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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
N CAROLINA (13-5) AT NC STATE (15-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
643: N CAROLINA
644: NC STATE
157.0
-4.0
78.7 / 68.1
79.2 / 69.5
13-5
15-4
9-6
9-7
6-9
6-6
44.5
51.0
63.4
66.6
36.5
39.3
39.6
40.5
66.3
72.0
34.4
29.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N CAROLINA  
NC STATE-4 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-645-40263-2376-939-46217-19813-574-19403-144
in all lined games9-645-40263-2376-939-46217-19810-567-19367-141
when the total is 150 to 159.52-115-1477-681-212-1775-702-122-799-48
as an underdog1-25-646-550-32-943-481-23-832-71
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-17-130-00-18-120-00-16-15
in road games2-313-1281-801-410-1563-713-318-8105-65
in road lined games2-313-1281-801-410-1563-712-317-898-64
in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.50-02-014-90-00-27-150-00-214-9
against conference opponents3-223-19132-1381-418-25119-1113-235-8184-94
in January games3-29-1063-581-48-1151-523-216-486-40
on Saturday games5-113-1376-753-314-1358-657-024-4116-47
after a conference game3-124-17132-1351-319-23118-1113-135-7189-88
off a win against a conference rival2-018-1578-971-116-1878-742-028-6127-56
when playing against a team with a winning record6-634-29218-1896-627-36177-1727-548-17295-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-025-14131-1141-218-21115-1023-034-6170-81
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-05-352-400-04-341-380-06-250-43
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-29-989-741-28-971-662-111-8100-71

NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-737-36216-2176-638-31173-16015-454-33299-212
in all lined games9-737-36216-2176-638-31173-16013-444-33235-212
when the total is 150 to 159.51-02-120-191-02-117-221-02-114-25
as a favorite7-621-16102-1094-518-1675-7812-236-5167-55
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-09-90-02-08-80-02-013-7
in all home games6-313-2095-1093-218-1280-7711-035-11204-71
in home lined games6-313-2095-1093-218-1280-779-025-11142-71
in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.50-00-02-30-00-01-40-00-01-4
against conference opponents3-316-23137-1342-221-18113-994-220-22123-156
in January games3-38-1354-652-210-1053-384-213-1063-66
on Saturday games3-210-1061-593-012-761-316-014-1081-66
after a conference game3-216-21138-1281-219-18110-1003-219-22131-147
off a loss against a conference rival0-14-1374-690-110-1058-561-08-1280-71
after allowing 80 points or more0-17-433-391-06-631-290-16-741-40
after scoring 80 points or more5-513-952-585-49-1045-388-319-673-57
when playing against a team with a winning record8-627-28175-1716-529-23143-13211-429-31173-193
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-213-16110-1081-214-1596-922-210-2191-131
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-04-654-551-05-554-421-01-935-76
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-25-1178-802-19-771-612-15-1360-105
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-5-4.59-66-978.738.144.5%43.168.128.739.6%37.6
Road Games4-4-5.83-42-576.436.243.6%42.170.633.040.7%37.4
Last 5 Games3-2+0.63-21-465.834.440.8%38.663.227.442.5%35.2
Conference Games3-2+0.63-21-465.834.440.8%38.663.227.442.5%35.2
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.738.130-6744.5%7-2036.5%12-1863.4%431318159144
vs opponents surrendering66.13124-5841.1%6-1932.5%13-1867.8%351013187144
Team Stats (Road Games)76.436.229-6643.6%8-2136.3%11-1664.4%421315169134
Stats Against (All Games)68.128.725-6339.6%7-2234.4%11-1666.3%381012178164
vs opponents averaging69.632.325-5743.5%6-1934.3%14-2069.0%371014177144
Stats Against (Road Games)70.633.025-6240.7%8-2237.4%12-1770.5%37913167144

NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-4-2.19-76-679.237.751.0%36.869.532.540.5%35.2
Home Games11-0+56-33-284.540.554.4%36.769.132.940.2%34.2
Last 5 Games3-2-1.63-21-273.435.045.3%39.669.032.041.2%38.0
Conference Games4-2-0.63-32-274.234.045.7%38.369.731.341.2%36.8
NC STATE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.237.729-5751.0%5-1339.3%16-2466.6%371015156125
vs opponents surrendering65.530.423-5641.6%6-1833.5%13-1969.0%34912186144
Team Stats (Home Games)84.540.530-5554.4%5-1341.0%19-2770.0%37916146126
Stats Against (All Games)69.532.526-6340.5%6-2029.2%12-1772.0%351211196123
vs opponents averaging69.332.424-5643.5%6-1833.4%14-2069.8%361013187134
Stats Against (Home Games)69.132.927-6640.2%6-2027.5%10-1472.5%341311206112
Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 74.1,  NC STATE 74.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N CAROLINA is 20-12 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
N CAROLINA is 27-6 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
15 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 5-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NC STATE since 1997
N CAROLINA is 12-3 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
N CAROLINA is 12-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NC STATE over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/10/2012NC STATE67149 ATS3426-5844.8%3-1127.3%12-1866.7%33816
NN CAROLINA69-9.5SU Under3124-5444.4%5-2025.0%16-2272.7%34515
2/21/2012N CAROLINA86-7SU ATS4629-5750.9%10-1952.6%18-2475.0%40109
 NC STATE74149 Over4129-7041.4%3-1323.1%13-2356.5%40174
1/26/2012NC STATE55159 Under2321-5736.8%9-2045.0%4-944.4%26517
 N CAROLINA74-13SU ATS3731-6448.4%5-1631.2%7-1353.8%481515
2/23/2011N CAROLINA75-6SU ATS3128-6642.4%5-1631.2%14-1877.8%471511
 NC STATE63146.5 Under2928-6543.1%3-1421.4%4-1040.0%331010
1/29/2011NC STATE64146 Over2124-6636.4%3-1225.0%13-1968.4%39916
 N CAROLINA84-10.5SU ATS3433-6947.8%4-1625.0%14-2458.3%531715
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (201-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (170-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-29)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (169-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 45.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (138-146)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-30)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
N CAROLINA
[G] 01/26/2013 - Leslie McDonald eligible to return Febuary 2nd vs. Virginia Tech ( Academics )
NC STATE
No significant injuries.
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