|
|
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
---|
|
|
|
All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
---|
|
|
|
|
|
in all games | 11-11 | 39-36 | 199-205 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 5-18 | 19-65 | 153-302 | in all lined games | 11-11 | 39-36 | 199-205 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 4-18 | 14-63 | 126-284 | as an underdog | 10-10 | 35-30 | 144-133 | 0-1 | 21-25 | 74-74 | 3-17 | 9-58 | 47-236 | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 2-0 | 16-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2-27 | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 4-1 | 11-7 | 40-27 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 18-14 | 0-5 | 0-18 | 4-64 | in road games | 8-4 | 26-14 | 109-92 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-10 | 6-37 | 45-175 | in road lined games | 8-4 | 26-14 | 109-92 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-10 | 5-36 | 39-166 | against conference opponents | 5-6 | 23-21 | 136-143 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 71-71 | 3-8 | 12-34 | 94-191 | in February games | 1-3 | 8-12 | 57-58 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 34-26 | 0-4 | 3-18 | 35-83 | on Saturday games | 4-5 | 16-13 | 80-80 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 39-38 | 0-9 | 3-28 | 61-118 | after a conference game | 4-7 | 22-23 | 130-141 | 0-0 | 18-16 | 71-68 | 2-9 | 11-35 | 94-190 | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 4-2 | 14-6 | 45-34 | 0-1 | 8-7 | 22-19 | 0-6 | 1-20 | 15-70 | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 2-2 | 5-6 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 9-27 | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-3 | 17-13 | 86-84 | 0-0 | 16-8 | 49-36 | 2-5 | 9-22 | 52-125 | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-3 | 8-8 | 34-45 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21-16 | 2-6 | 4-16 | 29-60 | after scoring 60 points or less | 9-2 | 20-14 | 60-53 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 33-32 | 5-7 | 9-30 | 43-92 | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 5-1 | 13-11 | 51-50 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 28-29 | 3-3 | 8-21 | 35-84 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-5 | 20-14 | 107-90 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 53-45 | 2-10 | 4-31 | 49-160 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 9-6 | 51-48 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 29-23 | 2-1 | 4-11 | 19-84 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 7-3 | 25-20 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 20-12 | 0-3 | 1-9 | 11-36 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-5 | 11-9 | 49-38 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 32-26 | 0-7 | 1-21 | 24-73 |
|
|
|
|
in all games | 12-8 | 42-40 | 217-223 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 15-9 | 50-42 | 259-228 | in all lined games | 12-8 | 42-40 | 217-223 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 11-9 | 43-41 | 232-217 | as a favorite | 7-2 | 22-19 | 122-113 | 0-0 | 21-11 | 67-67 | 8-1 | 32-11 | 176-67 | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 14-0 | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 0-2 | 19-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 30-0 | in all home games | 5-1 | 18-14 | 100-83 | 0-0 | 16-11 | 48-50 | 8-1 | 31-9 | 158-54 | in home lined games | 5-1 | 18-14 | 100-83 | 0-0 | 16-11 | 48-50 | 5-1 | 25-9 | 136-51 | against conference opponents | 7-4 | 27-22 | 147-147 | 0-0 | 24-13 | 86-67 | 7-4 | 27-22 | 162-136 | in February games | 2-2 | 10-11 | 48-70 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 37-26 | 2-2 | 10-11 | 58-61 | on Saturday games | 7-3 | 17-14 | 85-79 | 1-0 | 16-6 | 43-37 | 6-5 | 19-15 | 97-88 | after a conference game | 7-4 | 27-21 | 134-152 | 0-0 | 23-12 | 85-66 | 7-4 | 27-22 | 159-138 | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-1 | 11-8 | 54-64 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 33-29 | 1-2 | 12-7 | 73-51 | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-1 | 9-6 | 39-33 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 28-17 | 4-2 | 12-6 | 50-34 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 6-2 | 18-17 | 94-85 | 0-0 | 17-10 | 50-53 | 7-2 | 26-12 | 138-64 | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 3-2 | 12-11 | 59-55 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 33-33 | 3-2 | 16-7 | 79-36 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 6-4 | 21-23 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 20-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 19-25 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-3 | 8-9 | 40-44 | 0-1 | 8-4 | 34-21 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 34-53 | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-3 | 11-10 | 30-27 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 25-19 | 2-2 | 15-6 | 42-17 | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-3 | 14-12 | 49-36 | 0-0 | 15-6 | 35-29 | 4-2 | 23-6 | 68-26 |
|
|
|
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
---|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 5-18 | -4.6 | 11-11 | 0-1 | 55.7 | 23.8 | 36.1% | 34.0 | 63.9 | 30.6 | 43.0% | 33.4 | Road Games | 2-10 | +0.8 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 56.9 | 22.8 | 36.4% | 34.2 | 66.7 | 32.3 | 43.0% | 34.7 | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -2.4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 55.6 | 25.0 | 38.1% | 33.0 | 61.2 | 28.8 | 40.3% | 32.2 | Conference Games | 3-8 | +0.3 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 54.5 | 22.8 | 34.4% | 33.1 | 62.7 | 30.3 | 42.8% | 33.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 55.7 | 23.8 | 19-54 | 36.1% | 5-16 | 27.4% | 12-19 | 66.2% | 34 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 2 | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 31.5 | 24-55 | 43.5% | 6-18 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 56.9 | 22.8 | 20-54 | 36.4% | 5-17 | 28.2% | 12-19 | 66.4% | 34 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 2 | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.9 | 30.6 | 20-47 | 43.0% | 7-20 | 34.7% | 17-23 | 71.9% | 33 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 | vs opponents averaging | 65.8 | 30.8 | 23-54 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 69.9% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.7 | 32.3 | 21-49 | 43.0% | 8-22 | 35.8% | 17-23 | 71.7% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 15-9 | +8.4 | 12-8 | 1-2 | 67.1 | 31.4 | 43.1% | 38.1 | 63.3 | 29.5 | 40.4% | 30.6 | Home Games | 8-1 | +4 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 72.9 | 33.1 | 45.9% | 38.4 | 60.3 | 27.7 | 38.4% | 29.1 | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 69.4 | 29.8 | 46.9% | 35.8 | 67.8 | 32.4 | 44.3% | 29.4 | Conference Games | 7-4 | +2.8 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 67.1 | 28.6 | 44.5% | 36.8 | 61.2 | 27.7 | 39.0% | 30.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Team Stats (All Games) | 67.1 | 31.4 | 22-52 | 43.1% | 5-16 | 32.0% | 17-25 | 69.7% | 38 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 3 | vs opponents surrendering | 67.7 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-19 | 34.2% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 72.9 | 33.1 | 24-53 | 45.9% | 5-15 | 35.3% | 19-27 | 70.7% | 38 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.3 | 29.5 | 22-54 | 40.4% | 7-20 | 33.8% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 31 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 4 | vs opponents averaging | 66.5 | 30.7 | 24-55 | 42.8% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.3 | 27.7 | 21-54 | 38.4% | 7-20 | 33.3% | 12-17 | 69.7% | 29 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
|
|
Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 69.2, W MICHIGAN 69.5 |
|
|
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
---|
|
|
N ILLINOIS is 16-14 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | W MICHIGAN is 24-7 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | 11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
W MICHIGAN is 4-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | W MICHIGAN is 6-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
N ILLINOIS is 8-5 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | W MICHIGAN is 13-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/19/2013 | W MICHIGAN | 71 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 19-35 | 54.3% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 26-31 | 83.9% | 42 | 8 | 19 | | N ILLINOIS | 34 | | | 20 | 11-55 | 20.0% | 4-22 | 18.2% | 8-16 | 50.0% | 27 | 14 | 11 | 3/7/2012 | N ILLINOIS | 54 | 124 | Over | 28 | 18-47 | 38.3% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 26 | 6 | 11 | N | W MICHIGAN | 71 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 24-53 | 45.3% | 6-21 | 28.6% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 39 | 9 | 8 | 2/15/2012 | W MICHIGAN | 78 | -8 | SU ATS | 34 | 27-51 | 52.9% | 13-22 | 59.1% | 11-16 | 68.7% | 39 | 10 | 13 | | N ILLINOIS | 53 | 126.5 | Over | 24 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 26 | 9 | 10 | 1/11/2012 | N ILLINOIS | 68 | 127.5 | ATS | 30 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 13-16 | 81.2% | 33 | 8 | 7 | | W MICHIGAN | 77 | -16 | SU Over | 34 | 24-49 | 49.0% | 9-23 | 39.1% | 20-21 | 95.2% | 27 | 4 | 8 | 2/15/2011 | W MICHIGAN | 77 | 148.5 | SU ATS | 38 | 28-62 | 45.2% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 46 | 13 | 13 | | N ILLINOIS | 65 | -1 | Under | 26 | 22-53 | 41.5% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 16-25 | 64.0% | 32 | 5 | 11 |
|
|
|
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
---|
|
|
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (169-143) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-26) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (168-176) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 37.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-43) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
[G] 02/06/2013 - Akeem Springs out indefinitely ( Personal ) | |
[F] 02/16/2013 - Darius Paul "?" Saturday vs. No Illinois ( Knee ) | [F] 02/16/2013 - Nate Hutcheson probable Saturday vs. No Illinois ( Abdominal ) | [G] 02/05/2013 - Charles Harris out for season ( Shoulder ) |
|
|