 | 71.6% | 33 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.0 | 27.5 | 20-51 | 39.4% | 7-22 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.6% | 31 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 64 | 29.6 | 22-53 | 42.0% | 6-17 | 32.8% | 14-20 | 68.1% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 63.9 | 28.1 | 21-50 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 35.3% | 15-22 | 68.6% | 30 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 13-5 | -0.4 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 72.1 | 34.3 | 49.2% | 36.6 | 64.9 | 28.1 | 41.4% | 32.1 | | Home Games | 10-3 | -3.5 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 70.7 | 34.6 | 48.5% | 36.8 | 61.5 | 26.6 | 40.6% | 31.6 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 81.0 | 37.2 | 49.7% | 39.6 | 69.4 | 29.4 | 42.2% | 32.2 | | Conference Games | 3-1 | +1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 76.5 | 32.7 | 47.7% | 40.7 | 69.5 | 29.7 | 40.5% | 34.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.1 | 34.3 | 26-53 | 49.2% | 7-18 | 37.2% | 13-21 | 64.7% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67 | 31.1 | 24-55 | 43.5% | 6-18 | 34.8% | 13-19 | 66.6% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 70.7 | 34.6 | 25-52 | 48.5% | 7-19 | 36.0% | 14-21 | 64.7% | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.9 | 28.1 | 25-61 | 41.4% | 7-21 | 31.1% | 8-13 | 64.2% | 32 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.5 | 30.5 | 24-57 | 42.3% | 6-19 | 32.8% | 12-18 | 67.8% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 61.5 | 26.6 | 24-60 | 40.6% | 6-20 | 29.7% | 7-12 | 58.6% | 32 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 1 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: SMU 68, UCF 70.6 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| UCF is 4-4 against the spread versus SMU since 1997 | | UCF is 5-3 straight up against SMU since 1997 | | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons | | UCF is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| UCF is 2-1 against the spread versus SMU since 1997 | | UCF is 3-0 straight up against SMU since 1997 | | 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons | | UCF is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/4/2012 | UCF | 59 | -3.5 | SU ATS | 28 | 17-45 | 37.8% | 8-25 | 32.0% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 34 | 13 | 11 | | | SMU | 52 | 117 | Under | 29 | 18-44 | 40.9% | 6-22 | 27.3% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 24 | 6 | 9 | 3/2/2011 | SMU | 48 | 124.5 | ATS | 23 | 19-42 | 45.2% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 4-7 | 57.1% | 26 | 9 | 19 | | | UCF | 51 | -7 | SU Under | 16 | 16-42 | 38.1% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 11-11 | 100.0% | 22 | 6 | 15 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (131-141) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (83-78) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 55.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-23) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [C] 11/16/2012 - Blaise Mbargorba out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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