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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 9:30 PM
SE MISSOURI ST (18-13) AT E KENTUCKY (21-9) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
585: SE MISSOURI ST
586: E KENTUCKY
158.5
-4.5
83.2 / 78.4
78.6 / 70.0
18-13
21-9
13-14
11-12
11-10
10-12
50.0
48.5
69.3
75.1
35.6
38.7
44.4
48.4
73.7
69.9
36.9
35.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
SE MISSOURI ST  
E KENTUCKY-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
SE MISSOURI ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1439-40170-18811-1026-22122-10218-1350-45220-288
in all lined games13-1439-40170-18811-1026-22122-10214-1337-43115-247
when the total is 150 to 159.55-55-513-195-55-519-135-55-57-25
as an underdog5-417-20119-1214-410-1584-731-86-3246-198
in all neutral court games4-06-312-132-14-17-64-06-417-15
as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-01-10-01-01-00-00-11-2
in a neutral court game where the total is 155 to 159.50-00-00-20-00-01-10-00-01-1
against conference opponents6-1125-27120-1358-818-1794-739-828-25133-183
in March games2-04-18-51-12-14-52-04-29-7
when playing with one or less days rest5-612-1457-695-49-847-338-315-1565-104
after a conference game6-1025-26116-1307-717-1589-7010-726-27128-187
when playing on a neutral court4-06-312-132-14-17-64-06-417-15
revenging a road loss vs opponent3-411-1060-454-210-540-334-313-1157-67
off a win against a conference rival2-613-1344-432-58-1033-245-315-1241-51
in all tournament games4-07-316-152-14-18-94-07-420-19
in conference tournament games1-03-17-50-12-13-51-03-210-9
when playing against a team with a winning record6-214-1369-755-39-1052-403-58-2138-138
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-28-942-473-26-632-262-35-1325-80
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-21-211-141-21-25-40-30-37-34
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game2-22-220-261-31-39-90-40-617-58

E KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1239-34171-16410-1223-26107-11621-962-35239-262
in all lined games11-1239-34171-16410-1223-26107-11615-943-31165-180
when the total is 150 to 159.54-24-25-72-42-43-94-24-26-6
as a favorite7-1020-2473-887-912-1560-5913-534-11116-48
in all neutral court games1-13-414-90-11-35-101-13-411-12
as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-11-11-10-10-10-11-11-11-1
in a neutral court game where the total is 155 to 159.50-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against conference opponents8-828-23127-1278-818-1583-8611-531-20142-172
in March games0-12-411-110-11-27-91-03-39-13
after a conference game7-726-20123-1096-916-1580-7811-432-19146-166
when playing on a neutral court1-13-414-90-11-35-101-13-411-12
off a win against a conference rival4-512-1564-584-69-844-448-218-1279-57
in all tournament games1-26-622-210-13-410-162-16-619-24
in conference tournament games0-01-210-80-01-03-90-01-28-10
when playing against a team with a winning record5-619-1577-764-811-1448-576-617-2160-138
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-311-1043-452-56-829-335-211-1137-73
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games3-13-113-92-22-26-104-05-019-10
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game3-23-221-223-23-215-175-16-138-29
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games3-23-28-112-32-35-63-23-26-31
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game5-36-423-283-53-710-224-45-614-64
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
SE MISSOURI ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-13-8.813-1411-1083.238.650.0%37.478.436.044.4%33.4
Road Games9-9+0.211-66-777.735.248.8%35.876.434.844.7%32.7
Last 5 Games5-0+53-22-288.842.854.4%40.080.034.643.3%32.4
Conference Games9-8-86-118-882.639.151.1%37.081.836.444.9%32.8
SE MISSOURI ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)83.238.630-6050.0%7-1935.6%16-2369.3%371017207134
vs opponents surrendering75.335.126-5646.9%6-1835.2%16-2370.0%351014197134
Team Stats (Road Games)77.735.228-5748.8%7-1837.9%15-2269.9%36915197144
Stats Against (All Games)78.436.026-5944.4%8-2036.9%18-2573.7%33913207122
vs opponents averaging70.832.824-5544.7%6-1833.9%16-2369.4%33913206143
Stats Against (Road Games)76.434.826-5844.7%7-2134.1%18-2472.6%33814197113

E KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-9-4.511-1210-1278.637.548.5%26.470.032.348.4%32.5
Road Games9-7-3.99-68-577.936.748.7%26.273.034.549.0%33.1
Last 5 Games4-1+2.42-32-378.434.651.6%24.469.031.650.6%30.0
Conference Games11-5-5.58-88-879.236.650.0%24.572.734.051.1%30.4
E KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.637.526-5448.5%9-2438.7%17-2375.1%26615219112
vs opponents surrendering74.934.726-5546.4%6-1835.6%17-2470.8%34914207134
Team Stats (Road Games)77.936.726-5448.7%10-2539.0%15-2075.9%26514228122
Stats Against (All Games)70.032.323-4848.4%6-1735.7%18-2669.9%32813205173
vs opponents averaging71.633.225-5544.8%6-1834.0%16-2368.7%34913206143
Stats Against (Road Games)73.034.524-4849.0%6-1736.6%19-2770.9%33813186173
Average power rating of opponents played: SE MISSOURI ST 65.3,  E KENTUCKY 67.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
SE MISSOURI ST is 14-13 against the spread versus E KENTUCKY since 1997
E KENTUCKY is 18-15 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST since 1997
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
SE MISSOURI ST is 3-2 against the spread versus E KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
E KENTUCKY is 4-1 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/1/2014SE MISSOURI ST78160.5 ATS3728-5056.0%4-944.4%18-2572.0%27516
 E KENTUCKY79-10SU Under4421-4843.7%8-1747.1%29-3680.6%28414
3/7/2013SE MISSOURI ST69  3125-6439.1%3-2213.6%16-1888.9%341014
NE KENTUCKY84-7.5SU ATS3921-5438.9%5-2420.8%37-4582.2%411012
2/2/2013E KENTUCKY81-3SU ATS3828-5352.8%9-1947.4%16-1888.9%29711
 SE MISSOURI ST72  4025-5347.2%4-1625.0%18-2572.0%311313
2/29/2012E KENTUCKY65131.5 Over2825-6240.3%7-1838.9%8-1080.0%3396
NSE MISSOURI ST75-3.5SU ATS3827-5549.1%4-1526.7%17-3351.5%441510
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SE MISSOURI ST games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (155-131)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SE MISSOURI ST games 62.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E KENTUCKY games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (134-127)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E KENTUCKY games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-24)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SE MISSOURI ST games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (92-80)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SE MISSOURI ST games 52% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E KENTUCKY games 53.2% of the time since 1997. (92-81)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E KENTUCKY games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-16)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
SE MISSOURI ST
[G] 03/06/2014 - Jarekious Bradley probable Thursday vs. Eastern Kentucky ( Knee )
[F] 03/06/2014 - Tyler Stone probable Thursday vs. Eastern Kentucky ( Leg )
E KENTUCKY
No significant injuries.
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