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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MISSOURI ST | |  | | S ILLINOIS | -1 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 13-8 | 40-41 | 92-111 | 1-0 | 33-24 | 99-79 | 8-18 | 50-43 | 124-102 | | in all lined games | 13-8 | 40-41 | 92-111 | 1-0 | 33-24 | 99-79 | 6-15 | 44-39 | 110-98 | | as an underdog | 12-8 | 22-17 | 35-45 | 1-0 | 11-7 | 38-22 | 5-15 | 11-28 | 18-63 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 3-2 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1-8 | | in road games | 6-4 | 19-18 | 39-48 | 1-0 | 15-10 | 47-28 | 1-10 | 16-23 | 32-58 | | in road lined games | 6-4 | 19-18 | 39-48 | 1-0 | 15-10 | 47-28 | 1-9 | 16-21 | 31-56 | | against conference opponents | 12-2 | 28-24 | 57-72 | 1-0 | 19-21 | 66-54 | 6-8 | 32-22 | 67-67 | | in February games | 3-1 | 7-13 | 21-29 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 27-21 | 2-2 | 11-9 | 26-26 | | on Saturday games | 3-6 | 11-17 | 32-40 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 37-25 | 2-8 | 19-13 | 45-32 | | after a conference game | 11-2 | 25-25 | 53-75 | 1-0 | 21-18 | 68-51 | 6-8 | 30-23 | 65-68 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-1 | 13-16 | 23-40 | 1-0 | 12-14 | 32-29 | 1-4 | 18-13 | 31-35 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-1 | 9-10 | 19-26 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 26-13 | 3-4 | 21-5 | 39-16 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 5-7 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 18-10 | 1-0 | 11-1 | 18-11 |
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| in all games | 11-11 | 32-48 | 230-241 | 0-2 | 29-32 | 120-141 | 10-15 | 31-57 | 297-206 | | in all lined games | 11-11 | 32-48 | 230-241 | 0-2 | 29-32 | 120-141 | 7-15 | 25-56 | 277-201 | | as a favorite | 3-5 | 9-15 | 129-145 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 62-82 | 4-4 | 13-11 | 210-69 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 2-3 | 22-21 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12-12 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 32-12 | | in all home games | 3-5 | 14-21 | 93-110 | 0-2 | 14-15 | 52-59 | 6-4 | 20-20 | 168-54 | | in home lined games | 3-5 | 14-21 | 93-110 | 0-2 | 14-15 | 52-59 | 4-4 | 16-19 | 154-53 | | against conference opponents | 6-8 | 20-32 | 148-156 | 0-2 | 21-20 | 80-84 | 3-11 | 14-39 | 181-131 | | in February games | 3-1 | 6-13 | 56-71 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 39-28 | 2-2 | 5-14 | 78-50 | | on Saturday games | 4-3 | 9-16 | 79-93 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 45-42 | 3-5 | 9-19 | 110-72 | | after a conference game | 6-7 | 20-30 | 146-153 | 0-2 | 20-20 | 78-88 | 4-10 | 16-37 | 179-132 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 4-2 | 10-14 | 45-52 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 26-31 | 3-3 | 7-18 | 60-41 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-0 | 7-5 | 84-90 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 37-52 | 0-2 | 2-11 | 108-71 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-2 | 11-12 | 87-75 | 0-1 | 6-14 | 50-64 | 2-4 | 7-18 | 103-65 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-3 | 9-12 | 66-71 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 30-36 | 3-3 | 14-10 | 110-39 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 2-5 | 32-37 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 15-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 53-19 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 1-6 | 20-19 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 28-13 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-2 | 8-10 | 40-35 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 23-21 | 2-1 | 11-8 | 57-23 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-18 | +3.3 | 13-8 | 1-0 | 59.9 | 26.5 | 40.3% | 30.3 | 64.9 | 29.1 | 44.4% | 34.9 | | Road Games | 1-12 | -3.2 | 7-5 | 1-0 | 56.6 | 24.6 | 39.3% | 28.6 | 67.0 | 30.0 | 47.2% | 34.8 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +2 | 4-1 | 1-0 | 58.6 | 26.0 | 38.9% | 28.2 | 68.8 | 31.8 | 44.9% | 36.4 | | Conference Games | 6-8 | +8.3 | 12-2 | 1-0 | 62.1 | 27.1 | 42.8% | 29.6 | 66.4 | 29.3 | 44.7% | 32.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 59.9 | 26.5 | 21-53 | 40.3% | 6-18 | 31.5% | 11-17 | 66.5% | 30 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 1 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.8 | 31.2 | 24-55 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 56.6 | 24.6 | 21-52 | 39.3% | 5-18 | 30.3% | 10-15 | 65.7% | 29 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.9 | 29.1 | 22-51 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 14-20 | 70.7% | 35 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.1 | 32.1 | 24-54 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-20 | 71.1% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 67.0 | 30.0 | 23-49 | 47.2% | 6-17 | 33.5% | 15-21 | 70.6% | 35 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
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| All Games | 10-15 | -7.3 | 11-11 | 0-2 | 64.0 | 30.5 | 44.3% | 30.7 | 66.3 | 32.4 | 46.7% | 31.8 | | Home Games | 6-4 | +1.5 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 65.9 | 29.2 | 45.1% | 30.9 | 64.4 | 32.4 | 46.8% | 31.9 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +0.8 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 59.4 | 31.0 | 40.2% | 31.8 | 65.6 | 34.0 | 45.8% | 32.4 | | Conference Games | 3-11 | -6.6 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 61.0 | 29.9 | 43.3% | 28.1 | 70.0 | 34.8 | 49.0% | 33.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.0 | 30.5 | 24-54 | 44.3% | 4-14 | 32.1% | 12-19 | 64.2% | 31 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.9 | 30.6 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 65.9 | 29.2 | 24-53 | 45.1% | 4-13 | 32.1% | 14-23 | 60.7% | 31 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.3 | 32.4 | 23-48 | 46.7% | 7-17 | 39.7% | 15-20 | 72.4% | 32 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.9 | 31.4 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 35.1% | 13-19 | 69.7% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.4 | 32.4 | 23-49 | 46.8% | 7-17 | 40.9% | 11-16 | 69.6% | 32 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 18 | 1 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MISSOURI ST 71.4, S ILLINOIS 69.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MISSOURI ST is 19-17 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | MISSOURI ST is 19-18 straight up against S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MISSOURI ST is 3-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | MISSOURI ST is 6-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MISSOURI ST is 8-7 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | S ILLINOIS is 11-4 straight up against MISSOURI ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| S ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons | | MISSOURI ST is 2-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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12/30/2012 | S ILLINOIS | 59 | -5 | | 32 | 22-48 | 45.8% | 8-19 | 42.1% | 7-9 | 77.8% | 20 | 7 | 7 | | | MISSOURI ST | 70 | | SU ATS | 39 | 20-37 | 54.1% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 20-23 | 87.0% | 26 | 5 | 8 | 2/8/2012 | MISSOURI ST | 56 | -3.5 | SU Under | 31 | 21-41 | 51.2% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 11-16 | 68.7% | 33 | 7 | 17 | | | S ILLINOIS | 54 | 123.5 | ATS | 25 | 23-51 | 45.1% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 3-10 | 30.0% | 23 | 9 | 9 | 1/10/2012 | S ILLINOIS | 65 | 131.5 | Over | 31 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 11-19 | 57.9% | 26 | 9 | 21 | | | MISSOURI ST | 77 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 42 | 24-49 | 49.0% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 25-27 | 92.6% | 33 | 9 | 20 | 3/4/2011 | S ILLINOIS | 56 | 124.5 | ATS | 32 | 23-44 | 52.3% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 6-11 | 54.5% | 28 | 2 | 12 | | N | MISSOURI ST | 58 | -11 | SU Under | 24 | 18-54 | 33.3% | 7-24 | 29.2% | 15-25 | 60.0% | 38 | 13 | 10 | 2/23/2011 | MISSOURI ST | 76 | -5 | SU ATS | 35 | 26-49 | 53.1% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 16-20 | 80.0% | 38 | 9 | 14 | | | S ILLINOIS | 58 | 128 | Over | 28 | 19-57 | 33.3% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 27 | 9 | 6 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSOURI ST games 44.1% of the time since 1997. (164-208) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSOURI ST games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-37) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 45.9% of the time since 1997. (177-209) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 39.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-38) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Jarmar Gulley out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 02/15/2013 - Jeff Early probable Saturday vs. Missouri St ( Tailbone ) | | [G] 02/09/2013 - Josh Swan out for season ( Knee ) | | [F] 01/01/2013 - Antonio Bryer left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Chase Heins out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Bola Olaniyan out for season ( Eligibility ) |
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