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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:00 PM
FLORIDA (15-2) AT MISSISSIPPI ST (7-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
649: FLORIDA
650: MISSISSIPPI ST
126.5
+20.5
73.2 / 51.4
62.1 / 65.8
15-2
7-10
10-4
5-8
3-6
2-2
48.9
40.8
71.2
67.7
37.6
29.1
36.3
41.5
69.1
64.2
31.0
35.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
FLORIDA-24
MISSISSIPPI ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-443-35244-1983-642-31171-16715-270-21388-143
in all lined games10-443-35244-1983-642-31171-16712-259-20305-142
when the total is 120 to 129.53-18-511-72-110-212-53-111-215-3
as a favorite10-432-31191-1583-633-24132-13012-251-12270-81
as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points2-02-14-31-01-12-22-03-06-1
as a road favorite of 18.5 to 24 points1-01-01-01-01-01-01-01-01-0
in road games5-116-1080-721-414-1258-575-119-1085-74
in road lined games5-116-1080-721-414-1258-575-117-1080-74
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.52-03-23-21-14-14-12-04-14-1
against conference opponents5-022-19146-1280-322-18106-1025-031-11181-97
in January games6-014-765-511-39-1041-406-018-389-32
on Saturday games2-315-1383-761-318-1066-553-218-11115-55
after a conference game4-023-17146-1260-322-18105-1084-031-10180-97
off a win against a conference rival4-018-1198-790-317-1271-724-023-7120-60
after allowing 60 points or less8-321-1574-581-516-1548-5710-231-8123-36
when playing against a team with a losing record3-04-426-201-05-118-74-011-189-8
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games1-01-317-150-02-112-71-03-126-7
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-04-35-50-03-33-41-06-110-1
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-06-410-80-05-35-44-013-139-1

MISSISSIPPI ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-829-41221-1982-233-27143-1377-1045-36316-191
in all lined games5-829-41221-1982-233-27143-1374-938-34251-182
when the total is 120 to 129.51-12-512-151-14-312-170-22-515-14
as an underdog3-616-1591-772-213-1451-631-810-2255-119
as a home underdog of 15.5 or more points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
as a home underdog of 18.5 to 24 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in all home games2-215-20100-870-015-1469-505-233-11200-54
in home lined games2-215-20100-870-015-1469-503-127-9144-49
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.50-01-13-20-01-13-20-02-04-1
against conference opponents1-415-22142-1230-018-1687-842-319-20144-130
in January games1-46-1158-530-07-629-353-310-961-57
on Saturday games3-113-14104-791-012-1351-622-316-14139-74
after a conference game1-315-21135-1260-018-1590-841-319-19144-129
off a loss against a conference rival0-27-964-570-08-833-380-29-969-56
after allowing 80 points or more0-25-635-381-14-824-210-26-646-34
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-06-426-121-04-612-111-19-629-16
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-02-214-80-01-35-61-03-213-11
when playing against a team with a winning record2-619-24173-1472-120-18109-1091-721-26191-160
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-212-12110-960-012-1176-690-211-14102-110
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-24-938-320-07-427-200-23-1035-37
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-59-2065-612-215-1046-431-78-2271-68
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-2-0.810-43-673.234.448.9%35.851.422.836.3%28.1
Road Games7-2-3.86-32-469.630.648.2%33.754.324.737.9%29.1
Last 5 Games5-0+35-00-373.231.250.4%34.648.420.635.1%29.0
Conference Games5-0+35-00-373.231.250.4%34.648.420.635.1%29.0
FLORIDA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)73.234.426-5448.9%8-2137.6%12-1771.2%361015148113
vs opponents surrendering63.429.122-5441.4%6-1832.8%13-1967.5%33912187143
Team Stats (Road Games)69.630.625-5348.2%8-2037.8%11-1767.1%341014167112
Stats Against (All Games)51.422.818-4936.3%5-1731.0%11-1569.1%28810166152
vs opponents averaging67.131.424-5543.6%6-1834.3%13-2067.7%361013177144
Stats Against (Road Games)54.324.718-4937.9%6-1634.2%12-1768.6%29811176143

MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games7-10-1.75-82-262.128.640.8%35.665.831.841.5%36.2
Home Games5-2+22-20-063.432.443.8%35.953.723.036.9%33.6
Last 5 Games2-3+1.51-40-059.629.239.9%31.471.634.044.6%37.6
Conference Games2-3+1.51-40-059.629.239.9%31.471.634.044.6%37.6
MISSISSIPPI ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.128.622-5340.8%4-1529.1%15-2167.7%361010168184
vs opponents surrendering66.730.624-5642.1%6-1832.5%14-2167.5%351012187144
Team Stats (Home Games)63.432.423-5243.8%4-1429.0%14-2166.9%369101411176
Stats Against (All Games)65.831.825-5941.5%7-2035.0%10-1564.2%361113189166
vs opponents averaging67.431.424-5642.6%6-1832.9%13-2067.4%361013187144
Stats Against (Home Games)53.723.020-5536.9%6-1830.5%7-1357.3%34108188195
Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA 75.7,  MISSISSIPPI ST 69.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-7 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
FLORIDA is 10-8 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 5-2 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-3 straight up against FLORIDA since 1997
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/28/2012MISSISSIPPI ST57143.5 Under2721-4843.7%7-1643.7%8-1457.1%34614
 FLORIDA69-8.5SU ATS3027-5648.2%11-2445.8%4-757.1%2655
1/29/2011FLORIDA64-6 Under3825-6339.7%5-2123.8%9-1947.4%43168
 MISSISSIPPI ST71137.5SU ATS4022-5440.7%8-2334.8%19-2382.6%3798
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (182-173)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (167-168)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-27)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.1% of the time since 1997. (128-169)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (126-124)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-28)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
FLORIDA
[G] 01/25/2013 - Braxton Ogbueze "?" Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Knee )
[G] 01/14/2013 - Casey Prather out indefinitely ( Ankle )
MISSISSIPPI ST
[C] 12/14/2012 - Wendell Lewis out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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