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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 4:00 PM
W KENTUCKY (11-10) AT MIDDLE TENN ST (17-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
623: W KENTUCKY
624: MIDDLE TENN ST
127.0
-13.0
66.2 / 64.5
69.6 / 58.6
11-10
17-4
10-10
8-10
1-3
1-1
42.0
44.9
65.5
67.8
29.4
36.0
41.7
40.5
66.9
62.6
31.7
28.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
W KENTUCKY  
MIDDLE TENN ST-15 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
W KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1041-43227-2241-333-32132-12711-1043-45311-188
in all lined games10-1041-43227-2241-333-32132-12710-1039-45277-183
when the total is 120 to 129.50-09-315-90-08-418-60-06-612-12
as an underdog3-519-2278-791-317-1942-401-711-3045-114
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-02-25-50-02-22-20-00-41-9
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-13-38-60-13-34-30-10-61-13
in road games3-516-1687-1030-113-1150-502-611-2192-111
in road lined games3-516-1687-1030-113-1150-502-611-2187-107
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-05-17-40-05-19-20-02-44-7
against conference opponents4-627-22136-1390-024-1584-785-526-23191-92
in January games1-59-1253-790-09-636-371-57-1485-53
on Saturday games4-515-1882-911-013-1254-445-517-18115-72
when playing with one or less days rest2-414-1572-690-212-1244-443-315-15100-52
after a conference game2-724-24129-1360-022-1679-804-526-23189-93
off a loss against a conference rival1-310-1141-380-011-624-191-310-1151-33
after scoring 60 points or less3-211-931-281-110-711-113-210-1137-26
when playing against a team with a winning record2-813-22115-1191-214-1369-692-813-24130-116
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-38-865-580-08-539-380-37-976-50
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-04-022-90-04-012-90-02-219-12
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-46-847-321-28-530-231-35-1043-39

MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1040-35177-1661-128-2993-11417-460-27262-215
in all lined games8-1040-35177-1661-128-2993-11414-453-25183-169
when the total is 120 to 129.50-17-926-240-17-925-241-011-534-16
as a favorite7-728-2587-881-119-2159-6113-145-11129-51
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points4-05-39-101-03-24-74-08-014-5
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points6-18-713-171-05-37-97-015-026-5
in all home games6-221-1476-731-014-1142-4710-035-6159-66
in home lined games6-221-1476-731-014-1142-478-030-6100-52
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.50-02-412-120-03-311-120-06-019-5
against conference opponents5-522-21117-1041-016-2066-789-134-11160-109
in January games2-512-1062-540-06-1125-426-118-684-62
on Saturday games2-318-865-600-012-936-366-023-693-74
when playing with one or less days rest3-217-1063-601-011-1130-415-018-1088-75
after a conference game3-622-19109-991-016-1864-737-231-13157-111
off a win against a conference rival3-516-1565-621-012-1436-506-224-981-56
when playing against a team with a winning record2-714-1689-840-19-1138-566-418-1582-130
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-06-547-450-05-524-321-05-643-61
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
W KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-10-2.510-101-366.230.042.0%38.164.530.441.7%33.5
Road Games3-8-2.94-71-362.127.640.1%37.669.132.944.3%34.8
Last 5 Games1-4-7.61-40-061.226.037.7%35.262.625.842.0%36.2
Conference Games5-5-4.84-60-065.930.341.7%36.364.029.743.6%32.1
W KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.230.023-5542.0%6-2129.4%14-2165.5%381211197163
vs opponents surrendering67.831.724-5543.1%6-1832.5%14-2168.4%361012187163
Team Stats (Road Games)62.127.623-5740.1%6-2228.3%10-1761.3%381210206183
Stats Against (All Games)64.530.423-5541.7%5-1731.7%13-2066.9%34910197144
vs opponents averaging68.33224-5742.8%6-1833.5%14-2068.2%351012188143
Stats Against (Road Games)69.132.925-5644.3%5-1632.6%15-2267.2%35912189144

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-4+3.48-101-169.633.344.9%37.358.626.140.5%31.4
Home Games10-0+36-21-077.237.748.5%38.855.023.437.3%30.8
Last 5 Games5-0+12-30-072.834.849.6%36.256.620.839.8%27.8
Conference Games9-1+15-51-070.033.145.8%38.557.223.538.8%31.0
MIDDLE TENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.633.325-5644.9%5-1436.0%15-2267.8%371214208143
vs opponents surrendering66.230.923-5641.8%6-1832.8%14-2068.6%351012187153
Team Stats (Home Games)77.237.728-5848.5%6-1638.4%15-2268.3%391218208133
Stats Against (All Games)58.626.120-5040.5%5-1628.1%13-2162.6%3189197173
vs opponents averaging68.231.224-5643.0%6-1933.5%14-2067.4%361012188154
Stats Against (Home Games)55.023.418-5037.3%4-1627.8%13-2163.4%3187206183
Average power rating of opponents played: W KENTUCKY 69.5,  MIDDLE TENN ST 71.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-11 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 19-9 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-4 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 7-6 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/25/2012MIDDLE TENN ST67-8.5 Over3327-5054.0%4-1136.4%9-1850.0%29719
 W KENTUCKY73134SU ATS3023-5244.2%6-1931.6%21-2487.5%311015
2/9/2012W KENTUCKY64130.5 ATS2622-6533.8%6-2128.6%14-14100.0%441114
 MIDDLE TENN ST72-13.5SU Over2826-6738.8%3-1127.3%17-3745.9%511811
2/26/2011W KENTUCKY39137 Under1914-4630.4%3-1520.0%8-2040.0%36916
 MIDDLE TENN ST57-3.5SU ATS2922-5440.7%3-1127.3%10-1855.6%401112
2/10/2011MIDDLE TENN ST69139.5SU ATS2919-5038.0%7-1838.9%24-3080.0%331018
 W KENTUCKY60-5 Under2818-5532.7%5-2123.8%19-2867.9%461823
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (182-170)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 65.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (145-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 61.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-26)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (106-107)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 51.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 58.4% of the time since 1997. (101-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 55.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-22)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
W KENTUCKY
[F] 01/26/2013 - Eddie Alcantara expected to miss Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St ( Hamstring )
[G] 12/21/2012 - Jamal Crook expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Foot )
[F] 12/05/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( Knee )
MIDDLE TENN ST
[F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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