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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN (7-11) AT TOLEDO (6-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
625: BOWLING GREEN
626: TOLEDO
OFF
-4.5
61.9 / 62.7
67.5 / 70.1
7-11
6-10
8-8
7-5
0-1
0-0
40.4
42.3
70.9
77.0
31.7
31.6
42.1
42.7
70.4
71.1
33.7
34.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BOWLING GREEN  
TOLEDO-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOWLING GREEN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-839-35204-2070-129-31112-1187-1137-46238-233
in all lined games8-839-35204-2070-129-31112-1186-1132-44204-219
as an underdog5-427-21111-1240-120-2074-742-814-3565-177
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points1-05-119-210-01-45-140-13-315-25
in road games2-417-1799-1010-017-1251-590-78-3070-147
in road lined games2-417-1799-1010-017-1251-590-78-2869-139
against conference opponents2-219-19130-1460-014-2174-762-320-20141-145
in January games2-212-668-550-06-927-382-311-1070-60
on Saturday games2-216-1191-700-014-941-442-211-1685-95
after a conference game2-118-18126-1430-015-1976-742-220-20137-148
off a win against a conference rival0-08-1062-710-06-1227-410-18-1164-75
after allowing 60 points or less4-215-1257-540-17-1525-353-414-1765-60
when playing against a team with a losing record3-417-1583-780-011-1539-473-519-16114-66
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games1-08-738-470-05-1024-250-111-554-33

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-537-31212-2160-029-25115-1176-1029-55228-251
in all lined games7-537-31212-2160-029-25115-1175-821-50195-241
as a favorite3-19-596-720-05-539-324-012-2140-31
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-324-130-03-215-50-04-133-4
in all home games1-216-1698-870-019-1056-453-219-22146-66
in home lined games1-216-1698-870-019-1056-452-114-20124-64
against conference opponents2-321-19142-1430-017-1871-802-312-29146-146
in January games2-39-1058-720-07-731-332-36-1562-70
on Saturday games3-113-1574-880-012-1140-383-212-2084-95
after a conference game1-321-18140-1390-016-1979-721-312-29144-147
off a loss against a conference rival1-115-1161-690-013-1239-400-27-2058-76
after scoring 60 points or less3-118-1064-650-012-1145-481-38-2256-87
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-016-840-370-014-929-341-06-1924-58
when playing against a team with a losing record3-013-1386-740-010-1344-503-216-18123-64
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-08-857-410-08-932-330-08-971-31
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-16-526-210-03-617-190-23-817-30
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-112-852-400-09-728-322-27-1336-58
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-07-623-240-06-818-220-18-725-24
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-012-1136-410-010-1127-343-115-1445-42
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOWLING GREEN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games7-11-5.68-80-161.927.940.4%33.962.729.442.1%35.7
Road Games1-9-9.23-60-065.329.843.4%32.470.632.344.5%36.4
Last 5 Games2-3-12-20-061.628.442.8%33.460.627.840.9%32.6
Conference Games2-3-12-20-061.628.442.8%33.460.627.840.9%32.6
BOWLING GREEN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)61.927.923-5640.4%6-1831.7%11-1570.9%34911167125
vs opponents surrendering66.431.223-5443.0%6-1833.9%14-2068.7%361013177144
Team Stats (Road Games)65.329.825-5843.4%6-1835.2%9-1368.0%32912167135
Stats Against (All Games)62.729.422-5342.1%6-1733.7%12-1770.4%361012157143
vs opponents averaging65.330.523-5442.1%6-1933.4%13-1969.9%33913187143
Stats Against (Road Games)70.632.325-5644.5%7-2035.5%13-1874.0%361014137133

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games6-10+1.57-50-067.530.142.3%33.370.131.442.7%36.5
Home Games3-2+11-20-067.830.639.6%36.464.828.439.5%37.0
Last 5 Games2-3+1.52-30-065.026.042.2%32.871.231.444.7%38.4
Conference Games2-3+1.52-30-065.026.042.2%32.871.231.444.7%38.4
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.530.124-5642.3%5-1731.6%15-1977.0%33812177133
vs opponents surrendering65.530.423-5342.9%6-1834.0%14-2069.2%34913177153
Team Stats (Home Games)67.830.622-5739.6%5-1727.9%18-2282.0%36913148103
Stats Against (All Games)70.131.424-5742.7%8-2334.8%14-2071.1%361113187144
vs opponents averaging67.531.424-5543.2%7-2034.5%13-1970.4%34913187143
Stats Against (Home Games)64.828.423-5739.5%9-2536.0%11-1570.7%371113196134
Average power rating of opponents played: BOWLING GREEN 69.8,  TOLEDO 69
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TOLEDO is 14-10 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN since 1997
TOLEDO is 14-12 straight up against BOWLING GREEN since 1997
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TOLEDO since 1997
TOLEDO is 7-5 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN since 1997
TOLEDO is 10-3 straight up against BOWLING GREEN since 1997
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 0-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/11/2012TOLEDO63132.5 ATS2922-4647.8%12-1963.2%7-887.5%26518
 BOWLING GREEN66-10SU Under2228-6344.4%4-1526.7%6-2030.0%401911
1/25/2011BOWLING GREEN70-6SU2723-5343.4%6-1735.3%18-2669.2%391311
 TOLEDO64119.5 Over2120-5040.0%9-2045.0%15-2365.2%331015
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TOLEDO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (161-164)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 48.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (169-173)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-30)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
BOWLING GREEN
[F] 01/23/2013 - James Erger "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Undisclosed )
[G] 01/23/2013 - Jehvon Clarke "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Ankle )
TOLEDO
[F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal )
[G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal )
[F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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