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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 6:00 PM
DETROIT (17-9) AT VALPARAISO (20-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
583: DETROIT
584: VALPARAISO
151.0
-4.0
78.8 / 69.5
71.0 / 61.2
17-9
20-6
9-12
15-8
3-1
2-2
45.4
47.4
72.4
73.6
34.7
36.4
45.7
40.6
69.2
72.6
35.8
33.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DETROIT  
VALPARAISO-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DETROIT - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-1236-47146-1753-141-25121-11317-956-39186-186
in all lined games9-1236-47146-1753-141-25121-11313-948-39160-180
when the total is 150 to 159.52-02-02-01-11-11-11-11-11-1
as an underdog2-216-1766-791-118-1262-650-49-2630-129
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-49-170-04-27-140-02-48-19
in road games5-618-2175-811-116-1451-655-717-2655-122
in road lined games5-618-2175-811-116-1451-654-716-2650-118
in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.51-01-01-00-10-10-10-10-10-1
against conference opponents6-624-2899-1122-027-1777-829-435-20112-112
in February games2-29-1139-511-013-534-333-115-653-41
on Saturday games4-412-1657-750-011-946-496-419-1273-78
after a conference game6-523-2794-1082-026-1680-728-434-21113-110
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-01-717-230-06-214-241-02-710-36
off a win against a conference rival3-411-2045-571-018-836-345-320-1461-50
after scoring 80 points or more5-712-1720-272-116-520-127-613-1822-31
when playing against a team with a winning record8-621-2168-902-119-1257-588-619-2458-115
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-314-1439-522-017-640-355-316-1339-62
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games4-311-1022-271-09-617-244-314-722-32
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-316-1346-421-111-1131-394-516-1332-61

VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-845-41104-912-229-3487-7520-665-31310-199
in all lined games15-845-41104-912-229-3487-7517-658-30105-95
when the total is 150 to 159.50-01-02-20-00-01-20-01-02-2
as a favorite13-628-2844-431-217-2334-3615-443-1568-22
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-01-16-40-00-22-70-01-18-2
in all home games7-322-1641-330-114-1638-2812-138-8175-45
in home lined games7-322-1641-330-114-1638-289-132-856-21
in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.50-01-01-10-00-01-00-01-02-0
against conference opponents9-329-2260-492-020-2258-4310-239-14190-95
in February games4-010-923-221-012-632-134-015-686-40
on Saturday games4-213-1235-261-09-1231-257-123-6108-67
after a conference game9-229-2060-532-020-2260-4610-138-15186-98
off a win against a conference rival7-220-1529-342-013-1733-268-126-1245-32
when playing against a team with a winning record8-627-2567-581-117-2056-4610-432-21104-131
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-216-1237-331-012-1142-226-119-1067-58
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-01-14-41-02-04-21-01-110-10
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-04-312-91-04-37-91-03-423-37
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-9-69-123-178.837.745.4%34.269.532.545.7%33.4
Road Games5-7-4.85-61-172.233.544.9%33.670.232.745.9%32.6
Last 5 Games4-1+1.83-21-080.838.647.7%36.671.433.644.9%30.6
Conference Games9-4-66-62-080.638.647.6%35.068.431.944.6%32.8
DETROIT Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.837.728-6145.4%8-2234.7%16-2272.4%341014188113
vs opponents surrendering66.230.723-5542.3%6-1933.4%14-1970.3%34913187144
Team Stats (Road Games)72.233.526-5944.9%7-2132.2%13-1967.3%341013197123
Stats Against (All Games)69.532.525-5545.7%6-1835.8%13-1969.2%33812185164
vs opponents averaging66.230.323-5542.6%6-1834.2%13-1969.2%34913177144
Stats Against (Road Games)70.232.724-5345.9%6-1735.1%15-2171.4%33813165144

VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-6+1.615-82-271.033.247.4%33.561.228.640.6%28.9
Home Games12-107-30-173.536.148.3%34.755.426.237.4%29.2
Last 5 Games4-1+1.44-11-074.637.452.0%29.662.829.040.5%30.2
Conference Games10-2+2.89-32-073.634.048.2%32.463.429.541.2%30.2
VALPARAISO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.033.224-5047.4%7-2036.4%16-2273.6%33814187153
vs opponents surrendering66.231.223-5344.1%6-1834.0%14-2069.9%34913177143
Team Stats (Home Games)73.536.125-5248.3%9-2140.8%15-2173.8%35916168134
Stats Against (All Games)61.228.621-5240.6%4-1433.1%15-2072.6%29810207143
vs opponents averaging64.829.823-5441.7%6-1933.5%13-1969.5%33912187133
Stats Against (Home Games)55.426.219-5137.4%4-1427.9%13-1972.0%29810207152
Average power rating of opponents played: DETROIT 68.8,  VALPARAISO 69.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
VALPARAISO is 9-3 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1997
VALPARAISO is 10-4 straight up against DETROIT since 1997
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 5-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 6-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at VALPARAISO since 1997
VALPARAISO is 3-3 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1997
VALPARAISO is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons.
VALPARAISO is 1-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 2-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/17/2013VALPARAISO89144.5SU ATS3232-6450.0%7-1838.9%18-2281.8%381315
 DETROIT88-3.5 Over5035-6653.0%5-1533.3%13-2065.0%291311
3/6/2012DETROIT70137SU ATS2424-5742.1%4-1526.7%18-2766.7%33106
 VALPARAISO50-2 Under2716-4436.4%2-1811.1%16-1888.9%36418
2/2/2012DETROIT73142.5 Over4526-5547.3%6-2128.6%15-2075.0%2899
 VALPARAISO78-2.5SU ATS3624-4454.5%12-2254.5%18-2475.0%26315
1/6/2012VALPARAISO73148.5SU ATS3224-4850.0%8-2040.0%17-2373.9%31717
 DETROIT71-4.5 Under3524-5742.1%4-1625.0%19-2770.4%311211
3/4/2011DETROIT78145 Over3629-6643.9%6-2128.6%14-2263.6%401312
NVALPARAISO88-3.5SU ATS4030-6248.4%15-2755.6%13-1776.5%36913
2/10/2011DETROIT74142.5 3226-5844.8%6-1442.9%16-2369.6%32813
 VALPARAISO82-8SU Over3431-6150.8%8-2630.8%12-1866.7%35913
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VALPARAISO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (160-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 47% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (86-71)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-32)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (106-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (66-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VALPARAISO games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-25)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DETROIT
No significant injuries.
VALPARAISO
[G] 02/09/2013 - Alex Rossi out indefinitely ( Heart )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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