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Saturday at 7:00 PM			N CAROLINA (13-5) AT NC STATE (15-4)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
643: N CAROLINA 644: NC STATE	157.5 -4.5	78.7 / 68.1 79.2 / 69.5	13-5 15-4	9-6 9-7	6-9 6-6	44.5 51.0	63.4 66.6	36.5 39.3	39.6 40.5	66.3 72.0	34.4 29.2

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
N CAROLINA
NC STATE	-4

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	9-6	45-40	263-237	6-9	39-46	217-198	13-5	74-19	403-144
in all lined games	9-6	45-40	263-237	6-9	39-46	217-198	10-5	67-19	367-141
when the total is 150 to 159.5	2-1	15-14	77-68	1-2	12-17	75-70	2-1	22-7	99-48
as an underdog	1-2	5-6	46-55	0-3	2-9	43-48	1-2	3-8	32-71
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points	0-0	0-1	7-13	0-0	0-1	8-12	0-0	0-1	6-15
in road games	2-3	13-12	81-80	1-4	10-15	63-71	3-3	18-8	105-65
in road lined games	2-3	13-12	81-80	1-4	10-15	63-71	2-3	17-8	98-64
in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5	0-0	2-0	14-9	0-0	0-2	7-15	0-0	0-2	14-9
against conference opponents	3-2	23-19	132-138	1-4	18-25	119-111	3-2	35-8	184-94
in January games	3-2	9-10	63-58	1-4	8-11	51-52	3-2	16-4	86-40
on Saturday games	5-1	13-13	76-75	3-3	14-13	58-65	7-0	24-4	116-47
after a conference game	3-1	24-17	132-135	1-3	19-23	118-111	3-1	35-7	189-88
off a win against a conference rival	2-0	18-15	78-97	1-1	16-18	78-74	2-0	28-6	127-56
when playing against a team with a winning record	6-6	34-29	218-189	6-6	27-36	177-172	7-5	48-17	295-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	3-0	25-14	131-114	1-2	18-21	115-102	3-0	34-6	170-81
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	0-0	5-3	52-40	0-0	4-3	41-38	0-0	6-2	50-43
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	1-2	9-9	89-74	1-2	8-9	71-66	2-1	11-8	100-71

NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	9-7	37-36	216-217	6-6	38-31	173-160	15-4	54-33	299-212
in all lined games	9-7	37-36	216-217	6-6	38-31	173-160	13-4	44-33	235-212
when the total is 150 to 159.5	1-0	2-1	20-19	1-0	2-1	17-22	1-0	2-1	14-25
as a favorite	7-6	21-16	102-109	4-5	18-16	75-78	12-2	36-5	167-55
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points	0-0	0-0	9-9	0-0	2-0	8-8	0-0	2-0	13-7
in all home games	6-3	13-20	95-109	3-2	18-12	80-77	11-0	35-11	204-71
in home lined games	6-3	13-20	95-109	3-2	18-12	80-77	9-0	25-11	142-71
in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.5	0-0	0-0	2-3	0-0	0-0	1-4	0-0	0-0	1-4
against conference opponents	3-3	16-23	137-134	2-2	21-18	113-99	4-2	20-22	123-156
in January games	3-3	8-13	54-65	2-2	10-10	53-38	4-2	13-10	63-66
on Saturday games	3-2	10-10	61-59	3-0	12-7	61-31	6-0	14-10	81-66
after a conference game	3-2	16-21	138-128	1-2	19-18	110-100	3-2	19-22	131-147
off a loss against a conference rival	0-1	4-13	74-69	0-1	10-10	58-56	1-0	8-12	80-71
after allowing 80 points or more	0-1	7-4	33-39	1-0	6-6	31-29	0-1	6-7	41-40
after scoring 80 points or more	5-5	13-9	52-58	5-4	9-10	45-38	8-3	19-6	73-57
when playing against a team with a winning record	8-6	27-28	175-171	6-5	29-23	143-132	11-4	29-31	173-193
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	2-2	13-16	110-108	1-2	14-15	96-92	2-2	10-21	91-131
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	1-0	4-6	54-55	1-0	5-5	54-42	1-0	1-9	35-76
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	1-2	5-11	78-80	2-1	9-7	71-61	2-1	5-13	60-105

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	13-5	-4.5	9-6	6-9	78.7	38.1	44.5%	43.1	68.1	28.7	39.6%	37.6
Road Games	4-4	-5.8	3-4	2-5	76.4	36.2	43.6%	42.1	70.6	33.0	40.7%	37.4
Last 5 Games	3-2	+0.6	3-2	1-4	65.8	34.4	40.8%	38.6	63.2	27.4	42.5%	35.2
Conference Games	3-2	+0.6	3-2	1-4	65.8	34.4	40.8%	38.6	63.2	27.4	42.5%	35.2

N CAROLINA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.7	38.1	30-67	44.5%	7-20	36.5%	12-18	63.4%	43	13	18	15	9	14	4
vs opponents surrendering	66.1	31	24-58	41.1%	6-19	32.5%	13-18	67.8%	35	10	13	18	7	14	4
Team Stats (Road Games)	76.4	36.2	29-66	43.6%	8-21	36.3%	11-16	64.4%	42	13	15	16	9	13	4
Stats Against (All Games)	68.1	28.7	25-63	39.6%	7-22	34.4%	11-16	66.3%	38	10	12	17	8	16	4
vs opponents averaging	69.6	32.3	25-57	43.5%	6-19	34.3%	14-20	69.0%	37	10	14	17	7	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	70.6	33.0	25-62	40.7%	8-22	37.4%	12-17	70.5%	37	9	13	16	7	14	4

NC STATE - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	15-4	-2.1	9-7	6-6	79.2	37.7	51.0%	36.8	69.5	32.5	40.5%	35.2
Home Games	11-0	+5	6-3	3-2	84.5	40.5	54.4%	36.7	69.1	32.9	40.2%	34.2
Last 5 Games	3-2	-1.6	3-2	1-2	73.4	35.0	45.3%	39.6	69.0	32.0	41.2%	38.0
Conference Games	4-2	-0.6	3-3	2-2	74.2	34.0	45.7%	38.3	69.7	31.3	41.2%	36.8

NC STATE Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	79.2	37.7	29-57	51.0%	5-13	39.3%	16-24	66.6%	37	10	15	15	6	12	5
vs opponents surrendering	65.5	30.4	23-56	41.6%	6-18	33.5%	13-19	69.0%	34	9	12	18	6	14	4
Team Stats (Home Games)	84.5	40.5	30-55	54.4%	5-13	41.0%	19-27	70.0%	37	9	16	14	6	12	6
Stats Against (All Games)	69.5	32.5	26-63	40.5%	6-20	29.2%	12-17	72.0%	35	12	11	19	6	12	3
vs opponents averaging	69.3	32.4	24-56	43.5%	6-18	33.4%	14-20	69.8%	36	10	13	18	7	13	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	69.1	32.9	27-66	40.2%	6-20	27.5%	10-14	72.5%	34	13	11	20	6	11	2

Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 74.1, NC STATE 74.9

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

N CAROLINA is 20-12 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997

N CAROLINA is 27-6 straight up against NC STATE since 1997

15 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 5-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NC STATE since 1997

N CAROLINA is 12-3 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997

N CAROLINA is 12-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997

8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at NC STATE over the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
3/10/2012	NC STATE	67	149	ATS	34	26-58	44.8%	3-11	27.3%	12-18	66.7%	33	8	16
N	N CAROLINA	69	-9.5	SU Under	31	24-54	44.4%	5-20	25.0%	16-22	72.7%	34	5	15
2/21/2012	N CAROLINA	86	-7	SU ATS	46	29-57	50.9%	10-19	52.6%	18-24	75.0%	40	10	9
	NC STATE	74	149	Over	41	29-70	41.4%	3-13	23.1%	13-23	56.5%	40	17	4
1/26/2012	NC STATE	55	159	Under	23	21-57	36.8%	9-20	45.0%	4-9	44.4%	26	5	17
	N CAROLINA	74	-13	SU ATS	37	31-64	48.4%	5-16	31.2%	7-13	53.8%	48	15	15
2/23/2011	N CAROLINA	75	-6	SU ATS	31	28-66	42.4%	5-16	31.2%	14-18	77.8%	47	15	11
	NC STATE	63	146.5	Under	29	28-65	43.1%	3-14	21.4%	4-10	40.0%	33	10	10
1/29/2011	NC STATE	64	146	Over	21	24-66	36.4%	3-12	25.0%	13-19	68.4%	39	9	16
	N CAROLINA	84	-10.5	SU ATS	34	33-69	47.8%	4-16	25.0%	14-24	58.3%	53	17	15

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (201-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (170-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-29)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (169-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 45.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (138-146)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-30)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

N CAROLINA

[G] 01/26/2013 - Leslie McDonald eligible to return Febuary 2nd vs. Virginia Tech ( Academics )

NC STATE

No significant injuries.

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