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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-8 | 39-35 | 204-207 | 0-1 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 7-11 | 37-46 | 238-233 | | in all lined games | 8-8 | 39-35 | 204-207 | 0-1 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 6-11 | 32-44 | 204-219 | | as an underdog | 5-4 | 27-21 | 111-124 | 0-1 | 20-20 | 74-74 | 2-8 | 14-35 | 65-177 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-0 | 5-1 | 19-21 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 15-25 | | in road games | 2-4 | 17-17 | 99-101 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 51-59 | 0-7 | 8-30 | 70-147 | | in road lined games | 2-4 | 17-17 | 99-101 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 51-59 | 0-7 | 8-28 | 69-139 | | against conference opponents | 2-2 | 19-19 | 130-146 | 0-0 | 14-21 | 74-76 | 2-3 | 20-20 | 141-145 | | in January games | 2-2 | 12-6 | 68-55 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 27-38 | 2-3 | 11-10 | 70-60 | | on Saturday games | 2-2 | 16-11 | 91-70 | 0-0 | 14-9 | 41-44 | 2-2 | 11-16 | 85-95 | | after a conference game | 2-1 | 18-18 | 126-143 | 0-0 | 15-19 | 76-74 | 2-2 | 20-20 | 137-148 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 8-10 | 62-71 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 27-41 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 64-75 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 4-2 | 15-12 | 57-54 | 0-1 | 7-15 | 25-35 | 3-4 | 14-17 | 65-60 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-4 | 17-15 | 83-78 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 39-47 | 3-5 | 19-16 | 114-66 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 8-7 | 38-47 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 24-25 | 0-1 | 11-5 | 54-33 |
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| in all games | 7-5 | 37-31 | 212-216 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 6-10 | 29-55 | 228-251 | | in all lined games | 7-5 | 37-31 | 212-216 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 5-8 | 21-50 | 195-241 | | as a favorite | 3-1 | 9-5 | 96-72 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 39-32 | 4-0 | 12-2 | 140-31 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 2-3 | 24-13 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 33-4 | | in all home games | 1-2 | 16-16 | 98-87 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 3-2 | 19-22 | 146-66 | | in home lined games | 1-2 | 16-16 | 98-87 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 2-1 | 14-20 | 124-64 | | against conference opponents | 2-3 | 21-19 | 142-143 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 2-3 | 12-29 | 146-146 | | in January games | 2-3 | 9-10 | 58-72 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 31-33 | 2-3 | 6-15 | 62-70 | | on Saturday games | 3-1 | 13-15 | 74-88 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 40-38 | 3-2 | 12-20 | 84-95 | | after a conference game | 1-3 | 21-18 | 140-139 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 79-72 | 1-3 | 12-29 | 144-147 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 15-11 | 61-69 | 0-0 | 13-12 | 39-40 | 0-2 | 7-20 | 58-76 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-1 | 18-10 | 64-65 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 45-48 | 1-3 | 8-22 | 56-87 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-0 | 16-8 | 40-37 | 0-0 | 14-9 | 29-34 | 1-0 | 6-19 | 24-58 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-0 | 13-13 | 86-74 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 44-50 | 3-2 | 16-18 | 123-64 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 8-8 | 57-41 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 32-33 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 71-31 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 6-5 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 17-19 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 17-30 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-1 | 12-8 | 52-40 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 28-32 | 2-2 | 7-13 | 36-58 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 7-6 | 23-24 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18-22 | 0-1 | 8-7 | 25-24 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-0 | 12-11 | 36-41 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 27-34 | 3-1 | 15-14 | 45-42 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-11 | -5.6 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 61.9 | 27.9 | 40.4% | 33.9 | 62.7 | 29.4 | 42.1% | 35.7 | | Road Games | 1-9 | -9.2 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 65.3 | 29.8 | 43.4% | 32.4 | 70.6 | 32.3 | 44.5% | 36.4 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 61.6 | 28.4 | 42.8% | 33.4 | 60.6 | 27.8 | 40.9% | 32.6 | | Conference Games | 2-3 | -1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 61.6 | 28.4 | 42.8% | 33.4 | 60.6 | 27.8 | 40.9% | 32.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.9 | 27.9 | 23-56 | 40.4% | 6-18 | 31.7% | 11-15 | 70.9% | 34 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.4 | 31.2 | 23-54 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.3 | 29.8 | 25-58 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 35.2% | 9-13 | 68.0% | 32 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.7 | 29.4 | 22-53 | 42.1% | 6-17 | 33.7% | 12-17 | 70.4% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.3 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 42.1% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.9% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.6 | 32.3 | 25-56 | 44.5% | 7-20 | 35.5% | 13-18 | 74.0% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
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| All Games | 6-10 | +1.5 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 67.5 | 30.1 | 42.3% | 33.3 | 70.1 | 31.4 | 42.7% | 36.5 | | Home Games | 3-2 | +1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 67.8 | 30.6 | 39.6% | 36.4 | 64.8 | 28.4 | 39.5% | 37.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +1.5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 65.0 | 26.0 | 42.2% | 32.8 | 71.2 | 31.4 | 44.7% | 38.4 | | Conference Games | 2-3 | +1.5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 65.0 | 26.0 | 42.2% | 32.8 | 71.2 | 31.4 | 44.7% | 38.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.5 | 30.1 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 5-17 | 31.6% | 15-19 | 77.0% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 30.4 | 23-53 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-20 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 67.8 | 30.6 | 22-57 | 39.6% | 5-17 | 27.9% | 18-22 | 82.0% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.1 | 31.4 | 24-57 | 42.7% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 14-20 | 71.1% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.4 | 24-55 | 43.2% | 7-20 | 34.5% | 13-19 | 70.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.8 | 28.4 | 23-57 | 39.5% | 9-25 | 36.0% | 11-15 | 70.7% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: BOWLING GREEN 69.8, TOLEDO 69 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TOLEDO is 14-10 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 14-12 straight up against BOWLING GREEN since 1997 | | 9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons | | BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TOLEDO is 7-5 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 10-3 straight up against BOWLING GREEN since 1997 | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 0-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons | | BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/11/2012 | TOLEDO | 63 | 132.5 | ATS | 29 | 22-46 | 47.8% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 7-8 | 87.5% | 26 | 5 | 18 | | | BOWLING GREEN | 66 | -10 | SU Under | 22 | 28-63 | 44.4% | 4-15 | 26.7% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 40 | 19 | 11 | 1/25/2011 | BOWLING GREEN | 70 | -6 | SU | 27 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 18-26 | 69.2% | 39 | 13 | 11 | | | TOLEDO | 64 | 119.5 | Over | 21 | 20-50 | 40.0% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 15-23 | 65.2% | 33 | 10 | 15 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (161-164) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 48.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (169-173) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-30) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 01/23/2013 - James Erger "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Undisclosed ) | | [G] 01/23/2013 - Jehvon Clarke "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Ankle ) | |
| [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) |
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