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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| W MICHIGAN | | | | ILLINOIS ST | -14 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 4-2 | 34-34 | 209-217 | 0-1 | 40-22 | 133-109 | 6-2 | 41-35 | 250-221 | | in all lined games | 4-2 | 34-34 | 209-217 | 0-1 | 40-22 | 133-109 | 4-2 | 36-34 | 225-210 | | as an underdog | 2-2 | 17-15 | 89-99 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 62-39 | 2-2 | 10-22 | 52-137 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-15 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-1 | 1-5 | 12-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-6 | 1-26 | | in road games | 1-2 | 14-16 | 92-105 | 0-1 | 18-8 | 61-42 | 1-2 | 10-21 | 74-136 | | in road lined games | 1-2 | 14-16 | 92-105 | 0-1 | 18-8 | 61-42 | 1-2 | 10-20 | 70-130 | | in December games | 1-1 | 6-7 | 44-33 | 0-1 | 9-4 | 24-21 | 1-1 | 11-6 | 53-46 | | on Saturday games | 2-1 | 12-12 | 80-77 | 0-0 | 15-6 | 42-37 | 2-1 | 15-11 | 93-84 | | after a non-conference game | 4-1 | 14-16 | 81-68 | 0-1 | 17-10 | 48-43 | 6-1 | 21-16 | 97-86 | | in non-conference games | 4-2 | 14-16 | 69-74 | 0-1 | 16-9 | 47-42 | 6-2 | 21-17 | 95-89 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-0 | 7-5 | 37-32 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 28-17 | 3-0 | 11-4 | 49-32 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-1 | 14-16 | 98-110 | 0-1 | 19-9 | 69-47 | 3-1 | 13-19 | 89-130 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-1 | 2-6 | 19-24 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 17-30 |
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| in all games | 4-2 | 30-35 | 197-212 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 5-3 | 39-35 | 258-218 | | in all lined games | 4-2 | 30-35 | 197-212 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 3-3 | 32-35 | 213-213 | | as a favorite | 2-2 | 12-19 | 94-109 | 1-0 | 7-21 | 49-68 | 2-2 | 23-9 | 157-54 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 13-1 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 21-1 | | in all home games | 1-1 | 12-20 | 87-104 | 0-0 | 7-22 | 45-64 | 3-1 | 27-12 | 166-65 | | in home lined games | 1-1 | 12-20 | 87-104 | 0-0 | 7-22 | 45-64 | 1-1 | 20-12 | 132-63 | | against MAC opponents | 0-0 | 1-1 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 16-14 | | in December games | 1-1 | 4-7 | 29-39 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18-23 | 0-2 | 7-6 | 60-36 | | on Saturday games | 1-1 | 7-12 | 80-72 | 1-0 | 9-10 | 45-41 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 93-81 | | after a non-conference game | 4-2 | 12-14 | 58-68 | 2-0 | 7-15 | 37-37 | 5-3 | 24-10 | 109-67 | | in non-conference games | 4-2 | 13-13 | 59-62 | 2-0 | 8-13 | 33-38 | 5-3 | 24-10 | 116-61 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15-21 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 6-4 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 21-21 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-0 | 5-6 | 24-26 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 22-34 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-2 | 20-19 | 116-118 | 1-0 | 19-17 | 70-74 | 2-3 | 17-25 | 104-154 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-2 | 13-12 | 67-59 | 1-0 | 10-12 | 43-46 | 1-3 | 11-17 | 62-74 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 6-2 | +6.5 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 64.7 | 31.9 | 42.3% | 36.2 | 59.5 | 29.6 | 39.5% | 29.9 | | Road Games | 3-2 | +5.5 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 60.6 | 29.4 | 40.6% | 34.2 | 62.2 | 31.4 | 42.3% | 30.6 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +5.8 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 59.4 | 31.6 | 41.3% | 35.2 | 60.4 | 30.2 | 39.4% | 31.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.7 | 31.9 | 22-52 | 42.3% | 6-17 | 33.8% | 15-22 | 68.5% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.6 | 30.8 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.6 | 29.4 | 21-51 | 40.6% | 6-17 | 32.9% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.5 | 29.6 | 21-53 | 39.5% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 11-15 | 73.5% | 30 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 64.7 | 30.5 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 12-17 | 72.4% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 62.2 | 31.4 | 22-53 | 42.3% | 8-21 | 36.5% | 10-13 | 75.4% | 31 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
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| All Games | 5-3 | -2.6 | 4-2 | 2-0 | 80.4 | 39.0 | 50.6% | 36.1 | 68.6 | 29.2 | 41.8% | 33.4 | | Home Games | 3-1 | -3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 86.2 | 45.5 | 55.3% | 36.7 | 64.7 | 28.2 | 42.5% | 26.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -5.4 | 2-2 | 1-0 | 74.0 | 35.4 | 47.4% | 35.2 | 69.0 | 28.0 | 42.5% | 33.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 80.4 | 39.0 | 30-60 | 50.6% | 8-22 | 36.9% | 12-18 | 65.7% | 36 | 10 | 17 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.5 | 30.9 | 24-55 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 13-18 | 69.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 86.2 | 45.5 | 34-61 | 55.3% | 9-22 | 40.4% | 10-15 | 66.1% | 37 | 10 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.6 | 29.2 | 24-57 | 41.8% | 6-20 | 30.9% | 15-20 | 74.5% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 31.2 | 24-56 | 43.3% | 7-21 | 34.5% | 14-19 | 70.2% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.7 | 28.2 | 23-53 | 42.5% | 6-19 | 30.7% | 13-17 | 80.6% | 26 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W MICHIGAN 67.4, ILLINOIS ST 72.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | W MICHIGAN is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | ILLINOIS ST is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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2/19/2011 | ILLINOIS ST | 65 | 132 | ATS | 33 | 23-49 | 46.9% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 28 | 4 | 12 | | | W MICHIGAN | 68 | -4.5 | SU Over | 26 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 13-18 | 72.2% | 31 | 9 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (163-168) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.6% of the time since 1997. (137-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 39.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-32) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 11/02/2012 - David Brown out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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