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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
TOLEDO (8-10) AT N ILLINOIS (5-14) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
583: TOLEDO
584: N ILLINOIS
OFF
+4.0
68.9 / 70.1
56.4 / 64.7
8-10
5-14
9-5
10-8
0-0
0-1
43.1
36.2
79.0
66.4
32.4
27.5
42.8
43.6
71.2
71.6
34.0
36.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TOLEDO-5 
N ILLINOIS  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-539-31214-2160-029-25115-1178-1031-55230-251
in all lined games9-539-31214-2160-029-25115-1177-823-50197-241
as a favorite4-110-597-720-05-539-325-013-2141-31
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-01-16-40-00-11-41-01-17-3
in road games6-319-1597-1110-09-1444-633-89-3262-163
in road lined games6-319-1597-1110-09-1444-633-76-2955-156
against conference opponents4-323-19144-1430-017-1871-804-314-29148-146
in February games0-08-959-560-09-828-340-05-1254-63
on Saturday games4-114-1575-880-012-1140-384-213-2085-95
after a conference game3-323-18142-1390-016-1979-723-314-29146-147
off a win against a conference rival1-27-679-640-03-737-322-16-784-64
after scoring 80 points or more1-03-428-360-04-211-131-24-735-36
when playing against a team with a losing record5-015-1388-740-010-1344-505-218-18125-64
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-010-859-410-08-932-332-010-973-31
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-09-625-240-06-818-222-110-727-24
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game4-014-1138-410-010-1127-345-117-1447-42

N ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-838-33198-2020-124-30104-1075-1419-61153-298
in all lined games10-838-33198-2020-124-30104-1074-1414-59126-280
as an underdog9-834-28143-1310-121-2574-743-149-5547-233
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points1-13-58-140-03-44-91-13-65-18
in all home games3-413-1881-960-011-1444-463-513-24100-105
in home lined games3-413-1881-960-011-1444-462-59-2381-97
against conference opponents4-322-18135-1400-018-1771-713-412-3094-187
in February games0-07-956-550-08-934-260-03-1435-79
on Saturday games3-415-1279-790-09-1239-380-73-2661-116
after a conference game3-421-20129-1380-018-1671-682-511-3194-186
off a win against a conference rival0-25-643-460-01-820-280-22-937-54
when playing against a team with a losing record3-216-1372-860-012-1341-462-312-2278-101
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-17-940-470-07-927-260-13-1436-52
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-10+3.59-50-068.930.343.1%33.170.131.242.8%36.1
Road Games4-8+1.57-30-068.830.344.3%31.373.033.144.2%36.7
Last 5 Games2-303-20-067.827.843.9%31.473.232.446.5%36.4
Conference Games4-3+3.54-30-069.327.644.1%32.370.930.944.5%36.9
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.930.324-5643.1%5-1632.4%16-2079.0%33812177123
vs opponents surrendering65.630.423-5343.0%6-1833.9%14-1969.8%34913177143
Team Stats (Road Games)68.830.325-5644.3%6-1634.2%14-1875.3%31712187133
Stats Against (All Games)70.131.224-5742.8%8-2234.0%14-2071.2%361113187144
vs opponents averaging66.930.923-5443.0%7-1934.1%13-1970.0%34913187143
Stats Against (Road Games)73.033.125-5644.2%7-2133.7%16-2271.4%371113188144

N ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games5-14-0.410-80-156.424.136.2%34.264.730.943.6%33.4
Home Games3-5-2.23-40-055.226.236.7%33.560.928.743.7%31.5
Last 5 Games2-3+2.83-20-052.621.631.2%34.464.030.442.6%34.8
Conference Games3-4+4.64-30-055.422.933.5%33.064.130.944.1%33.7
N ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)56.424.120-5536.2%5-1627.5%12-1866.4%34119208152
vs opponents surrendering67.331.324-5543.3%6-1833.3%13-1969.3%351013177143
Team Stats (Home Games)55.226.220-5436.7%4-1625.2%12-1767.6%33119197131
Stats Against (All Games)64.730.920-4743.6%8-2136.1%17-2371.6%33813177164
vs opponents averaging66.13123-5542.5%7-2033.1%13-1969.8%34913187153
Stats Against (Home Games)60.928.719-4343.7%7-1935.9%16-2370.4%31610176163
Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 69,  N ILLINOIS 68.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 16-14 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997
TOLEDO is 18-13 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 3-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N ILLINOIS since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 8-7 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 9-6 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/29/2012TOLEDO61-3.5 Under3219-4344.2%5-1631.2%18-2090.0%25211
 N ILLINOIS65128.5SU ATS3421-5141.2%7-2133.3%16-1984.2%311110
1/18/2012N ILLINOIS41129 Under1813-4330.2%3-1618.7%12-2352.2%271223
 TOLEDO71-8.5SU ATS3725-4753.2%9-1947.4%12-1485.7%32917
2/26/2011N ILLINOIS75131.5SU ATS3225-6339.7%9-2437.5%16-2661.5%471714
 TOLEDO700 Over2720-5834.5%6-2425.0%24-3177.4%38119
1/15/2011TOLEDO54135.5 ATS2322-5937.3%3-2015.0%7-1258.3%33711
 N ILLINOIS64-10.5SU Under2924-5841.4%11-2937.9%5-862.5%41913
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TOLEDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (170-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.5% of the time since 1997. (169-141)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 61.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-24)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
TOLEDO
[F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal )
[G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal )
[F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None )
N ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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