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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 6-3 | 36-29 | 211-214 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 6-7 | 29-52 | 228-248 | | in all lined games | 6-3 | 36-29 | 211-214 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 5-5 | 21-47 | 195-238 | | as an underdog | 3-2 | 27-22 | 107-133 | 0-0 | 22-20 | 71-83 | 1-5 | 9-43 | 47-198 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-1 | 17-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14-19 | | in road games | 4-2 | 17-14 | 95-110 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 2-6 | 8-30 | 61-161 | | in road lined games | 4-2 | 17-14 | 95-110 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 44-63 | 2-5 | 5-27 | 54-154 | | against conference opponents | 1-1 | 20-17 | 141-141 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 2-0 | 12-26 | 146-143 | | in January games | 1-1 | 8-8 | 57-70 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 31-33 | 2-0 | 6-12 | 62-67 | | on Wednesday games | 4-0 | 16-6 | 62-49 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 24-29 | 3-2 | 11-12 | 65-55 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 20-16 | 139-137 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 79-72 | 1-0 | 12-26 | 144-144 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 6-5 | 78-63 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 37-32 | 1-0 | 5-6 | 83-63 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-2 | 19-13 | 104-113 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 56-61 | 3-4 | 9-27 | 76-150 |
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| in all games | 6-5 | 36-37 | 211-220 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 8-7 | 43-40 | 252-226 | | in all lined games | 6-5 | 36-37 | 211-220 | 1-2 | 41-23 | 134-110 | 4-7 | 36-39 | 225-215 | | as a favorite | 2-0 | 17-17 | 117-111 | 0-0 | 21-11 | 67-67 | 2-0 | 26-10 | 170-66 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 18-10 | | in all home games | 2-0 | 15-13 | 97-82 | 0-0 | 16-11 | 48-50 | 4-1 | 27-9 | 154-54 | | in home lined games | 2-0 | 15-13 | 97-82 | 0-0 | 16-11 | 48-50 | 1-1 | 21-9 | 132-51 | | against conference opponents | 1-1 | 21-19 | 141-144 | 0-0 | 24-13 | 86-67 | 0-2 | 20-20 | 155-134 | | in January games | 1-1 | 8-9 | 66-54 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 33-27 | 0-2 | 9-8 | 75-53 | | on Wednesday games | 0-2 | 7-13 | 50-54 | 0-1 | 10-8 | 29-25 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 67-46 | | after a conference game | 1-1 | 21-18 | 128-149 | 0-0 | 23-12 | 85-66 | 0-2 | 20-20 | 152-136 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 10-7 | 53-63 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 33-29 | 0-1 | 11-6 | 72-50 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-1 | 8-6 | 38-33 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 28-17 | 3-2 | 11-6 | 49-34 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 18-18 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-0 | 14-15 | 90-83 | 0-0 | 17-10 | 50-53 | 3-0 | 22-10 | 134-62 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 6-7 | +3.5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 69.3 | 31.2 | 42.7% | 33.7 | 68.9 | 30.7 | 41.3% | 36.0 | | Road Games | 3-6 | +1.5 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 68.7 | 30.4 | 43.9% | 32.2 | 71.4 | 32.6 | 42.7% | 36.2 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +5.5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 68.0 | 28.4 | 43.6% | 36.2 | 60.4 | 24.4 | 36.5% | 34.8 | | Conference Games | 2-0 | +3.5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 73.0 | 27.0 | 44.6% | 34.5 | 65.0 | 27.0 | 39.3% | 38.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.3 | 31.2 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 31.9% | 16-21 | 77.2% | 34 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.2 | 30.8 | 23-53 | 43.7% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 69.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 68.7 | 30.4 | 24-56 | 43.9% | 6-17 | 32.9% | 14-19 | 74.3% | 32 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.9 | 30.7 | 23-56 | 41.3% | 8-23 | 34.7% | 15-21 | 72.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.4 | 30.4 | 23-54 | 42.5% | 7-19 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 70.9% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.4 | 32.6 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 8-22 | 34.8% | 16-22 | 72.6% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
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| All Games | 8-7 | +4.5 | 6-5 | 1-2 | 64.9 | 32.2 | 40.5% | 38.7 | 64.8 | 30.4 | 41.4% | 31.5 | | Home Games | 4-1 | 0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 72.2 | 35.4 | 44.7% | 39.8 | 58.4 | 27.4 | 37.2% | 29.0 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 64.6 | 31.2 | 38.3% | 39.2 | 69.4 | 32.2 | 43.5% | 34.6 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 51.0 | 22.0 | 30.4% | 35.0 | 63.0 | 27.0 | 40.9% | 39.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.9 | 32.2 | 22-54 | 40.5% | 5-16 | 31.4% | 16-23 | 70.1% | 39 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.5 | 31.9 | 25-56 | 43.7% | 6-19 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 68.1% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 72.2 | 35.4 | 24-53 | 44.7% | 5-14 | 36.2% | 20-28 | 70.9% | 40 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.8 | 30.4 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 7-21 | 33.9% | 12-17 | 70.2% | 32 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 32 | 25-57 | 43.6% | 7-20 | 33.4% | 12-18 | 69.1% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.4 | 27.4 | 20-54 | 37.2% | 7-22 | 30.6% | 12-17 | 71.1% | 29 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 69.5, W MICHIGAN 70.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TOLEDO is 18-13 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 17-15 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 3-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | W MICHIGAN is 2-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| W MICHIGAN is 8-7 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | W MICHIGAN is 11-4 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/25/2012 | W MICHIGAN | 74 | -1.5 | Over | 41 | 30-61 | 49.2% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 35 | 15 | 9 | | | TOLEDO | 83 | 136.5 | SU ATS | 44 | 30-62 | 48.4% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 34 | 11 | 5 | 1/14/2012 | TOLEDO | 52 | 150 | Under | 21 | 20-56 | 35.7% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 9-17 | 52.9% | 24 | 8 | 10 | | | W MICHIGAN | 74 | -10 | SU ATS | 33 | 30-61 | 49.2% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 48 | 17 | 15 | 2/23/2011 | TOLEDO | 56 | 134 | ATS | 16 | 18-46 | 39.1% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 16-24 | 66.7% | 25 | 5 | 17 | | | W MICHIGAN | 68 | -15 | SU Under | 45 | 21-43 | 48.8% | 10-21 | 47.6% | 16-24 | 66.7% | 34 | 6 | 20 | 1/19/2011 | W MICHIGAN | 60 | -9.5 | Over | 23 | 21-56 | 37.5% | 7-23 | 30.4% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 36 | 15 | 16 | | | TOLEDO | 73 | 124 | SU ATS | 37 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 5-12 | 41.7% | 26-34 | 76.5% | 37 | 12 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (167-173) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 44.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (165-171) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 37.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-38) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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