The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Power Rating
Estimate
Edge
N ILLINOIS
W MICHIGAN
-16
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
Against the spread
Over/Under
Straight Up
Current
Last 3
Since 1997
Current
Last 3
Since 1997
Current
Last 3
Since 1997
Description
W-L
W-L
W-L
O-U
O-U
O-U
W-L
W-L
W-L
in all games
11-11
39-36
199-205
0-1
24-30
104-107
5-18
19-65
153-302
in all lined games
11-11
39-36
199-205
0-1
24-30
104-107
4-18
14-63
126-284
as an underdog
10-10
35-30
144-133
0-1
21-25
74-74
3-17
9-58
47-236
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points
0-0
2-0
16-12
0-0
0-2
8-6
0-0
0-2
2-27
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points
4-1
11-7
40-27
0-1
5-7
18-14
0-5
0-18
4-64
in road games
8-4
26-14
109-92
0-1
12-16
49-54
2-10
6-37
45-175
in road lined games
8-4
26-14
109-92
0-1
12-16
49-54
2-10
5-36
39-166
against conference opponents
5-6
23-21
136-143
0-0
18-17
71-71
3-8
12-34
94-191
in February games
1-3
8-12
57-58
0-0
8-9
34-26
0-4
3-18
35-83
on Saturday games
4-5
16-13
80-80
0-0
9-12
39-38
0-9
3-28
61-118
after a conference game
4-7
22-23
130-141
0-0
18-16
71-68
2-9
11-35
94-190
revenging a home loss vs opponent
4-2
14-6
45-34
0-1
8-7
22-19
0-6
1-20
15-70
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more
2-2
5-6
13-21
0-0
4-3
10-4
1-3
3-8
9-27
off a loss against a conference rival
4-3
17-13
86-84
0-0
16-8
49-36
2-5
9-22
52-125
after allowing 60 points or less
5-3
8-8
34-45
0-0
4-5
21-16
2-6
4-16
29-60
after scoring 60 points or less
9-2
20-14
60-53
0-0
12-12
33-32
5-7
9-30
43-92
after 3 or more consecutive losses
5-1
13-11
51-50
0-0
6-13
28-29
3-3
8-21
35-84
when playing against a team with a winning record
7-5
20-14
107-90
0-1
10-13
53-45
2-10
4-31
49-160
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
2-1
9-6
51-48
0-0
6-6
29-23
2-1
4-11
19-84
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games
1-2
7-3
25-20
0-0
2-5
20-12
0-3
1-9
11-36
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game
2-5
11-9
49-38
0-0
4-10
32-26
0-7
1-21
24-73
W MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
Against the spread
Over/Under
Straight Up
Current
Last 3
Since 1997
Current
Last 3
Since 1997
Current
Last 3
Since 1997
Description
W-L
W-L
W-L
O-U
O-U
O-U
W-L
W-L
W-L
in all games
12-8
42-40
217-223
1-2
41-23
134-110
15-9
50-42
259-228
in all lined games
12-8
42-40
217-223
1-2
41-23
134-110
11-9
43-41
232-217
as a favorite
7-2
22-19
122-113
0-0
21-11
67-67
8-1
32-11
176-67
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points
0-0
0-1
8-6
0-0
0-1
4-2
0-0
1-0
14-0
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points
0-0
0-2
19-11
0-0
1-1
5-4
0-0
2-0
30-0
in all home games
5-1
18-14
100-83
0-0
16-11
48-50
8-1
31-9
158-54
in home lined games
5-1
18-14
100-83
0-0
16-11
48-50
5-1
25-9
136-51
against conference opponents
7-4
27-22
147-147
0-0
24-13
86-67
7-4
27-22
162-136
in February games
2-2
10-11
48-70
0-0
11-6
37-26
2-2
10-11
58-61
on Saturday games
7-3
17-14
85-79
1-0
16-6
43-37
6-5
19-15
97-88
after a conference game
7-4
27-21
134-152
0-0
23-12
85-66
7-4
27-22
159-138
off a loss against a conference rival
2-1
11-8
54-64
0-0
9-7
33-29
1-2
12-7
73-51
after scoring 60 points or less
3-1
9-6
39-33
0-0
8-3
28-17
4-2
12-6
50-34
when playing against a team with a losing record
6-2
18-17
94-85
0-0
17-10
50-53
7-2
26-12
138-64
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games
3-2
12-11
59-55
0-0
10-7
33-33
3-2
16-7
79-36
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games
1-2
6-4
21-23
0-0
4-2
20-10
1-2
5-5
19-25
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game
2-3
8-9
40-44
0-1
8-4
34-21
2-3
7-10
34-53
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games
1-3
11-10
30-27
0-0
13-3
25-19
2-2
15-6
42-17
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game
2-3
14-12
49-36
0-0
15-6
35-29
4-2
23-6
68-26
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
Straight Up
Against Spread
Team
Opponent
W-L
Units
W-L
O-U
Score
Half
FG Pct
Reb.
Score
Half
FG Pct
Reb.
All Games
5-18
-4.6
11-11
0-1
55.7
23.8
36.1%
34.0
63.9
30.6
43.0%
33.4
Road Games
2-10
+0.8
8-4
0-1
56.9
22.8
36.4%
34.2
66.7
32.3
43.0%
34.7
Last 5 Games
1-4
-2.4
2-3
0-0
55.6
25.0
38.1%
33.0
61.2
28.8
40.3%
32.2
Conference Games
3-8
+0.3
5-6
0-0
54.5
22.8
34.4%
33.1
62.7
30.3
42.8%
33.6
N ILLINOIS Team Statistics
Shooting
3pt Shooting
Free Throws
Rebounding
PPG
Half
FGM-A
Pct
FGM-A
PCT
FTM-A
Pct
Tot
Off
Ast
PF
Stl
TO
Bk
Team Stats (All Games)
55.7
23.8
19-54
36.1%
5-16
27.4%
12-19
66.2%
34
11
9
20
8
15
2
vs opponents surrendering
67.5
31.5
24-55
43.5%
6-18
33.6%
13-19
69.5%
34
9
13
17
7
14
3
Team Stats (Road Games)
56.9
22.8
20-54
36.4%
5-17
28.2%
12-19
66.4%
34
11
9
21
8
16
2
Stats Against (All Games)
63.9
30.6
20-47
43.0%
7-20
34.7%
17-23
71.9%
33
7
12
17
7
16
4
vs opponents averaging
65.8
30.8
23-54
42.7%
6-19
33.0%
13-19
69.9%
34
9
13
18
7
15
3
Stats Against (Road Games)
66.7
32.3
21-49
43.0%
8-22
35.8%
17-23
71.7%
35
9
14
17
7
16
4
W MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
Straight Up
Against Spread
Team
Opponent
W-L
Units
W-L
O-U
Score
Half
FG Pct
Reb.
Score
Half
FG Pct
Reb.
All Games
15-9
+8.4
12-8
1-2
67.1
31.4
43.1%
38.1
63.3
29.5
40.4%
30.6
Home Games
8-1
+4
5-1
0-0
72.9
33.1
45.9%
38.4
60.3
27.7
38.4%
29.1
Last 5 Games
3-2
-0.2
3-2
0-0
69.4
29.8
46.9%
35.8
67.8
32.4
44.3%
29.4
Conference Games
7-4
+2.8
7-4
0-0
67.1
28.6
44.5%
36.8
61.2
27.7
39.0%
30.9
W MICHIGAN Team Statistics
Shooting
3pt Shooting
Free Throws
Rebounding
PPG
Half
FGM-A
Pct
FGM-A
PCT
FTM-A
Pct
Tot
Off
Ast
PF
Stl
TO
Bk
Team Stats (All Games)
67.1
31.4
22-52
43.1%
5-16
32.0%
17-25
69.7%
38
11
12
18
5
15
3
vs opponents surrendering
67.7
31.3
24-55
43.8%
6-19
34.2%
13-19
68.9%
35
10
14
17
7
14
3
Team Stats (Home Games)
72.9
33.1
24-53
45.9%
5-15
35.3%
19-27
70.7%
38
11
14
17
6
14
4
Stats Against (All Games)
63.3
29.5
22-54
40.4%
7-20
33.8%
13-19
68.2%
31
9
12
20
7
13
4
vs opponents averaging
66.5
30.7
24-55
42.8%
6-19
33.3%
13-19
69.5%
34
9
13
17
7
14
3
Stats Against (Home Games)
60.3
27.7
21-54
38.4%
7-20
33.3%
12-17
69.7%
29
8
10
22
6
15
3
Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 69.2, W MICHIGAN 69.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 16-14 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997
W MICHIGAN is 24-7 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 4-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 6-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
All games played at W MICHIGAN since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 8-5 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997
W MICHIGAN is 13-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Shooting
3pt shots
Free Throws
Rebounds
Date
Teams
Score
Line
Result
Half
FGM-A
Pct
FGM-A
Pct
FTM-A
Pct
Tot.
OFF
TO
1/19/2013
W MICHIGAN
71
-2.5
SU ATS
31
19-35
54.3%
7-14
50.0%
26-31
83.9%
42
8
19
N ILLINOIS
34
20
11-55
20.0%
4-22
18.2%
8-16
50.0%
27
14
11
3/7/2012
N ILLINOIS
54
124
Over
28
18-47
38.3%
6-19
31.6%
12-16
75.0%
26
6
11
N
W MICHIGAN
71
-10.5
SU ATS
31
24-53
45.3%
6-21
28.6%
17-22
77.3%
39
9
8
2/15/2012
W MICHIGAN
78
-8
SU ATS
34
27-51
52.9%
13-22
59.1%
11-16
68.7%
39
10
13
N ILLINOIS
53
126.5
Over
24
21-53
39.6%
4-16
25.0%
7-14
50.0%
26
9
10
1/11/2012
N ILLINOIS
68
127.5
ATS
30
24-56
42.9%
7-18
38.9%
13-16
81.2%
33
8
7
W MICHIGAN
77
-16
SU Over
34
24-49
49.0%
9-23
39.1%
20-21
95.2%
27
4
8
2/15/2011
W MICHIGAN
77
148.5
SU ATS
38
28-62
45.2%
6-16
37.5%
15-21
71.4%
46
13
13
N ILLINOIS
65
-1
Under
26
22-53
41.5%
5-15
33.3%
16-25
64.0%
32
5
11
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (169-143)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (168-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 37.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-43)
No Edge.
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
N ILLINOIS
[G] 02/06/2013 - Akeem Springs out indefinitely ( Personal )
W MICHIGAN
[F] 02/16/2013 - Darius Paul "?" Saturday vs. No Illinois ( Knee )
[F] 02/16/2013 - Nate Hutcheson probable Saturday vs. No Illinois ( Abdominal )
[G] 02/05/2013 - Charles Harris out for season ( Shoulder )
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