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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| FLORIDA | -24 |  | | MISSISSIPPI ST | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-4 | 43-35 | 244-198 | 3-6 | 42-31 | 171-167 | 15-2 | 70-21 | 388-143 | | in all lined games | 10-4 | 43-35 | 244-198 | 3-6 | 42-31 | 171-167 | 12-2 | 59-20 | 305-142 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-1 | 8-5 | 11-7 | 2-1 | 10-2 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 11-2 | 15-3 | | as a favorite | 10-4 | 32-31 | 191-158 | 3-6 | 33-24 | 132-130 | 12-2 | 51-12 | 270-81 | | as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points | 2-0 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 6-1 | | as a road favorite of 18.5 to 24 points | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | | in road games | 5-1 | 16-10 | 80-72 | 1-4 | 14-12 | 58-57 | 5-1 | 19-10 | 85-74 | | in road lined games | 5-1 | 16-10 | 80-72 | 1-4 | 14-12 | 58-57 | 5-1 | 17-10 | 80-74 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-0 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 4-1 | | against conference opponents | 5-0 | 22-19 | 146-128 | 0-3 | 22-18 | 106-102 | 5-0 | 31-11 | 181-97 | | in January games | 6-0 | 14-7 | 65-51 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 41-40 | 6-0 | 18-3 | 89-32 | | on Saturday games | 2-3 | 15-13 | 83-76 | 1-3 | 18-10 | 66-55 | 3-2 | 18-11 | 115-55 | | after a conference game | 4-0 | 23-17 | 146-126 | 0-3 | 22-18 | 105-108 | 4-0 | 31-10 | 180-97 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-0 | 18-11 | 98-79 | 0-3 | 17-12 | 71-72 | 4-0 | 23-7 | 120-60 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 8-3 | 21-15 | 74-58 | 1-5 | 16-15 | 48-57 | 10-2 | 31-8 | 123-36 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-0 | 4-4 | 26-20 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 18-7 | 4-0 | 11-1 | 89-8 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 1-3 | 17-15 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-7 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 26-7 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 4-3 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 1-0 | 6-1 | 10-1 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-0 | 6-4 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 4-0 | 13-1 | 39-1 |
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| in all games | 5-8 | 29-41 | 221-198 | 2-2 | 33-27 | 143-137 | 7-10 | 45-36 | 316-191 | | in all lined games | 5-8 | 29-41 | 221-198 | 2-2 | 33-27 | 143-137 | 4-9 | 38-34 | 251-182 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 12-15 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 12-17 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 15-14 | | as an underdog | 3-6 | 16-15 | 91-77 | 2-2 | 13-14 | 51-63 | 1-8 | 10-22 | 55-119 | | as a home underdog of 15.5 or more points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | as a home underdog of 18.5 to 24 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | in all home games | 2-2 | 15-20 | 100-87 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 69-50 | 5-2 | 33-11 | 200-54 | | in home lined games | 2-2 | 15-20 | 100-87 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 69-50 | 3-1 | 27-9 | 144-49 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-1 | | against conference opponents | 1-4 | 15-22 | 142-123 | 0-0 | 18-16 | 87-84 | 2-3 | 19-20 | 144-130 | | in January games | 1-4 | 6-11 | 58-53 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 29-35 | 3-3 | 10-9 | 61-57 | | on Saturday games | 3-1 | 13-14 | 104-79 | 1-0 | 12-13 | 51-62 | 2-3 | 16-14 | 139-74 | | after a conference game | 1-3 | 15-21 | 135-126 | 0-0 | 18-15 | 90-84 | 1-3 | 19-19 | 144-129 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-2 | 7-9 | 64-57 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 33-38 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 69-56 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-2 | 5-6 | 35-38 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 24-21 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 46-34 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-0 | 6-4 | 26-12 | 1-0 | 4-6 | 12-11 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 29-16 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 13-11 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-6 | 19-24 | 173-147 | 2-1 | 20-18 | 109-109 | 1-7 | 21-26 | 191-160 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-2 | 12-12 | 110-96 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 76-69 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 102-110 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 4-9 | 38-32 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 27-20 | 0-2 | 3-10 | 35-37 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-5 | 9-20 | 65-61 | 2-2 | 15-10 | 46-43 | 1-7 | 8-22 | 71-68 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 15-2 | -0.8 | 10-4 | 3-6 | 73.2 | 34.4 | 48.9% | 35.8 | 51.4 | 22.8 | 36.3% | 28.1 | | Road Games | 7-2 | -3.8 | 6-3 | 2-4 | 69.6 | 30.6 | 48.2% | 33.7 | 54.3 | 24.7 | 37.9% | 29.1 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +3 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 73.2 | 31.2 | 50.4% | 34.6 | 48.4 | 20.6 | 35.1% | 29.0 | | Conference Games | 5-0 | +3 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 73.2 | 31.2 | 50.4% | 34.6 | 48.4 | 20.6 | 35.1% | 29.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.2 | 34.4 | 26-54 | 48.9% | 8-21 | 37.6% | 12-17 | 71.2% | 36 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 63.4 | 29.1 | 22-54 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 67.5% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 69.6 | 30.6 | 25-53 | 48.2% | 8-20 | 37.8% | 11-17 | 67.1% | 34 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 51.4 | 22.8 | 18-49 | 36.3% | 5-17 | 31.0% | 11-15 | 69.1% | 28 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 31.4 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 54.3 | 24.7 | 18-49 | 37.9% | 6-16 | 34.2% | 12-17 | 68.6% | 29 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
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| All Games | 7-10 | -1.7 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 62.1 | 28.6 | 40.8% | 35.6 | 65.8 | 31.8 | 41.5% | 36.2 | | Home Games | 5-2 | +2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 63.4 | 32.4 | 43.8% | 35.9 | 53.7 | 23.0 | 36.9% | 33.6 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +1.5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 59.6 | 29.2 | 39.9% | 31.4 | 71.6 | 34.0 | 44.6% | 37.6 | | Conference Games | 2-3 | +1.5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 59.6 | 29.2 | 39.9% | 31.4 | 71.6 | 34.0 | 44.6% | 37.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 62.1 | 28.6 | 22-53 | 40.8% | 4-15 | 29.1% | 15-21 | 67.7% | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.7 | 30.6 | 24-56 | 42.1% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 14-21 | 67.5% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 63.4 | 32.4 | 23-52 | 43.8% | 4-14 | 29.0% | 14-21 | 66.9% | 36 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.8 | 31.8 | 25-59 | 41.5% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 10-15 | 64.2% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 6 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.4 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 13-20 | 67.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 53.7 | 23.0 | 20-55 | 36.9% | 6-18 | 30.5% | 7-13 | 57.3% | 34 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 5 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA 75.7, MISSISSIPPI ST 69.6 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-7 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997 | | FLORIDA is 10-8 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | 8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 5-2 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997 | | MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-3 straight up against FLORIDA since 1997 | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/28/2012 | MISSISSIPPI ST | 57 | 143.5 | Under | 27 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 34 | 6 | 14 | | | FLORIDA | 69 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 27-56 | 48.2% | 11-24 | 45.8% | 4-7 | 57.1% | 26 | 5 | 5 | 1/29/2011 | FLORIDA | 64 | -6 | Under | 38 | 25-63 | 39.7% | 5-21 | 23.8% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 43 | 16 | 8 | | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 71 | 137.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 19-23 | 82.6% | 37 | 9 | 8 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (182-173) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (167-168) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-27) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.1% of the time since 1997. (128-169) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (126-124) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-28) | |
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| [G] 01/25/2013 - Braxton Ogbueze "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Knee ) | | [G] 01/14/2013 - Casey Prather out indefinitely ( Ankle ) | |
| [C] 12/14/2012 - Wendell Lewis out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee ) |
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