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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST | -11 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-11 | 44-36 | 181-167 | 1-2 | 28-30 | 93-115 | 22-4 | 65-27 | 267-215 | | in all lined games | 12-11 | 44-36 | 181-167 | 1-2 | 28-30 | 93-115 | 19-4 | 58-25 | 188-169 | | as a favorite | 11-8 | 32-26 | 91-89 | 1-2 | 19-22 | 59-62 | 18-1 | 50-11 | 134-51 | | as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 4-0 | 5-1 | 7-2 | | in road games | 3-7 | 17-17 | 86-74 | 0-0 | 14-12 | 45-49 | 8-3 | 23-17 | 89-123 | | in road lined games | 3-7 | 17-17 | 86-74 | 0-0 | 14-12 | 45-49 | 7-3 | 21-15 | 70-95 | | against conference opponents | 9-6 | 26-22 | 121-105 | 1-1 | 16-21 | 66-79 | 14-1 | 39-11 | 165-109 | | in February games | 3-0 | 9-8 | 47-46 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 33-22 | 3-0 | 13-5 | 66-51 | | on Saturday games | 5-3 | 21-8 | 68-60 | 0-1 | 12-10 | 36-37 | 9-0 | 26-6 | 96-74 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-0 | 3-1 | 14-11 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16-19 | | after a conference game | 7-7 | 26-20 | 113-100 | 1-1 | 16-19 | 64-74 | 12-2 | 36-13 | 162-111 | | off a win against a conference rival | 7-6 | 20-16 | 69-63 | 1-1 | 12-15 | 36-51 | 11-2 | 29-9 | 86-56 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 7-8 | 21-17 | 58-65 | 1-1 | 11-14 | 29-47 | 13-3 | 29-11 | 87-61 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-2 | 9-8 | 34-26 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 18-23 | 4-0 | 12-7 | 53-38 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-8 | 16-17 | 91-85 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 38-57 | 9-4 | 21-15 | 85-130 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-1 | 8-6 | 49-46 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 24-33 | 4-0 | 8-6 | 46-61 |
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| in all games | 12-12 | 47-37 | 186-195 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 15-11 | 49-44 | 246-225 | | in all lined games | 12-12 | 47-37 | 186-195 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 13-11 | 42-43 | 182-210 | | as an underdog | 6-8 | 30-21 | 107-110 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 54-58 | 5-9 | 19-33 | 61-160 | | as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-3 | | in all home games | 8-3 | 21-15 | 76-80 | 0-0 | 14-10 | 53-38 | 11-2 | 30-13 | 156-67 | | in home lined games | 8-3 | 21-15 | 76-80 | 0-0 | 14-10 | 53-38 | 9-2 | 23-13 | 102-62 | | against conference opponents | 7-8 | 29-23 | 130-132 | 0-0 | 23-13 | 78-67 | 9-6 | 32-20 | 136-136 | | in February games | 1-2 | 9-8 | 55-50 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 30-28 | 1-2 | 9-8 | 56-59 | | on Saturday games | 6-4 | 19-13 | 80-75 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 44-38 | 6-4 | 18-14 | 94-89 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 5-4 | 20-10 | 57-60 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 27-38 | 5-5 | 22-13 | 74-67 | | after a conference game | 8-6 | 30-20 | 118-130 | 0-0 | 21-14 | 71-69 | 10-5 | 31-21 | 133-138 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10-13 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 2-3 | 12-13 | 45-50 | 0-0 | 14-6 | 34-18 | 1-4 | 10-15 | 50-53 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-1 | 11-7 | 54-56 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 29-30 | 4-1 | 11-7 | 61-58 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 3-0 | 6-4 | 25-28 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 10-13 | 3-0 | 5-5 | 37-35 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-7 | 25-17 | 93-98 | 0-0 | 17-11 | 51-50 | 7-7 | 22-24 | 77-132 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-3 | 11-7 | 49-48 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 22-27 | 3-3 | 10-9 | 41-61 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 3-2 | 15-11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12-14 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-3 | 14-5 | 37-28 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 17-15 | 3-4 | 7-13 | 25-46 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 22-4 | +7.4 | 12-11 | 1-2 | 70.7 | 33.0 | 46.3% | 36.8 | 57.9 | 25.8 | 40.0% | 30.4 | | Road Games | 9-4 | +2.4 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 63.8 | 28.7 | 42.5% | 35.5 | 61.6 | 28.8 | 43.1% | 31.5 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 75.4 | 31.6 | 53.0% | 34.8 | 54.8 | 24.6 | 38.0% | 26.2 | | Conference Games | 14-1 | +5 | 9-6 | 1-1 | 71.8 | 32.6 | 48.0% | 37.3 | 56.4 | 23.9 | 38.5% | 29.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.7 | 33.0 | 25-55 | 46.3% | 5-14 | 38.1% | 15-22 | 67.8% | 37 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.7 | 31.1 | 23-55 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.8 | 28.7 | 23-53 | 42.5% | 4-12 | 36.4% | 14-21 | 67.0% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.9 | 25.8 | 20-50 | 40.0% | 5-16 | 29.2% | 13-21 | 62.8% | 30 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 33.9% | 14-20 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 61.6 | 28.8 | 22-51 | 43.1% | 5-16 | 31.0% | 13-20 | 62.0% | 32 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
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| All Games | 15-11 | +7 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 67.2 | 31.3 | 42.9% | 34.3 | 66.2 | 32.7 | 42.0% | 34.8 | | Home Games | 11-2 | +7 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 73.8 | 34.8 | 46.4% | 35.8 | 59.9 | 30.5 | 38.5% | 34.3 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 65.0 | 28.4 | 40.2% | 34.0 | 67.0 | 32.8 | 44.1% | 31.6 | | Conference Games | 9-6 | +4.8 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 66.7 | 30.5 | 42.7% | 33.5 | 66.9 | 32.9 | 43.6% | 32.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.2 | 31.3 | 23-54 | 42.9% | 5-15 | 36.0% | 15-23 | 67.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68 | 31.9 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-21 | 68.0% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 73.8 | 34.8 | 25-54 | 46.4% | 5-14 | 37.2% | 18-25 | 70.8% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.2 | 32.7 | 23-54 | 42.0% | 6-19 | 33.1% | 15-22 | 68.0% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.2 | 30.7 | 23-56 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 32.0% | 14-21 | 68.5% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 59.9 | 30.5 | 21-53 | 38.5% | 6-19 | 30.0% | 13-20 | 66.9% | 34 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MIDDLE TENN ST 70.3, ARK-LITTLE ROCK 67.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-7 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 12-8 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-2 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 5-3 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-3 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/17/2013 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 50 | | | 17 | 18-51 | 35.3% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 11-17 | 64.7% | 25 | 7 | 19 | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 82 | -15 | SU ATS | 36 | 28-50 | 56.0% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 17-25 | 68.0% | 37 | 5 | 17 | 2/11/2012 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 60 | 124.5 | ATS | 30 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 23 | 5 | 15 | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 68 | -12.5 | SU Over | 35 | 26-41 | 63.4% | 4-7 | 57.1% | 12-27 | 44.4% | 30 | 5 | 14 | 3/7/2011 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 65 | 126.5 | SU ATS | 27 | 19-45 | 42.2% | 2-14 | 14.3% | 25-31 | 80.6% | 27 | 4 | 12 | | N | MIDDLE TENN ST | 56 | -5 | Under | 19 | 14-39 | 35.9% | 2-11 | 18.2% | 26-36 | 72.2% | 37 | 8 | 20 | 2/19/2011 | MIDDLE TENN ST | 58 | 132.5 | Under | 23 | 17-44 | 38.6% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 18-26 | 69.2% | 33 | 6 | 14 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 62 | -1 | SU ATS | 30 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 15-22 | 68.2% | 38 | 8 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (146-141) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 58.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (160-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-34) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand ) | |
| [F] 02/15/2013 - Will Neighbour probable Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St ( Illness ) | | [G] 11/30/2012 - Casey Wilmath out for season ( Dismissed ) | | [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Mareik Isom out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
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