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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 9-6 | 45-40 | 263-237 | 6-9 | 39-46 | 217-198 | 13-5 | 74-19 | 403-144 | in all lined games | 9-6 | 45-40 | 263-237 | 6-9 | 39-46 | 217-198 | 10-5 | 67-19 | 367-141 | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 2-1 | 15-14 | 77-68 | 1-2 | 12-17 | 75-70 | 2-1 | 22-7 | 99-48 | as an underdog | 1-2 | 5-6 | 46-55 | 0-3 | 2-9 | 43-48 | 1-2 | 3-8 | 32-71 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6-15 | in road games | 2-3 | 13-12 | 81-80 | 1-4 | 10-15 | 63-71 | 3-3 | 18-8 | 105-65 | in road lined games | 2-3 | 13-12 | 81-80 | 1-4 | 10-15 | 63-71 | 2-3 | 17-8 | 98-64 | in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14-9 | against conference opponents | 3-2 | 23-19 | 132-138 | 1-4 | 18-25 | 119-111 | 3-2 | 35-8 | 184-94 | in January games | 3-2 | 9-10 | 63-58 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 51-52 | 3-2 | 16-4 | 86-40 | on Saturday games | 5-1 | 13-13 | 76-75 | 3-3 | 14-13 | 58-65 | 7-0 | 24-4 | 116-47 | after a conference game | 3-1 | 24-17 | 132-135 | 1-3 | 19-23 | 118-111 | 3-1 | 35-7 | 189-88 | off a win against a conference rival | 2-0 | 18-15 | 78-97 | 1-1 | 16-18 | 78-74 | 2-0 | 28-6 | 127-56 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-6 | 34-29 | 218-189 | 6-6 | 27-36 | 177-172 | 7-5 | 48-17 | 295-132 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-0 | 25-14 | 131-114 | 1-2 | 18-21 | 115-102 | 3-0 | 34-6 | 170-81 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 5-3 | 52-40 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 41-38 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 50-43 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-2 | 9-9 | 89-74 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 71-66 | 2-1 | 11-8 | 100-71 |
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in all games | 9-7 | 37-36 | 216-217 | 6-6 | 38-31 | 173-160 | 15-4 | 54-33 | 299-212 | in all lined games | 9-7 | 37-36 | 216-217 | 6-6 | 38-31 | 173-160 | 13-4 | 44-33 | 235-212 | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 20-19 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 17-22 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 14-25 | as a favorite | 7-6 | 21-16 | 102-109 | 4-5 | 18-16 | 75-78 | 12-2 | 36-5 | 167-55 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 13-7 | in all home games | 6-3 | 13-20 | 95-109 | 3-2 | 18-12 | 80-77 | 11-0 | 35-11 | 204-71 | in home lined games | 6-3 | 13-20 | 95-109 | 3-2 | 18-12 | 80-77 | 9-0 | 25-11 | 142-71 | in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | against conference opponents | 3-3 | 16-23 | 137-134 | 2-2 | 21-18 | 113-99 | 4-2 | 20-22 | 123-156 | in January games | 3-3 | 8-13 | 54-65 | 2-2 | 10-10 | 53-38 | 4-2 | 13-10 | 63-66 | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 10-10 | 61-59 | 3-0 | 12-7 | 61-31 | 6-0 | 14-10 | 81-66 | after a conference game | 3-2 | 16-21 | 138-128 | 1-2 | 19-18 | 110-100 | 3-2 | 19-22 | 131-147 | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 4-13 | 74-69 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 58-56 | 1-0 | 8-12 | 80-71 | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-1 | 7-4 | 33-39 | 1-0 | 6-6 | 31-29 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 41-40 | after scoring 80 points or more | 5-5 | 13-9 | 52-58 | 5-4 | 9-10 | 45-38 | 8-3 | 19-6 | 73-57 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-6 | 27-28 | 175-171 | 6-5 | 29-23 | 143-132 | 11-4 | 29-31 | 173-193 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-2 | 13-16 | 110-108 | 1-2 | 14-15 | 96-92 | 2-2 | 10-21 | 91-131 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 4-6 | 54-55 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 54-42 | 1-0 | 1-9 | 35-76 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-2 | 5-11 | 78-80 | 2-1 | 9-7 | 71-61 | 2-1 | 5-13 | 60-105 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 13-5 | -4.5 | 9-6 | 6-9 | 78.7 | 38.1 | 44.5% | 43.1 | 68.1 | 28.7 | 39.6% | 37.6 | Road Games | 4-4 | -5.8 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 76.4 | 36.2 | 43.6% | 42.1 | 70.6 | 33.0 | 40.7% | 37.4 | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.6 | 3-2 | 1-4 | 65.8 | 34.4 | 40.8% | 38.6 | 63.2 | 27.4 | 42.5% | 35.2 | Conference Games | 3-2 | +0.6 | 3-2 | 1-4 | 65.8 | 34.4 | 40.8% | 38.6 | 63.2 | 27.4 | 42.5% | 35.2 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 78.7 | 38.1 | 30-67 | 44.5% | 7-20 | 36.5% | 12-18 | 63.4% | 43 | 13 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 66.1 | 31 | 24-58 | 41.1% | 6-19 | 32.5% | 13-18 | 67.8% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 76.4 | 36.2 | 29-66 | 43.6% | 8-21 | 36.3% | 11-16 | 64.4% | 42 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.1 | 28.7 | 25-63 | 39.6% | 7-22 | 34.4% | 11-16 | 66.3% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 4 | vs opponents averaging | 69.6 | 32.3 | 25-57 | 43.5% | 6-19 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 69.0% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.6 | 33.0 | 25-62 | 40.7% | 8-22 | 37.4% | 12-17 | 70.5% | 37 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
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All Games | 15-4 | -2.1 | 9-7 | 6-6 | 79.2 | 37.7 | 51.0% | 36.8 | 69.5 | 32.5 | 40.5% | 35.2 | Home Games | 11-0 | +5 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 84.5 | 40.5 | 54.4% | 36.7 | 69.1 | 32.9 | 40.2% | 34.2 | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -1.6 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 73.4 | 35.0 | 45.3% | 39.6 | 69.0 | 32.0 | 41.2% | 38.0 | Conference Games | 4-2 | -0.6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 74.2 | 34.0 | 45.7% | 38.3 | 69.7 | 31.3 | 41.2% | 36.8 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 79.2 | 37.7 | 29-57 | 51.0% | 5-13 | 39.3% | 16-24 | 66.6% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 5 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 30.4 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 13-19 | 69.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 84.5 | 40.5 | 30-55 | 54.4% | 5-13 | 41.0% | 19-27 | 70.0% | 37 | 9 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 6 | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.5 | 32.5 | 26-63 | 40.5% | 6-20 | 29.2% | 12-17 | 72.0% | 35 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 69.3 | 32.4 | 24-56 | 43.5% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 69.8% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 69.1 | 32.9 | 27-66 | 40.2% | 6-20 | 27.5% | 10-14 | 72.5% | 34 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 74.1, NC STATE 74.9 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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N CAROLINA is 20-12 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997 | N CAROLINA is 27-6 straight up against NC STATE since 1997 | 15 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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N CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | N CAROLINA is 5-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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N CAROLINA is 12-3 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997 | N CAROLINA is 12-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997 | 8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/10/2012 | NC STATE | 67 | 149 | ATS | 34 | 26-58 | 44.8% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 33 | 8 | 16 | N | N CAROLINA | 69 | -9.5 | SU Under | 31 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 34 | 5 | 15 | 2/21/2012 | N CAROLINA | 86 | -7 | SU ATS | 46 | 29-57 | 50.9% | 10-19 | 52.6% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 40 | 10 | 9 | | NC STATE | 74 | 149 | Over | 41 | 29-70 | 41.4% | 3-13 | 23.1% | 13-23 | 56.5% | 40 | 17 | 4 | 1/26/2012 | NC STATE | 55 | 159 | Under | 23 | 21-57 | 36.8% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 26 | 5 | 17 | | N CAROLINA | 74 | -13 | SU ATS | 37 | 31-64 | 48.4% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 48 | 15 | 15 | 2/23/2011 | N CAROLINA | 75 | -6 | SU ATS | 31 | 28-66 | 42.4% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 47 | 15 | 11 | | NC STATE | 63 | 146.5 | Under | 29 | 28-65 | 43.1% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 33 | 10 | 10 | 1/29/2011 | NC STATE | 64 | 146 | Over | 21 | 24-66 | 36.4% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 39 | 9 | 16 | | N CAROLINA | 84 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 33-69 | 47.8% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 14-24 | 58.3% | 53 | 17 | 15 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (201-216) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-37) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (170-174) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-29) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (169-188) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 45.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-41) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (138-146) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-30) | |
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[G] 01/26/2013 - Leslie McDonald eligible to return Febuary 2nd vs. Virginia Tech ( Academics ) | |
No significant injuries. |
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