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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 6:00 PM
N ILLINOIS (5-18) AT W MICHIGAN (15-9) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
577: N ILLINOIS
578: W MICHIGAN
OFF
-13.5
55.7 / 63.9
67.1 / 63.3
5-18
15-9
11-11
12-8
0-1
1-2
36.1
43.1
66.2
69.7
27.4
32.0
43.0
40.4
71.9
68.2
34.7
33.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N ILLINOIS  
W MICHIGAN-16 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1139-36199-2050-124-30104-1075-1819-65153-302
in all lined games11-1139-36199-2050-124-30104-1074-1814-63126-284
as an underdog10-1035-30144-1330-121-2574-743-179-5847-236
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-02-016-120-00-28-60-00-22-27
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points4-111-740-270-15-718-140-50-184-64
in road games8-426-14109-920-112-1649-542-106-3745-175
in road lined games8-426-14109-920-112-1649-542-105-3639-166
against conference opponents5-623-21136-1430-018-1771-713-812-3494-191
in February games1-38-1257-580-08-934-260-43-1835-83
on Saturday games4-516-1380-800-09-1239-380-93-2861-118
after a conference game4-722-23130-1410-018-1671-682-911-3594-190
revenging a home loss vs opponent4-214-645-340-18-722-190-61-2015-70
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more2-25-613-210-04-310-41-33-89-27
off a loss against a conference rival4-317-1386-840-016-849-362-59-2252-125
after allowing 60 points or less5-38-834-450-04-521-162-64-1629-60
after scoring 60 points or less9-220-1460-530-012-1233-325-79-3043-92
after 3 or more consecutive losses5-113-1151-500-06-1328-293-38-2135-84
when playing against a team with a winning record7-520-14107-900-110-1353-452-104-3149-160
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-19-651-480-06-629-232-14-1119-84
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-27-325-200-02-520-120-31-911-36
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-511-949-380-04-1032-260-71-2124-73

W MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-842-40217-2231-241-23134-11015-950-42259-228
in all lined games12-842-40217-2231-241-23134-11011-943-41232-217
as a favorite7-222-19122-1130-021-1167-678-132-11176-67
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-18-60-00-14-20-01-014-0
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points0-00-219-110-01-15-40-02-030-0
in all home games5-118-14100-830-016-1148-508-131-9158-54
in home lined games5-118-14100-830-016-1148-505-125-9136-51
against conference opponents7-427-22147-1470-024-1386-677-427-22162-136
in February games2-210-1148-700-011-637-262-210-1158-61
on Saturday games7-317-1485-791-016-643-376-519-1597-88
after a conference game7-427-21134-1520-023-1285-667-427-22159-138
off a loss against a conference rival2-111-854-640-09-733-291-212-773-51
after scoring 60 points or less3-19-639-330-08-328-174-212-650-34
when playing against a team with a losing record6-218-1794-850-017-1050-537-226-12138-64
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games3-212-1159-550-010-733-333-216-779-36
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-26-421-230-04-220-101-25-519-25
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-38-940-440-18-434-212-37-1034-53
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-311-1030-270-013-325-192-215-642-17
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-314-1249-360-015-635-294-223-668-26
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games5-18-4.611-110-155.723.836.1%34.063.930.643.0%33.4
Road Games2-10+0.88-40-156.922.836.4%34.266.732.343.0%34.7
Last 5 Games1-4-2.42-30-055.625.038.1%33.061.228.840.3%32.2
Conference Games3-8+0.35-60-054.522.834.4%33.162.730.342.8%33.6
N ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)55.723.819-5436.1%5-1627.4%12-1966.2%34119208152
vs opponents surrendering67.531.524-5543.5%6-1833.6%13-1969.5%34913177143
Team Stats (Road Games)56.922.820-5436.4%5-1728.2%12-1966.4%34119218162
Stats Against (All Games)63.930.620-4743.0%7-2034.7%17-2371.9%33712177164
vs opponents averaging65.830.823-5442.7%6-1933.0%13-1969.9%34913187153
Stats Against (Road Games)66.732.321-4943.0%8-2235.8%17-2371.7%35914177164

W MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-9+8.412-81-267.131.443.1%38.163.329.540.4%30.6
Home Games8-1+45-10-072.933.145.9%38.460.327.738.4%29.1
Last 5 Games3-2-0.23-20-069.429.846.9%35.867.832.444.3%29.4
Conference Games7-4+2.87-40-067.128.644.5%36.861.227.739.0%30.9
W MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.131.422-5243.1%5-1632.0%17-2569.7%381112185153
vs opponents surrendering67.731.324-5543.8%6-1934.2%13-1968.9%351014177143
Team Stats (Home Games)72.933.124-5345.9%5-1535.3%19-2770.7%381114176144
Stats Against (All Games)63.329.522-5440.4%7-2033.8%13-1968.2%31912207134
vs opponents averaging66.530.724-5542.8%6-1933.3%13-1969.5%34913177143
Stats Against (Home Games)60.327.721-5438.4%7-2033.3%12-1769.7%29810226153
Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 69.2,  W MICHIGAN 69.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 16-14 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997
W MICHIGAN is 24-7 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 4-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 6-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at W MICHIGAN since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 8-5 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997
W MICHIGAN is 13-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/19/2013W MICHIGAN71-2.5SU ATS3119-3554.3%7-1450.0%26-3183.9%42819
 N ILLINOIS34  2011-5520.0%4-2218.2%8-1650.0%271411
3/7/2012N ILLINOIS54124 Over2818-4738.3%6-1931.6%12-1675.0%26611
NW MICHIGAN71-10.5SU ATS3124-5345.3%6-2128.6%17-2277.3%3998
2/15/2012W MICHIGAN78-8SU ATS3427-5152.9%13-2259.1%11-1668.7%391013
 N ILLINOIS53126.5 Over2421-5339.6%4-1625.0%7-1450.0%26910
1/11/2012N ILLINOIS68127.5 ATS3024-5642.9%7-1838.9%13-1681.2%3387
 W MICHIGAN77-16SU Over3424-4949.0%9-2339.1%20-2195.2%2748
2/15/2011W MICHIGAN77148.5SU ATS3828-6245.2%6-1637.5%15-2171.4%461313
 N ILLINOIS65-1 Under2622-5341.5%5-1533.3%16-2564.0%32511
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (169-143)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (168-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 37.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-43)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
N ILLINOIS
[G] 02/06/2013 - Akeem Springs out indefinitely ( Personal )
W MICHIGAN
[F] 02/16/2013 - Darius Paul "?" Saturday vs. No Illinois ( Knee )
[F] 02/16/2013 - Nate Hutcheson probable Saturday vs. No Illinois ( Abdominal )
[G] 02/05/2013 - Charles Harris out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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