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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| W KENTUCKY | | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | -15 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-10 | 41-43 | 227-224 | 1-3 | 33-32 | 132-127 | 11-10 | 43-45 | 311-188 | | in all lined games | 10-10 | 41-43 | 227-224 | 1-3 | 33-32 | 132-127 | 10-10 | 39-45 | 277-183 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 18-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12-12 | | as an underdog | 3-5 | 19-22 | 78-79 | 1-3 | 17-19 | 42-40 | 1-7 | 11-30 | 45-114 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1-9 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-6 | 1-13 | | in road games | 3-5 | 16-16 | 87-103 | 0-1 | 13-11 | 50-50 | 2-6 | 11-21 | 92-111 | | in road lined games | 3-5 | 16-16 | 87-103 | 0-1 | 13-11 | 50-50 | 2-6 | 11-21 | 87-107 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4-7 | | against conference opponents | 4-6 | 27-22 | 136-139 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 84-78 | 5-5 | 26-23 | 191-92 | | in January games | 1-5 | 9-12 | 53-79 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 36-37 | 1-5 | 7-14 | 85-53 | | on Saturday games | 4-5 | 15-18 | 82-91 | 1-0 | 13-12 | 54-44 | 5-5 | 17-18 | 115-72 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-4 | 14-15 | 72-69 | 0-2 | 12-12 | 44-44 | 3-3 | 15-15 | 100-52 | | after a conference game | 2-7 | 24-24 | 129-136 | 0-0 | 22-16 | 79-80 | 4-5 | 26-23 | 189-93 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-3 | 10-11 | 41-38 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 24-19 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 51-33 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-2 | 11-9 | 31-28 | 1-1 | 10-7 | 11-11 | 3-2 | 10-11 | 37-26 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-8 | 13-22 | 115-119 | 1-2 | 14-13 | 69-69 | 2-8 | 13-24 | 130-116 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-3 | 8-8 | 65-58 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 39-38 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 76-50 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 4-0 | 22-9 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 19-12 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-4 | 6-8 | 47-32 | 1-2 | 8-5 | 30-23 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 43-39 |
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| in all games | 8-10 | 40-35 | 177-166 | 1-1 | 28-29 | 93-114 | 17-4 | 60-27 | 262-215 | | in all lined games | 8-10 | 40-35 | 177-166 | 1-1 | 28-29 | 93-114 | 14-4 | 53-25 | 183-169 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 26-24 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 25-24 | 1-0 | 11-5 | 34-16 | | as a favorite | 7-7 | 28-25 | 87-88 | 1-1 | 19-21 | 59-61 | 13-1 | 45-11 | 129-51 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 4-0 | 5-3 | 9-10 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 4-7 | 4-0 | 8-0 | 14-5 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 6-1 | 8-7 | 13-17 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 7-9 | 7-0 | 15-0 | 26-5 | | in all home games | 6-2 | 21-14 | 76-73 | 1-0 | 14-11 | 42-47 | 10-0 | 35-6 | 159-66 | | in home lined games | 6-2 | 21-14 | 76-73 | 1-0 | 14-11 | 42-47 | 8-0 | 30-6 | 100-52 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 6-0 | 19-5 | | against conference opponents | 5-5 | 22-21 | 117-104 | 1-0 | 16-20 | 66-78 | 9-1 | 34-11 | 160-109 | | in January games | 2-5 | 12-10 | 62-54 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 25-42 | 6-1 | 18-6 | 84-62 | | on Saturday games | 2-3 | 18-8 | 65-60 | 0-0 | 12-9 | 36-36 | 6-0 | 23-6 | 93-74 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-2 | 17-10 | 63-60 | 1-0 | 11-11 | 30-41 | 5-0 | 18-10 | 88-75 | | after a conference game | 3-6 | 22-19 | 109-99 | 1-0 | 16-18 | 64-73 | 7-2 | 31-13 | 157-111 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-5 | 16-15 | 65-62 | 1-0 | 12-14 | 36-50 | 6-2 | 24-9 | 81-56 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-7 | 14-16 | 89-84 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 38-56 | 6-4 | 18-15 | 82-130 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 6-5 | 47-45 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 24-32 | 1-0 | 5-6 | 43-61 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 11-10 | -2.5 | 10-10 | 1-3 | 66.2 | 30.0 | 42.0% | 38.1 | 64.5 | 30.4 | 41.7% | 33.5 | | Road Games | 3-8 | -2.9 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 62.1 | 27.6 | 40.1% | 37.6 | 69.1 | 32.9 | 44.3% | 34.8 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -7.6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 61.2 | 26.0 | 37.7% | 35.2 | 62.6 | 25.8 | 42.0% | 36.2 | | Conference Games | 5-5 | -4.8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 65.9 | 30.3 | 41.7% | 36.3 | 64.0 | 29.7 | 43.6% | 32.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 66.2 | 30.0 | 23-55 | 42.0% | 6-21 | 29.4% | 14-21 | 65.5% | 38 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.8 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.1% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 14-21 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.1 | 27.6 | 23-57 | 40.1% | 6-22 | 28.3% | 10-17 | 61.3% | 38 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.5 | 30.4 | 23-55 | 41.7% | 5-17 | 31.7% | 13-20 | 66.9% | 34 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.3 | 32 | 24-57 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.1 | 32.9 | 25-56 | 44.3% | 5-16 | 32.6% | 15-22 | 67.2% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 17-4 | +3.4 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 69.6 | 33.3 | 44.9% | 37.3 | 58.6 | 26.1 | 40.5% | 31.4 | | Home Games | 10-0 | +3 | 6-2 | 1-0 | 77.2 | 37.7 | 48.5% | 38.8 | 55.0 | 23.4 | 37.3% | 30.8 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 72.8 | 34.8 | 49.6% | 36.2 | 56.6 | 20.8 | 39.8% | 27.8 | | Conference Games | 9-1 | +1 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 70.0 | 33.1 | 45.8% | 38.5 | 57.2 | 23.5 | 38.8% | 31.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.6 | 33.3 | 25-56 | 44.9% | 5-14 | 36.0% | 15-22 | 67.8% | 37 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.2 | 30.9 | 23-56 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 77.2 | 37.7 | 28-58 | 48.5% | 6-16 | 38.4% | 15-22 | 68.3% | 39 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.6 | 26.1 | 20-50 | 40.5% | 5-16 | 28.1% | 13-21 | 62.6% | 31 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.2 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 67.4% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 55.0 | 23.4 | 18-50 | 37.3% | 4-16 | 27.8% | 13-21 | 63.4% | 31 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: W KENTUCKY 69.5, MIDDLE TENN ST 71.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-11 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | W KENTUCKY is 19-9 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | 13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-4 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997 | | W KENTUCKY is 7-6 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/25/2012 | MIDDLE TENN ST | 67 | -8.5 | Over | 33 | 27-50 | 54.0% | 4-11 | 36.4% | 9-18 | 50.0% | 29 | 7 | 19 | | | W KENTUCKY | 73 | 134 | SU ATS | 30 | 23-52 | 44.2% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 21-24 | 87.5% | 31 | 10 | 15 | 2/9/2012 | W KENTUCKY | 64 | 130.5 | ATS | 26 | 22-65 | 33.8% | 6-21 | 28.6% | 14-14 | 100.0% | 44 | 11 | 14 | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 72 | -13.5 | SU Over | 28 | 26-67 | 38.8% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 17-37 | 45.9% | 51 | 18 | 11 | 2/26/2011 | W KENTUCKY | 39 | 137 | Under | 19 | 14-46 | 30.4% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 36 | 9 | 16 | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 57 | -3.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 10-18 | 55.6% | 40 | 11 | 12 | 2/10/2011 | MIDDLE TENN ST | 69 | 139.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 19-50 | 38.0% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 24-30 | 80.0% | 33 | 10 | 18 | | | W KENTUCKY | 60 | -5 | Under | 28 | 18-55 | 32.7% | 5-21 | 23.8% | 19-28 | 67.9% | 46 | 18 | 23 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (182-170) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 65.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-22) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (145-137) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 61.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-26) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (106-107) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in W KENTUCKY games 51.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 58.4% of the time since 1997. (101-72) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 55.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-22) | |
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| [F] 01/26/2013 - Eddie Alcantara expected to miss Saturday vs. Middle Tenn St ( Hamstring ) | | [G] 12/21/2012 - Jamal Crook expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Foot ) | | [F] 12/05/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand ) |
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