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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| TENNESSEE ST | | | | MOREHEAD ST | -1 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-7 | 38-31 | 170-159 | 0-0 | 27-24 | 106-103 | 12-9 | 47-37 | 184-282 | | in all lined games | 10-7 | 38-31 | 170-159 | 0-0 | 27-24 | 106-103 | 8-9 | 36-35 | 126-209 | | as an underdog | 5-5 | 22-18 | 119-101 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 66-62 | 2-8 | 10-32 | 47-178 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 2-1 | 6-5 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-10 | 5-20 | | in road games | 5-5 | 20-17 | 105-83 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 65-51 | 3-8 | 13-30 | 56-193 | | in road lined games | 5-5 | 20-17 | 105-83 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 65-51 | 2-8 | 10-29 | 44-149 | | against conference opponents | 6-2 | 24-20 | 114-117 | 0-0 | 20-17 | 77-76 | 6-2 | 28-17 | 129-164 | | in January games | 6-1 | 14-9 | 53-60 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 36-40 | 5-2 | 15-9 | 60-87 | | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 12-12 | 64-56 | 0-0 | 11-8 | 43-35 | 4-2 | 18-8 | 70-88 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 4-3 | 13-12 | 72-61 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 42-45 | 2-5 | 15-14 | 79-107 | | after a conference game | 6-1 | 23-19 | 108-109 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 72-74 | 5-2 | 27-18 | 124-168 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 5-10 | 48-65 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 33-38 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 43-75 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 5-2 | 16-14 | 62-62 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 44-43 | 6-3 | 25-11 | 95-90 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 5-10 | 32-36 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 26-23 | 1-0 | 12-4 | 50-38 |
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| in all games | 7-9 | 38-37 | 161-159 | 0-0 | 25-33 | 95-117 | 10-11 | 53-36 | 229-241 | | in all lined games | 7-9 | 38-37 | 161-159 | 0-0 | 25-33 | 95-117 | 5-11 | 39-36 | 146-180 | | as a favorite | 3-3 | 19-19 | 69-63 | 0-0 | 14-17 | 40-48 | 4-2 | 29-9 | 101-33 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 3-2 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 17-3 | | in all home games | 3-3 | 16-12 | 68-63 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 42-44 | 7-3 | 30-8 | 146-70 | | in home lined games | 3-3 | 16-12 | 68-63 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 42-44 | 3-3 | 20-8 | 85-49 | | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 25-20 | 127-104 | 0-0 | 17-21 | 71-85 | 4-3 | 30-15 | 149-143 | | in January games | 4-3 | 13-10 | 58-50 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 27-43 | 4-3 | 16-8 | 79-66 | | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 14-14 | 53-64 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 37-44 | 3-2 | 19-9 | 80-98 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-1 | 14-9 | 52-52 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 32-41 | 3-2 | 17-10 | 65-81 | | after a conference game | 4-2 | 26-15 | 120-97 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 72-77 | 4-3 | 31-13 | 151-141 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 8-5 | 53-38 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 32-33 | 1-1 | 9-4 | 45-52 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-5 | 23-19 | 77-71 | 0-0 | 13-20 | 45-57 | 2-7 | 19-24 | 66-129 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 13-10 | 48-40 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 28-35 | 1-2 | 14-10 | 44-66 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 12-9 | +1.5 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 67.6 | 30.0 | 42.5% | 36.5 | 65.7 | 29.7 | 41.9% | 33.0 | | Road Games | 4-9 | -3.6 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 62.5 | 26.5 | 38.0% | 37.5 | 70.9 | 33.1 | 44.5% | 33.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 72.0 | 33.6 | 46.1% | 34.6 | 66.2 | 29.8 | 44.3% | 29.0 | | Conference Games | 6-2 | +5.8 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 70.6 | 31.6 | 47.3% | 36.0 | 64.1 | 28.1 | 41.8% | 28.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.6 | 30.0 | 23-54 | 42.5% | 6-19 | 32.8% | 16-22 | 71.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.9 | 31.1 | 24-54 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 15-21 | 70.3% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.5 | 26.5 | 21-57 | 38.0% | 5-20 | 27.1% | 14-21 | 67.3% | 37 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.7 | 29.7 | 23-55 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 14-21 | 65.8% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.4 | 30.7 | 24-56 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 32.6% | 13-19 | 68.5% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.9 | 33.1 | 24-53 | 44.5% | 7-18 | 35.6% | 17-25 | 68.4% | 34 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
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| All Games | 10-11 | -4.8 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 71.0 | 30.3 | 42.7% | 37.9 | 69.0 | 31.4 | 43.4% | 32.4 | | Home Games | 7-3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 75.6 | 33.2 | 44.9% | 39.8 | 66.1 | 28.8 | 42.2% | 30.1 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1.2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 71.8 | 30.0 | 44.1% | 39.0 | 68.0 | 31.4 | 42.6% | 30.0 | | Conference Games | 4-3 | +0.8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 70.3 | 29.6 | 44.0% | 39.3 | 64.9 | 28.1 | 42.5% | 27.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.0 | 30.3 | 26-60 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 32.8% | 14-20 | 68.1% | 38 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 10 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.6 | 31.7 | 25-57 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 34.0% | 13-20 | 67.8% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 75.6 | 33.2 | 26-59 | 44.9% | 7-20 | 33.3% | 16-25 | 65.0% | 40 | 13 | 17 | 22 | 13 | 18 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.0 | 31.4 | 22-50 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 19-27 | 70.9% | 32 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.5 | 24-55 | 44.0% | 7-19 | 35.6% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 66.1 | 28.8 | 22-51 | 42.2% | 7-20 | 36.9% | 15-22 | 69.4% | 30 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 21 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TENNESSEE ST 68.8, MOREHEAD ST 67.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TENNESSEE ST is 14-10 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST since 1997 | | MOREHEAD ST is 16-14 straight up against TENNESSEE ST since 1997 | | 10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TENNESSEE ST is 3-1 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons | | TENNESSEE ST is 3-1 straight up against MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TENNESSEE ST is 7-5 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST since 1997 | | MOREHEAD ST is 12-3 straight up against TENNESSEE ST since 1997 | | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TENNESSEE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons | | MOREHEAD ST is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/2/2012 | MOREHEAD ST | 52 | 121.5 | Under | 21 | 20-56 | 35.7% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 5-8 | 62.5% | 31 | 11 | 18 | | N | TENNESSEE ST | 59 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 20-38 | 52.6% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 15-19 | 78.9% | 27 | 3 | 20 | 1/11/2012 | MOREHEAD ST | 72 | 128 | ATS | 32 | 26-53 | 49.1% | 10-26 | 38.5% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 27 | 7 | 14 | | | TENNESSEE ST | 77 | -5.5 | SU Over | 34 | 23-47 | 48.9% | 13-25 | 52.0% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 30 | 9 | 14 | 1/27/2011 | TENNESSEE ST | 65 | 129 | ATS | 42 | 23-45 | 51.1% | 9-15 | 60.0% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 23 | 5 | 13 | | | MOREHEAD ST | 72 | -11 | SU Over | 33 | 25-57 | 43.9% | 7-21 | 33.3% | 15-25 | 60.0% | 42 | 20 | 11 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE ST games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (131-146) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE ST games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-26) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MOREHEAD ST games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (135-123) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MOREHEAD ST games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-27) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 01/25/2013 - Tashan Fredrick injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Morehead State ( Leg ) | | [F] 01/25/2013 - Robert Covington expected to miss 3-4 weeks ( Knee ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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