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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
BAYLOR (13-5) AT TCU (9-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
585: BAYLOR
586: TCU
OFF
+12.0
75.9 / 62.8
54.6 / 57.2
13-5
9-10
6-7
5-9
5-6
3-1
46.1
41.8
67.7
58.8
35.0
32.0
40.2
41.5
62.4
63.3
31.1
31.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BAYLOR-17
TCU  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BAYLOR - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-726-39181-1815-632-33119-9813-561-26251-224
in all lined games6-726-39181-1815-632-33119-988-541-26156-212
as a favorite4-617-2865-784-421-2451-487-334-13103-42
as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points1-01-02-00-10-10-11-01-02-0
in road games3-111-1174-741-39-1445-372-212-1143-113
in road lined games3-111-1174-741-39-1445-372-212-1138-111
against conference opponents2-315-27130-1371-320-2288-694-125-1898-174
in January games2-37-1251-591-39-1036-265-117-652-72
on Saturday games1-39-1778-811-111-1450-374-116-1292-106
after a conference game1-213-24122-1320-218-2085-663-125-17103-168
off a win against a conference rival1-26-1742-540-211-1240-282-113-1140-57
after allowing 60 points or less3-412-1740-423-315-1430-235-227-1075-46
when playing against a team with a losing record0-02-227-220-03-18-83-014-286-24
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-01-220-160-02-16-80-01-219-18
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-28-1141-440-210-839-232-110-925-61
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-514-1860-663-217-1351-333-422-1450-85
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-11-24-40-00-21-41-03-07-2
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game0-31-49-71-01-23-53-19-139-5

TCU - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-931-40179-2173-133-28107-1239-1038-47240-248
in all lined games5-931-40179-2173-133-28107-1234-1024-47163-239
as an underdog4-421-26104-1253-123-2083-821-79-3847-185
as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-20-31-61-01-13-20-20-31-6
in all home games1-611-2073-1091-016-944-527-529-16171-85
in home lined games1-611-2073-1091-016-944-522-515-16103-80
against conference opponents2-417-22112-1382-018-1771-770-69-3099-161
in January games2-46-1552-652-08-931-360-65-1749-76
on Saturday games3-312-1863-991-113-1346-462-48-2280-111
after a conference game2-316-21111-1292-018-1667-770-511-28109-150
revenging a road loss vs opponent0-18-1247-560-010-935-400-17-1341-63
off a loss against a conference rival2-311-1763-802-013-1243-540-56-2249-99
after scoring 60 points or less4-411-1536-563-114-840-364-712-1941-68
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-06-329-250-04-514-190-05-532-33
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-36-1132-372-09-727-260-33-1421-52
when playing against a team with a winning record4-623-32122-1642-125-2384-901-920-37114-197
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-211-1974-1001-016-1360-570-28-2260-120
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-17-932-351-09-725-300-16-1025-42
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-212-1650-681-114-1239-442-411-1945-82
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BAYLOR - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-5-1.76-75-675.935.846.1%38.962.831.240.2%34.9
Road Games4-3+0.84-33-473.735.044.8%37.767.134.741.0%35.4
Last 5 Games4-1+12-20-369.633.243.3%43.248.225.032.9%33.8
Conference Games4-1+22-31-365.430.038.8%39.456.427.436.8%37.8
BAYLOR Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)75.935.827-6046.1%7-1935.0%14-2167.7%391115158125
vs opponents surrendering66.63124-5841.4%6-1933.0%13-1967.2%361013187143
Team Stats (Road Games)73.735.026-5844.8%8-1940.9%14-2070.4%38912158144
Stats Against (All Games)62.831.224-6040.2%5-1631.1%10-1562.4%351113187143
vs opponents averaging66.932.124-5643.2%5-1732.5%13-1967.3%361013177144
Stats Against (Road Games)67.134.725-6141.0%6-1933.1%10-1761.3%351211188145

TCU - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-10-3.15-93-154.625.941.8%32.357.228.441.5%33.2
Home Games7-5-4.21-61-056.726.442.9%33.355.028.539.7%33.7
Last 5 Games0-5-22-32-047.823.436.4%28.863.033.246.7%37.4
Conference Games0-6-3.42-42-048.723.236.2%29.862.832.546.9%36.2
TCU Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)54.625.920-4841.8%3-1032.0%11-1958.8%32910166143
vs opponents surrendering66.330.724-5542.7%6-1733.4%13-2066.2%351013187144
Team Stats (Home Games)56.726.421-4942.9%3-1028.9%12-2059.1%33911145134
Stats Against (All Games)57.228.421-5141.5%4-1431.3%10-1663.3%33912186143
vs opponents averaging6731.624-5642.1%6-1932.9%14-2068.9%351013187143
Stats Against (Home Games)55.028.521-5339.7%4-1431.1%9-1461.3%341011185133
Average power rating of opponents played: BAYLOR 73.9,  TCU 70.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TCU is 3-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR since 1997
TCU is 3-1 straight up against BAYLOR since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TCU since 1997
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU since 1997
TCU is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR since 1997
Games played at TCU over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/12/2013TCU40  ATS2215-4533.3%4-944.4%6-1442.9%331114
 BAYLOR51-17.5SU2122-5440.7%3-1225.0%4-757.1%331010
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TCU in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (143-131)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 49% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TCU games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (173-157)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TCU games 65.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-21)
Edge=TCU
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
BAYLOR
[F] 01/07/2013 - J'mison Morgan has been dismissed ( Dismissed )
TCU
[G] 12/08/2012 - Jarvis Ray expected to miss 6-8 weeks ( Foot )
[F] 11/15/2012 - Amric Fields out for season ( Knee )
[C] 11/08/2012 - Aaron Durley out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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